Alert archive / Florida / Mesoscale Discussions in 2024

Mesoscale Discussion 1813

August 4, 202433 counties in Florida

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Aug 4, 2024, 10:32 AM EDT for 33 counties in Florida. It was in force for 88 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 4, 2024, 10:32 AM EDT (14:32 UTC)
Expired
Aug 4, 2024, 12:00 PM EDT
In force
88 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe potential...tornado watch likely
Chance of a watch
95%
All 33 counties

Alachua County, FL, Bradford County, FL, Charlotte County, FL, Citrus County, FL, Collier County, FL, Columbia County, FL, DeSoto County, FL, Dixie County, FL, Gilchrist County, FL, Glades County, FL, Hamilton County, FL, Hardee County, FL, Hendry County, FL, Hernando County, FL, Highlands County, FL, Hillsborough County, FL, Jefferson County, FL, Lafayette County, FL, Lake County, FL, Lee County, FL, Levy County, FL, Madison County, FL, Manatee County, FL, Marion County, FL, Orange County, FL, Pasco County, FL, Pinellas County, FL, Polk County, FL, Sarasota County, FL, Sumter County, FL, Suwannee County, FL, Taylor County, FL, Union County, FL

The radar

The Tampa radar (KTBW), 59 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 12:00Z, 2.5 hours before the alert went out and 59 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tampa Bay, FL at 12:00Z on 2024-08-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 374 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tampa Bay, FL at 12:00Z on 2024-08-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 362 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
374 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-44 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
679 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
362 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
327 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
6.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 4, 7:47 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCharlotte, DeSoto, Hillsborough, Lee, Manatee, Pinellas and 1 more88 min
Aug 4, 10:57 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCAlachua, Baker, Bradford, Charlotte, Citrus, Clay and 40 more9 hr
Aug 4, 1:47 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlachua, Baker, Bradford, Brevard, Charlotte, Citrus and 36 more118 min
Aug 4, 4:53 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlachua, Baker, Bradford, Charlotte, Citrus, Clay and 35 more2 hr
Aug 4, 7:05 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlachua, Baker, Bradford, Brevard, Charlotte, Citrus and 39 more55 min
Aug 4, 7:57 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCAlachua, Baker, Bradford, Brevard, Citrus, Clay and 31 more10 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Florida, 2024Every mesoscale discussion in 2024

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.