Alert archive / Idaho / Mesoscale Discussions in 2024

Mesoscale Discussion 1221

June 9, 2024Ada County, Canyon County, Owyhee County, Idaho; Harney County, Lake County, Malheur County, Oregon

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 9, 2024, 5:28 PM MDT for Ada County, Canyon County, Owyhee County, Idaho; Harney County, Lake County, Malheur County, Oregon. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 9, 2024, 5:28 PM MDT (23:28 UTC)
Expired
Jun 9, 2024, 7:30 PM MDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe potential...watch unlikely
Chance of a watch
20%

Counties Ada County, ID, Canyon County, ID, Owyhee County, ID, Harney County, OR, Lake County, OR, Malheur County, OR

The radar

The Boise radar (KCBX), 203 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Boise Airport, ID (KBOI), launched 12:00Z, 11.5 hours before the alert went out and 210 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Boise Airport, ID at 12:00Z on 2024-06-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Boise Airport, ID at 12:00Z on 2024-06-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -137 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2757 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-137 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
137 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

839 
ACUS11 KWNS 092328
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 092328 
NVZ000-IDZ000-ORZ000-CAZ000-100130-

Mesoscale Discussion 1221
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0628 PM CDT Sun Jun 09 2024

Areas affected...Southeast OR into southwest ID and extreme northern
NV

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

Valid 092328Z - 100130Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Isolated hail and severe gusts are possible into early
evening.

DISCUSSION...Scattered thunderstorms are ongoing across southeast OR
and vicinity, in advance of a shortwave trough moving across the
Pacific Northwest. MLCAPE of up to 500 J/kg and moderate deep-layer
shear are supporting occasionally organized storm structures, with a
couple of stronger cells noted across Malheur County, Oregon. Those
cells will eventually encounter stronger MLCINH to the northeast,
but isolated hail and severe gusts will remain possible in the short
term. Other less-organized convection is ongoing farther west into
south-central OR, and also moving out of far northern NV. A stronger
cell or two could develop across those areas as well, but even the
ongoing less-organized convection could pose a threat of isolated
strong to severe gusts, especially where the environment remains
rather warm and well mixed.

..Dean/Bunting.. 06/09/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...BOI...LKN...REV...MFR...

LAT...LON   41641905 41901981 42172057 42612086 43252035 43541891
            43971710 43851605 43151585 41951536 41731709 41631876
            41641905

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 9, 2:32 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBingham, Blaine, Butte, Camas, Cassia, Clark and 11 more118 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Idaho, 2024Mesoscale Discussions in Oregon, 2024Every mesoscale discussion in 2024

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.