Tornado Warning 46, NWS Springfield, MO

205 
WWUS53 KSGF 082129
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
429 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024

MOC009-043-109-209-082215-
/O.CON.KSGF.TO.W.0046.000000T0000Z-240508T2215Z/
Christian MO-Stone MO-Barry MO-Lawrence MO-
429 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN CHRISTIAN...NORTHWESTERN STONE...NORTHEASTERN BARRY AND
SOUTHERN LAWRENCE COUNTIES...

At 429 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located near Verona, or near
Monett, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado and golf ball size hail.

SOURCE...Emergency management confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Monett, Aurora, Marionville, Clever, Crane, Billings, Verona, Hurley,
Freistatt, Pleasant Ridge, Madry, and Elsey.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a
basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3687 9395 3702 9399 3712 9361 3710 9360
      3710 9346 3685 9342
TIME...MOT...LOC 2129Z 258DEG 29KT 3692 9384 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN

$$

Melto

284 
WWUS53 KSGF 082136 RRA
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
436 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024

MOC009-043-109-209-082215-
/O.CON.KSGF.TO.W.0046.000000T0000Z-240508T2215Z/
Christian MO-Stone MO-Barry MO-Lawrence MO-
436 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN CHRISTIAN...NORTHWESTERN STONE...NORTHEASTERN BARRY AND
SOUTHEASTERN LAWRENCE COUNTIES...

At 436 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located over Verona, or near
Aurora, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado and golf ball size hail.

SOURCE...Emergency management confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Aurora, Marionville, Clever, Crane, Billings, Verona, Hurley,
Pleasant Ridge, and Madry.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a
basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3687 9385 3705 9387 3712 9361 3710 9360
      3710 9346 3685 9342
TIME...MOT...LOC 2136Z 258DEG 29KT 3693 9377 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN

$$

Melto

167 
WWUS53 KSGF 082144
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
444 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024

MOC009-043-109-209-082215-
/O.CON.KSGF.TO.W.0046.000000T0000Z-240508T2215Z/
Christian MO-Stone MO-Barry MO-Lawrence MO-
444 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN CHRISTIAN...NORTHWESTERN STONE...NORTHEASTERN BARRY AND
SOUTHEASTERN LAWRENCE COUNTIES...

At 444 PM CDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was
located over Aurora, moving east at 30 mph.

This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Emergency management confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may 
         be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes 
         will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, 
         businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction 
         is possible.

Locations impacted include...
Aurora, Marionville, Clever, Crane, Billings, Verona, Hurley,
Pleasant Ridge, and Madry.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly
tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move
to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3687 9380 3706 9383 3712 9361 3710 9360
      3710 9346 3685 9342
TIME...MOT...LOC 2144Z 257DEG 28KT 3695 9370 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN

$$

Melto

679 
WWUS53 KSGF 082152
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
452 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024

MOC009-082202-
/O.CAN.KSGF.TO.W.0046.000000T0000Z-240508T2215Z/
Barry MO-
452 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN BARRY COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out 
of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 700 PM CDT for southwestern
Missouri. A Tornado Watch also remains in effect until midnight CDT
for southwestern Missouri.

&&

LAT...LON 3690 9361 3692 9361 3693 9369 3699 9372
      3710 9360 3710 9346 3689 9343
TIME...MOT...LOC 2152Z 258DEG 29KT 3696 9362 

$$

MOC043-109-209-082215-
/O.CON.KSGF.TO.W.0046.000000T0000Z-240508T2215Z/
Christian MO-Stone MO-Lawrence MO-
452 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN CHRISTIAN...NORTHWESTERN STONE AND SOUTHEASTERN LAWRENCE
COUNTIES...

At 452 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located over Marionville, or
near Aurora, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado and golf ball size hail.

SOURCE...Emergency management confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Aurora, Marionville, Clever, Crane, Billings, and Hurley.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a
basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3690 9361 3692 9361 3693 9369 3699 9372
      3710 9360 3710 9346 3689 9343
TIME...MOT...LOC 2152Z 258DEG 29KT 3696 9362 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN

$$

Melto

106 
WWUS53 KSGF 082158
SVSSGF

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
458 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024

MOC043-109-209-082215-
/O.CON.KSGF.TO.W.0046.000000T0000Z-240508T2215Z/
Christian MO-Stone MO-Lawrence MO-
458 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN CHRISTIAN...NORTHWESTERN STONE AND SOUTHEASTERN LAWRENCE
COUNTIES...

At 458 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Marionville, or 8 miles east of Aurora, moving east
at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and golf ball size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Marionville, Clever, Crane, Billings, and Hurley.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3690 9361 3692 9361 3693 9367 3701 9370
      3710 9360 3710 9346 3689 9343
TIME...MOT...LOC 2158Z 258DEG 29KT 3697 9356 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN

$$

Melto

Area Forecast Discussion...Correction
National Weather Service Springfield MO
250 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Severe thunderstorms expected today with very large hail up to the
size of baseballs, damaging winds up to 60-80 mph, and tornadoes.
Highest potential for severe storms along and southeast  of a Nevada
to Warsaw to Rolla line.

- Localized heavy rainfall may result in flooding, especially for
areas northeast of a line from Stockton to Marshfield to of Highway
54. A Flood Watch remains in effect for this area, where storms may
drop 1 to 3 inches of rain with locally higher amounts of 3 to 6
inches.

- Drier and cooler conditions for late week and weekend.

- More rain potential for the beginning of next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 224 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024

The region will see active weather this afternoon through this
evening. A warm remained located across central Missouri. A
cold front was also located across eastern Kansas into eastern
Oklahoma. The Ozarks and far southeastern Kansas are the warm
sector with increasing moisture and instability as the region
saw no significant precipitation of storms this morning.
Analysis this afternoon continued to show several boundaries
across the region thanks to earlier convection, differential
heating from cloud cover and other small scale waves.

The region, in the warm sector, has seen temperatures increase
to into the lower to middle 80s with Td's in the upper 60s to
around 70. This is helping to produce a favorably unstable
airmass over the area. Models as indicating between 2500-4500
J/kg of CAPE this afternoon with no CAP over the region. The
latest runs show 0-6KM Bulk shear in the 40-50kt range from the
WSW with a 35 to 45kt LLJ over the region. This is accompanied
by upper level support from a strong 250mb Jet streak.

A Tornado Watch is in effect until 00z (7PM) with the potential
for large hail, to baseballs in size, with 1000-1300 j/kg of
CAPE in the hail growth zone (-10 to -30 *C). This, coupled with
a relatively long straight Hodograph support, supercells with
splitting cells possible. Winds from 60 to 80 mph will also be
possible along with tornadoes.

Looking at some of the CIPS/SPC analogs, several matches to
current parameters showed storms with up to softball hail
possible.

A cold front will move through the area tonight which will shift
winds to the northwest. This will also bring into the region
drier air and a cooler airmass. Overnight lows will fall into
the upper 50s as the cooler air filters into the region with
clearing skies.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Issued at 224 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024

The region will be under southwesterly to westerly flow aloft
Thursday with a shortwave ridge moving across the plains into
the Ozarks. With mostly clear skies but a cooler airmass,
afternoon highs will still climb into the middle 70's.

Friday into Sunday - An upper level trough will swing out of
the northern plains and drag cooler air and quiet weather into
the region Friday with the upper level pattern becoming
northwesterly allowing surface high pressure to move over the
area for the weekend.

Sunday night into Tuesday - Upper level ridging will slide over
the region Sunday as an upper level low digs into the plains.
Southwesterly flow will begin to allow increasing moisture to
filter into the region through the day. By Sunday night the
ridge will shift east as the upper low slides into the central
plains before moving into the Ozarks though the day Monday. This
will be accompanied by areas of rainfall and scattered
thunderstorms though severe potential is very limited at this
time. The low will make slow progress across the Ozarks
lingering in into Tuesday with continued chances for showers and
storms.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1218 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024

Through 00z to 03z or slightly later, the regions terminals may
be impacted by strong thunderstorms. Away from storms flight
conditions will be MVFR with brief periods of VFR conditions.
Ceilings will be the primary concern. Where storms occur, flight
conditions will deteriorate quickly with MVFR to IFR conditions.
Airfields may see high wind and hail impacts with the strongest
storms.

The storm system will progress through the region likely by 03z
though some light precipitation may linger. However, behind the
storms, flight conditions will improve to VFR as ceilings lift
and cloud cover becomes scattered to few.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...None.
MO...Flood Watch until midnight CDT tonight for MOZ055>058-067>071-
     078>083-091-092-098.

&&

MESOSCALE...Hatch
SHORT TERM...Hatch
LONG TERM...Hatch
AVIATION...Hatch

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
317 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-092030-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
317 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Elevated tornado risk.
  Significant hail risk.
  Significant thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Significant lightning risk.
  Elevated excessive rainfall risk

DISCUSSION...

Severe thunderstorms are likely through this evening with very
large hail up to the size of baseballs, damaging winds up to 60-80
mph, and tornadoes. Highest potential for severe storms is along
and south of a Nevada to Warsaw to Rolla line.

Localized heavy rainfall may result in flooding, especially for
areas northeast of a line from Stockton to Marshfield to
Eminence. A Flood Watch has been issued for this area, where
storms may drop 1 to 3 inches of rain with locally higher amounts
of 3 to 6 inches.

For more specific information, see www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed later today or tonight for all
of the Missouri Ozarks and far southeastern Kansas.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Hatch

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
407 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0400 PM     Hail             3 S Seneca              36.80N 94.61W
05/08/2024  E1.75 Inch       Newton             MO   Emergency Mngr

            Unconfirmed social media report of half
            dollar sized hail 3 miles south of Seneca on
            Missouri Highway 43 in Newton County at 4
            pm.

&&

TEO

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
421 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0406 PM     Hail             1 NE Doolittle          37.95N 91.87W
05/08/2024  E4.50 Inch       Phelps             MO   Public

            Major hail damage to cars, roofs, etc.

&&

TEO

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
423 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0354 PM     Hail             3 N Devil's Elbow       37.89N 92.06W
05/08/2024  E1.25 Inch       Pulaski            MO   Public

            Report from mPING, Half Dollar 1.25 in.

&&

TEO

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
426 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0402 PM     Hail             Linn Creek              38.04N 92.71W
05/08/2024  E3.00 Inch       Camden             MO   Public

            Via Social media picture.

&&

TEO

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
427 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0415 PM     Hail             1 S Neosho              36.86N 94.37W
05/08/2024  M1.00 Inch       Newton             MO   Trained Spotter

&&

TEO

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
428 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0354 PM     Hail             2 SE Linn Creek         38.01N 92.69W
05/08/2024  E1.75 Inch       Camden             MO   Public

            Report from mPING, Golf Ball 1.75 in.

&&

TEO