Flash Flood Warning 32, NWS Springfield, MO

534 
WGUS73 KSGF 261936
FFSSGF

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
236 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024

MOC203-215-261946-
/O.EXP.KSGF.FF.W.0032.000000T0000Z-240526T1930Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Shannon MO-Texas MO-
236 PM CDT Sun May 26 2024

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR WEST CENTRAL SHANNON AND 
SOUTHERN TEXAS COUNTIES...

The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a 
threat. Please continue to heed remaining road closures.

A Flood Watch remains in effect until 100 AM CDT Monday for portions 
of central, east central, south central, southwest, and west central 
Missouri.

&&

LAT...LON 3705 9132 3705 9166 3706 9225 3725 9225
      3724 9131

$$

KP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
626 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Strong to severe storms for the remainder of the overnight
  into Sunday morning. All modes of severe weather will be
  possible.

- Redevelopment of strong to severe weather this afternoon into
  the early evening possible along any outlflows and with cold
  front. Damaging winds and large hail will be the main severe
  weather risks.

- Flood Watch in effect until 7 pm for the entire area.
  Repeating thunderstorms could produce 1-3 inches of rainfall.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
Issued at 241 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024

Synoptic overview and current conditions: Water vapor imagery
and upper level analysis show an upper level shortwave currently
shifting east across the plains. 90 to 100 kt upper level jet
streak was pushing northeast out of TX and OK into southeast KS
and southwest MO. Lower in the atmosphere, 850mb analysis shows
a strong low level jet of 50 to 55kts from eastern OK into
western MO. At the surface, low pressure was located over
central KS with a stationary boundary bisecting our CWA from
northwest to southeast. Supercell activity over southeast KS and
northwest AR with additional line segments over northeast KS.
Temperatures across the CWA were in the low to mid 70s with dew
points in the upper 60s to low 70s.

Rest of tonight into Sunday morning: Severe convection will
continue to track east across southern Missouri during the
remainder of the overnight. Large hail up to baseball size,
damaging wind gusts over 70 mph and tornadoes will remain
possible with these supercells. Intense rainfall rates will also
lead to some flash flooding where the heaviest rain falls and we
have a flood watch out until 7 pm this evening.

This afternoon into Tonight: An upper level wave will shift into
the area this afternoon, while the surface low and cold front
will push into the CWA. If enough atmospheric recovery can take
place from this mornings convection, sufficient instability
should build up ahead of the cold front and any remnant
boundaries for the redevelopment of strong to severe convection
during the afternoon and evening. The most likely areas for
severe convective redevelopment this afternoon will be east of
the US 65 corridor. Large hail up to golf ball size and damaging
wind gusts in excess of 70 mph will be the main severe weather
risks. An isolated tornado risk will also be possible. Most of
the activity should exit the area by 10 pm.

Overnight and Monday: Clearing should take place overnight
tonight behind the cold front and upper wave, with drier air
moving into the area. Surface high pressure will move into the
area tonight into Monday. Lows in the upper 50s to low 60s are
expected tonight with highs on Monday in the upper 70s to low
80s.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 241 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024

On Monday night, another strong upper level wave will drop
southeast over the upper Mississippi valley region and into the
Great Lakes region Tuesday into Tuesday night. This will keep us
in a northwest flow pattern into the middle of the week with
surface high pressure being reinforced over the region. Dry and
slightly cooler temperatures are expected during this period.

High pressure will shift eastward during the end of the week and
will allow moisture to start creeping back into the area over
the western CWA with precipitation chances increasing over the
area from late in the week into the upcoming weekend(20-50%).

Temperatures in the later part of the long term will be near
seasonal norms.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 618 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024

Main severe convection has pushed off to the east. Additional
convection was to the north of SGF/JLN with a southward moving
outflow boundary about to push through SGF. If the atmosphere
can recover, additional thunderstorms will be possible this
afternoon along any boundaries and/or the cold front. Mainly
expecting VFR conditions through the period. Main additional
convection chances will be late this afternoon into the early
evening and we have given BBG a prob30 group for that. Clearing
should take place later this evening behind the cold front.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...Flood Watch through this evening for KSZ073-097-101.
MO...Flood Watch through this evening for MOZ055>058-066>071-
     077>083-088>098-101>106.

&&

SHORT TERM...Lindenberg
LONG TERM...Lindenberg
AVIATION...Lindenberg

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
533 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-271045-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
533 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Elevated tornado risk.
  Elevated hail risk.
  Elevated thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Elevated lightning risk.
  Limited excessive rainfall risk
  Limited non thunderstorm wind risk.

DISCUSSION...

Severe storms will continue to push across the eastern Ozarks this
morning with the risk of tornadoes, damaging wind gusts up to 70
mph and up to golf ball size hail. In addition, heavy rain may
produce some areas of flooding.

Additional thunderstorm development will be possible later this
afternoon ahead of a cold front. This will mainly be across areas
east of US 65 and linger into the early evening hours. Damaging
winds up to 60 mph, golf ball size hail and a isolated tornadoes
will be possible with the afternoon thunderstorms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Additional thunderstorms will be possible late in the week into
next weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed for areas mainly east of the US
65 corridor.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Lindenberg

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
654 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0336 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     5 WNW Eagle Rock        36.59N 93.83W
05/26/2024                   Barry              MO   Public

            Corrects previous tstm wnd dmg report from 3
            SSE Cassville to 5 WNW Eagle Rock. Via
            social media pictures of large trees down.
            Time based on radar estimate.

&&

TEO

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
711 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0342 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     6 NW Mansfield          37.17N 92.66W
05/26/2024                   Wright             MO   Emergency Mngr

            Power-lines and trees down. Structures
            damaged. Possible Tor. Time based on radar
            estimate. 2955 HWY F area.

&&

TEO

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
725 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0338 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 E Exeter              36.68N 93.91W
05/26/2024                   Barry              MO   Law Enforcement

            power poles and trees down west of Cassville
            and Butterfield in Barry County. Time based
            on radar estimate.

&&

TEO

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
726 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0338 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Butterfield             36.75N 93.90W
05/26/2024                   Barry              MO   Law Enforcement

            power poles and trees down in Butterfield in
            Barry County. Time based on radar estimate.

&&

TEO

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Springfield MO
751 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0744 AM     Flash Flood      1 NW Buffalo            37.66N 93.10W
05/26/2024                   Dallas             MO   Public

            Report from mPING, Street/road flooding;
            Street/road closed, Vehicles stranded.

&&

TEO

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
825 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024

MOZ082-097-098-106-261400-
Oregon MO-Howell MO-Texas MO-Shannon MO-
825 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SHANNON...NORTHEASTERN HOWELL...
SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS AND NORTHERN OREGON COUNTIES THROUGH 900 AM CDT...

At 824 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Summersville, or 11 miles northeast of Mountain View, moving east at
40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Current River State Park, Ozark National Scenic Riverways, Echo Bluff
State Park, Mountain View, Winona, Birch Tree, Eminence,
Summersville, Montier, Teresita, Midridge, Wilderness, Arroll, Alley
Spring, Round Spring, West Eminence, Greer, and Pine Crest.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3710 9102 3708 9122 3683 9123 3682 9113
      3669 9112 3693 9191 3742 9151 3741 9117
      3726 9116 3725 9112 3720 9112 3720 9109
      3718 9109 3714 9102
TIME...MOT...LOC 1324Z 285DEG 36KT 3713 9157

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Soria