Flash Flood Warning 59, NWS Blacksburg, VA

129 
WGUS51 KRNK 262216
FFWRNK
VAC021-077-173-185-197-640-270030-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FF.W.0059.000000T0000Z-240927T0030Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
616 PM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

The National Weather Service in Blacksburg has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Southwestern Bland County in southwestern Virginia...
  Grayson County in southwestern Virginia...
  Smyth County in southwestern Virginia...
  Tazewell County in southwestern Virginia...
  Western Wythe County in southwestern Virginia...
  The City of Galax in southwestern Virginia...

* Until 830 PM EDT.

* At 616 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing 
  heavy rain across the warned area. Between 3 and 5 inches of rain 
  have fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 0.75 to 1.5 inches in 1 
  hour. Additional rainfall amounts of 1.5 to 3 inches are possible 
  in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin 
  shortly.

  HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms
           producing flash flooding.

  SOURCE...Radar.

  IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams,
           urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Wytheville...                      Galax...
  Marion...                          Richlands...
  Bluefield...                       Tazewell...
  Saltville...

This includes the following streams and drainages...
  Beaverdam Creek, Big Creek, Beaver Creek, Big Horse Creek, Blue 
  Spring Creek, Bear Branch, Beech Fork and Bluestone River.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.

When it is safe to do so, please send your reports of flooding, 
including mudslides or flooded roads, to the National Weather 
Service by calling toll free at 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. Reports 
and pictures can also be shared on the National Weather Service 
Blacksburg Facebook page and on Twitter.

&&

LAT...LON 3715 8190 3724 8173 3720 8168 3721 8155
      3734 8136 3723 8123 3722 8126 3682 8097
      3681 8104 3680 8103 3667 8093 3669 8088
      3665 8091 3656 8084 3659 8167 3664 8161
      3693 8183 3696 8178

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
EXPECTED RAINFALL RATE...0.75-1.5 INCHES IN 1 HOUR

$$

AS

315 
WGUS71 KRNK 270017
FFSRNK

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
817 PM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

VAC021-077-173-185-197-640-270030-
/O.CON.KRNK.FF.W.0059.000000T0000Z-240927T0030Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Bland VA-Grayson VA-Smyth VA-Tazewell VA-Wythe VA-City of Galax
VA-
817 PM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM EDT THIS 
EVENING FOR SOUTHWESTERN BLAND, GRAYSON, SMYTH, TAZEWELL AND WESTERN 
WYTHE COUNTIES AND THE CITY OF GALAX...

At 817 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy 
rain across the warned area. Between 3 and 5 inches of rain have 
fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 0.75 to 1.5 inches in 1 hour. 
Additional rainfall amounts of 2 to 3 inches are possible in the 
warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly, 
and there are reports of several road closures due to flooding.

HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing
         flash flooding.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams,
         urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Wytheville...                      Galax...
Marion...                          Richlands...
Bluefield...                       Tazewell...
Saltville...

This includes the following streams and drainages...
  Beaverdam Creek, Big Creek, Beaver Creek, Big Horse Creek, Blue 
  Spring Creek, Bear Branch, Beech Fork and Bluestone River.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

When it is safe to do so, please send your reports of flooding, 
including mudslides or flooded roads, to the National Weather 
Service by calling toll free at 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. Reports 
and pictures can also be shared on the National Weather Service 
Blacksburg Facebook page and on Twitter.

&&

LAT...LON 3715 8190 3724 8173 3720 8168 3721 8155
      3734 8136 3723 8123 3722 8126 3682 8097
      3681 8104 3680 8103 3667 8093 3669 8088
      3665 8091 3656 8084 3659 8167 3664 8161
      3693 8183 3696 8178

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
EXPECTED RAINFALL RATE...0.75-1.5 INCHES IN 1 HOUR

$$

AS

656 
WGUS51 KRNK 270018
FFWRNK
VAC021-077-173-185-197-640-270230-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FF.W.0059.000000T0000Z-240927T0230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
818 PM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

The National Weather Service in Blacksburg has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Southwestern Bland County in southwestern Virginia...
  Grayson County in southwestern Virginia...
  Smyth County in southwestern Virginia...
  Tazewell County in southwestern Virginia...
  Western Wythe County in southwestern Virginia...
  The City of Galax in southwestern Virginia...

* Until 1030 PM EDT.

* At 818 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing 
  heavy rain across the warned area. Between 3 and 5 inches of rain 
  have fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 0.75 to 1.5 inches in 1 
  hour. Additional rainfall amounts of 2 to 3 inches are possible in 
  the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin 
  shortly, and there are reports of road closures due to flooding.

  HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms
           producing flash flooding.

  SOURCE...Radar.

  IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams,
           urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Wytheville...                      Galax...
  Marion...                          Richlands...
  Bluefield...                       Tazewell...
  Saltville...

This includes the following streams and drainages...
  Beaverdam Creek, Big Creek, Beaver Creek, Big Horse Creek, Blue 
  Spring Creek, Bear Branch, Beech Fork and Bluestone River.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

When it is safe to do so, please send your reports of flooding, 
including mudslides or flooded roads, to the National Weather 
Service by calling toll free at 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. Reports 
and pictures can also be shared on the National Weather Service 
Blacksburg Facebook page and on Twitter.

&&

LAT...LON 3715 8190 3724 8173 3720 8168 3721 8155
      3734 8136 3723 8123 3722 8126 3682 8097
      3681 8104 3680 8103 3667 8093 3669 8088
      3665 8091 3656 8084 3659 8167 3664 8161
      3693 8183 3696 8178

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
EXPECTED RAINFALL RATE...0.75-1.5 INCHES IN 1 HOUR

$$

AS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
1145 AM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
Rounds of scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue
across the area through today with the rainfall resulting in
increasingly saturated soils. Then tonight and Friday moderate
to heavy rain around Hurricane Helene will greatly enhance the
threat of flooding in the mountains and foothills. Over the
weekend the remnants of the tropical system will be trapped over
the Tennessee Valley with a lower probability and coverage of
showers.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 1145 AM EDT Thursday...

Key Messages:

1) Flood Watch Expanded

Band of moderate rain over the mountains will continue along the
same axis for the remainder of the day. Flash flood guidance is
exceptionally low across much of the New River basin. Rain will
also fill in along the east side of this band. Therefore the
flood watch has been expanded.

No other changes to the forecast at this time.

Previous Discussion:

An upper level low will wobble in the vicinity of Memphis TN
while an upper level ridge sits off the southeast coast. These
two systems will help guide Hurricane Helene as it enters the
Gulf of Mexico. Hurricane Helene is expected to intensify and
become a major hurricane as it moves over the warm waters of the
eastern Gulf of Mexico today. Helene is expected to move inland
around the Big Bend area of Florida this evening, then turns
northward towards the southern tip of the Appalachian mountains
(NW GA) tonight.

Shortwaves coming around the upper level low will keep the
chance for showers and a few thunderstorms over the area through
this evening. The chances for moderate to heavy rain will be
over the Mountain Empire of SW Virginia, the Grayson Highlands
and NW North Carolina mountains and foothills. This area is
currently under a Flash Flood Watch through this evening. Rain
bands from Helene will enter the current Flash Flood Watch area
and spread across the rest of the area overnight into Friday.
Rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches fell across the area last
night. An additional 1 to 2 inches are possible for most of the
area and another 2 to 6 inches are likely over the current Watch
area tonight into Friday. A new Flood Watch with respects to
Helene's rainfall covering the entire RNK's forecast area is a
good possibility.

Winds from Helene will range between 15 to 30 MPH with gusts as
high as 45 MPH late Thursday night into Friday morning. The
higher end of the range will primarily be across the NW North
Carolina High County, the Grayson Highlands and the Mountains
Empire of SW Virginia between midnight and noon Friday. Even
though winds speeds will not reach advisory criteria, trees
could topple as ground will be saturated.

High temperatures today will range from the mid 60s to lower
70s across the mountains and in the mid to upper 70s over the
foothills and piedmont. Humidities will remain high with a
tropical airmass over the region.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 200 AM EDT Thursday...

Key Messages:

1) Hurricane Helene will quickly weaken and mostly dissipate
Friday night into Saturday.

2) Rain chances significantly decrease for Saturday, but
increase once again on Sunday.

Hurricane Helene will have mostly moved through the area by
Friday night, with only scattered showers remaining over the
region. However, the airmass will still remain tropical, with
dewpoints in the 60s to near 70, especially in the piedmont
locations. Despite this, there is increasing confidence that
PoPs will be significantly lower on Saturday, due to drier air
in the mid-levels. Even some sunshine is expected to return for
parts of Saturday afternoon as cloud cover will lessen. The
remnant low of Helene will continue to meander through the
weekend in the Ohio River Valley, with no significant weather
systems expected to pick the storm up and move it. It will then
slowly begin to drift back to the east and into the Mid-Atlantic
on Sunday, though models differ on how quickly this will occur.
Nonetheless, this track to the east will allow showers to
develop once again on Sunday.

There is moderate confidence that QPF totals for the weekend
will generally be under 0.25" for most of the RNK CWA, according
to the NBM, with isolated areas possibly seeing up to 0.50" in
the heaviest showers. High temperatures on Saturday will be in
the 70s to low 80s, due to the break in cloud cover. Sunday will
see slightly cooler temperatures, as clouds and showers move
back over the region with highs in the 70s. Nighttime lows will
be around 60 degrees both days.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 200 AM EDT Thursday...

Key Messages:

1) Scattered showers persist for the early week as the remnant
low of Helene slowly begins to move east.

2) Drier and quieter weather finally returns for the midweek.

As the remnant low of Helene moves back over our area Sunday
night and Monday, showers will remain in the forecast as the
tropical airmass remains in place. The Ensemble Situational
Awareness Table keeps precipitable water amounts around 1.5
inches through Tuesday night. Because of this, PoPs still remain
modest for both Monday and Tuesday, though there is uncertainty
in the coverage of the rainfall across the CWA. Temperatures
will be around normal, with highs in the mid 70s, with 60s for
the higher elevations. A cold front begins to approach the area
on Tuesday, though confidence remains low on the timing as
models disagree on this. Once the front passes, much drier
conditions will move into the area, with high pressure building
back in place. This will also cause temperatures to fall below
normal, with lows possibly in the 40s across most of the CWA for
Wednesday night.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 140 AM EDT Thursday...

Showers and isolated thunderstorms will continue for locations
along the western slopes (KBLF/KLWB) through 10Z, then light
spotty showers for the rest of the morning. IFR to MVFR ceiling
and visibilities expected through this morning. For the rest of
the area, light spotty showers with MVFR ceilings and
visibilities into this morning.

Another round of rain enters this afternoon, then rain bands
from Hurricane Helene enter the forecast area overnight. IFR to
MVFR ceilings and visibilities this afternoon, becoming LIFR to
IFR tonight.

Light easterly flow through this afternoon, increasing to
10-15kts with gusts up to 25kts across the mountains. Stronger
winds possible over the KTNB area.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...

Widespread moderate to heavy showers and isolated thunderstorms
will cover the mountains and foothills with light rainfall
amounts in the piedmont tonight and Friday. Wind speeds will
increase in the mountains. Gusts of 25 to 40 kts are likely at
the higher elevations. Wind gusts at local TAF sites will remain
at or below 40 knots.

Moderate in flight conditions and diminishing winds are
expected Saturday through Tuesday. A chance of light showers
will continue around the remnants of Helene.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...Flood Watch through Friday evening for VAZ007-009>020-022>024-
     032>035-043>045.
NC...Flood Watch through Friday evening for NCZ001>004-018>020.
WV...Flood Watch through Friday evening for WVZ042>044-507-508.

&&

SYNOPSIS...RCS
NEAR TERM...AMS/RCS
SHORT TERM...JCB
LONG TERM...JCB/RCS
AVIATION...AMS/RCS

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
432 AM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

NCZ003-VAZ007-009>014-016>020-022>024-032>035-WVZ042-044-270845-
Surry-Tazewell-Smyth-Bland-Giles-Wythe-Pulaski-Montgomery-Carroll-
Floyd-Craig-Alleghany VA-Bath-Roanoke-Botetourt-Rockbridge-Patrick-
Franklin-Bedford-Amherst-Mercer-Monroe-
432 AM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina,
central Virginia, south central Virginia, southwest Virginia, west
central Virginia and southeast West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ004-005-020-VAZ043-270845-
Stokes-Rockingham-Yadkin-Henry-
432 AM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina,
northwest North Carolina and south central Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Heavy rain associated with Hurricane Helene could result in isolated
flooding Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ006-VAZ044>047-058-059-WVZ043-507-508-270845-
Caswell-Pittsylvania-Campbell-Appomattox-Buckingham-Halifax-
Charlotte-Summers-Eastern Greenbrier-Western Greenbrier-
432 AM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central North Carolina,
central Virginia, south central Virginia and southeast West
Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Heavy rain associated with Hurricane Helene could result in areas of
flooding Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ001-002-018-019-VAZ015-270845-
Ashe-Alleghany NC-Watauga-Wilkes-Grayson-
432 AM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest North Carolina and
southwest Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

Wind gusts at higher elevations could reach 35 to 45 mph on tonight

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

Wind gusts at higher elevations could reach 35 to 45 mph Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed.

RCS

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
1032 AM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1015 AM     Flash Flood      Adwolf                  36.78N 81.59W
09/26/2024                   Smyth              VA   Emergency Mngr

            Flooding in the Holston Mill section of
            Marion just south of Interstate 81. Water
            level rose up to the foundations of two
            homes in the 400 block of Riverside Road.
            One home was empty while the residents of
            the other home were evacuated.

&&

RAB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
1104 AM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

NCZ019-020-261530-
Yadkin NC-Wilkes NC-
1104 AM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

...GUSTY SHOWERS WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN WILKES AND WESTERN YADKIN
COUNTIES THROUGH 1130 AM EDT...

At 1104 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking gusty showers near Windy
Gap, or 11 miles south of Ronda, moving north at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Jonesville...
Ronda...
Windy Gap...
Buck Shoals...
Pleasant Hill...
Brooks Crossroads...
and Clingman.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Locally heavy rain will quickly reduce visibility and result in
ponding of water on roadways, standing water in low lying areas, and
minor flooding of creeks, streams, and areas of poor drainage.
Drivers are urged to slow down and use extra caution to avoid
hydroplaning.

&&

LAT...LON 3628 8108 3628 8087 3624 8087 3625 8081
      3625 8080 3626 8078 3627 8078 3627 8077
      3626 8075 3605 8079 3606 8098 3604 8104
TIME...MOT...LOC 1504Z 180DEG 16KT 3605 8093

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

AMS

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
1157 AM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1055 AM     Flash Flood      1 SE Sandlick           37.33N 81.21W
09/26/2024                   Mercer             WV   911 Call Center

            The Mercer County 911 Center reported that a
            home was flooded in the 7000 block of New
            Hope Road. At this location both lanes of
            the highway were flooded. The water was
            reported to be more than 6 inches deep.

&&

RAB

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
1214 PM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1130 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     2 E Marion              36.84N 81.46W
09/25/2024                   Smyth              VA   911 Call Center

            The Smyth County 911 Center reported that a
            large tree was down at the intersection of
            Hutton Branch Road and Pierce Road in
            Marion, blocking both lanes of traffic.

&&

RAB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA
1217 PM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

NCZ002-003-019-VAZ015-016-261700-
Surry NC-Wilkes NC-Alleghany NC-Grayson VA-Carroll VA-
1217 PM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT
ALLEGHANY...NORTHWESTERN SURRY AND NORTHEASTERN WILKES COUNTIES IN
NORTHWESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...SOUTHWESTERN CARROLL AND SOUTHEASTERN
GRAYSON COUNTIES IN SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA AND THE SOUTHWESTERN CITY
OF GALAX THROUGH 100 PM EDT...

At 1217 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Roaring Gap, or over Traphill, moving north at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Galax...
Sparta...
Independence...
Traphill...
Ennice...
Roaring Gap...
and Stone Mountain State Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3630 8089 3630 8110 3666 8125 3667 8084
TIME...MOT...LOC 1617Z 172DEG 18KT 3637 8099

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

EB

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
1224 PM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1200 PM     Flash Flood      Atkins                  36.87N 81.42W
09/26/2024                   Smyth              VA   911 Call Center

            The Smyth County 911 Center reported that
            two bridges had collapsed in the 130 block
            of Mulberry Lane in the Atkins area. The
            bridges provided access from the road to a
            couple of homes. Water had also risen to the
            level of the steps at one of the homes.

&&

RAB