Alert archive / Colorado / Red Flag Warnings in 2024

Red Flag Warning 6, NWS Pueblo, CO

February 29, 20245 counties in Colorado

NWS Pueblo, CO issued this red flag warning at Feb 29, 2024, 10:44 AM MST for 5 counties in Colorado. It took effect at Mar 1, 2024, 11:00 AM MST. It was in force for 7 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 29, 2024, 10:44 AM MST (17:44 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 1, 2024, 11:00 AM MST
Expired
Mar 1, 2024, 6:00 PM MST
In force
7 hr
Issued by
NWS Pueblo, CO

Counties El Paso County, CO, Fremont County, CO, Huerfano County, CO, Las Animas County, CO, Pueblo County, CO

The radar

The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 60 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Grand Junction, CO (KGJT), launched 12:00Z, 5.7 hours before the alert went out and 350 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Grand Junction, CO at 12:00Z on 2024-02-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Grand Junction, CO at 12:00Z on 2024-02-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 0 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2446 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
13 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
0 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
25 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

419 
WWUS85 KPUB 291744
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1044 AM MST Thu Feb 29 2024


COZ227>230-010945-
/O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0005.240301T1800Z-240302T0100Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0006.240301T1800Z-240302T0100Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0006.240302T1700Z-240303T0200Z/
Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado
Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo-
Huerfano County Including Walsenburg-
Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher-
1044 AM MST Thu Feb 29 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 6 PM MST FRIDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 227,
228, 229, AND 230...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 227, 228, 229, AND 230...

The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Red Flag
Warning for gusty winds and low relative humidity, which is in
effect from 11 AM to 6 PM MST Friday. The Fire Weather Watch is
no longer in effect.

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 227, 228, 229 and 230.

* Winds...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 9 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

COZ222-010945-
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0006.240301T1800Z-240302T0100Z/
Fremont County Including Canon City/Howard/Texas Creek-
1044 AM MST Thu Feb 29 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 6 PM MST FRIDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 222...

The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Red Flag
Warning for gusty winds and low relative humidity, which is in
effect from 11 AM to 6 PM MST Friday.

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zone 222.

* Winds...West 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 13 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

COZ226-231>237-010945-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0006.240302T1700Z-240303T0200Z/
Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest-
Crowley County Including Ordway-
Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands-
Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon-
Kiowa County Including Eads-Bent County Including Las Animas-
Prowers County Including Lamar-
Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands-
1044 AM MST Thu Feb 29 2024

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 226, 231, 232, 233, 234, 235,
236, AND 237...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 226, 231, 232, 233, 234, 
  235, 236 and 237.

* Winds...Southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 8 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$
3 follow-up statements
856 
WWUS85 KPUB 292140
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
240 PM MST Thu Feb 29 2024


COZ222-011400-
/O.EXA.KPUB.FW.A.0006.240302T1700Z-240303T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0006.240301T1800Z-240302T0100Z/
Fremont County Including Canon City/Howard/Texas Creek-
240 PM MST Thu Feb 29 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 6 PM MST
FRIDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONE 222...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 222...

The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Fire Weather
Watch for gusty winds and low relative humidity, which is in
effect from Saturday morning through Saturday evening.

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zone 222.

* Winds...West 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 13 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

COZ227>230-011400-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0006.240301T1800Z-240302T0100Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0006.240302T1700Z-240303T0200Z/
Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado
Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo-
Huerfano County Including Walsenburg-
Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher-
240 PM MST Thu Feb 29 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 6 PM MST
FRIDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 227, 228, 229, AND 230...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 227, 228, 229, AND 230...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 227, 228, 229 and 230.

* Winds...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 10 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

COZ226-231>237-011400-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0006.240302T1700Z-240303T0200Z/
Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest-
Crowley County Including Ordway-
Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands-
Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon-
Kiowa County Including Eads-Bent County Including Las Animas-
Prowers County Including Lamar-
Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands-
240 PM MST Thu Feb 29 2024

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 226, 231, 232, 233, 234, 235,
236, AND 237...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 226, 231, 232, 233, 234, 
  235, 236 and 237.

* Winds...Southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 8 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$
860 
WWUS85 KPUB 011038
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
338 AM MST Fri Mar 1 2024

COZ230-020245-
/O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0006.240302T1700Z-240303T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0007.240302T1700Z-240303T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.A.0007.240303T1700Z-240304T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0006.240301T1800Z-240302T0100Z/
Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher-
338 AM MST Fri Mar 1 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
6 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 230...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM MST SATURDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 230...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONE 230...

The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Red Flag
Warning for gusty winds and low relative humidity, which is in
effect from 10 AM to 7 PM MST Saturday. A new Fire Weather Watch 
has also been issued. This Fire Weather Watch for gusty winds and 
low relative humidity is in effect from Sunday morning through 
Sunday evening. 

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zone 230.

* Winds...Southwest 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 70 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 10 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

COZ222-227>229-020245-
/O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0006.240302T1700Z-240303T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0007.240302T1700Z-240303T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0006.240301T1800Z-240302T0100Z/
Fremont County Including Canon City/Howard/Texas Creek-
Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado
Springs-Pueblo County Including Pueblo-
Huerfano County Including Walsenburg-
338 AM MST Fri Mar 1 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
6 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222, 227, 228, AND 229...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM MST SATURDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222,
227, 228, AND 229...

The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Red Flag
Warning for gusty winds and low relative humidity, which is in
effect from 10 AM to 7 PM MST Saturday. 

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 222, 227, 228 and 229.

* Winds...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 11 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

COZ233-237-020245-
/O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0006.240302T1700Z-240303T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0007.240302T1700Z-240303T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.A.0007.240303T1700Z-240304T0200Z/
Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon-
Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands-
338 AM MST Fri Mar 1 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM MST SATURDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
233 AND 237...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 233 AND 237...

The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Red Flag
Warning for gusty winds and low relative humidity, which is in
effect from 10 AM to 7 PM MST Saturday. A Fire Weather Watch has
also been issued. This Fire Weather Watch for gusty winds and low
relative humidity is in effect from Sunday morning through Sunday
evening. 

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 233 and 237.

* Winds...Southwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 7 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

COZ226-231-232-234>236-020245-
/O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0006.240302T1700Z-240303T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0007.240302T1700Z-240303T0200Z/
Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest-
Crowley County Including Ordway-
Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands-
Kiowa County Including Eads-Bent County Including Las Animas-
Prowers County Including Lamar-
338 AM MST Fri Mar 1 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM MST SATURDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 226,
231, 232, 234, 235, AND 236...

The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Red Flag
Warning for gusty winds and low relative humidity, which is in
effect from 10 AM to 7 PM MST Saturday. 

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 226, 231, 232, 234, 235 and 
  236.

* Winds...Southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 9 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$
055 
WWUS85 KPUB 012148
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
248 PM MST Fri Mar 1 2024


COZ228-229-021400-
/O.EXA.KPUB.FW.A.0007.240303T1700Z-240304T0200Z/
/O.EXT.KPUB.FW.W.0007.240302T1700Z-240303T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0006.000000T0000Z-240302T0100Z/
Pueblo County Including Pueblo-
Huerfano County Including Walsenburg-
248 PM MST Fri Mar 1 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MST THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
228 AND 229...
...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MST SATURDAY
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
228 AND 229...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 228 AND 229...

The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Fire Weather
Watch for gusty winds and low relative humidity, which is in
effect from Sunday morning through Sunday evening.

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 228 and 229.

* Winds...On Saturday, southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50
  mph. On Sunday, southwest 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 70 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 10 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

COZ230-021400-
/O.EXT.KPUB.FW.W.0007.240302T1700Z-240303T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0006.000000T0000Z-240302T0100Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0007.240303T1700Z-240304T0200Z/
Western Las Animas County Including Trinidad and Thatcher-
248 PM MST Fri Mar 1 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MST THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE
230...
...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MST SATURDAY
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE
230...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 230...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zone 230.

* Winds...On Saturday, southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 
  mph. On Sunday, southwest 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 70 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 9 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

COZ222-227-021400-
/O.EXT.KPUB.FW.W.0007.240302T1700Z-240303T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0006.000000T0000Z-240302T0100Z/
Fremont County Including Canon City/Howard/Texas Creek-
Southern El Paso County Including Fort Carson and Colorado
Springs-
248 PM MST Fri Mar 1 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MST THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
222 AND 227...
...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MST SATURDAY
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
222 AND 227...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 222 and 227.

* Winds...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 11 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

COZ232-235-236-021400-
/O.EXA.KPUB.FW.A.0007.240303T1700Z-240304T0200Z/
/O.EXT.KPUB.FW.W.0007.240302T1700Z-240303T0300Z/
Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands-
Bent County Including Las Animas-Prowers County Including Lamar-
248 PM MST Fri Mar 1 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MST SATURDAY
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
232, 235, AND 236...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 232, 235, AND 236...

The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Fire Weather
Watch for gusty winds and low relative humidity, which is in
effect from Sunday morning through Sunday evening.

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 232, 235 and 236.

* Winds...On Saturday, southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40
  mph. On Sunday, southwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 8 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

COZ233-237-021400-
/O.EXT.KPUB.FW.W.0007.240302T1700Z-240303T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0007.240303T1700Z-240304T0200Z/
Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon-
Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands-
248 PM MST Fri Mar 1 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MST SATURDAY
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
233 AND 237...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 233 AND 237...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 233 and 237.

* Winds...On Saturday, southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45
  mph. On Sunday, southwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 7 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

COZ226-231-234-021400-
/O.EXT.KPUB.FW.W.0007.240302T1700Z-240303T0300Z/
Northern El Paso County Including Monument and Black Forest-
Crowley County Including Ordway-Kiowa County Including Eads-
248 PM MST Fri Mar 1 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MST SATURDAY
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
226, 231, AND 234...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 226, 231 and 234.

* Winds...Southwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 10 percent.

* Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire 
  growth and spread.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Feb 29, 10:43 AM MST, 1 minute earlier. Its key messages:

  • Warm and sunny today, with near normal temperatures and mostly light winds.
  • Increasing winds and fire weather conditions Friday through Sunday. Winds on Sunday could be damaging.
  • Snow returns to the Continental Divide for the weekend.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 29, 10:43 AM MST, 1 minute before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1043 AM MST Thu Feb 29 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Warm and sunny today, with near normal temperatures and mostly
  light winds.

- Increasing winds and fire weather conditions Friday through
  Sunday.  Winds on Sunday could be damaging.

- Snow returns to the Continental Divide for the weekend.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1040 AM MST Thu Feb 29 2024

Went ahead and upgraded the Fire Weather Watch for portions of
the plains tomorrow to a Red Flag Warning. It certainly looks
like those areas that are prone to strong gap winds will hit
critical fire weather conditions. Added Fremont County, Fire
Weather Zone 222, to the highlight since latest fuels info
suggests fuels there, especially along the valley floor, will be
able to carry fire. Moore

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Issued at 340 AM MST Thu Feb
29 2024

Currently..

Satellite imagery depicts mostly dry air over our forecast area,
with a wave moving well to our south across New Mexico and Texas.
Some mid and upper-level clouds and gusty winds associated with this
feature are beginning to effect our far southern plains. Springfield
and Trinidad are both gusting around 25 mph out of the south this
hour, which is helping to keep their temperatures in the mid 30s so
far. Mostly seeing calm winds elsewhere this morning, with
temperatures in the 20s across the rest of our plains.

Today and Tonight..

Models continue to drag a wave south of our border today, bringing
it into the TX/OK panhandle region by this afternoon. This will keep
gusty southerly winds over our southeastern plains through the rest
of this afternoon, though relative humidity values are expected to
be high enough over Baca and eastern Las Animas counties (where
winds will be gusty) that we likely won't see any critical fire
weather conditions there this afternoon. As westerly flow increases
elsewhere, gap flow winds could lead to brief and very spotty
critical fire weather conditions over western Pueblo county and
Huerfano county later this afternoon. Downsloping winds will also
help us to warm to around 5 to 10 degrees above normal for daytime
highs under mostly sunny skies, with temperatures climbing well into
60s over much of our plains, and 50s for mountain valleys. Westerly
flow continues to increase overnight ahead of our next approaching
system, which will likely lead to 30-40mph wind gusts over our
central mountains, and very warm overnight lows for the banana belt
region.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 340 AM MST
Thu Feb 29 2024

Strong winds and high fire danger still look good across the
Plains over the weekend. The main forecast change is a slowing
of the upper system and the arrival of a cold front Sunday
evening, which will have impacts on how widespread the fire
weather conditions will be. Beyond Sunday, a high degree of
uncertainty exists between the wet GFS and the dry ECMWF.

Friday through Sunday...a broad longwave trough across the
western conus will shift east slowly through Sunday. The main
model trend has been a slowing of the upper feature by about 12
hours, with snow holding off a bit longer along the Continental
Divide, and more widespread fire weather concerns on Sunday.

Hoisted a Fire Weather Watch for Friday afternoon along much of
the I-25 corridor due to expected gusty winds and low humidity
values. Gap prone areas will be most susceptible to gusty winds
and very low humidity values. Temperatures on Friday will warm
nicely, with 60s and 70s across the Plains, and 50s over the San
Luis Valley. Given the slower timing of the upper system, kept
Friday and Friday night dry along the Continental Divide.

By Saturday, the upper jet will begin to spread across the
region, with strong, gusty winds spreading across the Plains.
Humidity values will be low, and have issued a Fire Weather
Watch due to the low humidity values and increasingly strong
winds for all our Plains. Areas of blowing dust may also be
possible, as winds gust in excess of 45 mph through the
afternoon. Isolated to scattered snow showers will move into the
Continental Divide by the afternoon, with minor accumulations
by sunset. Temperatures will remain warm across the region with
60s and 70s for highs.

Winds will continue to increase Saturday night into Sunday.
Ridgetop winds could be quite strong overnight, with gusts in
excess of 60 mph likely. We will continue to monitor the need
for high wind highlights as we near Saturday night. Winds will
likely remain breezy on the Plains overnight as well. Humidity
values look to recover into the 20 to 30 percent range, but
there could be a few areas that see Red Flag conditions through
the overnight hours. This will also need to be monitored. Snow
will increase along the Continental Divide Saturday night, with
periods of heavy snow by morning, especially for westerly
upslope areas.

The strongest winds look to occur on Sunday, as the main trough
axis swings by to the north. Models have delayed the arrival of
a surface cold front until Sunday night. This means that
damaging winds and high fire danger will be likely across all of
the Plains from Sunday morning through the afternoon. If the
front arrives a bit earlier, it may limit our northern zones
fire weather concerns, but at this time, the front arrival looks
after 8 PM. This frontal timing is subject to change. Ahead of
this front, very strong winds are expected from Sunday morning
through the front arrival. Gusts in excess of 60 mph are not out
of the question. Humidity values will be under 10 percent with
dangerous fire weather conditions. Snow will continue along the
Continental Divide.

The upper trough will eject northeast into the northern Plains
Sunday evening sending a cold front south across the Plains.
Westerly flow will turn northerly, with winds weakening behind
the front. Given the more northerly storm track, any
precipitation looks to remain confined to the Palmer Divide
Sunday night into Monday morning. Snow will come to an end along
the Continental Divide Sunday night. Overall, snowfall
accumulations of 6 to 10 inches are likely along the
Continental Divide with locally higher amounts on west facing
slopes. There could be a brief dusting of snow for areas over
the Palmer Divide.

Monday through Thursday...models a bit all over the place with
the pattern into next week. The GFS develops a couple of
shortwave troughs that progress across the region along with
more persistent upslope flow on the Plains. This would lead to
precipitation chances for the Plains early next week. The ECMWF
keeps persistent southwesterly flow across the region, with
periods of light snowfall along the Continental Divide, but dry
conditions on the Plains. The NBM guidance is similar to the
ECMWF, with drier conditions on the Plains. But the NBM
guidance does have low pops for mid week on the Plains. Overall,
temperatures look steady, with 40s and 50s early next week.
Mozley

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 1022 AM MST Thu Feb 29 2024

VFR conditions expected across the forecast area over the next
24 hrs, including the three main TAF sites of KCOS, KPUB and
KALS. Increasing westerly flow aloft forecast from approx 10z
onward, and mentioned wind shear for KCOS and KPUB. Otherwise,
increasing westerly surface winds expected along the I-25
Corridor beginning around 17z Fri.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Red Flag Warning from 11 AM to 6 PM MST Friday for COZ222-
227>230.
Fire Weather Watch from Saturday morning through Saturday
evening for COZ226>237.

&&

UPDATE...MOORE
SHORT TERM...EHR
LONG TERM...MOZLEY
AVIATION...MOORE
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 29, 4:28 AM MST, 6 hours 16 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
428 AM MST Thu Feb 29 2024

COZ058>089-093>099-011130-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
428 AM MST Thu Feb 29 2024

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Strong winds and high fire danger will spread across the region
beginning Friday, and increasing in coverage and intensity
through Sunday afternoon. Fire Weather Watches are in place for
the Interstate 25 corridor on Friday, and across all of the Plains
for Saturday due to gusty winds and low humidity values. Damaging
wind gusts will be possible on Sunday, with gusts in excess of 60
mph. Extreme fire weather conditions are expected on Sunday
across the Plains.

Snow will spread into the Continental Divide Saturday afternoon
and continue through Sunday night. Snow accumulations of 6 to 10
inches are possible along the Continental Divide, with locally
higher amounts possible on west facing slopes. A light dusting of
snow may be possible by Monday morning over the Palmer Divide.

Periods of light snow will continue along the Continental Divide
early next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters will not be needed today or tonight.

EHR/88

The office that day

Everything else NWS Pueblo, CO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 29, 3:46 AM MSTFire Weather WatchPUBEl Paso, Huerfano, Las Animas, Pueblo7 hr
Feb 29, 3:46 AM MSTFire Weather WatchPUBBaca, Bent, Crowley, El Paso, Fremont, Huerfano and 5 more24 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Colorado, 2024Every red flag warning in 2024

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.