Alert archive / Colorado / Red Flag Warnings in 2024
Red Flag Warning 37, NWS Pueblo, CO
NWS Pueblo, CO issued this red flag warning at May 7, 2024, 3:51 AM MDT for 7 counties in Colorado. It took effect at May 8, 2024, 11:00 AM MDT. It was in force for 8 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- May 7, 2024, 3:51 AM MDT (09:51 UTC)
- In effect from
- May 8, 2024, 11:00 AM MDT
- Expired
- May 8, 2024, 7:00 PM MDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Pueblo, CO
Counties Alamosa County, CO, Conejos County, CO, Costilla County, CO, Las Animas County, CO, Otero County, CO, Rio Grande County, CO, Saguache County, CO
The radar
The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 146 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM (KABQ), launched 00:00Z, 9.9 hours before the alert went out and 299 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 4271 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 94 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 80 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 65 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
504 WWUS85 KPUB 070951 RFWPUB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Pueblo CO 351 AM MDT Tue May 7 2024 COZ224-080200- /O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0034.240508T1700Z-240509T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0037.240508T1700Z-240509T0300Z/ /O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0036.240507T1500Z-240508T0400Z/ San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache- 351 AM MDT Tue May 7 2024 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 224... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 224... The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Red Flag Warning for gusty winds and low relative humidity, which is in effect from 11 AM to 9 PM MDT Wednesday. The Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect. * Affected Area...Fire Weather Zone 224. * Winds...West 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 65 mph. * Relative Humidity...As low as 11 percent. * Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire growth and spread. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ COZ222-080200- /O.EXA.KPUB.FW.W.0036.240507T1500Z-240508T0400Z/ Fremont County Including Canon City/Howard/Texas Creek- 351 AM MDT Tue May 7 2024 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 222... The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Red Flag Warning for gusty winds and low relative humidity, which is in effect from 9 AM this morning to 10 PM MDT this evening. * Affected Area...Fire Weather Zone 222. * Winds...West 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 65 mph. * Relative Humidity...As low as 13 percent. * Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire growth and spread. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ COZ225-232-233-080200- /O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0036.240507T1500Z-240508T0400Z/ /O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0034.240508T1700Z-240509T0300Z/ Southern Front Range Including Sangre De Cristo Mountains/Wet Mountains/La Veta Pass- Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands- Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon- 351 AM MDT Tue May 7 2024 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 225, 232, AND 233... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 225, 232, AND 233... * Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 225, 232 and 233. * Winds...West 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 70 mph. * Relative Humidity...As low as 8 percent. * Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire growth and spread. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$ COZ237-080200- /O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0036.240507T1500Z-240508T0400Z/ Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands- 351 AM MDT Tue May 7 2024 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 237... * Affected Area...Fire Weather Zone 237. * Winds...West 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. * Relative Humidity...As low as 8 percent. * Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire growth and spread. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$
6 follow-up statements
743 WWUS85 KPUB 071634 RFWPUB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Pueblo CO Issued by National Weather Service Riverton WY 1034 AM MDT Tue May 7 2024 COZ224-080845- /O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0036.000000T0000Z-240508T0400Z/ /O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0037.240508T1700Z-240509T0300Z/ San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache- 1034 AM MDT Tue May 7 2024 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 224... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 224... The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Red Flag Warning for gusty winds and low relative humidity, which is in effect until 9 PM MDT Wednesday. * Affected Area...Fire Weather Zone 224. * Winds...West 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 65 mph. * Relative Humidity...As low as 11 percent. * Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire growth and spread. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ COZ225-232-233-080845- /O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0036.000000T0000Z-240508T0400Z/ /O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0034.240508T1700Z-240509T0300Z/ Southern Front Range Including Sangre De Cristo Mountains/Wet Mountains/La Veta Pass- Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands- Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon- 1034 AM MDT Tue May 7 2024 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 225, 232, AND 233... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 225, 232, AND 233... * Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 225, 232 and 233. * Winds...West 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 70 mph. * Relative Humidity...As low as 8 percent. * Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire growth and spread. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible Red Flag Warnings. && $$ COZ222-237-080400- /O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0036.000000T0000Z-240508T0400Z/ Fremont County Including Canon City/Howard/Texas Creek- Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands- 1034 AM MDT Tue May 7 2024 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222 AND 237... The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Red Flag Warning for gusty winds and low relative humidity, which is in effect until 10 PM MDT this evening. * Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 222 and 237. * Winds...West 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph. * Relative Humidity...As low as 8 percent. * Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire growth and spread. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ McDonald
101 WWUS85 KPUB 080101 RFWPUB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Pueblo CO 701 PM MDT Tue May 7 2024 COZ225-080400- /O.CAN.KPUB.FW.A.0034.240508T1700Z-240509T0300Z/ /O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0036.000000T0000Z-240508T0400Z/ Southern Front Range Including Sangre De Cristo Mountains/Wet Mountains/La Veta Pass- 701 PM MDT Tue May 7 2024 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 225... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS CANCELLED FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 225... The National Weather Service in Pueblo has cancelled the Fire Weather Watch. * Affected Area...Fire Weather Zone 225. * Winds...West 20 to 30 mph gusting up to 40 mph this evening. * Relative Humidity...As low as 8 percent. * Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire growth and spread. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ COZ232-233-081715- /O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0034.240508T1700Z-240509T0300Z/ /O.EXB.KPUB.FW.W.0037.240508T1700Z-240509T0100Z/ /O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0036.000000T0000Z-240508T0400Z/ Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands- Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon- 701 PM MDT Tue May 7 2024 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 232 AND 233... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 232 AND 233... The National Weather Service in Pueblo has issued a Red Flag Warning for gusty winds and low relative humidity, which is in effect from 11 AM to 7 PM MDT Wednesday. The Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect. * Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 232 and 233. * Winds...Northwest 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph this evening then west 15 to 30 mph on Wednesday. * Relative Humidity...As low as 7 percent. * Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire growth and spread. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ COZ224-081715- /O.EXT.KPUB.FW.W.0037.240508T1700Z-240509T0100Z/ /O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0036.000000T0000Z-240508T0400Z/ San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache- 701 PM MDT Tue May 7 2024 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 224... ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 224... * Affected Area...Fire Weather Zone 224. * Winds...Northwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph this evening, then west 15 to 30 mph on Wednesday. * Relative Humidity...As low as 9 percent. * Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire growth and spread. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ COZ222-237-080400- /O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0036.000000T0000Z-240508T0400Z/ Fremont County Including Canon City/Howard/Texas Creek- Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands- 701 PM MDT Tue May 7 2024 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222 AND 237... * Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 222 and 237. * Winds...Northwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph through this evening. * Relative Humidity...As low as 5 percent. * Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire growth and spread. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$
239 WWUS85 KPUB 080324 RFWPUB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Pueblo CO 924 PM MDT Tue May 7 2024 COZ224-232-233-081930- /O.CAN.KPUB.FW.W.0036.000000T0000Z-240508T0400Z/ /O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0037.240508T1700Z-240509T0100Z/ San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache- Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands- Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon- 924 PM MDT Tue May 7 2024 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 224, 232, AND 233... ...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 224, 232, AND 233... The National Weather Service in Pueblo has cancelled the Red Flag Warning. * Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 224, 232 and 233. * Winds...Northwest 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. * Relative Humidity...As low as 6 percent. * Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire growth and spread. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$ COZ222-225-237-080430- /O.CAN.KPUB.FW.W.0036.000000T0000Z-240508T0400Z/ Fremont County Including Canon City/Howard/Texas Creek- Southern Front Range Including Sangre De Cristo Mountains/Wet Mountains/La Veta Pass- Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands- 924 PM MDT Tue May 7 2024 ...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222, 225, AND 237... The National Weather Service in Pueblo has cancelled the Red Flag Warning. Winds have diminished and humidity values have increased above the critical 15 percent threshold. Therefore the Red Flag Warning has been cancelled. $$
736 WWUS85 KPUB 080952 RFWPUB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Pueblo CO 352 AM MDT Wed May 8 2024 COZ224-232-233-090100- /O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0037.240508T1700Z-240509T0100Z/ San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache- Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands- Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon- 352 AM MDT Wed May 8 2024 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 224, 232, AND 233... * Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 224, 232 and 233. * Winds...Northwest 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. * Relative Humidity...As low as 9 percent. * Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire growth and spread. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$
831 WWUS85 KPUB 082040 RFWPUB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Pueblo CO 240 PM MDT Wed May 8 2024 COZ224-232-233-090100- /O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0037.000000T0000Z-240509T0100Z/ San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache- Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands- Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon- 240 PM MDT Wed May 8 2024 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 224, 232, AND 233... * Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 224, 232 and 233. * Winds...Northwest 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. * Relative Humidity...As low as 9 percent. * Impacts...Conditions will be favorable for rapid rates of fire growth and spread. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior. && $$
329 WWUS85 KPUB 090048 RFWPUB URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Pueblo CO 648 PM MDT Wed May 8 2024 COZ224-232-233-090200- /O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0037.000000T0000Z-240509T0100Z/ San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache- Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands- Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon- 648 PM MDT Wed May 8 2024 ...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 224, 232, AND 233... As wind start to ease, and humidity levels rise, critical fire weather conditions are no longer anticipated across the area. Therefore, the Red Flag Warning will be allowed to expire at 7 PM. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at May 6, 11:26 PM MDT, 4 hours 25 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- Strong and gusty winds will continue to weaken slightly going into the evening hours, but then increase tomorrow morning and could reach to near High Wind Warning criteria for some locations.
- Critical fire weather conditions will continue into the early evening hours for the San Luis Valley and portions of the plains. These conditions are expected to return again tomorrow afternoon and possibly Wednesday.
- A few showers, and high elevation snow showers, will be possible over locations mainly north of Highway 50.
- Temperatures at or just below freezing are possible across El Paso county Tuesday night.
- Cooler and wetter weather is expected by the end of the week into the weekend, along with the possibility for accumulating snow across the higher terrain.
Area forecast discussion, May 6, 11:26 PM MDT, 4 hours 25 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pueblo CO 1126 PM MDT Mon May 6 2024 .KEY MESSAGES... - Strong and gusty winds will continue to weaken slightly going into the evening hours, but then increase tomorrow morning and could reach to near High Wind Warning criteria for some locations. - Critical fire weather conditions will continue into the early evening hours for the San Luis Valley and portions of the plains. These conditions are expected to return again tomorrow afternoon and possibly Wednesday. - A few showers, and high elevation snow showers, will be possible over locations mainly north of Highway 50. - Temperatures at or just below freezing are possible across El Paso county Tuesday night. - Cooler and wetter weather is expected by the end of the week into the weekend, along with the possibility for accumulating snow across the higher terrain. && .UPDATE... Issued at 1013 PM MDT Mon May 6 2024 With increasing humidity values and overall decreasing winds, critical fire weather conditions are no longer expected for this evening. Given this, the Red Flag Warning for today has been allowed to expire. && .SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/... Issued at 239 PM MDT Mon May 6 2024 Currently and through tonight... Very strong and gusty winds due to a post-frontal density current and deep mixing will continue to slightly weaken going into the evening hours for most areas as winds begin to decouple, although likely remaining quite strong across the highest elevations due to stronger winds aloft. There Critical fire weather conditions currently for the San Luis Valley, and portions of the plains where fuels are still critical, should subside by early this evening as winds begin to decouple and RH values recover above the 15 percent threshold. There could still be some areas reaching close to High Wind Warning criteria for the next couple of hours, although not expecting to this to persist and be widespread. There could still be some areas of blowing dust through the early evening hours, mainly over the eastern plains. A few showers will continue to be possible for the central mountains, although these should be light and brief, with little in the way of additional accumulations expected. Although, there could still be some temporarily reduce visibilities, especially through the passes, due to blowing snow. Low temps will be quite modified and not as cold for lower elevations, due to mixing, yet they will be cooler than the previous night because of colder air advection in Tomorrow... Stronger winds are going to return by early tomorrow morning, shortly after sunrise when winds begin to mix down from the 700 mb level. Confidence is still lacking with there being widespread areas of High Wind Warning criteria, given that x-sections show only forward shear as being the driving force, and little in the way of any mountain wave action. The only way this is likely to be achieved is if there is a sufficient amount of deep layer mixing and 700 mb winds which are forecast to exceed 50 kts, makes it down to the surface. Higher terrain is also questionable, as most locations remain right on the cusp of High Wind Warning criteria. Nevertheless, severe crosswinds are still possible, especially over portions of the southern I-25 corridor. For this reason, I have issued a High Wind Warning for tomorrow, which covers all of the areas most vulnerable to the potential for high wind criteria occurrence. There could also be some areas of blowing dust, especially shortly after sunrise when soils are initially lifted. There will be some snow showers with blowing snow over the central mountains, with additional snow amounts of a few inches possible, especially for the western facing slopes of the northern Sawatch and Mosquito ranges. There could be some temporary reduced visibilities due to blowing snow, especially for the Cottonwood and Fremont passes. In addition, to the strong winds, there will be low RH values for the San Luis Valley (SLV) and plains. Due to this, critical fire weather conditions are expected for the SLV, as well as portions of the plains where fuels are still critical. -Stewey && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/... Issued at 239 PM MDT Mon May 6 2024 Large upper low situated across the central CONUS will continue to influence the weather across the area during the mid week time frame. Trough and jet axis do begin to dip south Tuesday night into Wednesday, helping to end any snow development across the central mountains and also providing a diminishing trend with the winds. With this diminishing trend along with a cooler air mass filtering in, will see temperatures fall into the 30s across the plains. Temperatures do look to drop to or just below freezing across El Paso county and with higher confidence in place, have opted to issue a Freeze Watch. Elsewhere across the plains, temps should stay above freezing, and where winds really drop off, frost could develop. Will keep an eye on trends and the possible need for additional freeze/frost headlines. While winds will not be as strong on Wednesday, they will still be gusty in some locations. These winds along with high temperatures in the 50s and 60s and RH values in the 10 to 15 percent range, will see another day of high fire danger. The current Fire Weather Watch on Wednesday for the San Luis Valley, southeast mountains, and portions of the plains still looks to be on track at this time. By late Wednesday into Thursday, will likely see another low take shape across the region, which will then slowly meander back west/southwest through the end of the work week. This system will bring some complexity to the forecast, especially into the start of the weekend, with some lower confidence on exact trends. That being said, cooler temperatures with increasing precip chances will be the main trend during this time. At this time, highest precip chances will be over the mountains, where there are increasing chances for accumulating snow. Once again, do have lower confidence in place, but will need to monitor the potential for some impacts across the higher terrain along with the need for possible winter weather headlines. Other locations over the lower terrain, mainly along and west of I-25, will likely see periods of rain showers along with a few thunderstorms. For the remainder of the weekend into early next week, should see this upper low slowly shift to the south with precip chances lowering and temperatures warming. It's quite possible that it takes a slower track and if so, will see continued precip chances and cooler temperatures for southern Colorado. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/... Issued at 1124 PM MDT Mon May 6 2024 VFR conditions are expected at KALS, KCOS, and KPUB through 24 hours. Strong west winds will persist across the area, with some LLWS possible at KALS and KCOS through 09Z. Winds overnight will stay around 15-20 knots, with gusts to 30 knots setting in around 12Z. By 18Z, winds will increase, hitting their maximums during the mid-afternoon hours. All three TAF sites will approach 45-50 knots for several hours, staying gusty through the end of the period but starting to weaken after 00Z. && .PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Red Flag Warning from 9 AM to 10 PM MDT Tuesday for COZ224-225- 232-233-237. High Wind Watch from 9 AM MDT Tuesday through Tuesday evening for COZ069>075-077>080-083-086>088. Fire Weather Watch from Wednesday morning through Wednesday evening for COZ224-225-232-233. Freeze Watch from late Tuesday night through Wednesday morning for COZ084-085. && UPDATE...SIMCOE SHORT TERM...STEWARD LONG TERM...RODRIGUEZ AVIATION...EHR
Hazardous weather outlook, May 6, 11:42 AM MDT, 16 hours 9 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Pueblo CO 1142 AM MDT Mon May 6 2024 COZ058>089-093>099-071745- Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet- Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet- Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet- Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet- Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet- Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet- Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet- Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet- La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet- Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below 10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet- Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet- Alamosa Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet- Southern San Luis Valley- Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet- Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet- Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet- Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet- Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet- Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet- Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet- Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet- Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet- Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between 7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet- Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County- Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below 7500 Feet- Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet- Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet- Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet- Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County- Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County- Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County- Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County- 1142 AM MDT Mon May 6 2024 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east central...south central and southeast Colorado. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight Critical fire weather conditions will be possible over parts of the region, mainly south of Highway 50. Strong gusty winds and low humidity values will cause favorable conditions for extreme fire behavior if a fire were to start. Please do not burn today. Strong winds will occur across the region today, with the strongest winds of 40 to 70 mph possible. The strongest winds will occur through early afternoon along the mountains plains interface and over the southern I-25 corridor region. Snow will be possible over the central mountains through the afternoon. Additional accumulations of 1 to 3 inches will be possible. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday Strong winds will continue across the region Tuesday and Wednesday. Some of these winds will reach up to 60 mph at times. Critical fire weather conditions will also be possible across a good part of the region. Late this week snow will be possible across the mountains with light to moderate accumulations possible. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Weather conditions that meet reporting criteria for spotters will be possible over portions of the region. STEWARD/RODRIGUEZ
In the hours before
Local storm report, May 7, 12:29 AM MDT, 3 hours 22 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1229 AM MDT Tue May 7 2024
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1210 AM Snow 2 NE Leadville 39.27N 106.27W
05/07/2024 M2.5 Inch Lake CO Trained Spotter
Total for day; SWE .15.
&&
MMThe office that day
Everything else NWS Pueblo, CO issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2:36 AM MDT | High Wind Warning | PUB | Alamosa, Chaffee, Conejos, Costilla, Custer, Fremont and 6 more | 14 hr |
| May 7, 4:18 AM MDT | Freeze Warning | PUB | El Paso | 28 hr |
| May 7, 1:33 PM MDT | Winter Weather Advisory | PUB | Chaffee, Lake, Saguache | 7 hr |
| May 7, 5:47 PM MDT | Frost Advisory | PUB | El Paso | 14 hr |
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in Colorado, 2024Every red flag warning in 2024
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.