Red Flag Warning 28, NWS Pueblo, CO

046 
WWUS85 KPUB 242001
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
201 PM MDT Wed Apr 24 2024


COZ224-251215-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0027.000000T0000Z-240425T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0028.240425T1600Z-240426T0200Z/
San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache-
201 PM MDT Wed Apr 24 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE
224...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MDT
THURSDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONE 224...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zone 224.

* Winds...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 10 percent.

* Impacts...Rapid rates of fire growth and spread will be 
  possible. Please avoid fire starts.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

COZ225-232-233-237-251215-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0028.240425T1600Z-240426T0200Z/
Southern Front Range Including Sangre De Cristo Mountains/Wet
Mountains/La Veta Pass-
Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands-
Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon-
Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands-
201 PM MDT Wed Apr 24 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MDT
THURSDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 225, 232, 233, AND 237...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 225, 232, 233 and 237.

* Winds...Southwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 7 percent.

* Impacts...Rapid rates of fire growth and spread may be 
  possible. Please avoid fire starts.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

731 
WWUS85 KPUB 250135
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
735 PM MDT Wed Apr 24 2024


COZ224-251745-
/O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0027.000000T0000Z-240425T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0028.240425T1600Z-240426T0200Z/
San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache-
735 PM MDT Wed Apr 24 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MDT
THURSDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONE 224...

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 224...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zone 224.

* Winds...Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 10 percent.

* Impacts...Rapid rates of fire growth and spread will be 
  possible. Please avoid fire starts.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

COZ225-232-233-237-251745-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0028.240425T1600Z-240426T0200Z/
Southern Front Range Including Sangre De Cristo Mountains/Wet
Mountains/La Veta Pass-
Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands-
Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon-
Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands-
735 PM MDT Wed Apr 24 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MDT
THURSDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 225, 232, 233, AND 237...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 225, 232, 233 and 237.

* Winds...Southwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 7 percent.

* Impacts...Rapid rates of fire growth and spread may be 
  possible. Please avoid fire starts.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

Hodanish

916 
WWUS85 KPUB 250204
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
804 PM MDT Wed Apr 24 2024

COZ224-225-232-233-237-251815-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0028.240425T1600Z-240426T0200Z/
San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache-
Southern Front Range Including Sangre De Cristo Mountains/Wet
Mountains/La Veta Pass-
Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands-
Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon-
Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands-
804 PM MDT Wed Apr 24 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MDT
THURSDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 224, 225, 232, 233, AND 237...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 224, 225, 232, 233 and 237.

* Winds...Southwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 8 percent.

* Impacts...Rapid rates of fire growth and spread will be 
  possible. Please avoid fire starts.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

622 
WWUS85 KPUB 250920
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
320 AM MDT Thu Apr 25 2024

COZ224-225-232-233-237-260130-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0028.240425T1600Z-240426T0200Z/
San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache-
Southern Front Range Including Sangre De Cristo Mountains/Wet
Mountains/La Veta Pass-
Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands-
Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon-
Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands-
320 AM MDT Thu Apr 25 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 224, 225, 232, 233, 
AND 237...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 224, 225, 232, 233 and 237.

* Winds...Southwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 8 percent.

* Impacts...Rapid rates of fire growth and spread will be 
  possible. Please avoid fire starts.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

451 
WWUS85 KPUB 252023
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
223 PM MDT Thu Apr 25 2024


COZ224-225-232-233-237-260200-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0028.000000T0000Z-240426T0200Z/
San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache-
Southern Front Range Including Sangre De Cristo Mountains/Wet
Mountains/La Veta Pass-
Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands-
Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon-
Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands-
223 PM MDT Thu Apr 25 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
224, 225, 232, 233, AND 237...

* Affected Area...Fire Weather Zones 224, 225, 232, 233 and 237.

* Winds...Southwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 8 percent.

* Impacts...Rapid rates of fire growth and spread will be 
  possible. Please avoid fire starts.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

989 
WWUS85 KPUB 260138
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
738 PM MDT Thu Apr 25 2024

COZ224-225-232-233-237-260245-
/O.EXP.KPUB.FW.W.0028.000000T0000Z-240426T0200Z/
San Luis Valley Including Alamosa/Del Norte/Fort Garland/Saguache-
Southern Front Range Including Sangre De Cristo Mountains/Wet
Mountains/La Veta Pass-
Otero County Including La Junta and Western Comanche Grasslands-
Eastern Las Animas County Including Pinon Canyon-
Baca County Including Springfield and Eastern Comanche Grasslands-
738 PM MDT Thu Apr 25 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 224, 225, 232, 233, AND 237...

Humidity values will continue to increase and winds will gradually
decrease over the region and this will decrease the fire danger
over the region.

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
345 AM MDT Wed Apr 24 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Critical fire weather conditions will return to the San Luis
  Valley this afternoon, with spotty critical conditions over
  southern I-25.

- Winds gusting to 55 mph, potentially higher, and high fire
  danger expected for portions of the area on Thursday, with
  critical fire weather conditions once again possible across
  the plains Friday.

- There is a low risk of strong to severe storms across the
  eastern plains Thursday afternoon.

- Next system to affect the area this weekend will bring
  areawide increases in rain and snow chances.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 339 AM MDT Wed Apr 24 2024

The upper-level ridge will continue to push east and build in
overhead today, leading to warming and drying conditions across
the area. Afternoon high temperatures will be noticeably warmer
than yesterday, with mid-high 70s across our area. Gusty
southwest winds will set in across the higher terrain and the
mountain valleys, leading to another day of critical fire
weather conditions for the San Luis Valley. Afternoon RH values
are expected to drop to around 10 percent, supported by the
downsloping winds off of the terrain. The Red Flag Warning will
remain in effect noon through 8pm. The southern I-25 corridor
will also experience some spotty critical fire weather
conditions this afternoon, mainly around Huerfano County and the
surrounding gap flow areas, though at this time conditions
appear too spotty to warrant expanding the Red Flag.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Issued at 339 AM MDT Wed Apr 24 2024

An upper level low/trough lifting across the region on Thursday
could potentially bring a rather active day, with a number of
hazards possible across southern Colorado. Of most concern and
is still where confidence is highest, is the high fire danger
across southern Colorado. Still not expecting areawide extreme
conditions, but will be rather close across the far southeast
plains. This will especially be for areas south of Highway 50
where RH values are now expected to fall to the single digits
and while west southwest winds gust up to 50-55 mph. There is an
increasing likelihood for a few gusts to around 60 mph Thursday
afternoon, once again, south of Highway 50. In terms of High
Wind Warning criteria, don't anticipate any headlines at this
time given the limited nature and short duration of these higher
gusts. At this point, the forecast of above normal temperatures
will into the 70s and 80s and dew points in the teens seems
reasonable. Did lower dew points in the afternoon but similar to
previous forecasts, am concerned even lower dew points are
possible given the extent of the mixing on this day. Either way,
fire danger will be high on Thursday, and have upgraded the
Fire Weather Watch to a Red Flag Warning this morning.

While snow showers look to provide some minor snowfall over the
Continental Divide, a small window for strong to severe storms
remains possible Thursday afternoon into early evening over the
far eastern plains. This potential will be situated along and
east/northeast of a deepening surface low and where a ribbon of
higher moisture and instability will reside. Latest trends would
suggest that a quickly deepening lee surface low and deep
mixing will assist with pushing the higher moisture/instability
to the east/northeast prior to storm initiation. If this occurs,
think the chances for severe storms will lower. Given some
model variability, don't want to stray too far from previous and
current messaging of the possibility for strong/severe storms,
as I can't completely rule out at least an isolated severe
storm, in a higher CAPE and shear environment, capable of
producing large hail and damaging winds near the Colorado and
Kansas border.

Friday into Saturday look to remain active days, with high fire
danger continuing across the plains Friday and with increases
in precip chances especially Friday night into Saturday. Another
upper level low looks to pivot across the region and while
there is some uncertainty with exact trends/track, model
consensus at this point is for increased chances for mountain
snow and rain over the lower levels. At this time, highest
snowfall amounts are expected across the Continental Divide,
especially the central mountains. Thunderstorms are also
appearing likely, especially as this system looks to wrap
moisture and instability back into the area. Severe weather not
appearing likely on Saturday, but would not be surprised to see
an isolated strong storm or two given steepening lapse rates and
strong ascent in place. Can't completely rule out some snow
over the lower elevations of the Pikes Peak region and Palmer
Divide this weekend and will continue to closely monitor, but at
this time, confidence is low on this snow and potential
impacts. Cyclonic flow with another mid/upper trough look to
swing through on Sunday, with another day of scattered showers
and thunderstorms looking possible. Warmer and drier weather
then look to be in storm early next week into the middle part of
the week.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 339 AM MDT Wed Apr 24 2024

VFR conditions are expected at KALS, KCOS, and KPUB through 24
hours, along with persistent mid-level clouds.

KALS will see some gusty winds this afternoon from the southwest,
around 25 knots. KCOS and KPUB will experience gusts from the
southeast, between 20-25 knots, through about 00Z.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Red Flag Warning from noon today to 8 PM MDT this evening for
COZ224.
Red Flag Warning from 10 AM to 8 PM MDT Thursday for COZ224-
225-232-233-237.

&&

SHORT TERM...GARBEROGLIO
LONG TERM...RODRIGUEZ
AVIATION...GARBEROGLIO

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
408 AM MDT Wed Apr 24 2024

COZ058>089-093>099-251015-
Western Mosquito Range/East Lake County Above 11000 Feet-
Leadville Vicinity/Lake County Below 11000 Feet-
Eastern Sawatch Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Western Chaffee County Between 9000 and 11000 Feet-
Central Chaffee County Below 9000 Feet-
Western Mosquito Range/East Chaffee County Above 9000 Feet-
Saguache County West of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
Saguache County East of Continental Divide Below 10000 Feet-
La Garita Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Upper Rio Grande Valley/Eastern San Juan Mountains Below
10000 Feet-Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Del Norte Vicinity/Northern San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Alamosa  Vicinity/Central San Luis Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Southern San Luis Valley-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 8500 And 11000 Feet-
Northern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Between 7500 and 11000 Feet-
Southern Sangre de Cristo Mountains Above 11000 Feet-
Northwestern Fremont County Above 8500 Feet-
Western/Central Fremont County Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountain Valley Below 8500 Feet-
Wet Mountains between 6300 and 10000 Feet-
Wet Mountains Above 10000 Feet-
Teller County/Rampart Range Above 7500 Feet/Pikes Peak Between
7500 And 11000 Feet-Pikes Peak Above 11000 Feet-
Canon City Vicinity/Eastern Fremont County-
Northern El Paso County/Monument Ridge/Rampart Range Below
7500 Feet-
Colorado Springs Vicinity/Southern El Paso County/Rampart Range
Below 7400 Feet-Pueblo Vicinity/Pueblo County Below 6300 Feet-
Walsenburg Vicinity/Upper Huerfano River Basin Below 7500 Feet-
Trinidad Vicinity/Western Las Animas County Below 7500 Feet-
Crowley County-La Junta Vicinity/Otero County-
Eastern Las Animas County-Western Kiowa County-
Eastern Kiowa County-Las Animas Vicinity/Bent County-
Lamar Vicinity/Prowers County-Springfield Vicinity/Baca County-
408 AM MDT Wed Apr 24 2024

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...east
central...south central and southeast Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Critical fire weather conditions are expected today across the
San Luis Valley due to low humidity values and gusty southwest
winds. Gap flow areas across the southern I-25 corridor will also
see some spotty critical conditions.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

High fire danger is expected across southern Colorado Thursday
afternoon and Friday afternoon as strong winds and very low
relative humidity values develop each day.

Winds gusting up to 50 to 55 mph, potentially higher, are
expected on Thursday, along with a low risk of strong to severe
storms across the eastern plains.

An upper level system will move in late in the week into the
weekend, bringing cooler weather with increased snow chances over
the higher terrain, and rain and thunderstorms across the lower
elevations.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters will not be needed today or tonight.

GARBEROGLIO/RODRIGUEZ