River Flood Warning 69, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

764 
WGUS81 KPHI 031453
FLSPHI

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1053 AM EDT Wed Apr 3 2024

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Pennsylvania...

  East Branch Brandywine Creek Below Downingtown affecting Chester 
  County.



PAC029-031600-
/O.CAN.KPHI.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-240403T1453Z/
/DWNP1.1.ER.240402T2045Z.240402T2145Z.240403T1233Z.NO/
1053 AM EDT Wed Apr 3 2024

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the East Branch Brandywine Creek Below Downingtown.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:45 AM EDT Wednesday the stage was 6.6 feet.
  - Forecast...Although the river has fallen below flood stage,
    additional rises are once again expected this afternoon.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

Stream          Fld   Observed        Fcsts (11 am)       Crest
Location        Stg   Stg Day/Time    Thu  Fri        Stg Time Date

East Branch Bran
Downingtown     7.0   6.6  Wed 9 am   4.7  MSG        Falling   


&&

LAT...LON 4002 7567 3993 7561 3991 7567 4001 7574


$$

Kruzdlo

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
638 AM EDT Wed Apr 3 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
A strong low pressure system will remain in the Great Lakes
region today, while a secondary low develops across the Mid-
Atlantic area. This new low will continue to strengthen as it
moves away slowly Thursday and Friday. High pressure should then
start to build into our area late Saturday through Monday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 630 AM, mesoanalysis data shows strong warm air advection
at both 850 mb and 925 mb across our area. This is resulting in
waves of ascent and thus areas of rain. Some elevated
instability is enough to produce some lightning at times in
some of the stronger embedded convective elements. The next
round is approaching from the southwest and these rounds of rain
with some embedded thunder are expected to continue today. The
precipitable water values are just above one inch across the
area, therefore areas of heavier rain will occur.

Otherwise, a strong surface low pressure in the central Great
Lakes region has undergone occlusion and it will remain there
today and then gradually weaken through tonight. A secondary
low develops in the vicinity of Virginia and then tracks east-
northeast across Delmarva later in the day then across southern
New Jersey early this evening.

Strong warm air advection/isentropic lift and elevated
instability will continue to support periods of rain today some
of which will be heavy at times. Our Delmarva zones especially
will probably have a greater chance for periods of less rain.
The model forecast soundings continue to show a warm front aloft
which is contributing to the elevated instability. The surface
warm front however is well to our south. As the secondary low
develops and tracks northeastward, the warm front will get
pulled northward at least some. The track of the secondary low
will be key in determining where the surface warm front gets and
the associated warm sector. It appears that the air mass will
warm some this afternoon across portions of our Delmarva zones
and perhaps into southern New Jersey. North and west of the
surface low track and north of the warm front will remain much
cooler. South of the warm front, temperatures should get into
the 60s across southern Delaware and parts of the Maryland
Eastern Shore.

Along and south of the surface low track is where the greatest
potential is for a period of surface-based instability becoming
realized later today. Some model forecast soundings suggest this
occurs later this afternoon and early this evening across
mainly southern Delaware. It is also within this fairly narrow
warm sector where the shear will be maximized and therefore a
higher risk for some severe thunderstorms. Locally damaging
winds will be possible along with some hail, however given the
magnitude of the shear a tornado cannot be ruled out. The
greatest risk for a supercell capable of producing damaging
winds and/or a tornado will be if it can become surface-based.
Some thunder is quite possible across the entire area through
the afternoon into early this evening as continued elevated
instability is realized and forcing for ascent increases.
Increased precipitable water and a convective contribution will
result in times of higher rainfall rates.

As the secondary low develops and strengthens while it
gradually moves northeastward, the pressure gradient ahead of it
tightens more through the day. This will result in gusty
northeast or east winds ahead of the surface low, however there
is a fairly narrow corridor of enhanced winds mainly for the
northern New Jersey coastal areas. A period of wind gusts to 60
mph look probable over at least portions of Monmouth County
along the coast and the Raritan Bay, with a High Wind Warning in
effect. The neighboring zones (Middlesex and Ocean counties)
should see wind gusts up to 50 mph and we have a Wind Advisory
in effect here. Elsewhere across the region, winds gusts to look
to be 30-40 mph although the higher elevations could be a a bit
higher at times. The winds will diminish quite a bit as the
surface low works its way up across parts of our region later
this afternoon and this evening.

As the system moves northeastward and away from our area later
tonight, lingering rain looks to change to some snow across the
southern Poconos into far northwest New Jersey. The bulk of the
precipitation may be starting to end however as this changeover
to snow occurs. There could also be some sleet and/or freezing
in this transition, however this is low confidence.
Accumulations should be limited and be confined to the higher
elevation areas such as the Pocono Plateau.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
Conditions will be relatively tranquil by early Thursday morning
as the weakening primary low will be to our northwest and the
strengthening secondary to our northeast, providing a lull in
both precip and wind. This won't last, however, as the weakening
primary low heads southeastward into the area accompanied by the
upper low as the day progresses. Thus, any breaks of sun likely
are transient and showers will start developing by noon or
shortly thereafter. With chilly temps aloft and strong April
solar heating, expect at least some isolated if not scattered
thunderstorms in the mix, and while not severe, the probability
of small hail/graupel with any storms (or even the stronger
showers) looks quite high. Thus, have inserted this mention into
the forecast. Temps on Thursday actually turn a bit milder
across much of the region as the low-level marine layer finally
gets shipped out by the northwest winds and temps should manage
to rise into at least the low 50s for most. The exception will
be locales in the Delmarva where 60s are expected today...these
areas will be noticeably cooler on Thursday.

The remnant surface low strings out into a trough as the upper
low tries to catch up to the secondary low which will be to our
northeast. Combined with forcing from the convection in the
afternoon, and some guidance suggests a concentrated band of
precip could develop somewhere in the region Thursday evening
before dissipating later at night. Right now this looks likely
to occur somewhere in the Philly/New Brunswick/Allentown
triangle but uncertainty is high this far out. Should an intense
band of precip form and linger, its possible, as suggested by
the NAM, that colder air aloft could be brought down to the
surface and we could end up with a change to snow for some
before precip tapers off. Extremely high uncertainty here, but
not impossible. However, given the aforementioned, kept snow
generally out of the forecast for now. Lows otherwise will be in
the 30s to near 40 for most, except upper 20s on the Pocono
Plateau.

Friday will feature plenty of clouds as the upper trough lingers
nearby, but the significant upper forcing will have exited the
region to the east and northeast. Thus, expect mostly dry
conditions with perhaps a few stray sprinkles/light showers,
flurries/snow showers in the Poconos. Highs will drop slightly
compared to Thursday, mostly upper 40s to lower 50s.

Clouds linger Friday night but otherwise, mostly dry. Lows
mostly in the 30s.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
System will gradually pull away Saturday and Sunday, with high
pressure looking most dominant by Monday. This will result in a
slow clearing and warming trend. Saturday will remain cool with
just a degree or two of gain, and still perhaps a lot of clouds
and a stray sprinkle/shower around. By Sunday however, sunshine
prevails and highs rise 5-10 degrees over Saturday. Another 5-10
degree rise Monday will place most of the region in the 60s for
the astronomical event expected that afternoon. Right now we
still look more likely to avoid a lot of clouds but will need to
watch progress of next weakening system. Right now it appears it
dies out before reaching us and we'll warm up even more for
Tuesday, with any lingering clouds breaking for sun and highs
gaining a couple more degrees. Lows through the weekend will be
in the 30s for the most part, but 40s by Monday night.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Today...MVFR/IFR (locally LIFR) conditions with periods of
rain. There will be some thunderstorms around, however given
low confidence on timing and coverage a mention is not included
in the TAFs at this time. East or northeast winds 15-25 knots
with gusts 25-35 knots. Winds may become southeasterly at KACY
and KMIV later today and early this evening. Low confidence.

Tonight...Mostly IFR conditions with periods of rain with some
thunderstorms possible in the evening, then conditions should
improve some overnight. East or northeast winds 10-20 knots with
gusts to around 25 knots, becoming north to northwest near 10
knots. Low confidence.

Outlook...

Thursday through Saturday...Generally VFR, with some showers
mainly Thursday/Thursday night. A thunderstorm with small hail
also possible Thursday/Thursday night. Conditions may
periodically lower to MVFR, especially when showers occur.
Northwest winds 15-20 knots with gusts up to 30 knots. Low
confidence.

Sunday...Generally VFR. Northwest winds 5-10 knots, with gusts
around 15 knots.

&&

.MARINE...
Northeast to east winds increase more today with this becoming
maximized across the northern New Jersey Atlantic coastal
waters. There is a Storm Warning and Gale Warning in effect as a
result. Elsewhere, a Small Craft Advisory is in effect. Seas
will continue to build especially across the northern waters.
This winds diminish later this afternoon and especially tonight
from south to north as a deepening storm pulls away to our
northeast.

Outlook...

Thursday through Sunday...Small Craft Advisory conditions
likely Thursday into Friday with seas near 5 feet and gusts near
20-25 kts. No marine headlines anticipated over the weekend.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms expected Thursday
afternoon/evening. Fair weather Friday-Sunday.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
A Flood Watch is in effect for northern Delaware, all of our
Pennsylvania zones, and for our urban/I-95 corridor New Jersey
zones from through 6 PM Thursday.

Additional rainfall amounts of 1.0 to 3.0 inches are expected
within the Flood Watch. There will be times today into early
tonight when rainfall rates reach or exceed an inch per hour. It
is especially during those times when local flash flooding will
be possible. The latest hydrologic simulations have about two
dozen of our river forecast points approaching flood stage, with
several points exceeding flood stage.

If you live in an area that is conducive to flooding, this is
the time to prepare.

We attach words like MINOR and MODERATE to river flooding. What
do these words mean?

MINOR FLOODING: Minimal to no property damage, but some public
threat can be expected (e.g. inundation of roads).

MODERATE FLOODING: Some inundation of and roads near
streams/rivers are expected. Evacuations of people and/or the
transfer of property to higher elevations can be anticipated.

MAJOR FLOODING: Extensive inundation of structures and roads.
Evacuations of people are on a larger scale. The transfer of
property to higher elevations is needed.

To stay on top of the flooding potential, visit these websites.

If you want to see the flooding threat in terms of
probabilities, check out this Hydrologic Ensemble Forecast link:

weather.gov/erh/mmefs

Our AHPS website has been updated and upgraded to our new
National Water Prediction Service (NWPS) website:

water.noaa.gov

If you live in the Passaic or Raritan basins, keep in mind that
inundation mapping is available:

water.weather.gov/AHPS/inundation.php

To view river observations and our forecasts in table form,
check out our dashboard: weather.gov/phi/hydrodashboard

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
The Coastal Flood Advisory has been extended to cover the
evening high tide in all zones where it remains in effect
(southern NJ/DE Atlantic Coast and Delaware Bay shores). The
Coastal Flood Warning for Middlesex, Monmouth, Ocean, and
southeastern Burlington counties remains in effect as inherited
through Thursday morning. Some road closures, beach erosion,
and breaching of sand dunes can be expected in these areas.
Spotty minor tidal flooding is likely for the remaining coastal
locations of the tidal Delaware River with the high tides
through Thursday where there is no advisory in effect.

Strong onshore flow is expected to occur through much of
today, with this lasting the longest and being the strongest
across the northern New Jersey coastal areas. This will pile the
water toward the coast with surge values increasing to around 2
to 5 feet, and this becomes maximized for the northern New
Jersey coast. We are between the full/new moon cycles and
therefore the astronomical contribution is lower and the peak
surge occurring near low tide on the Atlantic coast should limit
the potential for major flooding. Elsewhere, another round of
widespread minor coastal flooding is forecast with the late
tonight and early Thursday morning high tide.

No widespread minor flooding is anticipated for the Maryland
Eastern Shore at this time. Depending on freshwater contribution
due to rainfall, the tidal Delaware River could see some more
widespread minor tidal flooding with the Thursday morning high
tide. We continue to monitor this potential.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...Flood Watch through Thursday afternoon for PAZ054-055-060>062-
     070-071-101>106.
NJ...Coastal Flood Advisory until 10 PM EDT this evening for NJZ016.
     Flood Watch through Thursday afternoon for NJZ001-007>010-012-
     013-015>019.
     Coastal Flood Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for
     NJZ021>025.
     Coastal Flood Warning until 10 AM EDT Thursday for NJZ012>014-
     020-026-027.
     Wind Advisory until 10 PM EDT this evening for NJZ012-020-026.
     High Wind Warning until 10 PM EDT this evening for NJZ013-014.
DE...Coastal Flood Advisory until 10 PM EDT this evening for DEZ001.
     Flood Watch through Thursday afternoon for DEZ001.
     Coastal Flood Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for
     DEZ002>004.
MD...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until noon EDT today for ANZ430.
     Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for ANZ431-
     452>455.
     Storm Warning until 10 PM EDT this evening for ANZ450.
     Gale Warning until 8 PM EDT this evening for ANZ451.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Gorse/RCM
NEAR TERM...Fitzsimmons/Gorse
SHORT TERM...RCM
LONG TERM...RCM
AVIATION...Gorse/RCM
MARINE...Gorse/RCM
HYDROLOGY...Gorse/Kruzdlo
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...PHI

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
0354 AM EDT Wed Apr 03 2024

DEZ001-040754-
New Castle-
0354 AM EDT Wed Apr 03 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for New Castle County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Minor coastal flooding is possible.
Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ002-040754-
Kent-
0354 AM EDT Wed Apr 03 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Kent County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Minor coastal flooding is possible.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ003-040754-
Inland Sussex-
0354 AM EDT Wed Apr 03 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Sussex County
in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Minor coastal flooding is possible.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

DEZ004-040754-
Delaware Beaches-
0354 AM EDT Wed Apr 03 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal portions of
Sussex County in Delaware.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Minor coastal flooding is possible.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ054-040754-
Carbon-
0354 AM EDT Wed Apr 03 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Carbon County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ055-040754-
Monroe-
0354 AM EDT Wed Apr 03 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Monroe County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ060-040754-
Berks-
0354 AM EDT Wed Apr 03 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Berks County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ061-040754-
Lehigh-
0354 AM EDT Wed Apr 03 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lehigh County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ062-040754-
Northampton-
0354 AM EDT Wed Apr 03 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Northampton County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ070-040754-
Delaware-
0354 AM EDT Wed Apr 03 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Delaware County in Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Minor coastal flooding is possible.
Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ071-040754-
Philadelphia-
0354 AM EDT Wed Apr 03 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Philadelphia County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Minor coastal flooding is possible.
Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ101-040754-
Western Chester-
0354 AM EDT Wed Apr 03 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Chester County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ102-040754-
Eastern Chester-
0354 AM EDT Wed Apr 03 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Chester County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ103-040754-
Western Montgomery-
0354 AM EDT Wed Apr 03 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Montgomery County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ104-040754-
Eastern Montgomery-
0354 AM EDT Wed Apr 03 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Montgomery County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ105-040754-
Upper Bucks-
0354 AM EDT Wed Apr 03 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for upper Bucks County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

PAZ106-040754-
Lower Bucks-
0354 AM EDT Wed Apr 03 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for lower Bucks County in
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Thursday.
Minor coastal flooding is possible on Friday.
Minor coastal flooding is possible on Friday.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ001-040754-
Sussex-
0354 AM EDT Wed Apr 03 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Sussex County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ007-040754-
Warren-
0354 AM EDT Wed Apr 03 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Warren County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ008-040754-
Morris-
0354 AM EDT Wed Apr 03 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Morris County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ009-040754-
Hunterdon-
0354 AM EDT Wed Apr 03 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Hunterdon County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ010-040754-
Somerset-
0354 AM EDT Wed Apr 03 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Somerset County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ012-040754-
Middlesex-
0354 AM EDT Wed Apr 03 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Middlesex County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Moderate coastal flooding is possible.
Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.
Windy conditions may cause isolated instances of tree damage and power outages.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ013-040754-
Western Monmouth-
0354 AM EDT Wed Apr 03 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Monmouth County in New
Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Moderate coastal flooding is possible.
Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.
Windy conditions may cause isolated instances of tree damage and power outages.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Thursday.
Minor coastal flooding is possible on Friday.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ014-040754-
Eastern Monmouth-
0354 AM EDT Wed Apr 03 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern Monmouth County in New
Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Moderate coastal flooding is possible.
Very windy conditions may cause scattered to numerous
instances of tree damage and power outages.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Thursday.
Minor coastal flooding is possible on Friday.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ015-040754-
Mercer-
0354 AM EDT Wed Apr 03 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Mercer County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ016-040754-
Salem-
0354 AM EDT Wed Apr 03 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Salem County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Minor coastal flooding is possible.
Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ017-040754-
Gloucester-
0354 AM EDT Wed Apr 03 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Gloucester County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Minor coastal flooding is possible.
Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ018-040754-
Camden-
0354 AM EDT Wed Apr 03 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Camden County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Minor coastal flooding is possible.
Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Thursday.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ019-040754-
Northwestern Burlington-
0354 AM EDT Wed Apr 03 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwestern Burlington County in
New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Several instances of flooding are possible, especially in urban and
poor-drainage areas and near vulnerable small creeks and streams.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Thursday.
Minor coastal flooding is possible on Friday.
Minor coastal flooding is possible on Friday.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ020-040754-
Ocean-
0354 AM EDT Wed Apr 03 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Ocean County
in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Moderate coastal flooding is possible.
Windy conditions may cause isolated instances of tree damage and power outages.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Thursday.
Minor coastal flooding is possible on Friday.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ021-040754-
Cumberland-
0354 AM EDT Wed Apr 03 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Cumberland County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Minor coastal flooding is possible.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Friday.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ022-040754-
Atlantic-
0354 AM EDT Wed Apr 03 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for inland portions of Atlantic
County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Minor coastal flooding is possible.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ023-040754-
Cape May-
0354 AM EDT Wed Apr 03 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Cape May County excluding the
Atlantic coast in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Minor coastal flooding is possible.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ024-040754-
Atlantic Coastal Cape May-
0354 AM EDT Wed Apr 03 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal portions of
Cape May County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Minor coastal flooding is possible.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ025-040754-
Coastal Atlantic-
0354 AM EDT Wed Apr 03 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for coastal portions of Atlantic
County in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Minor coastal flooding is possible.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ026-040754-
Coastal Ocean-
0354 AM EDT Wed Apr 03 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for coastal portions of Ocean County
in New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Moderate coastal flooding is possible.
Windy conditions may cause isolated instances of tree damage and power outages.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Minor coastal flooding is possible on Thursday.
Minor coastal flooding is possible on Friday.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

NJZ027-040754-
Southeastern Burlington-
0354 AM EDT Wed Apr 03 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeastern Burlington County in
New Jersey.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Minor coastal flooding is possible.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ012-040754-
Kent MD-
0354 AM EDT Wed Apr 03 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Kent County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ015-040754-
Queen Annes-
0354 AM EDT Wed Apr 03 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Queen Annes County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ019-040754-
Talbot-
0354 AM EDT Wed Apr 03 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Talbot County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

MDZ020-040754-
Caroline-
0354 AM EDT Wed Apr 03 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Caroline County in Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on
potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ430-040754-
Delaware Bay waters north of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
0354 AM EDT Wed Apr 03 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for upper Delaware Bay.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ431-040754-
Delaware Bay waters south of East Point NJ to Slaughter Beach DE-
0354 AM EDT Wed Apr 03 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for lower Delaware Bay.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ450-040754-
Coastal waters from Sandy Hook to Manasquan Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
0354 AM EDT Wed Apr 03 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Monmouth County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Storm-force winds and/or very high seas are expected.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ451-040754-
Coastal waters from Manasquan Inlet to Little Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
0354 AM EDT Wed Apr 03 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Ocean County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Storm-force winds and/or very high seas are expected.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ452-040754-
Coastal waters from Little Egg Inlet to Great Egg Inlet NJ out 20 nm-
0354 AM EDT Wed Apr 03 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Atlantic County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Gale-force winds and/or very rough seas are forecast.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ453-040754-
Coastal waters from Great Egg Inlet to Cape May NJ out 20 nm-
0354 AM EDT Wed Apr 03 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Cape May County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Gale-force winds and/or very rough seas are forecast.
Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ454-040754-
Coastal waters from Cape May NJ to Cape Henlopen DE out 20 nm-
0354 AM EDT Wed Apr 03 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to the mouth of Delaware Bay out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.

ANZ455-040754-
Coastal waters from Cape Henlopen to Fenwick Island DE out 20 nm-
0354 AM EDT Wed Apr 03 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Atlantic coastal waters
adjacent to Sussex County out 20 nm.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible.

Please go to weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=phi for more information on potential weather hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to standard operating procedures.