Flood Watch 7, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

Kent County, DE, New Castle County, DE, Caroline County, MD, Kent County, MD, Queen Anne's County, MD, Talbot County, MD, Burlington County, NJ, Camden County, NJ, Gloucester County, NJ, Hunterdon County, NJ, Mercer County, NJ, Middlesex County, NJ, Monmouth County, NJ, Morris County, NJ, Salem County, NJ, Somerset County, NJ, Sussex County, NJ, Warren County, NJ, Bucks County, PA, Chester County, PA, Delaware County, PA, Montgomery County, PA, Philadelphia County, PA

551 
WGUS61 KPHI 111913 CCA
FFAPHI

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
313 PM EDT Thu Jul 11 2024

DEZ001-NJZ009-010-012-013-015>019-PAZ070-071-101>106-120900-
/O.COR.KPHI.FA.A.0007.240712T1000Z-240713T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
New Castle-Hunterdon-Somerset-Middlesex-Western Monmouth-Mercer-
Salem-Gloucester-Camden-Northwestern Burlington-Delaware-
Philadelphia-Western Chester-Eastern Chester-Western Montgomery-
Eastern Montgomery-Upper Bucks-Lower Bucks-
Including the cities of Pottstown, Flemington, Lansdale, Kennett
Square, Chalfont, Norristown, Collegeville, Perkasie, Honey
Brook, Mount Holly, Doylestown, Oxford, Freehold, Wilmington,
Media, Camden, Philadelphia, Moorestown, West Chester,
Somerville, Glassboro, New Brunswick, Trenton, Morrisville,
Cherry Hill, and Pennsville
313 PM EDT Thu Jul 11 2024

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY 
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible.

* WHERE...Portions of northern Delaware, including the following 
  area, New Castle, New Jersey, including the following areas, 
  Camden, Gloucester, Hunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex, Northwestern 
  Burlington, Salem, Somerset and Western Monmouth, and southeast 
  Pennsylvania, including the following areas, Delaware, Eastern 
  Chester, Eastern Montgomery, Lower Bucks, Philadelphia, Upper 
  Bucks, Western Chester and Western Montgomery.

* WHEN...From Friday morning through Saturday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, 
  creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. 
  Creeks and streams may rise out of their banks. Flooding may occur 
  in poor drainage and urban areas. Low-water crossings may be 
  flooded.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - Widespread showers and thunderstorms combined with tropical
    moisture will result in areas of heavy rainfall across the
    watch area from Friday morning through Saturday. Rainfall
    rates may exceed 1 to 2 inches per hour. Forecast rainfall
    amounts range from about 1 to 2 inches, however localized
    amounts near 3 to 4 inches are possible.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood 
Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared 
to take action should flooding develop.

&&

$$

DEZ002-MDZ012-015-019-020-120900-
/O.COR.KPHI.FA.A.0007.240712T1000Z-240713T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Kent-Kent MD-Queen Annes-Talbot-Caroline-
Including the cities of Dover, Centreville, Chestertown, Denton,
and Easton
313 PM EDT Thu Jul 11 2024

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY 
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible.

* WHERE...Portions of central Delaware, including the following 
  area, Kent and northeast Maryland, including the following areas, 
  Caroline, Kent MD, Queen Annes and Talbot.

* WHEN...From Friday morning through Saturday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, 
  creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. 
  Creeks and streams may rise out of their banks. Flooding may occur 
  in poor drainage and urban areas. Low-water crossings may be 
  flooded.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - Widespread showers and thunderstorms combined with tropical
    moisture will result in areas of heavy rainfall across the
    watch area from Friday morning through Saturday. Rainfall
    rates may exceed 1 to 2 inches per hour. Forecast rainfall
    amounts range from about 2 to 3 inches, however localized
    amounts near 4 inches are possible.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood 
Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared 
to take action should flooding develop.

&&

$$

Staarmann

412 
WGUS61 KPHI 120716
FFAPHI

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
316 AM EDT Fri Jul 12 2024

NJZ001-007-008-122200-
/O.EXA.KPHI.FA.A.0007.240712T1000Z-240713T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Sussex-Warren-Morris-
Including the cities of Morristown, Washington, and Newton
316 AM EDT Fri Jul 12 2024

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY 
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be 
  possible.

* WHERE...A portion of northern New Jersey, including the following 
  counties, Morris, Sussex and Warren.

* WHEN...From 6 AM EDT this morning through Saturday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, 
  creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. 
  Creeks and streams may rise out of their banks. Flooding may occur 
  in poor drainage and urban areas. Low-water crossings may be 
  flooded.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - Widespread showers and thunderstorms combined with tropical
    moisture will result in areas of heavy rainfall across the
    watch area from this morning through Saturday. Rainfall rates
    may exceed 1 to 2 inches per hour. Forecast rainfall amounts
    range from about 1 to 2 inches, however localized amounts
    near 3 to 4 inches are possible.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood 
Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared 
to take action should flooding develop.

&&

$$

DEZ001-NJZ009-010-012-013-015>019-PAZ070-071-101>106-122200-
/O.CON.KPHI.FA.A.0007.240712T1000Z-240713T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
New Castle-Hunterdon-Somerset-Middlesex-Western Monmouth-Mercer-
Salem-Gloucester-Camden-Northwestern Burlington-Delaware-
Philadelphia-Western Chester-Eastern Chester-Western Montgomery-
Eastern Montgomery-Upper Bucks-Lower Bucks-
Including the cities of New Brunswick, Perkasie, Morrisville,
Pottstown, Cherry Hill, Wilmington, Pennsville, Doylestown,
Moorestown, Lansdale, Media, Glassboro, West Chester,
Philadelphia, Freehold, Chalfont, Mount Holly, Trenton, Kennett
Square, Somerville, Honey Brook, Oxford, Camden, Flemington,
Collegeville, and Norristown
316 AM EDT Fri Jul 12 2024

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH 
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be 
  possible.

* WHERE...Portions of northern Delaware, including the following 
  area, New Castle, New Jersey, including the following areas, 
  Camden, Gloucester, Hunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex, Northwestern 
  Burlington, Salem, Somerset and Western Monmouth, and southeast 
  Pennsylvania, including the following areas, Delaware, Eastern 
  Chester, Eastern Montgomery, Lower Bucks, Philadelphia, Upper 
  Bucks, Western Chester and Western Montgomery.

* WHEN...From 6 AM EDT this morning through Saturday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, 
  creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. 
  Creeks and streams may rise out of their banks. Flooding may occur 
  in poor drainage and urban areas. Low-water crossings may be 
  flooded.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - Widespread showers and thunderstorms combined with tropical
    moisture will result in areas of heavy rainfall across the
    watch area from this morning through Saturday. Rainfall rates
    may exceed 1 to 2 inches per hour. Forecast rainfall amounts
    range from about 1 to 2 inches, however, localized amounts
    near 3 to 4 inches are possible.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood 
Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared 
to take action should flooding develop.

&&

$$

DEZ002-MDZ012-015-019-020-122200-
/O.CON.KPHI.FA.A.0007.240712T1000Z-240713T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Kent-Kent MD-Queen Annes-Talbot-Caroline-
Including the cities of Dover, Centreville, Denton, Easton, and
Chestertown
316 AM EDT Fri Jul 12 2024

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH 
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be 
  possible.

* WHERE...Portions of central Delaware, including the following 
  area, Kent and northeast Maryland, including the following areas, 
  Caroline, Kent MD, Queen Annes and Talbot.

* WHEN...From 6 AM EDT this morning through Saturday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, 
  creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. 
  Creeks and streams may rise out of their banks. Flooding may occur 
  in poor drainage and urban areas. Low-water crossings may be 
  flooded.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - Widespread showers and thunderstorms combined with tropical
    moisture will result in areas of heavy rainfall across the
    watch area from this morning through Saturday. Rainfall rates
    may exceed 1 to 2 inches per hour. Forecast rainfall amounts
    range from about 2 to 3 inches, however, localized amounts
    near 4 inches are possible.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood 
Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared 
to take action should flooding develop.

&&

$$

MPS

274 
WGUS61 KPHI 121832
FFAPHI

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
232 PM EDT Fri Jul 12 2024

DEZ001-NJZ001-007>010-012-013-015>019-PAZ070-071-101>106-130915-
/O.CON.KPHI.FA.A.0007.000000T0000Z-240713T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
New Castle-Sussex-Warren-Morris-Hunterdon-Somerset-Middlesex-
Western Monmouth-Mercer-Salem-Gloucester-Camden-Northwestern
Burlington-Delaware-Philadelphia-Western Chester-Eastern Chester-
Western Montgomery-Eastern Montgomery-Upper Bucks-Lower Bucks-
Including the cities of Morristown, Cherry Hill, Somerville,
Morrisville, Pennsville, Mount Holly, Glassboro, Collegeville,
Flemington, New Brunswick, Oxford, Chalfont, Media, West Chester,
Lansdale, Pottstown, Philadelphia, Newton, Perkasie, Freehold,
Norristown, Doylestown, Moorestown, Honey Brook, Trenton, Kennett
Square, Wilmington, Washington, and Camden
232 PM EDT Fri Jul 12 2024

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be 
  possible.

* WHERE...Portions of northern Delaware, including the following 
  area, New Castle, New Jersey, including the following areas, 
  Camden, Gloucester, Hunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex, Morris, 
  Northwestern Burlington, Salem, Somerset, Sussex, Warren and 
  Western Monmouth, and southeast Pennsylvania, including the 
  following areas, Delaware, Eastern Chester, Eastern Montgomery, 
  Lower Bucks, Philadelphia, Upper Bucks, Western Chester and 
  Western Montgomery.

* WHEN...Through Saturday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, 
  creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. 
  Creeks and streams may rise out of their banks. Flooding may occur 
  in poor drainage and urban areas. Low-water crossings may be 
  flooded.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - Widespread showers and thunderstorms combined with tropical
    moisture will result in areas of heavy rainfall across the
    watch area through Saturday. Rainfall rates may exceed 1 to 2
    inches per hour. Forecast rainfall amounts range from about 1
    to 3 inches, however, localized amounts near 5 inches are
    possible.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood 
Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared 
to take action should flooding develop.

&&

$$

DEZ002-MDZ012-015-019-020-130915-
/O.CON.KPHI.FA.A.0007.000000T0000Z-240713T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Kent-Kent MD-Queen Annes-Talbot-Caroline-
Including the cities of Dover, Centreville, Easton, Chestertown,
and Denton
232 PM EDT Fri Jul 12 2024

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be 
  possible.

* WHERE...Portions of central Delaware, including the following 
  area, Kent and northeast Maryland, including the following areas, 
  Caroline, Kent MD, Queen Annes and Talbot.

* WHEN...Through Saturday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, 
  creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. 
  Creeks and streams may rise out of their banks. Flooding may occur 
  in poor drainage and urban areas. Low-water crossings may be 
  flooded.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - Widespread showers and thunderstorms combined with tropical
    moisture will result in areas of heavy rainfall across the
    watch area through Saturday. Rainfall rates may exceed 1 to 2
    inches per hour. Forecast rainfall amounts range from about 2
    to 3 inches, however, localized amounts near 5 inches are
    possible.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood 
Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared 
to take action should flooding develop.

&&

$$

Staarmann

066 
WGUS61 KPHI 130658
FFAPHI

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
258 AM EDT Sat Jul 13 2024

DEZ001-NJZ001-007>010-012-013-015>019-PAZ070-071-101>106-131800-
/O.CON.KPHI.FA.A.0007.000000T0000Z-240713T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
New Castle-Sussex-Warren-Morris-Hunterdon-Somerset-Middlesex-
Western Monmouth-Mercer-Salem-Gloucester-Camden-Northwestern
Burlington-Delaware-Philadelphia-Western Chester-Eastern Chester-
Western Montgomery-Eastern Montgomery-Upper Bucks-Lower Bucks-
Including the cities of Norristown, Chalfont, Morristown,
Freehold, New Brunswick, Somerville, Newton, Morrisville,
Lansdale, Camden, Kennett Square, Mount Holly, Media, Oxford,
West Chester, Pottstown, Collegeville, Philadelphia, Trenton,
Glassboro, Wilmington, Pennsville, Moorestown, Washington, Cherry
Hill, Honey Brook, Perkasie, Doylestown, and Flemington
258 AM EDT Sat Jul 13 2024

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be 
  possible.

* WHERE...Portions of northern Delaware, including the following 
  area, New Castle, New Jersey, including the following areas, 
  Camden, Gloucester, Hunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex, Morris, 
  Northwestern Burlington, Salem, Somerset, Sussex, Warren and 
  Western Monmouth, and southeast Pennsylvania, including the 
  following areas, Delaware, Eastern Chester, Eastern Montgomery, 
  Lower Bucks, Philadelphia, Upper Bucks, Western Chester and 
  Western Montgomery.

* WHEN...Until 2 PM EDT this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, 
  creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. 
  Creeks and streams may rise out of their banks. Flooding may occur 
  in poor drainage and urban areas. Low-water crossings may be 
  flooded.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - Widespread showers and thunderstorms combined with tropical
    moisture will result in areas of heavy rainfall across the
    watch area today. Rainfall rates may exceed 1 to 2 inches per
    hour. Forecast rainfall amounts range from about 1 to 2
    inches, however, localized amounts near 3 inches are
    possible.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood 
Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared 
to take action should flooding develop.

&&

$$

DEZ002-MDZ012-015-019-020-131800-
/O.CON.KPHI.FA.A.0007.000000T0000Z-240713T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Kent-Kent MD-Queen Annes-Talbot-Caroline-
Including the cities of Chestertown, Centreville, Easton, Dover,
and Denton
258 AM EDT Sat Jul 13 2024

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be 
  possible.

* WHERE...Portions of central Delaware, including the following 
  area, Kent and northeast Maryland, including the following areas, 
  Caroline, Kent MD, Queen Annes and Talbot.

* WHEN...Until 2 PM EDT this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, 
  creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. 
  Creeks and streams may rise out of their banks. Flooding may occur 
  in poor drainage and urban areas. Low-water crossings may be 
  flooded.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - Widespread showers and thunderstorms combined with tropical
    moisture will result in areas of heavy rainfall across the
    watch area today. Rainfall rates may exceed 1 to 2 inches per
    hour. Forecast rainfall amounts range from about 1 to 2
    inches, however, localized amounts near 3 inches are
    possible.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood 
Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared 
to take action should flooding develop.

&&

$$

MPS

496 
WGUS61 KPHI 131323
FFAPHI

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
923 AM EDT Sat Jul 13 2024

DEZ001-002-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012-013-015>019-PAZ070-
071-101>106-131430-
/O.CAN.KPHI.FA.A.0007.000000T0000Z-240713T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
New Castle-Kent-Kent MD-Queen Annes-Talbot-Caroline-Sussex-Warren-
Morris-Hunterdon-Somerset-Middlesex-Western Monmouth-Mercer-Salem-
Gloucester-Camden-Northwestern Burlington-Delaware-Philadelphia-
Western Chester-Eastern Chester-Western Montgomery-Eastern
Montgomery-Upper Bucks-Lower Bucks-
Including the cities of Morristown, Honey Brook, Norristown,
Somerville, Pottstown, Newton, Pennsville, Lansdale, Chestertown,
Oxford, Denton, Collegeville, Philadelphia, New Brunswick,
Easton, Centreville, Media, Mount Holly, Wilmington, Glassboro,
Freehold, Morrisville, Perkasie, Doylestown, Moorestown, Trenton,
Cherry Hill, Kennett Square, Dover, West Chester, Chalfont,
Flemington, Camden, and Washington
923 AM EDT Sat Jul 13 2024

...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Watch is cancelled for portions of Delaware, including the 
following areas, Kent and New Castle, northeast Maryland, including 
the following areas, Caroline, Kent MD, Queen Annes and Talbot, New 
Jersey, including the following areas, Camden, Gloucester, 
Hunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex, Morris, Northwestern Burlington, 
Salem, Somerset, Sussex, Warren and Western Monmouth, and southeast 
Pennsylvania, including the following areas, Delaware, Eastern 
Chester, Eastern Montgomery, Lower Bucks, Philadelphia, Upper Bucks, 
Western Chester and Western Montgomery.

No additional flooding is expected. Please continue to heed 
remaining road closures.

$$

SFJ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
144 PM EDT Thu Jul 11 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front moves across the region this morning and will
stall over the area into this weekend. Several waves of low
pressure will track on this front before the front dissipates by
the start of the new week. Broad high pressure returns for the
start of the new week. The next front approaches the region by
the middle of next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
2 PM...No major changes to the forecast at this time.

A stalled frontal boundary will remain just offshore into
tonight, then will lift northward into Friday morning.

Somewhat drier air will filter in today with W/SW winds near
10-15 mph. Much of the area can expect mostly sunny skies
(except for southern Delaware and Cape May). Some showers or
storms may linger in southern Delaware and Cape May where the
more persistent cloud cover will be found. While we will be in a
post-frontal regime, high temperatures will still be near 90
degrees in most areas. Fortunately, the lower dewpoints in the
mid to upper 60s will yield some relief to the excessively humid
conditions that have persisted the past several days, though
not particularly comfortable. Heat indices will top out in the
upper 80s to low 90s at best, and thus no heat headlines are
needed for today.

Tonight, guidance continues to support some showers and storms
riding up from the south/southeast along the stalled boundary.
PoPs and cloud cover will increase from the south/southeast
towards Friday morning. Some fog formation may occur for areas
tonight, particularly for those that see precipitation earlier
on. Winds are expected to be light and variable and/or calm.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
Frontal boundary remains along the East Coast into the weekend.
Abundant low level moisture will stream into the Northeast and
Mid-Atlantic with surface dew points well in the 70s and PWATs
in excess of 2 inches. There will be a fair amount of
instability during the daylight hours with SB CAPE values
upwards of 1500 J/kg, but 0-6 km Bulk Shear will be fairly low,
generally less than 20 kt. As a result, can expect heavy rain
and localized flash flooding as storms will be fairly slow to
move and training of storms will develop.

WPC Day 2 Excessive Rainfall Outlook for Friday and Friday
night has a Marginal Risk (1 out of 4) for northern New Jersey
and southeast Pennsylvania and a Slight Risk (2 out of 4) for
southern New Jersey and Delmarva.

The first low tracks along the coast on Friday and departs
Saturday night. A secondary low will follow behind it on
Saturday. Model guidance has it a bit warmer on Saturday
compared to Friday, with highs in the low to mid 80s on Friday
and in the mid to upper 80s on Saturday. The warmer temperatures
on Saturday may give way to a bit more convection.

Total rainfall Friday and Friday night will range from 1 to 2
inches across Delmarva and southern New Jersey, and generally
1/2 to 1 inch for for southeast Pennsylvania and northern New
Jersey. On Saturday and Saturday night, widespread rainfall
should be lower as the secondary low may pass just east of the
local area, with 1/2 to 3/4 inch of rain for Delmarva and
southeast New Jersey and 1/4 inch or so elsewhere.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Heat and humidity return for the first half of the new week as
high pressure builds east on Sunday. Once again, high
temperatures will be well in the 90s with dew points in the 70s,
resulting in heat index values around 100 and as high as 110.
Heat Advisories will likely be needed Sunday and Monday, and
then Excessive Heat Warnings may be needed on Tuesday and
Wednesday.

Isolated to scattered afternoon and evening showers and
thunderstorms are possible each day, though an approaching cold
front on Wednesday could result in better chances for showers
and thunderstorms.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Today...Mainly VFR conditions expected. West to southwest winds
near 10 kt. Moderate confidence.

Tonight...Mainly VFR, but some sub-VFR development possible
towards the later half of the period. Ceilings will lower with
time, some fog may form at some sites. KACY could see MVFR
ceilings before the end of the period. Winds light and variable
and/or calm for most sites. Moderate confidence overall, low
confidence in details.

Outlook...

Friday through Saturday night...Sub-VFR in SHRA and TSRA, with
locally heavy rain from time to time.

Sunday through Monday...Primarily VFR, though isolated to
scattered SHRA/TSRA possible during the afternoon and evening.

&&

.MARINE...
The SCA in effect for ANZ450-455 remains in effect until 6 AM
EDT Friday. SW to S winds 10-20 kt today, diminishing to 5-10 kt
tonight. Seas 3-5 feet through tonight.

Some fog development over the waters is possible tonight.

Outlook...

Friday through Saturday night...Lingering 5 ft seas possible on
Friday, and a SCA may be needed. Otherwise, sub-SCA conditions.
VSBY restrictions in rain, thunderstorms, and fog. Rain may be
heavy at times.

Sunday through Monday...Sub-SCA conditions.

Rip Currents...

Today, south to southwest winds will average 10 to 15 mph along
with breaking waves of 1 to 2 feet. Given the wind component,
this will result in a MODERATE risk for the development of
dangerous and life threatening rip currents for the Jersey
Shore. Since winds will be a bit lighter and a bit more offshore
for Delaware, there is a LOW risk for the development of
dangerous and life threatening rip currents for Delaware
Beaches.

Conditions will be fairly similar on Friday compared to today,
so will continue the MODERATE risk for dangerous and life
threatening rip currents for the Jersey Shore and a LOW risk for
Delaware Beaches.

For specific beach forecasts, visit weather.gov/beach/phi

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT Friday for ANZ450>455.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MPS
NEAR TERM...Staarmann/Wunderlin
SHORT TERM...MPS
LONG TERM...MPS
AVIATION...MPS/Staarmann/Wunderlin
MARINE...MPS/Wunderlin