Alert archive / Tennessee / High Wind Warnings in 2024

High Wind Warning 4, NWS Morristown, TN

February 27, 2024Blount County, Cocke County, Sevier County, Tennessee

NWS Morristown, TN issued this high wind warning at Feb 27, 2024, 3:56 AM EST for Blount County, Cocke County, Sevier County, Tennessee. It took effect at Feb 27, 2024, 3:00 PM EST. It was in force for 28 hr. 7 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Feb 27, 2024, 3:56 AM EST (08:56 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 27, 2024, 3:00 PM EST
Expired
Feb 28, 2024, 7:00 PM EST
In force
28 hr
Issued by
NWS Morristown, TN

Counties Blount County, TN, Cocke County, TN, Sevier County, TN

The radar

The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 42 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Feb 27, 4:00 PM ESTNON-TSTM WND GST 622.75 Se Wears Valley, TNMeasured gust at Cove Mountain.
Feb 27, 6:14 PM ESTNON-TSTM WND GST 622 S Round Mountain, TNRecorded at the UMC Sterchi Lodge near Max Patch.
Feb 28, 4:00 AM ESTNON-TSTM WND GST 713 Ese Wears Valley, TNCove Mountain Tower.
Feb 28, 6:52 AM ESTNON-TSTM WND GST 462 N Alcoa, TNASOS station KTYS Knoxville McGhee Tyson.
Feb 28, 12:23 PM ESTTSTM WND GST 752 N Alcoa, TNASOS station KTYS Knoxville McGhee Tyson.
Feb 28, 12:42 PM ESTTSTM WND GST 672 S Eagleton Village, TNReported by Trained Spotter. Structural posts used to extend the height of a fence post have been broken/bent.
Feb 28, 12:45 PM ESTTSTM WND DMGSeymour, TNMultiple reports of trees down across the community.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 00:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 279 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2024-02-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 86 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2024-02-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 41 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
86 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-117 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1441 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
39 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
41 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
124 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

613 
WWUS74 KMRX 270856
NPWMRX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Morristown TN
356 AM EST Tue Feb 27 2024

TNZ041-072-074-272100-
/O.UPG.KMRX.HW.A.0003.240228T0000Z-240229T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMRX.HW.W.0004.240227T2000Z-240228T2100Z/
/O.EXT.KMRX.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-240227T2000Z/
Cocke Smoky Mountains-Blount Smoky Mountains-
Sevier Smoky Mountains-
Including the cities of Hartford, Cades Cove, Elkmont, 
and Gatlinburg
356 AM EST Tue Feb 27 2024

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 PM
EST WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...For the Wind Advisory, south winds 25 to 35 mph with 
  gusts up to 55 mph. For the High Wind Warning, southwest winds 
  30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 70 mph expected.

* WHERE...Cocke Smoky Mountains, Blount Smoky Mountains and 
  Sevier Smoky Mountains Counties.

* WHEN...For the Wind Advisory, until 3 PM EST this afternoon. 
  For the High Wind Warning, from 3 PM this afternoon to 4 PM 
  EST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines.
  Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult,
  especially for high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

TNZ018-043-045-047-087-272100-
/O.EXT.KMRX.WI.Y.0008.240227T2000Z-240228T2100Z/
Johnson-Southeast Greene-Unicoi-Southeast Carter-Southeast Monroe-
Including the cities of Doeville, Mountain City, Neva, 
Shady Valley, Trade, Laurel Bloomery, Cedar Creek, Erwin, Unicoi,
Limestone Cove, Hampton, Citico, and Coker Creek
356 AM EST Tue Feb 27 2024

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 PM
EST WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Johnson, Southeast Greene, Unicoi, Southeast Carter 
  and Southeast Monroe Counties.

* WHEN...From 3 PM this afternoon to 4 PM EST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

TNZ012-013-035-036-081-082-098-272100-
/O.CON.KMRX.WI.Y.0008.240227T1800Z-240228T1800Z/
Scott TN-Campbell-Morgan-Anderson-Sequatchie-Bledsoe-Marion-
Including the cities of Big South Fork National, Oneida, 
Smokey Junction, Elgin, Huntsville, Norma, Slick Rock, Fincastle,
La Follette, Elk Valley, Jellico, White Oak, Caryville, 
Royal Blue, Pine Orchard, High Point, Petros, Clinton, Cagle, 
Dunlap, Cartwright, Lone Oak, Old Cumberland, Palio, Melvine, 
Mount Crest, Pikeville, Brayton, South Pittsburg, 
Haletown (Guild), Jasper, Martin Springs, Whitwell, 
Powells Crossroads, and Monteagle
356 AM EST Tue Feb 27 2024 /256 AM CST Tue Feb 27 2024/

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST /NOON CST/ THIS
AFTERNOON TO 1 PM EST /NOON CST/ WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Portions of east Tennessee.

* WHEN...From 1 PM EST /noon CST/ Tuesday to 1 PM EST /noon CST/ 
  Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$
6 follow-up statements
178 
WWUS74 KMRX 271605
NPWMRX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Morristown TN
1105 AM EST Tue Feb 27 2024

TNZ041-072-074-280500-
/O.EXT.KMRX.HW.W.0004.240227T2000Z-240229T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMRX.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-240227T2000Z/
Cocke Smoky Mountains-Blount Smoky Mountains-Sevier Smoky
Mountains-
Including the cities of Elkmont, Cades Cove, Hartford, and
Gatlinburg
1105 AM EST Tue Feb 27 2024

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM 
EST WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...For the Wind Advisory, south winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts 
  up to 50 mph. For the High Wind Warning, southwest winds 30 to 40 
  mph with gusts up to 70 mph expected.

* WHERE...Blount Smoky Mountains, Cocke Smoky Mountains, and Sevier 
  Smoky Mountains Counties.

* WHEN...For the Wind Advisory, until 3 PM EST this afternoon. For 
  the High Wind Warning, from 3 PM this afternoon to 7 PM EST 
  Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, 
  especially for high profile vehicles.

$$

NCZ060-061-TNZ014>017-037>040-042-044-046-067>071-073-083>086-
099>102-VAZ001-002-005-006-008-280500-
/O.EXB.KMRX.WI.Y.0008.240227T2000Z-240228T1800Z/
Cherokee-Clay-Claiborne-Hancock-Hawkins-Sullivan-Union-Grainger-
Hamblen-Northwest Cocke-Northwest Greene-Washington TN-Northwest
Carter-Roane-Loudon-Knox-Jefferson-Northwest Blount-North Sevier-
Rhea-Meigs-McMinn-Northwest Monroe-Hamilton-Bradley-West Polk-
East Polk-Lee-Wise-Scott VA-Russell-Washington VA-
Including the cities of Unaka, Bean Station, Castlewood, Howard
Quarter, McMahan, Newport, Dandridge, Big Stone Gap, Dye,
Kingsport, Harrogate-Shawanee, Cleveland, Violet, Jefferson City,
Ducktown, South Holston Dam, Sharps Chapel, Alpha, Norton,
Bradbury, Rosedale, Happy Valley, Kingston, Treadway, Hayesville,
Arthur, Pardee, Maryville, Chestnut Hill, Alcoa, Benhams, White
Pine, Parksville, Grandview, Abingdon, Bristol TN, Lebanon,
Springdale, Marble, Clear Water, Evensville, Appalachia,
Clairfield, Dayton, Russellville, Hansonville, Bristol VA, Oliver
Springs, Wise, Sweetwater, Rockwood, Big Frog Mountain, Sandlick,
Strawberry Plains, Maynardville, Murphy, Eagle Furnace,
Harrisburg, Evanston, Reliance, Kodak, Loudon, Old Washington,
Etowah, Hiltons, Big Spring, Sneedville, Dentville, Kyles Ford,
Lenoir City, Athens, Benton, Fairview, Bullet Creek, Lake Forest,
Bearden, Mooresburg, Brasstown, Harriman, Madisonville, Pigeon
Forge, Conasauga, Tusquitee, Norris Lake, Topton, Signal
Mountain, Johnson City, Lookout Mountain, Rose Hill, Morristown,
Bybee, Knoxville, Lone Mountain, Elizabethton, Chattanooga,
Greeneville, Shooting Creek, Luttrell, Sevierville, Spring City,
Honaker, Tasso, Paulette, Andrews, Seymour, Archville, Hiawasse
Dam, Coeburn, and Turtletown
1105 AM EST Tue Feb 27 2024

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 PM EST 
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 40 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Portions of southwest North Carolina, east Tennessee, and 
  southwest Virginia.

* WHEN...From 3 PM this afternoon to 1 PM EST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

TNZ018-043-045-047-087-280500-
/O.EXT.KMRX.WI.Y.0008.240227T2000Z-240229T0000Z/
Johnson-Southeast Greene-Unicoi-Southeast Carter-Southeast Monroe-
Including the cities of Hampton, Laurel Bloomery, Limestone Cove,
Cedar Creek, Citico, Coker Creek, Shady Valley, Neva, Erwin,
Doeville, Trade, Unicoi, and Mountain City
1105 AM EST Tue Feb 27 2024

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST 
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Johnson, Southeast Carter, Southeast Greene, Southeast 
  Monroe, and Unicoi Counties.

* WHEN...From 3 PM this afternoon to 7 PM EST Wednesday.

$$

TNZ012-013-035-036-081-082-098-280500-
/O.CON.KMRX.WI.Y.0008.240227T1800Z-240228T1800Z/
Scott TN-Campbell-Morgan-Anderson-Sequatchie-Bledsoe-Marion-
Including the cities of Powells Crossroads, Cartwright, Pine
Orchard, Whitwell, Elk Valley, Caryville, Brayton, Fincastle,
Jasper, Martin Springs, Lone Oak, Elgin, Mount Crest, South
Pittsburg, Palio, Norma, Huntsville, Petros, Melvine, High Point,
Dunlap, Oak Ridge, White Oak, Oneida, Royal Blue, Monteagle,
Haletown (Guild), La Follette, Slick Rock, Old Cumberland, Smokey
Junction, Clinton, Big South Fork National, Pikeville, Cagle, and
Jellico
1105 AM EST Tue Feb 27 2024 /1005 AM CST Tue Feb 27 2024/

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST /NOON CST/ 
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Anderson, Bledsoe, Campbell, Marion, Morgan, Scott TN, and 
  Sequatchie Counties.

* WHEN...Until 1 PM EST /noon CST/ Wednesday.

$$

BW
098 
WWUS74 KMRX 280254
NPWMRX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Morristown TN
954 PM EST Tue Feb 27 2024

TNZ041-072-074-281000-
/O.CON.KMRX.HW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-240229T0000Z/
Cocke Smoky Mountains-Blount Smoky Mountains-Sevier Smoky
Mountains-
Including the cities of Cades Cove, Gatlinburg, Hartford, and
Elkmont
954 PM EST Tue Feb 27 2024

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* WHERE...Blount Smoky Mountains, Cocke Smoky Mountains, and Sevier 
  Smoky Mountains Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, 
  especially for high profile vehicles.

$$

NCZ060-061-TNZ014>017-037>040-042-044-046-067>071-073-083>086-
099>102-VAZ001-002-005-006-008-281000-
/O.CON.KMRX.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-240228T1800Z/
Cherokee-Clay-Claiborne-Hancock-Hawkins-Sullivan-Union-Grainger-
Hamblen-Northwest Cocke-Northwest Greene-Washington TN-Northwest
Carter-Roane-Loudon-Knox-Jefferson-Northwest Blount-North Sevier-
Rhea-Meigs-McMinn-Northwest Monroe-Hamilton-Bradley-West Polk-
East Polk-Lee-Wise-Scott VA-Russell-Washington VA-
Including the cities of Appalachia, Athens, Loudon, Lake Forest,
Arthur, Shooting Creek, Grandview, Parksville, Johnson City,
Conasauga, Ducktown, Sandlick, Jefferson City, Maryville, Pardee,
Chattanooga, Brasstown, Kingsport, Clear Water, Dayton, Bristol
VA, Turtletown, Harrogate-Shawanee, Big Stone Gap, Rockwood,
Alcoa, Dandridge, Knoxville, Rose Hill, Reliance, Etowah,
Bearden, Dye, Old Washington, Coeburn, Bristol TN, Elizabethton,
Paulette, Wise, Kodak, Clairfield, Hiltons, Topton, Madisonville,
Norton, Bradbury, Abingdon, Bean Station, Dentville, Strawberry
Plains, Bybee, Seymour, Sneedville, Hansonville, Big Spring,
Evensville, Kingston, Tusquitee, Happy Valley, Murphy,
Hayesville, Luttrell, Archville, Russellville, Harriman, Lenoir
City, Greeneville, Newport, Bullet Creek, Lookout Mountain,
Evanston, Cleveland, Castlewood, Kyles Ford, White Pine, Marble,
Mooresburg, Chestnut Hill, Rosedale, Pigeon Forge, Violet,
Andrews, Lebanon, Spring City, Morristown, Maynardville,
Treadway, Big Frog Mountain, McMahan, Eagle Furnace, Signal
Mountain, Benton, Honaker, Benhams, Unaka, Norris Lake, Hiawasse
Dam, Springdale, Fairview, Lone Mountain, Tasso, South Holston
Dam, Sweetwater, Harrisburg, Sevierville, Alpha, Oliver Springs,
Sharps Chapel, and Howard Quarter
954 PM EST Tue Feb 27 2024

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of southwest North Carolina, east Tennessee, and 
  southwest Virginia.

* WHEN...Until 1 PM EST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

TNZ012-013-035-036-081-082-098-281000-
/O.CON.KMRX.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-240228T1800Z/
Scott TN-Campbell-Morgan-Anderson-Sequatchie-Bledsoe-Marion-
Including the cities of Pine Orchard, Pikeville, Lone Oak,
Monteagle, Fincastle, Elgin, Dunlap, White Oak, Jellico, Elk
Valley, Caryville, Brayton, Powells Crossroads, Clinton, Petros,
Martin Springs, Melvine, Cagle, High Point, Old Cumberland,
Jasper, South Pittsburg, Oneida, Slick Rock, Huntsville, Royal
Blue, Oak Ridge, Big South Fork National, Smokey Junction, Palio,
Whitwell, Haletown (Guild), La Follette, Cartwright, Norma, and
Mount Crest
954 PM EST Tue Feb 27 2024 /854 PM CST Tue Feb 27 2024/

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST /NOON CST/ 
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* WHERE...Anderson, Bledsoe, Campbell, Marion, Morgan, Scott TN, and 
  Sequatchie Counties.

* WHEN...Until 1 PM EST /noon CST/ Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

$$

TNZ018-043-045-047-087-281000-
/O.CON.KMRX.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-240229T0000Z/
Johnson-Southeast Greene-Unicoi-Southeast Carter-Southeast Monroe-
Including the cities of Doeville, Trade, Unicoi, Citico, Mountain
City, Shady Valley, Erwin, Limestone Cove, Laurel Bloomery, Neva,
Hampton, Coker Creek, and Cedar Creek
954 PM EST Tue Feb 27 2024

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* WHERE...Johnson, Southeast Carter, Southeast Greene, Southeast 
  Monroe, and Unicoi Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

$$

DGS
984 
WWUS74 KMRX 280916
NPWMRX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Morristown TN
416 AM EST Wed Feb 28 2024

TNZ041-072-074-281900-
/O.CON.KMRX.HW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-240229T0000Z/
Cocke Smoky Mountains-Blount Smoky Mountains-Sevier Smoky
Mountains-
Including the cities of Elkmont, Gatlinburg, Hartford, and Cades
Cove
416 AM EST Wed Feb 28 2024

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 65 mph.

* WHERE...Blount Smoky Mountains, Cocke Smoky Mountains, and Sevier 
  Smoky Mountains Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, 
  especially for high profile vehicles.

$$

NCZ060-061-TNZ014>017-037>040-042-044-046-067>071-073-083>086-
099>102-VAZ001-002-005-006-008-281800-
/O.CON.KMRX.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-240228T1800Z/
Cherokee-Clay-Claiborne-Hancock-Hawkins-Sullivan-Union-Grainger-
Hamblen-Northwest Cocke-Northwest Greene-Washington TN-Northwest
Carter-Roane-Loudon-Knox-Jefferson-Northwest Blount-North Sevier-
Rhea-Meigs-McMinn-Northwest Monroe-Hamilton-Bradley-West Polk-
East Polk-Lee-Wise-Scott VA-Russell-Washington VA-
Including the cities of Sweetwater, Evanston, Harrogate-Shawanee,
Wise, Bean Station, Hayesville, Signal Mountain, Newport,
McMahan, Lenoir City, Harrisburg, Sevierville, Grandview,
Coeburn, South Holston Dam, Marble, Russellville, Big Frog
Mountain, Lebanon, Andrews, Maryville, Paulette, Big Stone Gap,
Etowah, Reliance, Happy Valley, Dentville, Springdale, Lookout
Mountain, Honaker, Bearden, Hiltons, Kingston, Dandridge,
Sandlick, Castlewood, Hansonville, Tusquitee, Clear Water,
Fairview, Alcoa, Jefferson City, White Pine, Luttrell, Benhams,
Shooting Creek, Brasstown, Kingsport, Old Washington, Arthur,
Lake Forest, Ducktown, Hiawasse Dam, Clairfield, Bradbury,
Appalachia, Pigeon Forge, Alpha, Bullet Creek, Chestnut Hill,
Conasauga, Strawberry Plains, Chattanooga, Maynardville,
Evensville, Archville, Abingdon, Greeneville, Johnson City,
Bristol VA, Dye, Spring City, Norris Lake, Turtletown, Loudon,
Madisonville, Treadway, Norton, Topton, Knoxville, Benton, Sharps
Chapel, Seymour, Howard Quarter, Cleveland, Unaka, Rosedale, Big
Spring, Kodak, Bristol TN, Mooresburg, Harriman, Eagle Furnace,
Athens, Bybee, Rose Hill, Murphy, Violet, Tasso, Elizabethton,
Dayton, Morristown, Kyles Ford, Sneedville, Parksville, Oliver
Springs, Lone Mountain, Rockwood, and Pardee
416 AM EST Wed Feb 28 2024

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of southwest North Carolina, east Tennessee, and 
  southwest Virginia.

* WHEN...Until 1 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

TNZ012-013-035-036-081-082-098-281800-
/O.CON.KMRX.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-240228T1800Z/
Scott TN-Campbell-Morgan-Anderson-Sequatchie-Bledsoe-Marion-
Including the cities of Big South Fork National, Elgin, Cagle,
White Oak, Martin Springs, Monteagle, South Pittsburg,
Huntsville, Slick Rock, Jasper, Dunlap, Pikeville, Jellico,
Powells Crossroads, Smokey Junction, Palio, Oneida, Fincastle,
Clinton, Brayton, Whitwell, High Point, Petros, Pine Orchard,
Norma, Oak Ridge, La Follette, Caryville, Royal Blue, Lone Oak,
Haletown (Guild), Old Cumberland, Mount Crest, Elk Valley,
Cartwright, and Melvine
416 AM EST Wed Feb 28 2024 /316 AM CST Wed Feb 28 2024/

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST /NOON CST/ THIS 
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* WHERE...Anderson, Bledsoe, Campbell, Marion, Morgan, Scott TN, and 
  Sequatchie Counties.

* WHEN...Until 1 PM EST /noon CST/ this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

$$

TNZ018-043-045-047-087-281900-
/O.CON.KMRX.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-240229T0000Z/
Johnson-Southeast Greene-Unicoi-Southeast Carter-Southeast Monroe-
Including the cities of Shady Valley, Mountain City, Citico,
Coker Creek, Unicoi, Cedar Creek, Laurel Bloomery, Limestone
Cove, Hampton, Neva, Erwin, Trade, and Doeville
416 AM EST Wed Feb 28 2024

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* WHERE...Johnson, Southeast Carter, Southeast Greene, Southeast 
  Monroe, and Unicoi Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

$$

CD
643 
WWUS74 KMRX 281508
NPWMRX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Morristown TN
1008 AM EST Wed Feb 28 2024

TNZ041-072-074-282315-
/O.CON.KMRX.HW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-240229T0000Z/
Cocke Smoky Mountains-Blount Smoky Mountains-Sevier Smoky
Mountains-
Including the cities of Cades Cove, Hartford, Elkmont, and
Gatlinburg
1008 AM EST Wed Feb 28 2024

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...West winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 65 mph.

* WHERE...Blount Smoky Mountains, Cocke Smoky Mountains, and Sevier 
  Smoky Mountains Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, 
  especially for high profile vehicles.

$$

NCZ060-061-TNZ014>017-037>040-042-044-046-067>071-073-083>086-
099>102-VAZ001-002-005-006-008-282100-
/O.EXT.KMRX.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-240228T2100Z/
Cherokee-Clay-Claiborne-Hancock-Hawkins-Sullivan-Union-Grainger-
Hamblen-Northwest Cocke-Northwest Greene-Washington TN-Northwest
Carter-Roane-Loudon-Knox-Jefferson-Northwest Blount-North Sevier-
Rhea-Meigs-McMinn-Northwest Monroe-Hamilton-Bradley-West Polk-
East Polk-Lee-Wise-Scott VA-Russell-Washington VA-
Including the cities of Signal Mountain, Castlewood, Maryville,
Hiltons, Alpha, Turtletown, Mooresburg, Harriman, Big Stone Gap,
Clear Water, Grandview, Big Spring, Dye, Sevierville, Springdale,
Big Frog Mountain, Clairfield, Jefferson City, Pigeon Forge,
Arthur, Dentville, Conasauga, Wise, Treadway, Chestnut Hill,
Honaker, Bearden, Tasso, Bean Station, Coeburn, Kingsport,
Madisonville, Sandlick, Archville, Lone Mountain, Dandridge,
Knoxville, Lookout Mountain, Cleveland, Newport, Spring City,
Howard Quarter, Russellville, Happy Valley, Bristol VA, Oliver
Springs, Alcoa, Reliance, Old Washington, Sneedville, Abingdon,
Appalachia, Etowah, Lenoir City, Kodak, Unaka, Marble, Kyles
Ford, Rose Hill, Bradbury, Strawberry Plains, Norton, Ducktown,
South Holston Dam, Fairview, Evanston, Morristown, Luttrell,
Hayesville, Rockwood, Tusquitee, Loudon, Benton, Norris Lake,
Violet, Maynardville, Greeneville, Brasstown, Hansonville,
Paulette, Sharps Chapel, Dayton, Bristol TN, McMahan, Athens,
Rosedale, Chattanooga, Bybee, Harrogate-Shawanee, Bullet Creek,
Parksville, Evensville, Eagle Furnace, Benhams, Kingston,
Sweetwater, Seymour, Elizabethton, Murphy, White Pine, Shooting
Creek, Hiawasse Dam, Lake Forest, Andrews, Pardee, Topton,
Lebanon, Harrisburg, and Johnson City
1008 AM EST Wed Feb 28 2024

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of southwest North Carolina, east Tennessee, and 
  southwest Virginia.

* WHEN...Until 4 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

TNZ012-013-035-036-081-082-098-282100-
/O.EXT.KMRX.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-240228T2100Z/
Scott TN-Campbell-Morgan-Anderson-Sequatchie-Bledsoe-Marion-
Including the cities of Pine Orchard, Pikeville, Martin Springs,
Palio, Elk Valley, Caryville, Norma, Big South Fork National,
High Point, Smokey Junction, Lone Oak, Slick Rock, Huntsville,
Jellico, White Oak, Brayton, Fincastle, Dunlap, Monteagle, Old
Cumberland, Petros, Haletown (Guild), Oak Ridge, Clinton, Oneida,
Jasper, Elgin, Cartwright, Powells Crossroads, Whitwell, Cagle,
South Pittsburg, Mount Crest, Royal Blue, Melvine, and La
Follette
1008 AM EST Wed Feb 28 2024 /908 AM CST Wed Feb 28 2024/

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST /3 PM CST/ THIS 
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...West winds 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* WHERE...Anderson, Bledsoe, Campbell, Marion, Morgan, Scott TN, and 
  Sequatchie Counties.

* WHEN...Until 4 PM EST /3 PM CST/ this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

TNZ018-043-045-047-087-282315-
/O.CON.KMRX.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-240229T0000Z/
Johnson-Southeast Greene-Unicoi-Southeast Carter-Southeast Monroe-
Including the cities of Coker Creek, Unicoi, Mountain City,
Erwin, Shady Valley, Laurel Bloomery, Doeville, Cedar Creek,
Trade, Neva, Citico, Limestone Cove, and Hampton
1008 AM EST Wed Feb 28 2024

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* WHERE...Johnson, Southeast Carter, Southeast Greene, Southeast 
  Monroe, and Unicoi Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

$$

BW
518 
WWUS74 KMRX 281927
NPWMRX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Morristown TN
227 PM EST Wed Feb 28 2024

TNZ041-072-074-290000-
/O.CON.KMRX.HW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-240229T0000Z/
Cocke Smoky Mountains-Blount Smoky Mountains-Sevier Smoky
Mountains-
Including the cities of Gatlinburg, Cades Cove, Elkmont, and
Hartford
227 PM EST Wed Feb 28 2024

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* WHERE...Blount Smoky Mountains, Cocke Smoky Mountains, and Sevier 
  Smoky Mountains Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, 
  especially for high profile vehicles.

$$

NCZ060-061-TNZ014>017-037>040-042-044-046-067>071-073-083>086-
099>102-VAZ001-002-005-006-008-282100-
/O.CON.KMRX.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-240228T2100Z/
Cherokee-Clay-Claiborne-Hancock-Hawkins-Sullivan-Union-Grainger-
Hamblen-Northwest Cocke-Northwest Greene-Washington TN-Northwest
Carter-Roane-Loudon-Knox-Jefferson-Northwest Blount-North Sevier-
Rhea-Meigs-McMinn-Northwest Monroe-Hamilton-Bradley-West Polk-
East Polk-Lee-Wise-Scott VA-Russell-Washington VA-
Including the cities of Hiawasse Dam, Chestnut Hill, Norris Lake,
Brasstown, Harrisburg, Murphy, Marble, Coeburn, Benhams,
Ducktown, Hiltons, Elizabethton, Oliver Springs, Abingdon,
Knoxville, Kodak, Lebanon, Lookout Mountain, Topton, Howard
Quarter, Tasso, Arthur, Alcoa, Treadway, Norton, Johnson City,
Greeneville, Signal Mountain, Athens, White Pine, Castlewood,
Evensville, Appalachia, Evanston, Fairview, Strawberry Plains,
Pigeon Forge, Russellville, Cleveland, Bristol VA, Dandridge,
Chattanooga, Springdale, Big Stone Gap, Jefferson City, Andrews,
Harriman, McMahan, Newport, Dayton, Madisonville, Benton,
Paulette, Rosedale, Harrogate-Shawanee, Bean Station, Wise, Rose
Hill, Violet, Rockwood, Hayesville, Morristown, Bullet Creek,
Hansonville, Pardee, Sneedville, Sandlick, Kingsport, Dentville,
Big Frog Mountain, Bybee, Dye, Lenoir City, Sharps Chapel,
Reliance, Kyles Ford, Shooting Creek, Loudon, Maryville, South
Holston Dam, Eagle Furnace, Etowah, Turtletown, Sevierville,
Spring City, Honaker, Old Washington, Grandview, Lake Forest,
Maynardville, Luttrell, Clear Water, Lone Mountain, Happy Valley,
Conasauga, Bradbury, Parksville, Bristol TN, Bearden, Archville,
Unaka, Mooresburg, Alpha, Seymour, Clairfield, Big Spring,
Sweetwater, Tusquitee, and Kingston
227 PM EST Wed Feb 28 2024

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of southwest North Carolina, east Tennessee, and 
  southwest Virginia.

* WHEN...Until 4 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

TNZ012-013-035-036-081-082-098-282100-
/O.CON.KMRX.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-240228T2100Z/
Scott TN-Campbell-Morgan-Anderson-Sequatchie-Bledsoe-Marion-
Including the cities of Fincastle, Jellico, Clinton, Elk Valley,
Cartwright, Lone Oak, Big South Fork National, Smokey Junction,
Elgin, Huntsville, White Oak, Cagle, Slick Rock, South Pittsburg,
Oneida, Brayton, Old Cumberland, Norma, Powells Crossroads, Pine
Orchard, Petros, Haletown (Guild), Whitwell, Pikeville, Dunlap,
Melvine, Martin Springs, Jasper, High Point, Oak Ridge,
Monteagle, Palio, La Follette, Caryville, Mount Crest, and Royal
Blue
227 PM EST Wed Feb 28 2024 /127 PM CST Wed Feb 28 2024/

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST /3 PM CST/ THIS 
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.

* WHERE...Anderson, Bledsoe, Campbell, Marion, Morgan, Scott TN, and 
  Sequatchie Counties.

* WHEN...Until 4 PM EST /3 PM CST/ this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

TNZ018-043-045-047-087-290000-
/O.CON.KMRX.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-240229T0000Z/
Johnson-Southeast Greene-Unicoi-Southeast Carter-Southeast Monroe-
Including the cities of Doeville, Cedar Creek, Erwin, Hampton,
Laurel Bloomery, Trade, Shady Valley, Unicoi, Citico, Coker
Creek, Limestone Cove, Mountain City, and Neva
227 PM EST Wed Feb 28 2024

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* WHERE...Johnson, Southeast Carter, Southeast Greene, Southeast 
  Monroe, and Unicoi Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

$$

DH
778 
WWUS74 KMRX 282103
NPWMRX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Morristown TN
403 PM EST Wed Feb 28 2024

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>017-035>040-042-044-046-067>071-073-081>086-
098>102-VAZ001-002-005-006-008-282215-
/O.EXP.KMRX.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-240228T2100Z/
Cherokee-Clay-Scott TN-Campbell-Claiborne-Hancock-Hawkins-
Sullivan-Morgan-Anderson-Union-Grainger-Hamblen-Northwest Cocke-
Northwest Greene-Washington TN-Northwest Carter-Roane-Loudon-Knox-
Jefferson-Northwest Blount-North Sevier-Sequatchie-Bledsoe-Rhea-
Meigs-McMinn-Northwest Monroe-Marion-Hamilton-Bradley-West Polk-
East Polk-Lee-Wise-Scott VA-Russell-Washington VA-
Including the cities of Powells Crossroads, Turtletown, Andrews,
Ducktown, Fairview, Maryville, Melvine, Murphy, Sevierville,
Cartwright, High Point, Sandlick, Old Washington, Royal Blue,
Newport, Unaka, Martin Springs, Kingsport, Pine Orchard, Big Frog
Mountain, Haletown (Guild), Hiltons, Dandridge, Appalachia,
Rosedale, Norma, Bullet Creek, Lenoir City, Harrogate-Shawanee,
Harriman, Loudon, Lone Oak, Norton, Paulette, Pikeville, Norris
Lake, Elizabethton, Lake Forest, Etowah, Harrisburg, Bradbury,
Violet, Conasauga, Eagle Furnace, South Holston Dam, Slick Rock,
Tasso, McMahan, Sharps Chapel, Strawberry Plains, Johnson City,
Rose Hill, Brayton, Hansonville, Jellico, Alcoa, Luttrell,
Topton, Parksville, Grandview, Cagle, Huntsville, Howard Quarter,
Jasper, Lebanon, Big Stone Gap, Benton, Cleveland, Alpha,
Knoxville, Clear Water, Monteagle, Wise, Signal Mountain,
Evanston, Sweetwater, Big Spring, Big South Fork National,
Benhams, Pigeon Forge, Archville, Coeburn, Pardee, Chestnut Hill,
Oneida, Bearden, Oak Ridge, Fincastle, Russellville, Evensville,
Treadway, Chattanooga, Bristol TN, Honaker, Hayesville, Spring
City, Dentville, Kingston, Reliance, South Pittsburg, Springdale,
Clinton, Dunlap, Shooting Creek, Greeneville, Arthur, Caryville,
Dayton, Elgin, Kyles Ford, Smokey Junction, Madisonville, Petros,
Whitwell, Sneedville, Lookout Mountain, Dye, White Pine,
Mooresburg, Morristown, Bean Station, Mount Crest, Oliver
Springs, Clairfield, Bybee, Palio, La Follette, Elk Valley,
Bristol VA, Athens, Marble, Seymour, Castlewood, White Oak,
Brasstown, Kodak, Lone Mountain, Happy Valley, Tusquitee,
Jefferson City, Hiawasse Dam, Abingdon, Rockwood, Old Cumberland,
and Maynardville
403 PM EST Wed Feb 28 2024 /303 PM CST Wed Feb 28 2024/

...WIND ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

The strongest winds have subsided, but some gusty winds will still 
be possible for a few hours.

$$

TNZ041-072-074-290000-
/O.CON.KMRX.HW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-240229T0000Z/
Cocke Smoky Mountains-Blount Smoky Mountains-Sevier Smoky
Mountains-
Including the cities of Hartford, Elkmont, Cades Cove, and
Gatlinburg
403 PM EST Wed Feb 28 2024

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...West winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 65 mph.

* WHERE...Blount Smoky Mountains, Cocke Smoky Mountains, and Sevier 
  Smoky Mountains Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, 
  especially for high profile vehicles.

$$

TNZ018-043-045-047-087-290000-
/O.CON.KMRX.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-240229T0000Z/
Johnson-Southeast Greene-Unicoi-Southeast Carter-Southeast Monroe-
Including the cities of Unicoi, Hampton, Erwin, Citico, Coker
Creek, Trade, Doeville, Shady Valley, Limestone Cove, Laurel
Bloomery, Mountain City, Neva, and Cedar Creek
403 PM EST Wed Feb 28 2024

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* WHERE...Johnson, Southeast Carter, Southeast Greene, Southeast 
  Monroe, and Unicoi Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

$$

19

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this high wind warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Morristown, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this high wind warning went out at Feb 27, 3:52 AM EST, 4 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 27, 3:52 AM EST, 4 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Morristown TN
352 AM EST Tue Feb 27 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 349 AM EST Tue Feb 27 2024

Key Messages:

1. Prolonged windy conditions across the entirety of the forecast
area, but especially the east Tennessee mountains and adjacent
foothills. These conditions last into Wednesday.

2. Continued above normal temperatures - roughly 15 degrees above
normal.

Discussion:

A trough over the intermountain west will interact with a strong
subtropical jet over the four corners region as it shifts east
today, leading to surface cyclogenesis from the central/northern
plains eastward into the upper midwest today and tonight. Locally,
increased lift well ahead of an associated cold front will lead to
increasing rain chances, along with strengthening low level flow and
resulting windy conditions across the CWA.

Regional radar imagery shows scattered showers developing across
western Tennessee early this morning, associated with a strong low
level jet and increasing isentropic ascent along the 300 and 305 K
theta surfaces. Cloud heights are still in the 6-8k ft AGL range,
and I'm not seeing a lot of rain reaching the ground just yet in
surface obs. Suspect that's partially due to observation density
though. However, lift and shower coverage are expected to increase
and shift eastward through daybreak and shortly thereafter, and
guidance is in good agreement in this regard so will have some high
end rain chances through midday or early afternoon, especially in
the north where the best forcing will be. We'll see a lull in rain
chances this afternoon and evening before they ramp up again
overnight in advance of the approaching cold front with this system.
Could see a few rumbles of thunder, both this morning and again
tonight, but expect mostly just showers.

The main forecast item of note in the short term will be the winds.
Cove Mountain has been gusting to around 55 mph for a few hours now,
and even Camp Creek has been in the 30-35mph range most of the
night. The former wouldn't be too alarming as Cove Mtn is always a
windy place, but the fact that Camp Creek has been gusting to near
advisory levels despite the H85 winds not being too favorably
aligned for mountain wave winds has me wondering if wind headlines
won't need further revision before the day shift takes over. As it
stands, bumped up the start time for all of the wind advisory
products outside of the Smokies by 3 hrs as guidance has sped up the
arrival time of strong winds as well as the cold front tomorrow.
Also went ahead and converted the high wind watch to a warning for
the Smokies and bumped the start time of that up a bit like the
other products. Expect to see gusts of 30-40mph most everywhere over
the next 24-36 hrs with higher gusts in the plateau and east TN
mountains. The Smokies seem to be a lock for gusts to around 70mph
given Cove Mountain's current gusts, with the rest of the east TN
mountains as well as plateau areas seeing gusts of 45-50mph. At this
time, did not expand the wind advisory into the TN valley, nor
expand to include the higher elevations of our VA counties. But that
may wind up being necessary. Will continue to monitor the winds in
the Smokies through the end of the shift and may wind up needing to
update before the day shift arrives. If so, will make a call on
expanding to the valley and VA counties at that time.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 349 AM EST Tue Feb 27 2024

Key Messages:

1. Sharp cold front to arrive daytime Wednesday, strong gusty winds
with rain showers and a chance for thunderstorms accompanying the
front.

2. Next chance for rain Friday, temperatures begin to rebound back
to warm weather for the weekend.

3. Chances for additional but highly uncertain rainfall early next
week.

Discussion:

Wednesday could be a massive letdown with the way things have
trended tonight. Cold front may yield unpleasant surprises for many,
with timing coming in a little earlier tonight. Blended NBM with
NBM10 and HREF for max temperatures, with midnight temperatures
Wednesday morning likely will be the daily high temperatures for the
wider region. Temperatures will then be deprived of an opportunity
to rebound, as the front makes a daytime arrival and brings cooler
air from the northwest in behind. CAPE ahead of the frontal line of
showers is meager, but present, so thunder is a possibility. Lapse
rates just aloft and the weak thermos should keep any severe
potential at bay, which is nice since otherwise there's plenty of
shear.

After the front, temperatures will quickly cool through the evening,
but think the NBM was too aggressive on snow potential Wednesday
evening so pretty much removed it outside of the mountains of East
Tennessee and southwest Virginia. Airmass behind the front is fairly
dry, with only a thin and weak moisture profile evident in a modeled
cross section. So, despite the shift up in earlier timing, am
maintaining consistency from the day shift with zero to trace snow
up in the mountains, zero elsewhere. Temperatures next couple days
will be flat and cool, then a rebound arrives with the Friday system
as a shortwave lifts out of the southern Rockies and helps bring
back stronger southerly flow and warmer air to us. After that the
deterministic solutions diverge on the upper air pattern, with a
longwave trough expected to be exiting the Rockies sometime early
next week. GFS and Euro ensembles resemble their respective
deterministic solutions, so no help there. Chances of rain will be
on the increase though sometime on Monday next week on past the end
of the period.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 101 AM EST Tue Feb 27 2024

Warm moist advection will bring MVFR CIGS to KCHA, along with
scattered SHRA across much of east TN, between roughly 11z and 18z
today. Some downslope components to low level flow across the
Appalachians should keep KTYS and KTRI in largely VFR conditions,
save some temporary visibility restrictions from showers. In
addition to the SHRA, do expect some prolonged gusty conditions of
20-25kt at KTYS and KCHA beginning this afternoon and lasting
through the end of the period. Not expecting gusts at KTRI through
06z.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Chattanooga Airport, TN             72  64  66  31 /  60  20  90   0
Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN  71  63  64  28 /  70  30 100  10
Oak Ridge, TN                       70  63  63  28 /  60  30 100   0
Tri Cities Airport, TN              68  59  62  25 /  70  20 100  10

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...Wind Advisory from 1 PM EST /noon CST/ this afternoon to 1 PM
     EST /noon CST/ Wednesday for Anderson-Bledsoe-Campbell-
     Marion-Morgan-Scott TN-Sequatchie.

     Wind Advisory from 3 PM this afternoon to 4 PM EST Wednesday for
     Johnson-Southeast Carter-Southeast Greene-Southeast Monroe-
     Unicoi.

     Wind Advisory until 3 PM EST this afternoon for Blount Smoky
     Mountains-Cocke Smoky Mountains-Sevier Smoky Mountains.

     High Wind Warning from 3 PM this afternoon to 4 PM EST Wednesday
     for Blount Smoky Mountains-Cocke Smoky Mountains-Sevier
     Smoky Mountains.

VA...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...CD
LONG TERM....Wellington
AVIATION...CD
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 26, 3:05 PM EST, 12 hours 51 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Morristown TN
305 PM EST Mon Feb 26 2024

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-
005-006-008-272015-
Cherokee-Clay-Scott TN-Campbell-Claiborne-Hancock-Hawkins-
Sullivan-Johnson-Morgan-Anderson-Union-Grainger-Hamblen-
Northwest Cocke-Cocke Smoky Mountains-Northwest Greene-
Southeast Greene-Washington TN-Unicoi-Northwest Carter-
Southeast Carter-Roane-Loudon-Knox-Jefferson-Northwest Blount-
Blount Smoky Mountains-North Sevier-Sevier Smoky Mountains-
Sequatchie-Bledsoe-Rhea-Meigs-McMinn-Northwest Monroe-
Southeast Monroe-Marion-Hamilton-Bradley-West Polk-East Polk-Lee-
Wise-Scott VA-Russell-Washington VA-
305 PM EST Mon Feb 26 2024 /205 PM CST Mon Feb 26 2024/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southwest North
Carolina...east Tennessee and southwest Virginia.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Gusty winds are expected to begin in the southern Appalachian
Mountains this evening and continuing through the middle of the
week. These breezy winds out of the south to southwest could make
travel difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Gusty winds continue in the southern Appalachian Mountains through
Wednesday.

Winds along the Cumberland Plateau will increase in speed on
Tuesday out of the south to southwest.

A strong cold front will move through the area on Wednesday. Gusty
southwest winds expected to increase down in the valley during
the afternoon. A few thunderstorms are possible along the front.
Although a strong storm is possible, severe weather chances appear
very low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not needed at this time.

Nearby

High Wind Warnings in Tennessee, 2024Every high wind warning in 2024

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.