Beach Hazards Statement 7, NWS Marquette, MI

463 
WHUS43 KMQT 191833
CFWMQT

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Marquette MI
233 PM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024

MIZ006-200200-
/O.EXB.KMQT.BH.S.0007.240619T1900Z-240620T0200Z/
Alger-
233 PM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Dangerous swimming conditions are expected due to high 
  wave action and strong rip currents.

* WHERE...Alger County.

* WHEN...Until 10 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...High wave action and dangerous currents will lead to 
  life threatening swimming conditions. Waves in rapid 
  succession can tire swimmers quickly.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Current related fatalities and rescues in 
  the past have occurred due to similar wave conditions at 
  locations listed below:

For Alger County: The Au Train River mouth at Au Train, the
exposed regions of Grand Marais Harbor, and Pictured Rocks
National Lakeshore.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain out of the water to avoid hazardous swimming conditions.

&&

$$

MIZ014-192200-
/O.CON.KMQT.BH.S.0007.000000T0000Z-240619T2200Z/
Southern Schoolcraft-
233 PM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Dangerous swimming conditions are due to high wave 
  action and strong rip currents.

* WHERE...Southern Schoolcraft County.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...High wave action and dangerous currents will lead to 
  life threatening swimming conditions. Waves in rapid 
  succession can tire swimmers quickly.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Current related fatalities and rescues in 
  the past have occurred due to similar wave conditions at 
  locations listed below:

For Southern Schoolcraft County: Near Lakeview Park and Seul
Choix Point.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain out of the water to avoid hazardous swimming conditions.

&&

$$

TAP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Marquette MI
741 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

-Showers and thunderstorms linger mainly across the eastern UP
through the morning, largely ending this afternoon.

-Temperatures trend more towards normal.

- Potential heavy rain event this weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 451 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024

Low pressure moving over Ontario continues to slowly drag a cold
front through the area today. Showers and storms out ahead of it
have become lighter and more spotty in nature over the past few
hours, currently training over the central UP and Lake Superior. The
front, currently moving into the western UP, should be heading into
the central and eastern UP by the afternoon hours. There is a chance
for some additional showers and even a few rumbles of thunder to
develop along the boundary, but early morning cloud cover may limit
destabilization today. For what it's worth, CAMs also struggle to
develop anything more than some spotty, weak activity this
afternoon.

Otherwise, look for a cooler day with temperatures ranging in the
70s under cloudy skies. Winds may initially be breezy with the
passing front, but should turn calmer into the evening hours as a
ridge begins to build behind the exiting system. Most of hte area
should be dry tonight, but a few showers will still not be totally
ruled out across the south-central UP as the weakening boundary
continues to sag southward. Temperatures fall back into the 50s
across most of the area, but some cooler spots may reach the upper
40s, especially where we can see some breaks in the clouds.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Issued at 451 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024

Weak lower to midlevel ridging builds southward from Ontario for
Thursday while a weak trough ripples through WI and the LP. With dry
lower to midlevels apparent in soundings, a drier scenario will
likely win out for Thursday - but still will allow for the
possibility of a few showers and rumbles of thunder, mainly across
the south-central UP.

Thursday night, a shortwave begins to eject out of the Rockies,
kicking off warm frontogenesis and our next chances for rain and
thunderstorms as early as Friday morning. The front stalls out
somewhere in our vicinity Friday, strengthening Friday evening into
early this weekend as a surface low closes off and deepens, and a 30-
45kt LLJ becomes directed across the boundary. We could see some
heavy rainfall out of this, as ensembles show PWATs near the max of
modeled climatology (nearly 2"). With training very possible along
the front given it's slow movement northwards, we may need to keep
an eye on flooding concerns across our area. Will note that
ensembles are indicating a high chance (as high as 50-70% chance)
for rain totals in excess of an inch across much of the area by
Saturday evening, in particular across the western UP, where we've
been able to pick up on quite a bit of rainfall over the past
several days already. The low moves ENE through the area Saturday
night, and we may be able to see a brief dry period overnight into
early Sunday before another clipper drops through during the daytime
Sunday. This will bring in another round of showers and storms to
finish out the weekend.

Moving into early next week, expect ridging and finally some drier
weather as a high pressure moves from the Plains through the
Midwest. This will give way to yet another potential for some wet
weather by Tuesday as a shortwave moving through Ontario drags a
cold front through the Great Lakes.

Overall, expect temperatures to be near normal for the extended
period, with some days showing below normal high temperatures (such
as Thursday, Friday, and Sunday). Outside of the rain and storm
chances throughout the next week, the only other thing worth
mentioning is the possibility for localized river flooding along the
Chocolay River near Harvey. With much of the basin having received
between 2 to 3.5 inches of rainfall over the past 24+ hours, and the
Observation Program Leader having gone out to the Chocolay near
Yelden (around Skandia) and seeing the river already up to the
bridge, there may be some isolated spots along the river near Harvey
that could see some river flooding issues that are more typical to
the Spring-time (water in basements, etc.) This situation will
continue to be monitored by the staff here at WFO MQT, as well as
the NCRFC while the water from the recent rainfall slowly exits the
Chocolay River Basin into Lake Superior.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 740 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024

IFR/MVFR conditions to perist through the morning at all TAF sites
as a cold front moves through Upper Michigan. The bulk of the
convective activity is now east of TAF sites, but cannot rule out a
few scattered showers, yet, through early afternoon at SAW.  Other
impacts will be strong westerly winds at CMX today sustained at 19
kts, gusting to 30 kts.  Elsewhere, westerly winds will be sustained
at 12 kts at IWD and CMX.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 451 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024

Winds remain fairly erratic early this morning with lingering
convection as a cold front slowly moves through the area. That said,
ahead of the front, winds should primarily be out of the south while
veering to the SW then west behind it. Gusts to 20-25kts remain
common across the lake, though higher gusts up to 25-30kts will be
possible especially between the Keweenaw and Isle Royale this
morning. Winds weaken to 20 knots or less again by the early evening
as ridging builds in over Lake Superior behind the decaying cold
front boundary. Winds stay light at until this weekend, when a
Colorado Low followed by a Clipper system will see winds gusting to
around 20kts Saturday and Sunday. Ridging into early next week will
bring a return to quiet weather.

The other mentionable hazard over Lake Superior for the next several
days is thunderstorms. Thunderstorms continue to move across the
central portions of the lake early this morning, finally moving out
by the early afternoon. Then, chances for thunderstorms return
Friday and continue through the weekend with our aforementioned
systems moving through, though severe weather is not looking likely
at this point.

&&

.MQT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Upper Michigan...
  Beach Hazards Statement through this evening for MIZ014.

Lake Superior...
  Dense Fog Advisory until 8 AM EDT /7 AM CDT/ this morning for
     LSZ162-263-264.

Lake Michigan...
None.

&&

SHORT TERM...LC
LONG TERM...LC
AVIATION...TDUD
MARINE...LC

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Marquette MI
459 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024

MIZ001>007-009>014-084-085-200900-
Keweenaw-Ontonagon-Northern Houghton-Baraga-Marquette-Alger-Luce-
Gogebic-Iron-Dickinson-Menominee-Delta-Southern Schoolcraft-
Southern Houghton-Northern Schoolcraft-
459 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024 /359 AM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Upper
Michigan and western Upper Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Thunderstorms possible today across the eastern half of Upper
Michigan.

There will be hazardous swimming conditions again today for
Schoolcraft County beaches. Avoid the water due to dangerous rip
currents!

A moderate swim risk is expected for the Lake Superior beaches of
Alger County this afternoon. The risk for dangerous rip currents
is elevated. Only experienced swimmers should enter the water.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Thunderstorms are possible Thursday through Sunday.

There could be some flooding concerns by the middle of this week
along the Chocolay River near Harvey as the basin has received 2
to 3.5 inches of rainfall over the past 24+ hours.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report any reports of heavy rainfall
to the National Weather Service in Marquette. The public may also
submit reports to the National Weather Service via phone, on our
website, or through Facebook or X.

LSZ162-240>251-263>267-200900-
Lake Superior west of a line from Saxon Harbor WI to Grand
Portage MN beyond 5NM-Saxon Harbor WI to Black River MI-
Black River to Ontonagon MI-
Ontonagon to Upper Entrance of Portage Canal MI-
Upper Entrance of Portage Canal to Eagle River MI-
Eagle River to Manitou Island MI-
Manitou Island to Point Isabelle MI-
Point Isabelle to Lower Entrance of Portage Canal MI-
Lower Entrance of Portage Canal To Huron Islands MI Including
Keweenaw and Huron Bays-Huron Islands to Marquette MI-
Marquette to Munising MI-Munising to Grand Marais MI-
Grand Marais to Whitefish Point MI-
Lake Superior from Saxon Harbor WI to Upper Entrance to Portage
Canal MI 5NM off shore to the US/Canadian border including Isle
Royale National Park-
Lake Superior from Upper Entrance to Portage Canal to Manitou
Island MI 5NM off shore to the US/Canadian Border-
Lake Superior West of Line from Manitou Island to Marquette MI
Beyond 5NM from shore-
Lake Superior East of a line from Manitou Island to Marquette MI
and West of a line from Grand Marais MI to the US/Canadian Border
Beyond 5NM from shore-
Lake Superior from Grand Marais MI to Whitefish Point MI 5NM off
shore to the US/Canadian border-
459 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024 /359 AM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Central Lake
Superior...Eastern Lake Superior and Western Lake Superior.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Thunderstorms are possible over the eastern lake today.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Thunderstorms are possible again Friday through Sunday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

The need for weather spotter reports is not anticipated at this
time.

LMZ221-248-250-200900-
Green Bay North of line from Cedar River MI to Rock Island
Passage-Seul Choix Point to Point Detour MI-
5NM East of a line from Fairport MI to Rock Island Passage-
459 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Northern Lake
Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Thunderstorms are possible today.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Multiple rounds of thunderstorms are expected through the weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

The need for weather spotter reports is not anticipated at this
time.

TDUD

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Marquette MI
1013 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0504 PM     Non-Tstm Wnd Gst 1 ESE Trout Creek       46.48N 88.99W
06/18/2024  M41 MPH          Houghton           MI   Mesonet

            Mesonet station MC028 Trout Creek MDOT.

&&

TAP

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Marquette MI
1014 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0930 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     Houghton Co Airport     47.17N 88.48W
06/18/2024  M39 MPH          Houghton           MI   ASOS

            ASOS station KCMX Houghton Co. Airport.

&&

TAP

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Marquette MI
1016 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1210 AM     Tstm Wnd Gst     Big Bay                 46.83N 87.72W
06/19/2024  M40 MPH          LSZ248             MI   Mesonet

            GLOS Weather station BIGM4 Big Bay.

&&

TAP

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Marquette MI
1017 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0155 PM     Non-Tstm Wnd Gst 5 SE Newberry           46.30N 85.45W
06/18/2024  M38 MPH          Luce               MI   AWOS

            AWOS station KERY Newberry.

0403 PM     Non-Tstm Wnd Gst 1 SW Germfask           46.24N 85.94W
06/18/2024  M38 MPH          Schoolcraft        MI   Mesonet

            Mesonet station SNYM4 1 SW Germfask.

0529 PM     Non-Tstm Wnd Gst 4 NW Bessemer           46.52N 90.12W
06/18/2024  M38 MPH          Gogebic            MI   AWOS

            AWOS station KIWD Ironwood Airport.

0617 PM     Non-Tstm Wnd Gst 1 NW Kingsford          45.82N 88.12W
06/18/2024  M38 MPH          Dickinson          MI   ASOS

            ASOS station KIMT Kingsford.

0723 PM     Non-Tstm Wnd Gst 6 NNE Chicago Lake      46.13N 86.58W
06/18/2024  M38 MPH          Delta              MI   Mesonet

            Mesonet station HBRM4 7 SW Steuben.

0531 PM     Non-Tstm Wnd Gst 4 NNW Watton            46.60N 88.63W
06/18/2024  M35 MPH          Baraga             MI   Mesonet

            Mesonet station BPLM4 4 NNW Watton.

&&

TAP

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Marquette MI
1018 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0530 AM     Non-Tstm Wnd Gst 5 S Sands               46.35N 87.40W
06/19/2024  M37 MPH          Marquette          MI   AWOS

            AWOS station KSAW Sawyer Airport.

&&

TAP

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Marquette MI
1023 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1135 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     Rock of Ages Lighthouse 47.87N 89.31W
06/18/2024  M59 MPH          LSZ263             MI   C-Man Station

            C-Man station ROAM4 3 W Rock of Ages.

&&

TAP