Freeze Warning 6, NWS Twin Cities, MN

731 
WWUS73 KMPX 140344
NPWMPX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
1044 PM CDT Sun Oct 13 2024

MNZ041>043-047>050-054>058-064-141145-
/O.CON.KMPX.FZ.W.0006.241014T0600Z-241014T1400Z/
Douglas-Todd-Morrison-Stevens-Pope-Stearns-Benton-Lac Qui Parle-
Swift-Chippewa-Kandiyohi-Meeker-Yellow Medicine-
Including the cities of Glenwood, Long Prairie, St Cloud,
Montevideo, Granite Falls, Alexandria, Morris, Little Falls,
Benson, Willmar, Litchfield, Madison, and Sauk Rapids
1044 PM CDT Sun Oct 13 2024

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures as low as 30 expected.

* WHERE...Portions of central and west central Minnesota.

* WHEN...Until 9 AM CDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.

&&

$$

MPG

694 
WWUS73 KMPX 140833
NPWMPX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
333 AM CDT Mon Oct 14 2024

MNZ041>043-047>050-054>058-064-141400-
/O.CON.KMPX.FZ.W.0006.000000T0000Z-241014T1400Z/
Douglas-Todd-Morrison-Stevens-Pope-Stearns-Benton-Lac Qui Parle-
Swift-Chippewa-Kandiyohi-Meeker-Yellow Medicine-
Including the cities of Little Falls, Willmar, Benson, Glenwood,
Long Prairie, Montevideo, Granite Falls, Madison, Litchfield,
Sauk Rapids, Alexandria, Morris, and St Cloud
333 AM CDT Mon Oct 14 2024

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING...

* WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures as low as 30 degrees expected.

* WHERE...Portions of central and west central Minnesota.

* WHEN...Until 9 AM CDT this morning.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.

&&

$$

JPC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
230 PM CDT Sun Oct 13 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Sub-freezing temperatures likely tonight across central
  Minnesota. Widespread sub-freezing Monday night.

- Isolated rain showers continue tomorrow across western
  Wisconsin.

- Warmer temperatures to end the week, along with better chances
  for rain.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 208 PM CDT Sun Oct 13 2024

Our coldest air of the season has arrived as sprawling Canadian
high pressure spreads into the Upper Midwest. Strong cold
advection from blustery northwest winds has kept temperatures in
the low to mid 50s this afternoon, and has generated a few
isolated showers across western Wisconsin. The winds will weaken
after sunset, but speeds are still expected to remain around 5-10
mph overnight. This along with dry RH values should prevent much
frost from developing tonight despite the chilly temperatures,
but continued cold advection overnight will likely result in
temperatures dipping below freezing across west-central
Minnesota by early tomorrow morning.

Another chilly day is expected Monday as the high pressure
becomes centered over the region. Winds will be lighter, but the
cold core aloft will be centered over the area so temperatures
will again struggle to warm much into the 50s during the
afternoon. Isolated light rain showers will again develop
across western Wisconsin, and a narrow band of light rain is
also possible across southwest Minnesota as a jetstreak moves
over the eastern dakotas/western MN. Ideal radiational cooling
conditions develop Monday night as winds become calm and skies
remain clear under the center of the high pressure. Widespread
sub- freezing temperatures are expected everywhere except for
the inner core of the Twin Cities metro, and temperatures could
potentially drop all the way into the low 20s across western
Minnesota. This will be the killing frost that officially ends
the growing season area-wide, and draining un-insulated outdoor
pipes & irrigation system is a wise precaution as well.

Temperatures begin to warm midweek as southerly flow returns on
the back side of the departing high pressure, and above-normal
temperatures return late in the week as highs once again
approach the 70s. Ensembles continue to show a strong signal
for accumulating precipitation during the Friday to saturday
timeframe, as a trough over the central CONUS develops a
frontal boundary that moves through the region. The
precipitation will likely be constrained to a band along the
front, and the front looks to be in the process of decaying as
it reaches the region, so unfortunately a widespread soaking
rainfall is beginning to look less likely. Still, ensemble
guidance shows high probabilities of rainfall in excess of
0.10" which suggests it will still rain, just expect values to
likely remain below half an inch. Temperatures are expected to
cool closer to more seasonable values behind this front, with
highs in the low to mid 60s over the weekend

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 100 PM CDT Sun Oct 13 2024

Blustery conditions will continue through this afternoon and
evening across all sites. Introduced Prob30s -SHRA for EAU and
RNH given reflectivity trends and hi-res guidance. If any rain
does manage to combat the dry air aloft, it will be light and
brief. Wind gusts will range between 25-30kts and potentially
nearing 40kts as a system to the northeast continues eastward.
Winds will weaken between 00 to 04z from west to east tonight.
Any MVFR categories will improve over the next few hours as
ceilings transition to scattered low-VFR through the rest of
the period. Prevailing NW'ly flow can be expected between 10-15
kts by mid-morning tomorrow.

KMSP...Blustery 25-35kts gusts will continue through at least
00z this evening before decreasing to near 10kts near midnight
tonight. Prevailing NW'ly flow is expected through tomorrow but
no where near as gusty as they are today. No significant impacts
to ceilings through tomorrow afternoon except for few to sct
low-VFR clouds.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
TUE...VFR. Wind N 5-10kts.
WED...VFR. Wind SW 10-15 kts.
THU...VFR. Wind S 15-20G25-35kts.

&&

.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...Freeze Warning from 1 AM to 9 AM CDT Monday for Benton-Douglas-
     Morrison-Pope-Stearns-Stevens-Todd.
WI...None.

&&

DISCUSSION...ETA
AVIATION...Dunleavy

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
334 AM CDT Sun Oct 13 2024

MNZ041>045-047>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ014>016-023>028-
140845-
Douglas-Todd-Morrison-Mille Lacs-Kanabec-Stevens-Pope-Stearns-
Benton-Sherburne-Isanti-Chisago-Lac Qui Parle-Swift-Chippewa-
Kandiyohi-Meeker-Wright-Hennepin-Anoka-Ramsey-Washington-
Yellow Medicine-Renville-McLeod-Sibley-Carver-Scott-Dakota-
Redwood-Brown-Nicollet-Le Sueur-Rice-Goodhue-Watonwan-Blue Earth-
Waseca-Steele-Martin-Faribault-Freeborn-Polk-Barron-Rusk-
St. Croix-Pierce-Dunn-Pepin-Eau Claire-
334 AM CDT Sun Oct 13 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central and
southern Minnesota, and west central Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Areas of frost are possible in western and southern Minnesota
Monday morning as low temperatures approach the freezing mark.

Widespread freezes are likely across all of central and southern
Minnesota through western Wisconsin Tuesday and Wednesday mornings
with low temperatures down into the middle to upper 20s.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN spotter activation will not be needed.