Flood Watch 4, NWS Twin Cities, MN

Anoka County, MN, Blue Earth County, MN, Brown County, MN, Carver County, MN, Dakota County, MN, Faribault County, MN, Freeborn County, MN, Goodhue County, MN, Hennepin County, MN, Le Sueur County, MN, Martin County, MN, McLeod County, MN, Nicollet County, MN, Ramsey County, MN, Redwood County, MN, Renville County, MN, Rice County, MN, Scott County, MN, Sibley County, MN, Steele County, MN, Waseca County, MN, Washington County, MN, Watonwan County, MN, Wright County, MN, Yellow Medicine County, MN, Dunn County, WI, Eau Claire County, WI, Pepin County, WI, Pierce County, WI, Saint Croix County, WI

833 
WGUS63 KMPX 210224
FFAMPX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
924 PM CDT Thu Jun 20 2024

.Two rounds of heavy rainfall are expected through early Saturday 
across portions of southern and central Minnesota and western 
Wisconsin. The first will come late tonight. The second will come 
late Friday and Friday night. Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches are 
expected by Saturday afternoon with locally higher amounts of 5+ 
inches possible. Rainfall rates may exceed 1"/hour at times.

MNZ064-065-073-074-082-091-211200-
/O.EXT.KMPX.FA.A.0004.240621T0600Z-240622T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Yellow Medicine-Renville-Redwood-Brown-Watonwan-Martin-
Including the cities of St James, Olivia, Granite Falls, New Ulm,
Fairmont, and Redwood Falls
924 PM CDT Thu Jun 20 2024

...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM CDT FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY 
MORNING...

* WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be 
  possible.

* WHERE...Portions of central, south central, southwest, and west 
  central Minnesota, including the following counties, in central 
  Minnesota, Renville. In south central Minnesota, Brown, Martin and 
  Watonwan. In southwest Minnesota, Redwood. In west central 
  Minnesota, Yellow Medicine.

* WHEN...From 1 AM CDT Friday through Saturday morning.

* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, 
  creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - Saturated soils combined with another couple rounds of very
    heavy rain could result in flash flooding.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

MNZ059>063-066>070-075>078-083>085-092-093-WIZ023>026-211200-
/O.EXT.KMPX.FA.A.0004.240621T0900Z-240622T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Wright-Hennepin-Anoka-Ramsey-Washington-McLeod-Sibley-Carver-
Scott-Dakota-Nicollet-Le Sueur-Rice-Goodhue-Blue Earth-Waseca-
Steele-Faribault-Freeborn-St. Croix-Pierce-Dunn-Pepin-
Including the cities of Durand, River Falls, Owatonna, Waseca,
Chaska, Blaine, Hastings, Blue Earth, Gaylord, Monticello,
Hudson, Stillwater, Faribault, Chanhassen, Victoria, St Paul,
Albert Lea, St Peter, Le Sueur, Shakopee, Menomonie, Red Wing,
Mankato, Minneapolis, and Hutchinson
924 PM CDT Thu Jun 20 2024

...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM CDT FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY 
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be 
  possible.

* WHERE...Portions of Minnesota, including the following areas, 
  Anoka, Blue Earth, Carver, Dakota, Faribault, Freeborn, Goodhue, 
  Hennepin, Le Sueur, McLeod, Nicollet, Ramsey, Rice, Scott, Sibley, 
  Steele, Waseca, Washington and Wright and west central Wisconsin, 
  including the following areas, Dunn, Pepin, Pierce and St. Croix.

* WHEN...From 4 AM CDT Friday through Saturday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, 
  creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - Saturated soils combined with another couple rounds of very
    heavy rain could result in flash flooding.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

Borghoff

331 
WGUS63 KMPX 211206
FFAMPX

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
706 AM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

.Another round of heavy rainfall is expected tonight through early 
Saturday across portions of southern and central Minnesota and 
western Wisconsin. Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches are expected by 
Saturday afternoon with locally higher amounts of 5+ inches possible 
across south central Minnesota. Rainfall rates may exceed 1"/hour at 
times.

MNZ064-065-073-074-082-091-212015-
/O.CON.KMPX.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-240622T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Yellow Medicine-Renville-Redwood-Brown-Watonwan-Martin-
Including the cities of Fairmont, Olivia, New Ulm, Granite Falls,
Redwood Falls, and St James
706 AM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be 
  possible.

* WHERE...Portions of central, south central, southwest, and west 
  central Minnesota, including the following counties, in central 
  Minnesota, Renville. In south central Minnesota, Brown, Martin and 
  Watonwan. In southwest Minnesota, Redwood. In west central 
  Minnesota, Yellow Medicine.

* WHEN...Through Saturday morning.

* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, 
  creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - Saturated soils combined with another couple rounds of very
    heavy rain could result in flash flooding.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

MNZ059>063-066>070-075>078-083>085-092-093-WIZ023>026-212015-
/O.CON.KMPX.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-240622T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Wright-Hennepin-Anoka-Ramsey-Washington-McLeod-Sibley-Carver-
Scott-Dakota-Nicollet-Le Sueur-Rice-Goodhue-Blue Earth-Waseca-
Steele-Faribault-Freeborn-St. Croix-Pierce-Dunn-Pepin-
Including the cities of Waseca, Gaylord, Blaine, Minneapolis,
River Falls, St Peter, Monticello, Blue Earth, Durand, Albert
Lea, Mankato, Hudson, St Paul, Faribault, Chanhassen, Chaska,
Victoria, Hutchinson, Le Sueur, Owatonna, Stillwater, Shakopee,
Hastings, Red Wing, and Menomonie
706 AM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be 
  possible.

* WHERE...Portions of Minnesota, including the following areas, 
  Anoka, Blue Earth, Carver, Dakota, Faribault, Freeborn, Goodhue, 
  Hennepin, Le Sueur, McLeod, Nicollet, Ramsey, Rice, Scott, Sibley, 
  Steele, Waseca, Washington and Wright and west central Wisconsin, 
  including the following areas, Dunn, Pepin, Pierce and St. Croix.

* WHEN...Through Saturday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, 
  creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - Saturated soils combined with another couple rounds of very
    heavy rain could result in flash flooding.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

MPG

864 
WGUS63 KMPX 211750
FFAMPX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
1250 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

.Additional heavy rain will be very convectively driven with narrow 
bands of heavier rain, like what what was seen in the Mankato area. 
Another band could set up somewhere within the watch area this 
afternoon through tonight.

WIZ028-220200-
/O.EXA.KMPX.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-240622T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Eau Claire-
Including the cities of Eau Claire
1250 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be 
  possible.

* WHERE...A portion of west central Wisconsin, including the 
  following county, Eau Claire.

* WHEN...Through Saturday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, 
  creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. 
  Flooding may occur in poor drainage and urban areas. Extensive 
  street flooding and flooding of creeks and rivers are possible.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - Saturated soils combined with another couple rounds of very
    heavy rain could result in flash flooding.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

MNZ064-065-073-074-082-091-220200-
/O.CON.KMPX.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-240622T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Yellow Medicine-Renville-Redwood-Brown-Watonwan-Martin-
Including the cities of Redwood Falls, Olivia, Fairmont, New Ulm,
Granite Falls, and St James
1250 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be 
  possible.

* WHERE...Portions of central, south central, southwest, and west 
  central Minnesota, including the following counties, in central 
  Minnesota, Renville. In south central Minnesota, Brown, Martin and 
  Watonwan. In southwest Minnesota, Redwood. In west central 
  Minnesota, Yellow Medicine.

* WHEN...Through Saturday morning.

* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, 
  creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - Saturated soils combined with another couple rounds of very
    heavy rain could result in flash flooding.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

MNZ059>063-066>070-075>078-083>085-092-093-WIZ023>026-220200-
/O.CON.KMPX.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-240622T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Wright-Hennepin-Anoka-Ramsey-Washington-McLeod-Sibley-Carver-
Scott-Dakota-Nicollet-Le Sueur-Rice-Goodhue-Blue Earth-Waseca-
Steele-Faribault-Freeborn-St. Croix-Pierce-Dunn-Pepin-
Including the cities of Blue Earth, Chaska, Waseca, Albert Lea,
Owatonna, Red Wing, Mankato, Blaine, Minneapolis, Faribault,
Durand, Hastings, Chanhassen, Stillwater, Le Sueur, Shakopee, St
Paul, Victoria, Monticello, River Falls, St Peter, Menomonie,
Hudson, Gaylord, and Hutchinson
1250 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be 
  possible.

* WHERE...Portions of Minnesota, including the following areas, 
  Anoka, Blue Earth, Carver, Dakota, Faribault, Freeborn, Goodhue, 
  Hennepin, Le Sueur, McLeod, Nicollet, Ramsey, Rice, Scott, Sibley, 
  Steele, Waseca, Washington and Wright and west central Wisconsin, 
  including the following areas, Dunn, Pepin, Pierce and St. Croix.

* WHEN...Through Saturday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, 
  creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. 
  Flooding may occur in poor drainage and urban areas. Extensive 
  street flooding and flooding of creeks and rivers are possible.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - Saturated soils combined with another couple rounds of very
    heavy rain could result in flash flooding.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

NDC

412 
WGUS63 KMPX 220027
FFAMPX

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
727 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

.Numerous thunderstorms are redeveloping this evening across 
southwestern Minnesota and northern Iowa. Multiple storms may impact 
the same areas already hard hit from earlier today. These locations 
won't need more than a quarter to half inch to result in flash 
flooding. Slow moving storms have the potential to drop 2 inches per 
hour. Extensive and potentially life-threatening flash flooding is 
possible. Flash Flood Warnings are likely to be issued later this 
evening.

MNZ064-065-073-074-082-091-220830-
/O.CON.KMPX.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-240622T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Yellow Medicine-Renville-Redwood-Brown-Watonwan-Martin-
Including the cities of Redwood Falls, New Ulm, Granite Falls, St
James, Fairmont, and Olivia
727 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be 
  possible.

* WHERE...Portions of central, south central, southwest, and west 
  central Minnesota, including the following counties, in central 
  Minnesota, Renville. In south central Minnesota, Brown, Martin and 
  Watonwan. In southwest Minnesota, Redwood. In west central 
  Minnesota, Yellow Medicine.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM CDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, 
  creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. 
  Extensive street flooding and flooding of creeks and rivers are 
  possible.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - Saturated soils combined with additional very heavy rain
    could result in flash flooding.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

MNZ059>063-066>070-075>078-083>085-092-093-WIZ023>026-028-220830-
/O.CON.KMPX.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-240622T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Wright-Hennepin-Anoka-Ramsey-Washington-McLeod-Sibley-Carver-
Scott-Dakota-Nicollet-Le Sueur-Rice-Goodhue-Blue Earth-Waseca-
Steele-Faribault-Freeborn-St. Croix-Pierce-Dunn-Pepin-Eau Claire-
Including the cities of Victoria, Albert Lea, Menomonie, Red
Wing, Minneapolis, Blaine, River Falls, Chanhassen, Waseca, Eau
Claire, Hastings, Blue Earth, Durand, Shakopee, Faribault,
Chaska, Gaylord, Hutchinson, Monticello, St Paul, Owatonna, Le
Sueur, St Peter, Mankato, Stillwater, and Hudson
727 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be 
  possible.

* WHERE...Portions of Minnesota, including the following areas, 
  Anoka, Blue Earth, Carver, Dakota, Faribault, Freeborn, Goodhue, 
  Hennepin, Le Sueur, McLeod, Nicollet, Ramsey, Rice, Scott, Sibley, 
  Steele, Waseca, Washington and Wright and west central Wisconsin, 
  including the following areas, Dunn, Eau Claire, Pepin, Pierce and 
  St. Croix.

* WHEN...Through Saturday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, 
  creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. 
  Extensive street flooding and flooding of creeks and rivers are 
  possible.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - Saturated soils combined with additional very heavy rain
    could result in flash flooding.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

Borghoff

796 
WGUS63 KMPX 220214
FFAMPX

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
914 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

.Numerous thunderstorms are redeveloping this evening across 
southern Minnesota and northern Iowa. Multiple storms may impact the 
same areas already hard hit from earlier today. These locations 
won't need more than a half inch to result in flash flooding. Slow 
moving storms have the potential to drop 2 inches per hour. 
Extensive and potentially life-threatening flash flooding is 
possible. Additional Flash Flood Warnings are likely to be issued 
later this evening.

MNZ059>063-066-068-WIZ023-025-220315-
/O.CAN.KMPX.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-240622T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Wright-Hennepin-Anoka-Ramsey-Washington-McLeod-Carver-St. Croix-
Dunn-
Including the cities of Victoria, Menomonie, Minneapolis, Blaine,
Chanhassen, Chaska, Hutchinson, Monticello, St Paul, Stillwater,
and Hudson
914 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch is cancelled for portions of Minnesota, 
including the following areas, Anoka, Carver, Hennepin, McLeod, 
Ramsey, Washington and Wright and west central Wisconsin, including 
the following areas, Dunn and St. Croix.

The flash flooding threat has ended. Heavy rain is expected to 
remain south overnight. Therefore, the Flash Flood Watch is being 
cancelled.

$$

MNZ064-065-220315-
/O.CAN.KMPX.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-240622T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Yellow Medicine-Renville-
Including the cities of Granite Falls and Olivia
914 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch is cancelled for portions of central and west 
central Minnesota, including the following areas, in central 
Minnesota, Renville. In west central Minnesota, Yellow Medicine.

The flash flooding threat has ended. Heavy rain is expected to 
remain south overnight. Therefore, the Flash Flood Watch is being 
cancelled.

$$

MNZ073-074-082-091-221015-
/O.CON.KMPX.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-240622T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Redwood-Brown-Watonwan-Martin-
Including the cities of St James, Redwood Falls, Fairmont, and
New Ulm
914 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be 
  possible.

* WHERE...Portions of south central and southwest Minnesota, 
  including the following counties, in south central Minnesota, 
  Brown, Martin and Watonwan. In southwest Minnesota, Redwood.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM CDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, 
  creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. 
  Extensive street flooding and flooding of creeks and rivers are 
  possible.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - Saturated soils combined with additional very heavy rain
    could result in flash flooding.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

MNZ067-069-070-075>078-083>085-092-093-WIZ024-026-028-221015-
/O.CON.KMPX.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-240622T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Sibley-Scott-Dakota-Nicollet-Le Sueur-Rice-Goodhue-Blue Earth-
Waseca-Steele-Faribault-Freeborn-Pierce-Pepin-Eau Claire-
Including the cities of Owatonna, Blue Earth, Durand, Albert Lea,
Shakopee, Le Sueur, Faribault, Red Wing, St Peter, Gaylord,
Waseca, Eau Claire, Hastings, River Falls, and Mankato
914 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2024

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be 
  possible.

* WHERE...Portions of Minnesota, including the following counties, 
  Blue Earth, Dakota, Faribault, Freeborn, Goodhue, Le Sueur, 
  Nicollet, Rice, Scott, Sibley, Steele and Waseca and west central 
  Wisconsin, including the following counties, Eau Claire, Pepin and 
  Pierce.

* WHEN...Through Saturday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, 
  creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. 
  Extensive street flooding and flooding of creeks and rivers are 
  possible.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - Saturated soils combined with additional very heavy rain
    could result in flash flooding.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

Borghoff

223 
WGUS63 KMPX 220938
FFAMPX

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
438 AM CDT Sat Jun 22 2024

MNZ067-069-070-075>078-083>085-092-093-WIZ024-026-028-221045-
/O.CAN.KMPX.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-240622T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Sibley-Scott-Dakota-Nicollet-Le Sueur-Rice-Goodhue-Blue Earth-
Waseca-Steele-Faribault-Freeborn-Pierce-Pepin-Eau Claire-
Including the cities of Le Sueur, Durand, Faribault, Eau Claire,
St Peter, Albert Lea, Mankato, Shakopee, Red Wing, Blue Earth,
River Falls, Gaylord, Waseca, Owatonna, and Hastings
438 AM CDT Sat Jun 22 2024

...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch is cancelled for portions of Minnesota, 
including the following areas, Blue Earth, Dakota, Faribault, 
Freeborn, Goodhue, Le Sueur, Nicollet, Rice, Scott, Sibley, Steele 
and Waseca and west central Wisconsin, including the following 
areas, Eau Claire, Pepin and Pierce.

Heavy rainfall and flash flooding is no longer expected to pose a 
threat. However, overland and some river flooding remains around 
Mankato and along the Cannon and Straight Rivers, please continue to 
heed remaining road closures.

$$

MNZ073-074-082-091-221045-
/O.CAN.KMPX.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-240622T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Redwood-Brown-Watonwan-Martin-
Including the cities of St James, Fairmont, New Ulm, and Redwood
Falls
438 AM CDT Sat Jun 22 2024

...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch is cancelled for portions of south central and 
southwest Minnesota, including the following areas, in south central 
Minnesota, Brown, Martin and Watonwan. In southwest Minnesota, 
Redwood.

Heavy rainfall and flash flooding is no longer expected to pose a 
threat. However, overland and some river flooding remains, please 
continue to heed remaining road closures.

$$

MPG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
1228 PM CDT Thu Jun 20 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Two excessive rainfall events are expected late tonight
  through Friday morning, with another Friday night into
  Saturday morning. If the heavy rainfall footprints from these
  two events overlap, we could see a high impact excessive
  rainfall event Friday night.

- Though heavy rainfall will be the main threat, the second wave Friday
  night will have the potential for a few severe thunderstorms,
  with large hail and damaging wind gusts from bowing line
  segments driving that severe risk.

- Going into next week, the weather pattern will become more
  progressive, but not necessarily dry. This means fronts will
  come and go as opposed to lingering for days on end.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 319 AM CDT Thu Jun 20 2024

Well, hopefully you all enjoyed our 24ish hours of dry weather
yesterday, with our next stretch of wet weather already getting
kicked off this morning across eastern SoDak into western MN. The
main concern over the next couple of days will come in the form of
two heavy rainfall events, late tonight into Friday morning, with a
second, stronger wave for Friday night into Saturday morning. Each
event on their own would likely not pose a significant excessive
rainfall risk, but the concern is the potential for some overlap in
the heavy rain footprints from the two events. If we are to see any
overlap in the heavy rain footprints with these two events, then
where that overlap occurs will have the potential for seeing a high
impact excessive rainfall event Friday night.

Starting off with the here an now, we've seen a saturated
environment develop within a zone of upper level diffluence with the
right entrance region of an upper jet up along the international
border. We actually have mostly clear skies from south central into
east central MN and western WI early this morning, which is
associated with a drier airmass in these areas. This dry air will
make it tough to get precip out of western MN through the day, so we
did decrease PoPs today as you head toward southeast MN. The heavier
precip will remain to our west through the day, with the LLJ
expected to remain focused across Nebraska into south central SD.

For tonight we'll see a weak shortwave eject out of the four corners
region that will help to both strengthen and nudge the LLJ east
through the night. Current expectations are that we'll see a cluster
of storms develop this afternoon at the nose of the LLJ over central
SoDak, with an elevated MCS riding the nose of the LLJ east through
the night across southern MN. The severe risk looks pretty low with
this round of precip as it's elevated nature will limit the strong
wind potential, while limited instability keeps the hail threat in
check as well. What it does look to do is put down a swath of heavy
rain, likely a widespread 1-3", with amounts possibly pushing 5" if
we see any training/repeated rounds of thunderstorms. Where exactly
this swath of heavy rain falls is still uncertain. Within the 20.00
HREF you see this heavy rain getting dumped out as far south as
between Sioux Falls and Sioux City (FV3), to as far north as
Brookings, SD up toward Cambridge (NSSLwrf). The current forecast
from WPC favors the HREF mean, with the heavy rain signal for
tonight into Friday morning setting up from roughly Marshall over to
the Twin Cities.

How all of this activity impacts the environment for Friday in terms
of the placement of the surface warm front and the location of
thermal gradient up through h85 will determine where round 2 of
heavy rain goes. With that said, when we see extreme weather
patterns break, they tend to do so with an exclamation point. In the
winter, this takes the form of a prolonged arctic outbreak ending
with lows getting down to around -30F. In the summer, it's a heat
wave breaking with a day or two with highs topping 100. Taking a
step back and looking at the synoptic setup for Friday night, it
certainly looks to have the potential to be that exclamation mark
for this particularly wet pattern we've been in since this past
weekend. Friday, a stronger shortwave will come out of Colorado,
this will increase the strength of the LLJ and associated
IVT/moisture transport. This with MUCAPE values in excess of 2000
j/kg in the warm sector feeding this LLJ with Pwats around 2" (climo
max for this point in June) and you have all the large scale markers
in place to support a high impact excessive rain event, it just
comes down to where the mesoscale details setup. If we get lucky,
the activity from tonight into Friday morning will help push round
two farther south, keeping the worst of it off of the rainfall
footprint from tonight. In a wost case scenario, we see an overlap
of the second rounds heavy rainfall with the first. If this occurs,
then the potential exists for a much more widespread and high impact
excessive rainfall event Friday night. The Moderate Risk from the
WPC day 2 excessive rain outlook highlights where this potential for
doubling up on heavy rainfall events is greatest across south
central MN, though WPC did mention that a further upgrade to a High
risk of excessive rainfall is possible if it does look we will
double up on heavy rain swaths tonight and Friday night. Though
uncertainty remains on exactly where each heavy rain event will
unfold, given the potential high end excessive rainfall impacts we
have over the next couple of days, it will be important to keep up
with any changes to the forecast for the next 48 hours.

Although we've kind of brushed over the severe risk, it can't be
ignored with that second wave. We'll see a very unstable environment
develop Friday afternoon along the Neb/SD border (around 3000 j/kg
of mlCAPE) ahead of the second shortwave coming at us for Friday
night. This airmass will be advected into southern MN through the
night with the LLJ and although we shouldn't see that degree of
instability, 2000 j/kg of MUCAPE with 40 kts of 0-6km shear will
certainly support the potential for some stronger updrafts capable of
producing marginally severe hail, with the threat for bowing line
segments supporting a wind threat as well. However, the severe risk
looks to be more of a secondary threat Friday night when compared to
the excessive rain potential.

This weekend, we'll see the eastern ridge finally break down, which
will allow the front coming through early in the day on Saturday to
push east through the Great Lakes through the weekend. However, we
will remain within the zone of active westerlies, which will
translate into a still active, though this time progressive weather
pattern. We're starting to see some agreement on when the next wave
arrives, which is looking to be late in the day on Monday into
Monday night, with the next wave in the ensembles showing up at the
end of next week into the following weekend. Given the frequent
frontal passages, we won't be able to build much heat this far
north, with it looking increasingly likely that the Twin Cities will
make it through June without seeing a high of 90 or warmer. If that
happens, it will be the first time since 2014 (another very wet
Spring/Summer) where we made it through June without seeing our
first high of 90 or greater for the year.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 1218 PM CDT Thu Jun 20 2024

Rain over SW MN this morning will eventually make it into the
eastern MN and western WI by mid afternoon. Ceilings will start
off VFR before becoming MVFR overnight. For EAU, there are MVFR
cigs back over central WI that will erode before MVFR cigs from
MN arrive tonight. This afternoon, thunderstorms will develop
over SD, with a thunderstorm complex expected to move across
southern MN overnight. Kept TEMPO TS groups in the 12z TAF.
Besides TS potential, the MVFR/IFR cig potential will increase
considerably overnight as the warm front push north across Iowa.

KMSP...Light rain this afternoon with a break tonight before
early morning TS chances, we will likely see cigs drop below 2k
feet overnight and stay there thru Friday evening.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
SAT...TSRA/IFR likely early, bmcg MVFR in aftn. Wind SW 10-15 kts
becoming NW.
SUN...VFR. Wind NW 10-20 kts.
MON...VFR. Chc -TSRA/MVFR. Wind S 10 kts

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 319 AM CDT Thu Jun 20 2024

Obviously, with the ongoing flooding, the last thing our rivers
need is a couple of more heavy rain events tonight and Friday
night. It should be stressed, that river forecasts from the
NCRFC only include 24 hours of QPF in the forecast, which means
the current river forecasts you see include very little of the
of the rain we are expecting through Saturday (the river updates
Thursday morning will start to include some of this additional
rain). As a result, expect more movement in the crest forecasts
until we get a better handle on how much and where
precipitation falls through Saturday morning. The main impacts
from this next round of rain is that first, we'll see crests
occur later than currently forecast, with higher forecast levels
possible as well, which isn't good news given all the points
we're already forecasting to see moderate or major flooding.
Given the latest WPC QPF, the basins that have the greatest
concern for seeing crests higher than currently forecast are the
Redwood, Cottonwood, Minnesota, Crow, and Mississippi from St.
Paul on downstream.

&&

.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...None.
WI...None.

&&

DISCUSSION...MPG
AVIATION...BPH
HYDROLOGY...MPG

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
323 AM CDT Thu Jun 20 2024

MNZ041>045-047>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ014>016-023>028-
210830-
Douglas-Todd-Morrison-Mille Lacs-Kanabec-Stevens-Pope-Stearns-
Benton-Sherburne-Isanti-Chisago-Lac Qui Parle-Swift-Chippewa-
Kandiyohi-Meeker-Wright-Hennepin-Anoka-Ramsey-Washington-
Yellow Medicine-Renville-McLeod-Sibley-Carver-Scott-Dakota-
Redwood-Brown-Nicollet-Le Sueur-Rice-Goodhue-Watonwan-Blue Earth-
Waseca-Steele-Martin-Faribault-Freeborn-Polk-Barron-Rusk-
St. Croix-Pierce-Dunn-Pepin-Eau Claire-
323 AM CDT Thu Jun 20 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central and
southern Minnesota, and west central Wisconsin.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Showers and storms move into the area late tonight, with the
main threats being heavy rainfall and flash flooding.

Recent heavy rain will continue to result in water level rises
along local rivers, with flooding continuing along the Crow and
Minnesota Rivers.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Additional rounds of thunderstorms are expected Friday through
Saturday. A few severe storms, heavy rainfall, and flash flooding
are possible with each of these rounds.

River levels will continue rising through late week with some
locations reaching moderate or major flood stage. Additional rain
could worsen the flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN spotter activation will not be needed. Rainfall reports
are appreciated.

BED

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
1258 PM CDT Thu Jun 20 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0410 PM     Funnel Cloud     Danvers                 45.28N 95.75W
06/18/2024                   Swift              MN   Trained Spotter

            Time delayed LSR - Funnel cloud picture
            provided via social media. Time estimated
            via radar.

&&

RMD

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
106 PM CDT Thu Jun 20 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0538 PM     Funnel Cloud     1 NW Willmar            45.14N 95.07W
06/18/2024                   Kandiyohi          MN   Storm Chaser

            Time delayed LSR - Funnel cloud photo
            provided via social media. Time estimated
            via radar.

&&

RMD

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
154 PM CDT Thu Jun 20 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0849 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Hugo                    45.17N 92.99W
06/18/2024                   Washington         MN   Emergency Mngr

            Time delayed LSR - Two trees down in the
            town of Hugo reported by emergency
            management. Time estimated via radar.

&&

RMD

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
158 PM CDT Thu Jun 20 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0931 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Afton                   44.90N 92.78W
06/18/2024                   Washington         MN   Emergency Mngr

            Time delayed LSR - Two trees down in the
            city of Afton reported by emergency
            management. Time estimated via radar.

&&

RMD

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
214 PM CDT Thu Jun 20 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0940 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     4 ESE St. Croix Falls   45.38N 92.56W
06/18/2024                   Polk               WI   Public

            Time delayed LSR - photos of several trees
            down blocking roadways near the intersection
            of 120 Ave and 198th St. Time estimated via
            radar.

&&

RMD

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
232 PM CDT Thu Jun 20 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0917 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     3 SE St. Croix Falls    45.38N 92.58W
06/18/2024                   Polk               WI   Public

            Time delayed LSR - photos of a roof damage
            to a house and roof blown off silo near the
            intersection of 120th Ave and 208th St. Time
            estimated via radar.

&&

RMD