Severe Thunderstorm Warning 95, NWS Mobile, AL

921 
WWUS54 KMOB 050122
SVSMOB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
822 PM CDT Tue Jun 4 2024

MSC039-041-050131-
/O.CAN.KMOB.SV.W.0095.000000T0000Z-240605T0145Z/
George MS-Greene MS-
822 PM CDT Tue Jun 4 2024

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN GEORGE AND
SOUTHEASTERN GREENE COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning have moved out of the warned 
area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 3032 8833 3034 8840 3054 8841 3071 8832
      3102 8829 3111 8796 3092 8796 3087 8798
      3082 8796 3080 8799 3079 8798 3077 8802
      3078 8799 3078 8797 3073 8801 3070 8798
      3068 8800 3069 8797 3032 8808
TIME...MOT...LOC 0121Z 277DEG 43KT 3107 8824 3074 8815 3038 8824 

$$

ALC097-050145-
/O.CON.KMOB.SV.W.0095.000000T0000Z-240605T0145Z/
Mobile AL-
822 PM CDT Tue Jun 4 2024

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM CDT
FOR MOBILE COUNTY...

At 821 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from Citronelle to 3 miles west of I65 And I165 to Coden,
moving east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

Locations impacted include...
Midtown Mobile, Downtown Mobile, Prichard, Tillmans Corner, Saraland,
Theodore, Chickasaw, Satsuma, Grand Bay, Bayou La Batre, Creola,
Chunchula, Gulfcrest, Axis, Mount Vernon, Semmes, I65 And I165,
Coden, Mobile Regional Airport, and I65 And AL 158.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3032 8833 3034 8840 3054 8841 3071 8832
      3102 8829 3111 8796 3092 8796 3087 8798
      3082 8796 3080 8799 3079 8798 3077 8802
      3078 8799 3078 8797 3073 8801 3070 8798
      3068 8800 3069 8797 3032 8808
TIME...MOT...LOC 0121Z 277DEG 43KT 3107 8824 3074 8815 3038 8824 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

RD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
733 PM CDT Tue Jun 4 2024

...New AVIATION...

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS) Issued at XXXXXX

A line of storms will move across the area this evening with
brief heavy rain and gusty winds. Brief reductions to IFR/MVFR
will be possible in and around thunderstorms. VFR conditions
return tonight through Wednesday morning. /13

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 422 PM CDT Tue Jun 4 2024/

..New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...

NEAR TERM...
(Now through Wednesday)
Issued at 422 PM CDT Tue Jun 4 2024

We will see a continuation of a series of impulses/shortwave energy
moving in a westerly flow aloft to aid in the trigger for mainly
diurnal convection. The next main shortwave approaching the
Mississippi River has resulted in a rather impressive MCS across
Louisiana that will advance eastward across southern Mississippi
this afternoon, and then into the northwest quadrant of our forecast
area early this evening. At this time the CAMs are showing this
system dissipating before midnight. In the meantime, the ongoing
scattered convection across southwest Alabama will continue into
early evening prior to the arrival of the weakening MCS. Low
temperatures tonight fall into the upper 60s and mid 70s.

With high temperatures Wednesday climbing into the upper 80s and
lower 90s and with an even stronger shortwave moving in from the
west, isolated to scattered showers and storms near the coast in the
morning will once again expand inland in the afternoon. With the
approach of the upper shortwave, the CAMs are showing yet another
MCS pushing across the ArkLaTex region in the morning, and moving
fairly quickly across Louisiana southern Mississippi in the
afternoon. At this time it looks like this system will advance into
the entire forecast area through the overnight hours. It does appear
that deep layer shear will be a bit stronger with this system, which
could bolster a better threat for strong to severe storms. /22

SHORT TERM...
(Wednesday night through Friday night)
Issued at 422 PM CDT Tue Jun 4 2024

Similar pattern continues through the short term period, but
models do indicate the potential for a stronger shortwave aloft to
move across our area and Thursday morning. This will result in a
less diurnal pattern, with chances for showers and storms
remaining higher Wednesday night, and continuing into Thursday.
SPC just has general thunderstorms forecast for our entire area
Wednesday night, but with the strength of the shortwave energy
aloft there could again be a few strong to briefly severe storms
(especially Wednesday evening/overnight) and again Thursday
afternoon when instabilities are greatest. We will continue to
monitor for this potential. Rain chances will be lower on Thursday
night, and mainly confined to coastal locations. Lows both
Wednesday and Thursday nights will range from lower 70s inland to
middle 70s down along the coast. Highs on Thursday are expected to
be mainly in the mid to upper 80s, but a few lower 90s possible
over inland areas. DS/12

LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Tuesday)
Issued at 422 PM CDT Tue Jun 4 2024

Northwesterly flow aloft will continue through the weekend as an
upper trough lifts into the western Atlantic and an upper ridge
persists to our west. Guidance continues to indicate drier air
moving in on Saturday in the wake of the front with PWATs briefly
falling to around an inch or less Saturday morning. While we won't
see much relief in terms of temperatures, the limited moisture
will keep conditions mostly dry on Saturday. Highs are expected to
top out in the upper 80s and lower 90s. Moisture gradually
increases on Sunday as surface high pressure builds over the
eastern Gulf and southerly flow returns to the forecast. Isolated
to scattered showers and storms will be possible especially during
the afternoon hours when peak heating occurs. As we head into
next week, ensemble and most deterministic guidance suggests that
another late season front may try to move into the area as an
upper trough digs across the eastern US. Have stuck close to the
NBM for rain and storm chances early next week with coverage
remaining mostly isolated to scattered. Temperatures may cool
slightly behind this front, but only by a few degrees or so. /14

MARINE...
Issued at 422 PM CDT Tue Jun 4 2024

No significant marine impacts expected throughout the week
as a light onshore flow prevails through midweek and then shifts
westerly late in the week. /22

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      74  89  73  89  72  94  67  92 /  40  30  30  60  10  30   0  10
Pensacola   76  87  75  87  75  93  70  90 /  20  30  40  60  20  30  10  10
Destin      76  86  76  87  76  90  72  89 /  20  20  30  60  20  30  10  10
Evergreen   69  91  70  88  70  92  63  91 /  20  30  50  60  10  20   0  10
Waynesboro  71  91  70  89  69  91  64  92 /  70  50  60  40  10  10   0  10
Camden      69  90  69  87  68  89  63  89 /  30  40  60  50  10  10   0  10
Crestview   69  91  70  89  70  94  64  92 /  20  30  30  60  10  30   0  10

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

This product is also available on the web at:
www.weather.gov/mob

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
406 PM CDT Tue Jun 4 2024

ALZ056-042200-
Conecuh AL-
406 PM CDT Tue Jun 4 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL CONECUH COUNTY THROUGH
500 PM CDT...

At 406 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Repton, or 12 miles southeast of Frisco City, moving northeast at 20
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Evergreen, Repton, and I65 And US 84.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3126 8717 3126 8722 3137 8733 3140 8730
      3141 8728 3145 8723 3146 8720 3148 8720
      3152 8717 3153 8717 3168 8700 3147 8680
TIME...MOT...LOC 2106Z 229DEG 19KT 3136 8721

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

JP

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
706 PM CDT Tue Jun 4 2024

MSZ067-075-076-079-050100-
Perry MS-Greene MS-Wayne MS-George MS-
706 PM CDT Tue Jun 4 2024

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN GEORGE...PERRY...
SOUTHWESTERN WAYNE AND GREENE COUNTIES THROUGH 800 PM CDT...

At 706 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from Hattiesburg to 6 miles east of McLaurin to 7
miles east of Maxie. Movement was east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Richton, Leakesville, Beaumont, New Augusta, and McLain.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3143 8915 3143 8894 3153 8894 3156 8887
      3131 8848 3114 8843 3098 8842 3097 8914
TIME...MOT...LOC 0006Z 253DEG 31KT 3131 8934 3115 8912 3097 8908

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

RD

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
735 PM CDT Tue Jun 4 2024

MSZ067-075-076-050130-
Perry MS-Greene MS-Wayne MS-
735 PM CDT Tue Jun 4 2024

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN PERRY...WAYNE AND
NORTHERN GREENE COUNTIES THROUGH 830 PM CDT...

At 734 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Heidelberg to 3 miles northwest of
Richton. Movement was east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Waynesboro, Clara, State Line, and Buckatunna.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3143 8894 3182 8894 3185 8865 3189 8847
      3129 8844 3142 8902 3143 8902
TIME...MOT...LOC 0034Z 265DEG 27KT 3193 8900 3138 8899

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

RD