Severe Thunderstorm Warning 92, NWS Mobile, AL

615 
WWUS54 KMOB 032320
SVSMOB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
620 PM CDT Mon Jun 3 2024

ALC097-032330-
/O.EXP.KMOB.SV.W.0092.000000T0000Z-240603T2330Z/
Mobile AL-
620 PM CDT Mon Jun 3 2024

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WEST CENTRAL MOBILE COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 630 PM CDT...

The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits. Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

LAT...LON 3086 8841 3091 8821 3056 8804 3049 8835
TIME...MOT...LOC 2320Z 344DEG 16KT 3071 8825 

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
415 PM CDT Mon Jun 3 2024

...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...

.NEAR TERM...
(Now through Tuesday)
Issued at 415 PM CDT Mon Jun 3 2024

We will see a continuation of a series of impulses/shortwave energy
moving in a west-northwest flow aloft to aid in the trigger for
mainly diurnal convection. The ongoing scattered convection will
dissipate through late evening with the loss of daytime surface
heating, but lingering showers and perhaps an isolated thunderstorm
are expected to remain over the marine waters past midnight. Low
temperatures tonight fall into the upper 60s and lower 70s most
spots with very light patchy fog development expected north of I-10
late tonight.

The next main shortwave over the central Great Plains has resulted
in an MCS that will advances southeast across Missouri and northern
Louisiana this evening and into western Mississippi around midnight.
At this time the CAMs are showing this system dissipating late me
tonight across central Mississippi. With high temperatures Tuesday
climbing into the mid to upper 80s and another round of impulses and
shortwave energy moving in from the northwest, isolated to scattered
showers and storms near the coast to start off the day will once
again spread inland. With the approach of another upper shortwave,
the CAMs are showing another MCS pushing across the ArkLaTex region
in the morning, and moving fairly quickly across Louisiana southern
Mississippi in the afternoon. At this time it looks like this system
will advance into the western half of our forecast area late in the
afternoon through the evening hours. It does appear deep layer shear
will be a bit stronger with this system, which could bolster a
better threat for strong to severe storms. /22

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through Monday)
Issued at 415 PM CDT Mon Jun 3 2024

Northwesterly flow will largely continue through early next week
as the local area remains in between an upper ridge to our west
and a digging upper trough over the Midwestern and Eastern
portions of the US. Surface high pressure will linger over the
western Atlantic and eastern Gulf through midweek before getting
pushed further south into the Gulf later in the week and into the
weekend. This pattern will result in an persistent onshore flow
through Thursday night with rich Gulf moisture ushering into the
local area during this time period. Daily chances for summertime
storms are expected through at least mid week with coverages
generally remaining isolated to scattered each afternoon. There is
still uncertainty with regards to timing, but guidance continues
to indicate a few subtle shortwaves sliding within the northwest
flow through the period which could help to enhance storm coverage
at times. One of the more notable shortwaves looks like it may
pivot into the region overnight Wednesday into early Thursday. As
we head later into the week, the upper trough continues to dig
over the eastern US and an associated surface low pressure will
send a late season cold front down into the local area. Guidance
continues to suggest that this front will approach the area and
likely push offshore sometime on Friday. Highest rain chances on
Friday will likely be in the afternoon hours as the front makes it
near the coast during peak heating. Guidance in trending towards
dry air moving in behind the front with PWATs falling to almost a
half inch briefly during the day on Saturday. If that's the case,
then we'll see dry conditions on Saturday. Moisture gradually
returns later in the weekend and into early next week with
isolated to scattered showers and storms returning during that
time. Temperatures will be hot this week with highs generally in
the upper 80s and lower 90s. /14

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 415 PM CDT Mon Jun 3 2024

No significant marine impacts expected throughout the week
as a light onshore flow prevails through midweek and then shifts
westerly late in the week. /22

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      72  87  73  89  73  91  72  94 /  20  40  10  30  30  50  10  20
Pensacola   75  86  76  87  76  89  75  93 /  20  40  10  40  40  60  20  30
Destin      75  86  76  86  76  87  76  90 /  20  30  10  30  40  60  30  30
Evergreen   68  88  69  90  70  90  69  92 /  30  50  10  40  50  70  10  20
Waynesboro  69  88  71  91  70  90  70  91 /  40  50  10  40  50  40  10  10
Camden      67  88  69  90  69  88  68  88 /  40  50  10  40  50  50  10  10
Crestview   68  89  69  90  71  92  70  95 /  10  50   0  40  30  60  10  30

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

This product is also available on the web at:
www.weather.gov/mob

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
405 PM CDT Mon Jun 3 2024

ALZ052-261-MSZ076-032145-
Washington AL-Mobile Inland AL-Greene MS-
405 PM CDT Mon Jun 3 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN MOBILE...
SOUTHWESTERN WASHINGTON AND EASTERN GREENE COUNTIES THROUGH 445 PM
CDT...

At 405 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 4
miles southwest of Fruitdale, or 10 miles northeast of Leakesville,
moving south at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Citronelle, Leakesville, Deer Park, and Fruitdale.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3135 8860 3142 8832 3109 8811 3101 8857
TIME...MOT...LOC 2105Z 340DEG 17KT 3128 8845

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
446 PM CDT Mon Jun 3 2024

ALZ052-261-MSZ076-079-032230-
Washington AL-Mobile Inland AL-Greene MS-George MS-
446 PM CDT Mon Jun 3 2024

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN MOBILE...
SOUTHWESTERN WASHINGTON...NORTHEASTERN GEORGE AND SOUTHERN GREENE
COUNTIES THROUGH 530 PM CDT...

At 446 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms along a line extending from 9 miles northeast of McLain
to 6 miles south of Leakesville to 4 miles north of Citronelle.
Movement was south at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Citronelle, Leakesville, Gulfcrest, and Deer Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3124 8876 3124 8815 3094 8806 3090 8849
      3100 8884 3102 8884
TIME...MOT...LOC 2146Z 004DEG 10KT 3117 8869 3106 8854 3116 8824

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
530 PM CDT Mon Jun 3 2024

ALZ261-263-264-MSZ076-079-032330-
Baldwin Central AL-Mobile Inland AL-Mobile Central AL-Greene MS-
George MS-
530 PM CDT Mon Jun 3 2024

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN MOBILE...WEST
CENTRAL BALDWIN...EASTERN GEORGE AND SOUTHERN GREENE COUNTIES THROUGH
630 PM CDT...

At 530 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms along a line extending from 7 miles north of Lucedale
to Chunchula. Movement was southeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Midtown Mobile, Downtown Mobile, Prichard, Daphne, Saraland,
Chickasaw, Satsuma, Spanish Fort, Lucedale, Chunchula, Gulfcrest,
Semmes, Tanner Williams, I65 And I165, Wilmer, and I65 And AL 158.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3057 8780 3074 8844 3107 8880 3120 8877
      3101 8820
TIME...MOT...LOC 2230Z 321DEG 19KT 3103 8857 3091 8823

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH