Severe Thunderstorm Warning 80, NWS Mobile, AL

711 
WWUS54 KMOB 172026
SVSMOB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
326 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024

ALC035-172036-
/O.CAN.KMOB.SV.W.0080.000000T0000Z-240517T2045Z/
Conecuh AL-
326 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN CONECUH COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for south central
Alabama.

LAT...LON 3099 8643 3105 8675 3106 8675 3118 8673
      3118 8672 3119 8672 3119 8639 3099 8638
TIME...MOT...LOC 2026Z 283DEG 29KT 3108 8666 

$$

ALC039-053-172045-
/O.CON.KMOB.SV.W.0080.000000T0000Z-240517T2045Z/
Escambia AL-Covington AL-
326 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM CDT
FOR EAST CENTRAL ESCAMBIA AND SOUTHWESTERN COVINGTON COUNTIES...

At 326 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 14 miles northwest
of Laurel Hill, or 18 miles southwest of Andalusia, moving east at 35
mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees.

This severe thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of east
central Escambia and southwestern Covington Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for south central
Alabama.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3099 8643 3105 8675 3106 8675 3118 8673
      3118 8672 3119 8672 3119 8639 3099 8638
TIME...MOT...LOC 2026Z 283DEG 29KT 3108 8666 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

RD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
114 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024

...New AVIATION, NEAR TERM...

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 114 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024

Scattered thunderstorms will continue to develop across the area
throughout the afternoon. Gusty winds and hail will accompany
strong to severe storms throughout the day. Ceilings will drop
into the MVFR to IFR range in and around scattered storms.
Outside of thunderstorms, conditions will remain gusty along the
coast through early afternoon. /13

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Rest of today)
Issued at 114 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024

Currently watching and area of light to moderate rain moving
across our interior area this afternoon to the north of a
northward moving warm front. To the south of this boundary, the
airmass has become rather unstable with MLCAPE values around
2000J/Kg and deep layer shear values around 40 to 50 knots. We
will be closely monitoring these areas for any thunderstorms that
can develop as they will have the potential to become severe with
damaging winds and large hail. The tornado threat remains very low
due to weak low level shear values. /13

SHORT AND LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Thursday)
Issued at 538 AM CDT Fri May 17 2024

The area dries out late in the weekend through the middle of next
week. Weak ridging aloft builds into the region as a trough
remains draped across the western Atlantic. This pattern results
in northerly to northwesterly flow aloft developing overhead
through early Wednesday. A surface high draped down the East Coast
eventually nudges into the region early next week and onshore
flow becomes established by Tuesday. A shortwave sliding across
the central portion of the CONUS will cause the ridge aloft to
briefly flatten toward the Gulf by mid-week. The bulk of the
showers and storms associated with this shortwave will likely
remain to our north on Wednesday and Thursday, although we can't
rule out some isolated storms by Thursday afternoon.

Beach Note: Rip current risk remains HIGH on Sunday and eventually
falls to MODERATE late on Sunday night. The risk remains MODERATE
on Monday. RCMOS probabilities indicate that the risk should fall
to a low on Tuesday through Thursday. RCMOS guidance does indicate
a very brief bump to MODERATE is possible Tuesday afternoon for
the beaches in northwest Florida. 07/mb

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      68  82  67  88  66  90  69  87 /  80  80  20  10   0   0   0   0
Pensacola   72  80  70  86  69  88  72  85 /  60  90  30  10   0   0   0   0
Destin      73  80  71  85  71  85  72  84 /  50  80  40  20   0   0   0   0
Evergreen   68  82  65  87  64  89  64  89 /  80  90  30  10   0   0   0   0
Waynesboro  66  84  64  86  63  90  66  91 /  70  70  10  10   0   0   0   0
Camden      67  82  64  85  63  88  64  89 /  70  80  30  20   0   0   0   0
Crestview   69  81  65  88  64  90  64  89 /  60  90  30  10   0   0   0   0

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...Flood Watch through Saturday afternoon for ALZ051>060-261>266.

     High Rip Current Risk through Sunday afternoon for ALZ265-266.

FL...Flood Watch through Saturday afternoon for FLZ201>206.

     High Rip Current Risk through Sunday afternoon for FLZ202-204-
     206.

MS...Flood Watch through Saturday afternoon for MSZ067-075-076-078-
     079.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM CDT this afternoon for
     GMZ630>636-650-655-670-675.

&&

This product is also available on the web at:
www.weather.gov/mob

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
254 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024

ALZ059-060-172045-
Covington AL-Escambia AL-
254 PM CDT Fri May 17 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN ESCAMBIA AND
SOUTHWESTERN COVINGTON COUNTIES THROUGH 345 PM CDT...

At 254 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles northeast of East Brewton, or 8 miles east of Brewton, moving
east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of northeastern
Escambia and southwestern Covington Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3100 8644 3108 8706 3126 8703 3126 8677
      3120 8677 3119 8676 3120 8674 3118 8673
      3118 8672 3119 8672 3119 8670 3127 8670
      3128 8643
TIME...MOT...LOC 1954Z 272DEG 35KT 3114 8694

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

RD