Tornado Warning 2, NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC

375 
WWUS52 KMHX 100028
SVSMHX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
728 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

NCC049-100037-
/O.CAN.KMHX.TO.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240110T0045Z/
Craven NC-
728 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL CRAVEN COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out 
of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 PM EST for eastern North
Carolina.

LAT...LON 3552 7687 3546 7691 3548 7698 3555 7709
      3550 7702 3550 7703 3551 7707 3547 7699
      3544 7697 3545 7693 3541 7696 3543 7697
      3540 7696 3533 7702 3542 7719 3539 7724
      3535 7725 3565 7719
TIME...MOT...LOC 0027Z 206DEG 67KT 3550 7704 

$$

NCC013-147-100045-
/O.CON.KMHX.TO.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240110T0045Z/
Pitt NC-Beaufort NC-
728 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM EST FOR
SOUTHEASTERN PITT AND SOUTHWESTERN BEAUFORT COUNTIES...
    
At 727 PM EST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located over River Road, moving northeast at 75 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
southeastern Pitt and southwestern Beaufort Counties, including the
following locations... Chocowinity, Washington Park, and Grimesland.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

Motorists should not take shelter under highway overpasses. If you
cannot safely drive away from the tornado, as a last resort, either
park your vehicle and stay put, or abandon your vehicle and lie down
in a low lying area and protect yourself from flying debris.

Tornadoes are extremely difficult to see and confirm at night. Do not
wait to see or hear the tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!

If a tornado or other severe weather is spotted, report it to the
National Weather Service in Newport at 1-800-889-
6889. This act may save lives of others in the path of dangerous
weather.

&&

LAT...LON 3552 7687 3546 7691 3548 7698 3555 7709
      3550 7702 3550 7703 3551 7707 3547 7699
      3544 7697 3545 7693 3541 7696 3543 7697
      3540 7696 3533 7702 3542 7719 3539 7724
      3535 7725 3565 7719
TIME...MOT...LOC 0027Z 206DEG 67KT 3550 7704 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN

$$

RTE

142 
WWUS52 KMHX 100037
SVSMHX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
737 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

NCC013-147-100046-
/O.EXP.KMHX.TO.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240110T0045Z/
Pitt NC-Beaufort NC-
737 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN PITT AND SOUTHWESTERN
BEAUFORT COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 745 PM EST...
    
The tornado threat has diminished and the Tornado Warning has been 
cancelled. However, damaging winds remain likely and a Severe 
Thunderstorm Warning remains in effect for the area.  

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 PM EST for eastern North
Carolina.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
Newport.

Remember, a Severe Thunderstorm Warning still remains in effect for
Pitt and Beaufort Counties.

LAT...LON 3552 7687 3546 7691 3548 7698 3555 7709
      3550 7702 3550 7703 3551 7707 3547 7699
      3544 7697 3545 7693 3541 7696 3543 7697
      3540 7696 3533 7702 3542 7719 3539 7724
      3535 7725 3565 7719
TIME...MOT...LOC 0036Z 206DEG 67KT 3562 7697 

$$

RTE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
617 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
A powerful low pressure system will move up the Eastern
Seaboard and bring a very strong cold front through Eastern NC
as well as a bevy of impacts tonight. Behind this system high
pressure will build back into the area through Thursday. Another
strong low pressure system will then affect the region Friday
and into this weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TONIGHT/...
As of 620 PM Tue...Tornado Watch out for a large portion of
Eastern NC through 9 PM tonight.

A surface low will track northeast from western NC into the Northern
Mid-Atlantic tonight, with an associated cold front pushing east
through the coastal Carolinas. Along the cold front, a QLCS with a
history of damaging winds, stretches from central NC south through
coastal GA. Recent mesoanalysis shows low to mid-60s dewpoints
continue to get pulled north ahead of the advancing QLCS/cold front.
While mid-level lapse rates are poor, low-mid level moistening is
supporting SFC-based CAPE of 500-750j/kg, and minimal CIN, within
the effective warm sector (per the recent 18z CHS sounding). The
forecast challenge through this evening will be how far north that
effective warm front will reach. The airmass south of that front is
very concerning, with extreme low-level shear/helicity. North of the
effective warm front, the airmass is also concerning, but weaker
instability makes the risk much more conditional, and probably more
wind-focused compared to south of the front where both a wind and
tornado threat will reside. Should the more unstable airmass make it
this far north, the shear/instability combo will support a risk of a
strong tornado. Otherwise, the main risk will be 60-80 mph wind
gusts both with the pre-line storms and the line, itself. With this
update, and in coordination with SPC, the Tornado Watch has been
expanded to include the Crystal Coast, and counties just inland of
there. For now, at least, this is where the greatest risk of the
most favorable tornado environment may reach.

Ahead of the line of storms, a strong pressure gradient, locally
enhanced by mesoscale boundaries/processes, will lead to a peak in
gradient-driven winds of 45-65 mph. The peak of these gradient winds
will be from now until the passage of the cold front. Once the cold
front passes, the gradient will relax. However, strengthening CAA
and steepening low-level lapse rates will allow gusty winds of 40-45
mph to continue, and for this reason, the Wind Advisory has been
extended into early Wednesday morning. Once the High Wind Warning
ends, it will likely have to be replaced with a Wind Advisory, and
also extended into early Wednesday morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY/...
As of 345 PM Tuesday...Gusty, post-frontal winds will continue
into Wednesday, but will gradually subside by late-afternoon.
Temperatures will be noticeably cooler, and only reach into the
50s.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 420 AM Tue...

Attention then turns to yet another strong low pressure system,
expected develop across the Deep South Friday and lift northward
bringing a strong cold front through Eastern NC early Saturday
morning - almost a carbon copy track of today's system. Guidance
points to this system being relatively weaker, although it will
still bring a renewed risk of strong winds and minor to moderate
coastal flooding, heavy rain, and a low-end risk of severe
thunderstorms. Given increased confidence with better agreement
amongst ensemble members, raised PoPs to categorical for the
period.

Behind this system colder but drier conditions will move in for the
rest of the weekend and into early next week. Spread among guidance
is considerable, but there is at least some potential for a return
of unsettled conditions at the beginning of the work week followed
by the intrusion of an Arctic airmass.

&&

.AVIATION /23Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM /Through Wednesday/...
As of 620 PM Tue...Widespread sub-VFR conditions continue
across the terminals early this evening, ranging from IFR to
MVFR. Numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms will continue
for the next several hours, pushing east of the terminals after
03z. A strong convective line will push from west to east across
ENC through 3z. Storms are expected to be strong to severe and
a few tornadoes cannot be ruled out. Strong winds will continue
the next few hours with gusts 40-50 kts over the coastal plain
and 50-60 kts across the coast. In addition to this, 60-80 kts
of LLWS is possible (strongest near the coast), which will
create dangerous runway conditions. Conditions will quickly
improve behind the front late tonight/early tomorrow morning,
returning to VFR and winds slowly diminishing.

LONG TERM /Wednesday night through Sunday/...
As of 430 AM Tue...High pressure builds in Thursday with pred
VFR conditions expected. Another strong low pressure system will
impact the region Friday into Saturday with a return of strong
gusty winds, although likely not as strong as today.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM /Through Wednesday/...
As of 620 PM Tuesday...Storm Warnings continue for the waters
for the next several hours. Very dangerous marine conditions
ongoing at this time, with southeast winds of 30-40kt, and gusts
reaching as high as 40-60kt. Seas continue to build, and have
reached 15-20ft. Winds and seas will continue to build through
late this evening. Across the warmer waters south of Cape
Hatteras, occasional gusts to near hurricane force will be
possible for a few hours, and seas of 20-25ft can be expected.
Elsewhere, gusts to 50kt and seas up to 20ft can be expected.
Inland rivers and sounds will be extremely rough, with gusts to
50kt as well. Winds and seas will gradually lay down by
Wednesday, but it will take some time. Lastly, bands of
thunderstorms will move through over the next several hours with
an increased risk of strong winds and waterspouts.

LONG TERM /Wednesday night through Sunday/...
As of 430 AM Tue...Storm force winds will quickly give way to
Gales Wednesday morning as the front departs, then falling off
quickly Wed afternoon and evening while seas greater than 6 ft
linger into Thu morning. High pressure brings better boating
conditions Thu afternoon into Fri morning but conditions will
quickly deteriorate Friday afternoon into early Saturday as
another strong frontal system impacts the waters. Although this
storm system will not be as strong as today's, Gales appear
highly probable especially over coastal waters and adjacent
sounds.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
As of 500 PM Tuesday...Forecast rainfall amounts have continued
to trend down with only 1-1.5" expected, though some isolated
higher amounts of around 2" are possible. While widespread
flooding is not expected at this time, the potential exists for
a few instances of flash flooding, given the expected high rain
rates and anomalous moisture. Rivers will eventually respond to
the rain as well, but ensemble guidance suggests these rises may
hold off until later this week as water upstream works towards
the coast.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
As of 620 PM Tue...Very strong southerly winds will continue
ahead of a powerful cold front through tonight. Large southerly
swell and storm force winds are currently forecast, with the
potential for minor to locally significant coastal impacts, both
oceanside and soundside.

Coastal Flood Warning (inundation 2-4 ft AGL) remains for
Beaufort, Mainland Hyde and Dare counties, along with the Outer
Banks given the potential for sound/tidal river and oceanside
flooding.

-Oceanside impacts include the potential for moderate to  locally
significant ocean overwash (where dune structures are  vulnerable),
along the entire coast given the wave runup setup.
 Areas of highest concern - beaches from Oregon Inlet down to
Ocracoke, as well as North Topsail Beach. This could impact portions
of Highway 12, especially during times of high tide, rendering it
impassable at times.

-Moderate coastal flooding is expected across soundside Outer Banks,
as well as areas adjacent to the northwestern Pamlico Sound
including the Pamlico and Pungo Rivers. Though winds will be quite
intense Tuesday, a continuous slight veering of the winds through
the day will keep any one area from seeing significantly high water
levels. As winds veer southwest and then west tonight into tomorrow
morning, rapid water rises are likely for soundside locales north of
Buxton.

Elsewhere, minor coastal flooding is expected along the Crystal
Coast as well as up the Neuse/Bay Rivers, with 1 to 2 feet of
inundation possible.

Beyond today, another strong storm system on Friday and Saturday
will bring a renewed coastal flooding threat for many of the same
areas. Winds are forecast to be weaker than today's system, but at
least minor to moderate impacts are possible.

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...Wind Advisory until 7 AM EST Wednesday for NCZ029-044-079-090-
     091-193.
     High Wind Warning until 11 PM EST this evening for NCZ045-046-
     080-092-094-194-198.
     Coastal Flood Warning until 4 AM EST Wednesday for NCZ047-080-
     081.
     High Wind Warning until 1 AM EST Wednesday for NCZ047-081-195-
     196-199-203>205.
     Coastal Flood Advisory until midnight EST tonight for NCZ094-
     194>196-199.
     High Surf Advisory until 7 PM EST Wednesday for NCZ195-199.
     High Surf Advisory until midnight EST Wednesday night for
     NCZ196-204-205.
     Coastal Flood Warning until 3 PM EST Wednesday for NCZ203>205.
     High Surf Advisory until 11 AM EST Wednesday for NCZ203.
MARINE...Storm Warning until 1 AM EST Wednesday for AMZ131-135-230-231.
     Storm Warning until 11 PM EST this evening for AMZ136-137.
     Storm Warning until 3 AM EST Wednesday for AMZ150-152.
     Storm Warning until 8 AM EST Wednesday for AMZ154-156-158.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MHX
NEAR TERM...RM/CQD
SHORT TERM...RM
LONG TERM...MS
AVIATION...CQD/MS
MARINE...RM/CQD/MS
HYDROLOGY...MHX
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...MHX

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
602 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

NCZ029-044-079-090-091-193-100015-
Martin-Pitt-Greene-Duplin-Lenoir-Northern Craven-
602 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY...
...TORNADO WATCH 7 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Tornado Watch.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ204-205-100015-
Ocracoke Island-Hatteras Island-
602 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST WEDNESDAY...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Warning.
   High Wind Warning.
   High Surf Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Warning.
   High Surf Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ203-100015-
Northern Outer Banks-
602 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST WEDNESDAY...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Warning.
   High Wind Warning.
   High Surf Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Warning.
   High Surf Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ080-100015-
Beaufort-
602 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...TORNADO WATCH 7 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Warning.
   High Wind Warning.
   Tornado Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ047-081-100015-
Mainland Dare-Mainland Hyde-
602 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Warning.
   High Wind Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ094-194-100015-
Pamlico-Southern Craven-
602 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...TORNADO WATCH 7 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.
   High Wind Warning.
   Tornado Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ045-092-198-100015-
Washington-Jones-Inland Onslow-
602 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...TORNADO WATCH 7 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Wind Warning.
   Tornado Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ196-100015-
East Carteret-
602 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...TORNADO WATCH 7 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.
   High Wind Warning.
   High Surf Advisory.
   Tornado Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Surf Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ195-199-100015-
West Carteret-Coastal Onslow-
602 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY...
...TORNADO WATCH 7 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.
   High Wind Warning.
   High Surf Advisory.
   Tornado Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Surf Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ046-100015-
Tyrrell-
602 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Wind Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
610 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0605 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     3 WSW Swansboro         34.68N 77.18W
01/09/2024                   Onslow             NC   Trained Spotter

            Tree down.

&&

RJ

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
624 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0612 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     1 S Bogue               34.69N 77.03W
01/09/2024  M62 MPH          Carteret           NC   AWOS

            Marine Corp Air Station Bogue Field (NJM)
            observed a 54 knot (62 mph) thunderstorm
            wind gust.

&&

DAG