Alert archive / North Carolina / Beach Hazards Statements in 2024
Beach Hazards Statement 86, NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC
NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC issued this beach hazards statement at Oct 16, 2024, 8:35 PM EDT for Dare County, North Carolina. It took effect at Oct 17, 2024, 3:45 AM EDT. It was in force for 16 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 16, 2024, 8:35 PM EDT (00:35 UTC)
- In effect from
- Oct 17, 2024, 3:45 AM EDT
- Expired
- Oct 17, 2024, 8:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 16 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC
County Dare County, NC
The radar
The Morehead City radar (KMHX), 150 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 00:00Z, 0.6 hours before the alert went out and 150 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -21 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1513 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 85 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -131 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 21 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
693
WHUS42 KMHX 170035
CFWMHX
Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
835 PM EDT Wed Oct 16 2024
NCZ203-205-171245-
/O.NEW.KMHX.BH.S.0086.241017T1200Z-241018T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.CF.Y.0025.241017T1000Z-241019T1500Z/
Northern Outer Banks-Hatteras Island-
835 PM EDT Wed Oct 16 2024
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO
11 AM EDT SATURDAY...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT THURSDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...
* WHAT...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, up to 1 to 2 feet of
inundation above ground level expected in low-lying areas near
shorelines and tidal waterways. For the Beach Hazards Statement,
dangerous rip currents, large breaking waves expected, and
strong longshore currents in the surf zone.
* WHERE...Northern Outer Banks and Hatteras Island.
* WHEN...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, from 6 AM Thursday to
11 AM EDT Saturday. For the Beach Hazards Statement, from 8 AM
EDT Thursday through Thursday evening.
* IMPACTS...Up to 1 to 2 feet of inundation above ground level is
possible in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways
resulting in a low threat of property damage. Localized ocean
overwash will be possible for vulnerable portions of Hatteras
Island, especially around time of high tide. Some roads and low
lying property including parking lots, parks, lawns, and homes
adjacent to the waterfront will experience shallow flooding. Rip
currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into
deeper water. Dangerous shore break can throw a swimmer or
surfer head first into the bottom causing neck and back
injuries. Strong longshore currents will create dangerous
swimming conditions.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip
currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide,
which will occur around 2:00 PM.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.
Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain
calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.
Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. It is
extremely important to protect your head and neck whenever you
are in breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at
all times.
Strong longshore currents can sweep swimmers and surfers into rip
currents, piers, jetties and other hazardous areas. In many
cases, the longshore current is strong enough to prevent swimmers
from being able to keep their feet on the bottom making it
difficult to return to shore.
&&
Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.
Duck NC
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.5 ft, Moderate 6.0 ft, Major 6.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.8 ft, Moderate 2.3 ft, Major 2.8 ft
Total Total Departure
Day/Time Tide Tide from Norm Waves Flood
ft MLLW ft MHHW ft ft Impact
-------- --------- --------- --------- ------- --------
16/07 PM 4.5 0.8 0.4 3-4 None
17/07 AM 5.6 1.9 0.9 3-4 Minor
17/08 PM 5.6 1.9 1.5 5 Minor
18/08 AM 6.4 2.7 1.5 5 Moderate
18/09 PM 6.0 2.3 2.1 5-6 Moderate
19/09 AM 6.3 2.6 1.4 6 Moderate
&&
$$
NCZ195-196-204-171245-
/O.CON.KMHX.CF.Y.0025.241017T1000Z-241019T1500Z/
West Carteret-East Carteret-Ocracoke Island-
835 PM EDT Wed Oct 16 2024
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO
11 AM EDT SATURDAY...
* WHAT...Up to 1 to 2 feet of inundation above ground level
expected in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal
waterways.
* WHERE...Areas along Bogue Banks beaches, Bogue Sound, the
Newport and White Oak Rivers, and adjacent tidal creeks, areas
along the lower Neuse River, Pamlico, Core and Back Sounds,
and adjacent tidal creeks, and areas along the beaches,
Pamlico Sound, and adjacent tidal creeks.
* WHEN...From 6 AM Thursday to 11 AM EDT Saturday.
* IMPACTS...Up to 1 to 2 feet of inundation above ground level is
possible in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways
resulting in a low threat of property damage. Localized ocean
overwash will be possible for vulnerable portions of Hatteras
Island, especially around time of high tide. Some roads and low
lying property including parking lots, parks, lawns, and homes
adjacent to the waterfront will experience shallow flooding.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.
&&
Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.
Beaufort Marine Lab NC
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.0 ft, Moderate 5.5 ft, Major 6.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor -0.8 ft, Moderate -0.3 ft, Major 0.7 ft
Total Total Departure
Day/Time Tide Tide from Norm Waves Flood
ft MLLW ft MHHW ft ft Impact
-------- --------- --------- --------- ------- --------
16/07 PM 4.2 -1.6 0.3 1 None
17/08 AM 5.0 -0.8 0.5 1 Minor
17/08 PM 4.2 -1.6 0.4 1 None
18/09 AM 5.4 -0.4 0.8 1 Minor
18/09 PM 4.6 -1.2 0.9 1 None
19/10 AM 5.5 -0.3 0.9 1 Moderate
&&
$$
NCZ094-194-171245-
/O.CON.KMHX.CF.Y.0025.241017T1000Z-241019T1500Z/
Pamlico-Southern Craven-
835 PM EDT Wed Oct 16 2024
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO
11 AM EDT SATURDAY...
* WHAT...Up to 1 to 2 feet of inundation above ground level
expected in low- lying areas near shorelines and tidal
waterways.
* WHERE...Areas along the Pamlico Sound, Trent, Bay and lower
Neuse Rivers, and adjacent tidal creeks.
* WHEN...From 6 AM Thursday to 11 AM EDT Saturday.
* IMPACTS...Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only
isolated road closures expected.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.
&&
$$
NCZ045>047-171245-
/O.CON.KMHX.CF.Y.0025.241017T1000Z-241019T1500Z/
Washington-Tyrrell-Mainland Dare-
835 PM EDT Wed Oct 16 2024
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO
11 AM EDT SATURDAY...
* WHAT...Up to 1 to 2 feet of inundation above ground level
expected in low- lying areas near shorelines and tidal
waterways.
* WHERE...Areas along the Albemarle Sound, Alligator and
Scuppernong Rivers, and adjacent tidal creeks, and areas along
the Albemarle, Croatan, and Pamlico Sounds, Alligator River,
and adjacent tidal creeks.
* WHEN...From 6 AM Thursday to 11 AM EDT Saturday.
* IMPACTS...Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only
isolated road closures expected.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.
&&
$$2 follow-up statements
842
WHUS42 KMHX 170745
CFWMHX
Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
345 AM EDT Thu Oct 17 2024
NCZ203-205-172100-
/O.NEW.KMHX.SU.Y.0013.241018T1000Z-241020T1600Z/
/O.EXT.KMHX.CF.Y.0025.241017T1000Z-241020T1600Z/
/O.EXT.KMHX.BH.S.0086.241017T0745Z-241018T0000Z/
Northern Outer Banks-Hatteras Island-
345 AM EDT Thu Oct 17 2024
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT SUNDAY...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM FRIDAY TO NOON EDT
SUNDAY...
* WHAT...For the Beach Hazards Statement, dangerous rip currents,
large breaking waves, and strong longshore currents in the surf
zone. For the Coastal Flood Advisory, up to 2 feet of
inundation above ground level expected in low-lying areas near
shorelines and tidal waterways. For the High Surf Advisory,
large breaking waves of 5 to 8 feet expected in the surf zone.
* WHERE...Northern Outer Banks and Hatteras Island.
* WHEN...For the Beach Hazards Statement, through this evening.
For the Coastal Flood Advisory, until noon EDT Sunday. For the
High Surf Advisory, from 6 AM Friday to noon EDT Sunday.
* IMPACTS...Up to 2 feet of inundation above ground level is
possible in some areas near shorelines and tidal waterways
resulting in an elevated threat of property damage. Flooding
will extend inland from the waterfront threatening some homes
and businesses. Numerous road closures and flooding of vehicles
will be possible. Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and
localized beach erosion. Rip currents can sweep even the best
swimmers away from shore into deeper water.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.
Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to
dangerous surf conditions.
Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain
calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.
Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. It is
extremely important to protect your head and neck whenever you
are in breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at
all times.
Strong longshore currents can sweep swimmers and surfers into rip
currents, piers, jetties and other hazardous areas. In many
cases, the longshore current is strong enough to prevent swimmers
from being able to keep their feet on the bottom making it
difficult to return to shore.
&&
Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.
Duck NC
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.5 ft, Moderate 6.0 ft, Major 6.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.8 ft, Moderate 2.3 ft, Major 2.8 ft
Total Total Departure
Day/Time Tide Tide from Norm Waves Flood
ft MLLW ft MHHW ft ft Impact
-------- --------- --------- --------- ------- --------
17/08 AM 5.5 1.8 0.7 3-4 Minor
17/08 PM 4.8 1.1 0.7 5 None
18/09 AM 6.1 2.4 1.2 5-6 Moderate
18/09 PM 5.1 1.4 1.2 6-7 None
19/09 AM 6.2 2.5 1.3 6-7 Moderate
19/10 PM 4.6 0.9 0.9 6-7 None
&&
$$
NCZ195-196-204-172100-
/O.EXT.KMHX.CF.Y.0025.241017T1000Z-241020T1600Z/
West Carteret-East Carteret-Ocracoke Island-
345 AM EDT Thu Oct 17 2024
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT SUNDAY...
* WHAT...Up to 1 to 2 feet of inundation above ground level
expected in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.
* WHERE...Areas along Bogue Banks beaches, Bogue Sound, the
Newport and White Oak Rivers, and adjacent tidal creeks, areas
along the lower Neuse River, Pamlico, Core and Back Sounds,
and adjacent tidal creeks, and areas along the beaches,
Pamlico Sound, and adjacent tidal creeks.
* WHEN...Until noon EDT Sunday.
* IMPACTS...Up to 2 feet of inundation above ground level is
possible in some areas near shorelines and tidal waterways
resulting in an elevated threat of property damage. Flooding
will extend inland from the waterfront threatening some homes
and businesses. Numerous road closures and flooding of vehicles
will be possible.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.
&&
Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.
Beaufort Marine Lab NC
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.0 ft, Moderate 5.5 ft, Major 6.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor -0.8 ft, Moderate -0.3 ft, Major 0.7 ft
Total Total Departure
Day/Time Tide Tide from Norm Waves Flood
ft MLLW ft MHHW ft ft Impact
-------- --------- --------- --------- ------- -------- 17/08 AM
5.0 -0.8 0.5 1 Minor 17/08 PM 4.3 -1.5 0.5 1 None 18/09 AM 5.5
-0.3 0.9 0-1 Moderate 18/09 PM 4.6 -1.2 0.9 1 None 19/09 AM 5.5
-0.3 1.1 1 Moderate 19/10 PM 4.4 -1.4 0.8 1 None
&&
$$
NCZ094-194-172100-
/O.CON.KMHX.CF.Y.0025.241017T1000Z-241019T1500Z/
Pamlico-Southern Craven-
345 AM EDT Thu Oct 17 2024
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
SATURDAY...
* WHAT...Up to 1 foot of inundation above ground level expected in
low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.
* WHERE...Areas along the Pamlico Sound, Trent, Bay and lower
Neuse Rivers, and adjacent tidal creeks.
* WHEN...Until 11 AM EDT Saturday.
* IMPACTS...Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only
isolated road closures expected.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.
&&
$$
NCZ045>047-172100-
/O.CON.KMHX.CF.Y.0025.241017T1000Z-241019T1500Z/
Washington-Tyrrell-Mainland Dare-
345 AM EDT Thu Oct 17 2024
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
SATURDAY...
* WHAT...Up to 1 foot of inundation above ground level expected in
low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.
* WHERE...Areas along the Albemarle Sound, Alligator and
Scuppernong Rivers, and adjacent tidal creeks, and areas along
the Albemarle, Croatan, and Pamlico Sounds, Alligator River,
and adjacent tidal creeks.
* WHEN...Until 11 AM EDT Saturday.
* IMPACTS...Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only
isolated road closures expected.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.
&&
$$719
WHUS42 KMHX 172036
CFWMHX
Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
436 PM EDT Thu Oct 17 2024
NCZ203-205-180845-
/O.CON.KMHX.CF.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-241020T1600Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.SU.Y.0013.241018T1000Z-241020T1600Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0086.000000T0000Z-241018T0000Z/
Northern Outer Banks-Hatteras Island-
436 PM EDT Thu Oct 17 2024
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT
SUNDAY...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM FRIDAY TO NOON
EDT SUNDAY...
* WHAT...For the Beach Hazards Statement, dangerous rip
currents, large breaking waves, and strong longshore currents
in the surf zone. For the Coastal Flood Advisory, up to 2 feet
of inundation above ground level expected in low-lying areas
near shorelines and tidal waterways. For the High Surf
Advisory, large breaking waves of 5 to 8 feet expected in the
surf zone.
* WHERE...Northern Outer Banks and Hatteras Island.
* WHEN...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, until noon EDT Sunday.
For the Beach Hazards Statement, until 8 PM EDT this evening.
For the High Surf Advisory, from 6 AM Friday to noon EDT
Sunday.
* IMPACTS...Up to 2 feet of inundation above ground level is
possible in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways
resulting in a low threat of property damage. Some roads and low
lying property including parking lots, parks, lawns, and homes
adjacent to the waterfront will experience shallow flooding.
Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and localized beach
erosion. Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from
shore into deeper water.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.
Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to
dangerous surf conditions.
Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain
calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.
Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. It is
extremely important to protect your head and neck whenever you
are in breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at
all times.
Strong longshore currents can sweep swimmers and surfers into rip
currents, piers, jetties and other hazardous areas. In many
cases, the longshore current is strong enough to prevent swimmers
from being able to keep their feet on the bottom making it
difficult to return to shore.
&&
Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.
Duck NC
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.5 ft, Moderate 6.0 ft, Major 6.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.8 ft, Moderate 2.3 ft, Major 2.8 ft
Total Total Departure
Day/Time Tide Tide from Norm Waves Flood
ft MLLW ft MHHW ft ft Impact
-------- --------- --------- --------- ------- --------
17/08 PM 5.8 2.1 1.7 5 Minor
18/08 AM 6.2 2.5 1.3 5-6 Moderate
18/09 PM 5.9 2.2 2.0 6-7 Minor
19/09 AM 6.2 2.5 1.3 7 Moderate
19/09 PM 4.6 0.9 1.0 6-7 None
20/10 AM 5.3 1.6 0.5 6 None
&&
$$
NCZ195-196-204-180845-
/O.CON.KMHX.CF.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-241020T1600Z/
West Carteret-East Carteret-Ocracoke Island-
436 PM EDT Thu Oct 17 2024
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT
SUNDAY...
* WHAT...Up to 1 to 2 feet of inundation above ground level
expected in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal
waterways.
* WHERE...Areas along Bogue Banks beaches, Bogue Sound, the
Newport and White Oak Rivers, and adjacent tidal creeks, areas
along the lower Neuse River, Pamlico, Core and Back Sounds,
and adjacent tidal creeks, and areas along the beaches,
Pamlico Sound, and adjacent tidal creeks.
* WHEN...Until noon EDT Sunday.
* IMPACTS...Up to 2 feet of inundation above ground level is
possible in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways
resulting in a low threat of property damage. Some roads and low
lying property including parking lots, parks, lawns, and homes
adjacent to the waterfront will experience shallow flooding..
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.
&&
Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.
Beaufort Marine Lab NC
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.0 ft, Moderate 5.5 ft, Major 6.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor -0.8 ft, Moderate -0.3 ft, Major 0.7 ft
Total Total Departure
Day/Time Tide Tide from Norm Waves Flood
ft MLLW ft MHHW ft ft Impact
-------- --------- --------- --------- ------- --------
17/09 PM 4.3 -1.5 0.5 1 None
18/09 AM 5.4 -0.4 0.8 1 Minor
18/09 PM 4.4 -1.4 0.7 1 None
19/10 AM 5.5 -0.3 0.9 1 Moderate
19/10 PM 4.2 -1.6 0.6 1 None
20/11 AM 5.0 -0.8 0.5 1 Minor
&&
$$
NCZ094-194-180845-
/O.CON.KMHX.CF.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-241019T1500Z/
Pamlico-Southern Craven-
436 PM EDT Thu Oct 17 2024
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
SATURDAY...
* WHAT...Up to 1 foot of inundation above ground level expected
in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.
* WHERE...Areas along the Pamlico Sound, Trent, Bay and lower
Neuse Rivers, and adjacent tidal creeks.
* WHEN...Until 11 AM EDT Saturday.
* IMPACTS...Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only
isolated road closures expected.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.
&&
$$
NCZ045>047-180845-
/O.CON.KMHX.CF.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-241019T1500Z/
Washington-Tyrrell-Mainland Dare-
436 PM EDT Thu Oct 17 2024
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
SATURDAY...
* WHAT...Up to 1 foot of inundation above ground level expected
in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.
* WHERE...Areas along the Albemarle Sound, Alligator and
Scuppernong Rivers, and adjacent tidal creeks, and areas along
the Albemarle, Croatan, and Pamlico Sounds, Alligator River,
and adjacent tidal creeks.
* WHEN...Until 11 AM EDT Saturday.
* IMPACTS...Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only
isolated road closures expected.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.
&&
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this beach hazards statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this beach hazards statement went out at Oct 16, 6:36 PM EDT, 1 hour 59 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 16, 6:36 PM EDT, 1 hour 59 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
636 PM EDT Wed Oct 16 2024
.SYNOPSIS...
Low pressure will strengthen along a stalled boundary offshore
of the NC coast tonight before pulling away on Thursday. High
pressure then builds over the region for the rest of the week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /TONIGHT/...
As of 640 PM Wed...
- Moderate to occasionally heavy rains are expected along the
Outer Banks from this afternoon into tomorrow
A reinforcing cold front offshore stalls over the Gulfstream
tonight. A deep, positively tilted upper trough will move over
the area today with a cut off low forming over NC late today
then drifting slowly E tonight and tomorrow. This will result in
cyclogenesis along the stalled boundary, with the initially
slow moving low pulling away on Thu.
Light rain continues over the Outer Banks early this evening,
with 12 rainfall totals so far less than 0.10". The coastal
precip should expand in coverage and increase in intensity by
early evening as the coastal low becomes better organized and
the upper low moves overhead. Widespread moderate to
occasionally heavy rains will occur in the vicinity of the
sounds Eward tonight, with the heaviest amounts expected along
the Outer Banks where 1-2" of rain will be possible through
Thursday.
Northerly winds will continue, remaining gusty along the
immediate coast. The clearing and MinTs in the upper 30s to low
40s could support some patchy frost tonight, but the low level
winds are expected to remain coupled, and this mixing should
preclude any frost development.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY/...
As of 1545 Wednesday...Cutoff mid level low will be noted just
off the Mid- Atlantic Coast tomorrow morning pushing further
offshore through the day as upper ridging builds in from the W.
In response to this, strong SFC low pressure system which will
be located ~250mi due E of the NC/VA border, will also be
tracking Nward and then Eward away from the coast as surface
ridging builds in from the W. With wrap around moisture coming
in off the Atlantic, cloud cover and scattered showers will be
possible primarily along the OBX and our far NEern zones. Have
kept Chc to likely PoP's in this area early, but cloud coverage
and precip will be thinning from SW to NE through the period as
the SFC low pulls away. The last of the showers are forecast to
pull away from the OBX by mid-afternoon. With at least some
cloud cover forecast across much of the area and a brisk NWerly
wind, MaxTs only get into the upper 50s inland, low 60s coast.
&&
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 4 PM Wed...Ridging eventually becomes centered over the
Eastern Seaboard on Friday and moves little into midweek next
week continuing to bring fair weather and dry conditions to
eastern North Carolina.
Thursday night high pressure ridging begins to build overhead
allowing winds to become light and variable mainly along the
Coastal Plain with clearing skies across all off ENC. This is
forecast to promote good radiational cooling Thurs night
especially along the inland areas allowing temps to fall into
the upper 30s to low 40s inland and in the 50s along the OBX
where cloud cover may stick around a little longer and winds may
remain elevated here promoting ample mixing. Given the colder
low temps inland some patchy frost is not out of the question
especially in our more sheltered areas and have kept patchy
frost in the forecast for now. Will not this is a rather
marginal night for frost so will have to monitor trends in case
we don;t get cold enough inland to support the current frost
potential.
Friday into midweek next week...Upper level ridge builds in from the
west and moves overhead the Eastern Seaboard on Friday. At the
surface high pressure becomes centered over the Eastern Seaboard
and moves little into midweek next week keeping things dry
across ENC. Will note some offshore showers will be possible
mainly from Min onwards as a weak coastal trough sets up but not
expecting any precip to move inland. Temps will gradually
moderate through the weekend back to normal with even some above
normal temps possible by early next week as low level
thicknesses creep up during this timeframe.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
SHORT TERM /through Thursday/...
As of 640 PM Wed...VFR flight cats are expected through the TAF
period. Drier air continues to move in overnight. Northerly
wind gusts will diminish early this evening, but there should
still be enough of a light breeze overnight to preclude fog
formation. Precip activity expected across OBX through the
period with greatest chance for subVFR flight cats located here.
Thursday, VFR persists with breezy NWerly winds 10G15kt. Skies
clear from SW to NE through the day leading to FEW-SKC for all
terminals by sunset Thurs.
LONG TERM /Thursday Night through Monday/...
As of 4 PM Wed...By Thursday afternoon and beyond expect
primarily VFR conditions with a steady N'rly breeze as high
pressure settles in from the west.In addition to this, scattered
shower activity will be possible as well mainly from the waters
north of Cape Hatteras as wrap around moisture from this
deepening low remains over the area.
&&
.MARINE...
SHORT TERM /through Thursday/...
As of 640 PM Wed...
- Coastal low to bring elevated winds and seas.
SCA's are now in effect for all of the eastern NC waters. Latest
obs show NNE winds 15-20G25-30kt with seas 3-6 ft. These winds
are expected to persist through the overnight as low pressure
develops off of the coast. Seas will continue to build to 4-6 ft
tonight (especially north of Cape Lookout). SFC low will
continue to deepen off our coast as it tracks NEward tomorrow.
This will keep 15-25 kt Nerly winds with 25-30+ kt gusts over
all our waters through the morning before winds gradually
decrease to sub SCA levels across our inland rivers and sounds
in the afternoon and evening.
Other things of note, currently, obs over inland rivers are
showing sub SCA winds. I have opted to keep the SCAs active for
these zones for now as winds are forecast to peak tomorrow
morning and SCA gusts are certainly possible closer to the
mouths of these rivers. Also, wind gusts peak tomorrow morning
and the first hour or two of the afternoon. During these peak
times, gusts may approach 35kt over outer portions of the Nern
and Central waters. The window for 35kt gusts is rather short,
so have opted to leave the headlines as SCAs rather than a brief
upgrade to Gales.
As the coastal low strengthens, there will be an increased risk
of rain and reduced visibility tonight, especially across the
northern and central coastal waters, as wrap around moisture
from the offshore low enters the FA.
LONG TERM /Thursday night through Monday/...
As of 4 PM Wed... Will have SCA's across all waters to start
the period before SCA's gradually end across our inland waters
Thurs afternoon and evening. Winds ease overnight as high
pressure builds in from the west and the pressure gradient
relaxes. Forecasting N'rly winds at 10-20 kts with gusts around
20-25 kts from Fri through the weekend across most waters before
winds ease even further on Mon next week as the pressure
gradient relaxes further with high pressure ridging centered
overhead. Seas along the coast start out around 4-6 ft Thurs and
as elevated NE'rly swell from the departing low overspreads the
area seas will build across our coastal waters north of Cape
Lookout to 6-9 ft over this weekend with seas gradually lowering
by early next week. South of Cape Hatteras seas will be a
little bit lower as they will be protected from the NE'rly swell
generally ranging from 3-5 to 4-6 ft from Fri on into this
weekend. Given this all waters north of Cape Lookout now have
SCA's extending well into the weekend.
&&
.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
As of 4 PM Wednesday...The combination of persistent Nerly
winds and high astronomical tides are forecast to result in
minor to locally moderate coastal flooding issues along both
Oceanside and Soundside OBX as well as portions of Craven,
Beaufort, mainland Dare, Tyrell, and Washington Counties
starting as early as Thursday and persisting into this weekend.
As a result, have issued Coastal Flood Advisories for these
locations earlier this morning. High astronomical tides will
likely impact Oceanside portions of Carteret County and Outer
Banks Hyde, and Dare Counties first while at the same time
elevated Nerly winds in association with a strong low offshore
will likely bring elevated water levels to soundside locations
as well. Overall expecting up to 1-2 ft of inundation above
normally dry ground across areas in the coastal flood advisory
with highest water levels likely at the typical vulnerable areas
and where dune structures are compromised. As we get into Sat
and Sun an increasing threat for ocean overwash may occur at
locations north of Cape Lookout as elevated NEerly long period
swell begins to impact the area from the aforementioned low as
it departs off to the north and east.
&&
.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...Coastal Flood Advisory from 6 AM Thursday to 11 AM EDT
Saturday for NCZ045>047-094-194>196-203>205.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EDT Friday for AMZ131-230-231.
Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EDT Friday for AMZ135.
Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT Thursday for AMZ136-137-
158.
Small Craft Advisory until 3 PM EDT Sunday for AMZ150-152-154-
156.
&&
SYNOPSIS...MHX
NEAR TERM...CQD/CEB
SHORT TERM...CEB
LONG TERM...RCF
AVIATION...CQD/CEB/RCF
MARINE...CQD/CEB/RCF
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...MHXHazardous weather outlook, Oct 16, 3:40 PM EDT, 4 hours 55 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 340 PM EDT Wed Oct 16 2024 NCZ045>047-171945- Washington-Tyrrell-Mainland Dare- 340 PM EDT Wed Oct 16 2024 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 11 AM EDT SATURDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Coastal Flood Advisory. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. NCZ080-081-199-171945- Beaufort-Mainland Hyde-Coastal Onslow- 340 PM EDT Wed Oct 16 2024 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Minor coastal flooding for low lying areas will be possible Thursday into the weekend due to high astronomical tides. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. NCZ029-044-079-090>092-193-198-171945- Martin-Pitt-Greene-Duplin-Lenoir-Jones-Northern Craven-Inland Onslow- 340 PM EDT Wed Oct 16 2024 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Patchy frost will be possible Friday morning. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. NCZ195-196-204-171945- West Carteret-East Carteret-Ocracoke Island- 340 PM EDT Wed Oct 16 2024 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 11 AM EDT SATURDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Coastal Flood Advisory. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. NCZ205-171945- Hatteras Island- 340 PM EDT Wed Oct 16 2024 ...MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 11 AM EDT SATURDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Moderate Rip Current Risk. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Coastal Flood Advisory. Minor coastal flooding for low lying areas will be possible Thursday into the weekend due to high astronomical tides. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. NCZ203-171945- Northern Outer Banks- 340 PM EDT Wed Oct 16 2024 ...MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 11 AM EDT SATURDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Moderate Rip Current Risk. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Coastal Flood Advisory. Minor coastal flooding for low lying areas will be possible Thursday into the weekend due to high astronomical tides. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. NCZ094-194-171945- Pamlico-Southern Craven- 340 PM EDT Wed Oct 16 2024 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 11 AM EDT SATURDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Coastal Flood Advisory. Minor coastal flooding for low lying areas will be possible Thursday into the weekend due to high astronomical tides. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 3:45 AM EDT | High Surf Advisory | MHX | Dare | 3 days |
Nearby
Beach Hazards Statements in North Carolina, 2024Every beach hazards statement in 2024
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.