Beach Hazards Statement 67, NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC

690 
WHUS42 KMHX 210730
CFWMHX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
330 AM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024

NCZ203-205-211930-
/O.EXT.KMHX.CF.Y.0023.000000T0000Z-240923T2000Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0067.240921T1200Z-240922T0000Z/
Northern Outer Banks-Hatteras Island-
330 AM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT MONDAY...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT THIS
MORNING THROUGH THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, 1 to 2 feet of 
  inundation above ground level in low- lying areas near 
  shorelines and tidal waterways. For the Beach Hazards 
  Statement, dangerous rip currents.

* WHERE...Northern Outer Banks and Hatteras Island.

* WHEN...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, until 4 PM EDT Monday. 
  For the Beach Hazards Statement, from 8 AM EDT this morning 
  through this evening.

* IMPACTS...Up to 2 feet of inundation above ground level is 
  possible in some areas near shorelines and tidal waterways 
  resulting in an elevated threat of property damage, mainly 
  around the times of high tide. Rip currents can sweep even the 
  best swimmers away from shore into deeper water.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip 
  currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide, 
  which will occur around 5 PM Saturday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.

Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain
calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

Duck NC
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.5 ft, Moderate 6.0 ft, Major 6.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.8 ft, Moderate 2.3 ft, Major 2.8 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 21/11 AM     6.4        2.7        1.7       3-5    Moderate  
 21/11 PM     5.6        1.9        1.9        4      Minor    
 22/11 AM     6.4        2.7        1.9        4     Moderate  
 23/12 AM     5.4        1.7        2.0        4       None    
 23/12 PM     6.3        2.6        2.0       4-5    Moderate  
 24/12 AM     5.0        1.3        1.9        5       None

Oregon Inlet NC
MLLW Categories - Minor 3.0 ft, Moderate 4.5 ft, Major 5.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.4 ft, Moderate 3.9 ft, Major 4.9 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 21/11 AM     2.8        2.2        1.3        1       None    
 21/11 PM     2.8        2.2        1.5        1       None    
 22/11 AM     3.0        2.4        1.6        1      Minor    
 23/12 AM     2.8        2.2        1.6        1       None    
 23/01 PM     3.1        2.5        1.6       1-2     Minor

Coast Guard Hatteras NC
MLLW Categories - Minor 2.5 ft, Moderate 3.5 ft, Major 4.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.3 ft, Moderate 2.3 ft, Major 3.3 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 21/11 AM     2.4        1.2        1.6       1-2      None    
 22/12 AM     2.3        1.1        1.7        1       None    
 22/12 PM     2.5        1.3        1.7        1      Minor    
 23/12 AM     2.3        1.1        1.7        2       None    
 23/02 PM     2.6        1.4        1.8        2      Minor    
 24/01 AM     2.4        1.2        1.8       1-2      None

&&

$$

NCZ195-196-199-204-211930-
/O.EXT.KMHX.CF.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-240923T2000Z/
West Carteret-East Carteret-Coastal Onslow-Ocracoke Island-
330 AM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT MONDAY...

* WHAT...1 to 2 feet of inundation above ground level in low- 
  lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.

* WHERE...Areas in North Topsail Beach, along the lower New 
  River, White Oak River, Bogue and Core Sounds, areas along the 
  beaches, Pamlico Sound, and adjacent tidal creeks.

* WHEN...Until 4 PM EDT Monday.

* IMPACTS...Up to 2 feet of inundation above ground level is
  possible in some areas near shorelines and tidal waterways
  resulting in an elevated threat of property damage, mainly
  around the times of high tide.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

Beaufort Marine Lab NC
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.0 ft, Moderate 5.5 ft, Major 6.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor -0.8 ft, Moderate -0.3 ft, Major 0.7 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 21/11 AM     5.8        0.0        1.4        1     Moderate  
 21/11 PM     4.9       -0.9        1.3        1       None    
 22/12 PM     5.7       -0.1        1.4        1     Moderate  
 23/12 AM     4.9       -0.9        1.5        1       None    
 23/01 PM     5.7       -0.1        1.5        1     Moderate  
 24/01 AM     4.7       -1.1        1.5        1       None

Ocracoke Inlet NC
MLLW Categories - Minor 3.0 ft, Moderate 4.0 ft, Major 5.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.9 ft, Moderate 2.9 ft, Major 4.4 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 21/11 AM     3.0        1.9        1.7       1-2     Minor    
 21/10 PM     2.6        1.5        1.6        1       None    
 22/12 PM     3.0        1.9        1.7        1      Minor    
 23/12 AM     2.6        1.5        1.6        1       None    
 23/12 PM     3.0        1.9        1.8       1-2     Minor    
 24/01 AM     2.7        1.6        1.7        1       None

&&

$$

781 
WHUS42 KMHX 211937
CFWMHX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
337 PM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024

NCZ203-205-220745-
/O.EXT.KMHX.CF.Y.0023.000000T0000Z-240924T0600Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0067.000000T0000Z-240922T0000Z/
Northern Outer Banks-Hatteras Island-
337 PM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT TUESDAY...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, 1 to 2 feet of 
  inundation above ground level in low-lying areas near shorelines
  and tidal waterways. For the Beach Hazards Statement, dangerous
  rip currents.

* WHERE...Northern Outer Banks and Hatteras Island.

* WHEN...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, until 2 AM EDT Tuesday. 
  For the Beach Hazards Statement, until 8 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Up to 2 feet of inundation above ground level is
  possible in some areas near shorelines and tidal waterways
  resulting in an elevated threat of property damage, mainly
  around the times of high tide. Some roads and low lying 
  property including parking lots, parks, lawns, and homes 
  adjacent to the waterfront will experience shallow flooding. Rip
  currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into 
  deeper water.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip
  currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide,
  which will occur around 5 PM this evening.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.

Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain
calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

Duck NC
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.5 ft, Moderate 6.0 ft, Major 6.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.8 ft, Moderate 2.3 ft, Major 2.8 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 21/11 PM     5.4        1.7        1.7        4       None    
 22/11 AM     6.4        2.7        1.9        4     Moderate  
 23/12 AM     5.5        1.8        2.1       3-4     Minor    
 23/12 PM     6.4        2.7        2.1        4     Moderate  
 24/01 AM     5.2        1.5        2.0       4-5      None    
 24/01 PM     5.8        2.1        1.8        4      Minor

Oregon Inlet NC
MLLW Categories - Minor 3.0 ft, Moderate 4.5 ft, Major 5.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.4 ft, Moderate 3.9 ft, Major 4.9 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 21/11 PM     2.8        2.2        1.5        1       None    
 22/12 PM     3.1        2.5        1.6        1      Minor    
 23/12 AM     2.8        2.2        1.6       1-2      None    
 23/01 PM     3.2        2.6        1.7        1      Minor    
 24/02 AM     2.9        2.3        1.7        1       None

Coast Guard Hatteras NC
MLLW Categories - Minor 2.5 ft, Moderate 3.5 ft, Major 4.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.3 ft, Moderate 2.3 ft, Major 3.3 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 21/11 PM     2.2        1.0        1.6        1       None    
 22/11 AM     2.5        1.3        1.8        1      Minor    
 23/12 AM     2.4        1.2        1.8        2       None    
 23/12 PM     2.6        1.4        1.9        2      Minor    
 24/02 AM     2.5        1.3        1.9       1-2     Minor    
 24/01 PM     2.6        1.4        1.9        1      Minor

&&

$$

NCZ195-196-199-204-220745-
/O.EXT.KMHX.CF.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-240924T0600Z/
West Carteret-East Carteret-Coastal Onslow-Ocracoke Island-
337 PM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Up to one foot of inundation above ground level in low- 
  lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.

* WHERE...Areas in North Topsail Beach, along the lower New 
  River, White Oak River, Bogue and Core Sounds, and adjacent 
  tidal creeks, and areas along the beaches, Pamlico Sound, and 
  adjacent tidal creeks.

* WHEN...Until 2 AM EDT Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Up to 2 feet of inundation above ground level is
  possible in some areas near shorelines and tidal waterways
  resulting in an elevated threat of property damage, mainly
  around the times of high tide.Some roads and low lying property
  including parking lots, parks, lawns, and homes adjacent to the
  waterfront will experience shallow flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

Beaufort Marine Lab NC
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.0 ft, Moderate 5.5 ft, Major 6.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor -0.8 ft, Moderate -0.3 ft, Major 0.7 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 21/11 PM     4.9       -0.9        1.3        1       None    
 22/12 PM     5.7       -0.1        1.4        1     Moderate  
 23/12 AM     4.9       -0.9        1.5        1       None    
 23/01 PM     5.8        0.0        1.6        1     Moderate  
 24/01 AM     4.9       -0.9        1.7        1       None

Ocracoke Inlet NC
MLLW Categories - Minor 3.0 ft, Moderate 4.0 ft, Major 5.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.9 ft, Moderate 2.9 ft, Major 4.4 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 22/12 AM     2.6        1.5        1.6        1       None    
 22/12 PM     3.0        1.9        1.7        1      Minor    
 23/12 AM     2.7        1.6        1.7        2       None    
 23/12 PM     3.1        2.0        1.9        2      Minor    
 24/01 AM     2.8        1.7        1.8       1-2      None    
 24/01 PM     3.0        1.9        1.9        1      Minor

&&

$$

Heden

697 
WHUS42 KMHX 220007
CFWMHX

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
807 PM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024

NCZ203-205-221215-
/O.EXP.KMHX.BH.S.0067.000000T0000Z-240922T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMHX.BH.S.0068.240922T1200Z-240923T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.CF.Y.0023.000000T0000Z-240924T0600Z/
Northern Outer Banks-Hatteras Island-
807 PM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT
TUESDAY...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT SUNDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT HAS EXPIRED...

* WHAT...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, up to one foot of 
  inundation above ground level in low-lying areas near 
  shorelines and tidal waterways. For the Beach Hazards 
  Statement, dangerous rip currents.

* WHERE...Northern Outer Banks and Hatteras Island.

* WHEN...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, until 2 AM EDT Tuesday. 
  For the Beach Hazards Statement, from 8 AM EDT Sunday through 
  Sunday evening.

* IMPACTS...Up to 2 feet of inundation above ground level is
  possible in some areas near shorelines and tidal waterways
  resulting in an elevated threat of property damage, mainly
  around the times of high tide. Some roads and low lying property
  including parking lots, parks, lawns, and homes adjacent to the
  waterfront will experience shallow flooding. Rip currents can
  sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip
  currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide,
  which will occur around 6 PM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.

Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain
calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired,
float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to
escape, face the shore and call or wave for help.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

Duck NC
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.5 ft, Moderate 6.0 ft, Major 6.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.8 ft, Moderate 2.3 ft, Major 2.8 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 21/11 PM     5.4        1.7        1.7        4       None    
 22/11 AM     6.4        2.7        1.9        4     Moderate  
 23/12 AM     5.5        1.8        2.1       3-4     Minor    
 23/12 PM     6.4        2.7        2.1        4     Moderate  
 24/01 AM     5.2        1.5        2.0       4-5      None    
 24/01 PM     5.8        2.1        1.8        4      Minor

Oregon Inlet NC
MLLW Categories - Minor 3.0 ft, Moderate 4.5 ft, Major 5.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 2.4 ft, Moderate 3.9 ft, Major 4.9 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 21/11 PM     2.8        2.2        1.5        1       None    
 22/12 PM     3.1        2.5        1.6        1      Minor    
 23/12 AM     2.8        2.2        1.6       1-2      None    
 23/01 PM     3.2        2.6        1.7        1      Minor    
 24/02 AM     2.9        2.3        1.7        1       None

Coast Guard Hatteras NC
MLLW Categories - Minor 2.5 ft, Moderate 3.5 ft, Major 4.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.3 ft, Moderate 2.3 ft, Major 3.3 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 21/11 PM     2.2        1.0        1.6        1       None    
 22/11 AM     2.5        1.3        1.8        1      Minor    
 23/12 AM     2.4        1.2        1.8        2       None    
 23/12 PM     2.6        1.4        1.9        2      Minor    
 24/02 AM     2.5        1.3        1.9       1-2     Minor    
 24/01 PM     2.6        1.4        1.9        1      Minor

&&

$$

NCZ195-196-199-204-221215-
/O.CON.KMHX.CF.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-240924T0600Z/
West Carteret-East Carteret-Coastal Onslow-Ocracoke Island-
807 PM EDT Sat Sep 21 2024

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Up to one foot of inundation above ground level in low- 
  lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.

* WHERE...Areas in North Topsail Beach, along the lower New 
  River, White Oak River, Bogue and Core Sounds, and adjacent 
  tidal creeks, and areas along the beaches, Pamlico Sound, and 
  adjacent tidal creeks.

* WHEN...Until 2 AM EDT Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Up to 2 feet of inundation above ground level is
  possible in some areas near shorelines and tidal waterways
  resulting in an elevated threat of property damage, mainly
  around the times of high tide. Some roads and low lying 
  property including parking lots, parks, lawns, and homes 
  adjacent to the waterfront will experience shallow flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

Beaufort Marine Lab NC
MLLW Categories - Minor 5.0 ft, Moderate 5.5 ft, Major 6.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor -0.8 ft, Moderate -0.3 ft, Major 0.7 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 21/11 PM     4.9       -0.9        1.3        1       None    
 22/12 PM     5.7       -0.1        1.4        1     Moderate  
 23/12 AM     4.9       -0.9        1.5        1       None    
 23/01 PM     5.8        0.0        1.6        1     Moderate  
 24/01 AM     4.9       -0.9        1.7        1       None

Ocracoke Inlet NC
MLLW Categories - Minor 3.0 ft, Moderate 4.0 ft, Major 5.5 ft
MHHW Categories - Minor 1.9 ft, Moderate 2.9 ft, Major 4.4 ft

             Total      Total    Departure                   
 Day/Time    Tide       Tide     from Norm   Waves    Flood  
            ft MLLW    ft MHHW       ft       ft      Impact 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 22/12 AM     2.6        1.5        1.6        1       None    
 22/12 PM     3.0        1.9        1.7        1      Minor    
 23/12 AM     2.7        1.6        1.7        2       None    
 23/12 PM     3.1        2.0        1.9        2      Minor    
 24/01 AM     2.8        1.7        1.8       1-2      None    
 24/01 PM     3.0        1.9        1.9        1      Minor

&&

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
628 PM EDT Fri Sep 20 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will ridge southwards across the Carolinas and
will continue to wedge itself southwards across the Mid-Atlantic
through this weekend allowing for benign conditions across the
area. Next potential frontal system doesn't near ENC until at
least mid next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TONIGHT/...
As of 630 PM Fri...No significant changes needed to previous
forecast for early evening update. High pressure continues to
ridge southwards over the Carolinas ending any precip threat we
had this afternoon as dry air continues to work its way S'wards
over ENC tonight. Expecting good radiational cooling with mostly
clear skies and light winds which should promote the
development of patchy fog and/or low clouds again after
midnight. One caveat to the fog threat is if enough low cloud
cover overspreads ENC tonight the patchy fog threat would be
lower than currently indicated. Lows inland will be in the low
to mid 60s and upper 60s along the coast.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY/...
As of 320 PM Fri... Rather benign day as high pressure over the
Eastern Seaboard moves little keeping the area dry and warm.
Any leftover patchy fog quickly dissipates after sunrise. Still
expect a diurnal Cu field to develop in the late morning to
early afternoon but don't expect any precip through the day.
Highs get into the upper 70s to mid 80s resulting in a rather
great start to the weekend. One thing to note is the King Tide
will peak this weekend resulting in a threat for some minor
coastal flooding on Sat around times of high tide (SEE COASTAL
FLOOD SECTION for more details).

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 330 AM Friday...Ridging starts building in through the
weekend as a low spins up offshore to our northeast, gradually
shifting further offshore to our east. Slight chances of rain
Sunday-Sunday night (20%) but otherwise a dry forecast through
Tuesday. Seasonable temps through the period and generally dry
through Tuesday evening. Rain chances increase mid to late week
as ridging weakens and a low treks across the Ohio Valley and
Great Lakes region.

The Weekend:
Expanded the slight chance of showers (and thunderstorms during
peak heating) Sunday with synoptic models all keying in on 2
waves of potential rainfall.

First Sunday morning a weak front and associated isentropic lift
from a low developing near the Great Lakes moves through the
region. Ridging from a high to our E/SE will help shelter the
southern half of the CWA from rainfall, but have expanded the
slight chance PoP mentions for the northern half where ridging
is a bit weaker. This front fizzles out as it crosses our CWA.

The second wave looks to be Sunday afternoon/evening as a
boundary ahead of ridging building in from the north could
initiate showers over ENC. Introduced Schc PoPs with this
update, opting to not go higher as we have a lack of upper level
support.

Monday-Thursday:
Low offshore could produce high swell impacting OBX beaches
Monday-Tuesday. See TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING section for more
information.

Ridging and dry conditions continue through Tuesday evening.
Tuesday night ridging starts to weaken over ENC as a low
approaches from the midwest, pushing the high further northeast.
While a cold front from this low will be pushing through the
ohio and mississippi valley Tuesday, there is uncertainty on
when the front will reach us. If the ridge takes longer to move
out of here, the front could reach us as soon as Wednesday
morning. There is also a chance that the front doesn't reach us
at all if ridge remains stubborn. Kept PoPs at Schc for now
Wednesday with so much uncertainty with the front. High
offshore helps channel moisture towards ENC mid to late week,
increasing PoPs to Chc/Schc Wednesday night onwards as we enter
a wetter pattern.

&&

.AVIATION /22Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
SHORT TERM /through Saturday morning/...
As of 630 PM Fri...VFR conditions forecast across ENC this
afternoon with diurnal cu field beginning to dissipate. Ample
low level moisture remains in place overnight, and with light
winds, and clearing skies, guidance continues to show the
potential for patchy fog and low stratus, mainly along and west
of Hwy 17. All terminals have the potential for IFR conditions,
with best chances at PGV, ISO and OAJ between 6-13z. Will note
some of the guidance is giving a low end chance that the low
stratus will inhibit fog formation but as of this update the
possibility seems too low to discount fog threat. After about
13Z any leftover patchy fog and low stratus quickly dissipate
and VFR conditions return for Sat.

LONG TERM /Saturday night through Wednesday/...
As of 345 AM Friday...Pred VFR conditions expected through the
long term

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM /Through Saturday/...
As of 630 PM Fri...Latest obs show NE winds 10-20 kt gusting up
to 25 kt across the outer central waters, with seas 4-6 ft
north of Ocracoke and 2-4 ft south. No changes in the forecast
as SCA's will remain in effect for the waters north of Ocracoke
Inlet through this weekend and into early next week as swell
from a low pressure system in the northwest- Atlantic moves into
the northern and central waters today and tonight. N to NE
winds at 5-15 kt will persist through the period as high
pressure builds over the waters from the north. 2 to 4 ft seas
south of Ocracoke Inlet will build to 3-5 ft tonight and remain
at 3-5 ft through Sat. North of Ocracoke Inlet seas will remain
4-6 ft through Sat.

LONG TERM /Saturday night through Wednesday/...
As of 400 AM Friday...SCA In Effect through 6Z Tuesday (and
will likely need to be extended further with future updates) for
coastal waters north of Ocracoke.

Sustained NE winds 10-15 kt Saturday and Sunday, then 15-20 kt
Monday before dropping back down to 10-15 kt Tuesday. Winds have
continued trending down Sunday into Monday, forecasted to remain
generally below 25 kts. Waves greater than 6 ft from the low
offshore have warranted an SCA issuance for the coastal waters
N of Ocracoke (with other coastal waters also likely to reach
SCA criteria seas early next week given the current forecast),
Seas will be 2-7 ft Saturday, 2-6 ft Sunday, and 2-8 ft
Monday/Tuesday as gusty winds + the low offshore results in
higher swell. Waters off Crystal Coast and coastal Onslow will
be a bit protected from the more easterly swell courtesy of Cape
Lookout, and will be on the lower end of these wave height
ranges. OBX (particularly north of Hatteras) and the Gulf Stream will
not be protected and will see the higher values in the ranges
above.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
As of 320 PM Fri...Coastal flooding will continue to be a
threat given the higher than normal astronomical tide cycle into
early next week during high tide each day. Coastal Flood
Advisories remain in effect for all oceanside coastal areas into
Monday mornings high tide. Increased swell from a low offshore
brings minor overwash concerns early next week for OBX north of
Cape Hatteras.

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...Coastal Flood Advisory until 2 PM EDT Monday for NCZ195-196-
     199-203>205.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EDT Tuesday for AMZ150.
     Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EDT Tuesday for AMZ152-154.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MHX
NEAR TERM...CQD/RCF
SHORT TERM...RCF
LONG TERM...RJ
AVIATION...CQD/RCF/RJ
MARINE...CQD/RCF/RJ
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...MHX

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
814 PM EDT Fri Sep 20 2024

NCZ195-199-220015-
West Carteret-Coastal Onslow-
814 PM EDT Fri Sep 20 2024

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>092-094-193-194-198-220015-
Martin-Pitt-Washington-Tyrrell-Mainland Dare-Greene-Beaufort-
Mainland Hyde-Duplin-Lenoir-Jones-Pamlico-Northern Craven-
Southern Craven-Inland Onslow-
814 PM EDT Fri Sep 20 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ196-204-220015-
East Carteret-Ocracoke Island-
814 PM EDT Fri Sep 20 2024

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT MONDAY...
...MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT SATURDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR CORE BANKS...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.
   Moderate Rip Current Risk.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ205-220015-
Hatteras Island-
814 PM EDT Fri Sep 20 2024

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT MONDAY...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT SATURDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING NORTH OF CAPE HATTERAS...
...MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT SATURDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING SOUTH OF CAPE HATTERAS...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.
   Beach Hazards Statement.
   Moderate Rip Current Risk.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ203-220015-
Northern Outer Banks-
814 PM EDT Fri Sep 20 2024

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT MONDAY...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT SATURDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.
   Beach Hazards Statement.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.