Alert archive / North Carolina / Beach Hazards Statements in 2024
Beach Hazards Statement 54, NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC
NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC issued this beach hazards statement at Aug 17, 2024, 8:06 PM EDT for 4 counties in North Carolina. It was in force for 24 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 17, 2024, 8:06 PM EDT (00:06 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 18, 2024, 8:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC
Counties Carteret County, NC, Dare County, NC, Hyde County, NC, Onslow County, NC
The radar
The Morehead City radar (KMHX), 61 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 00:00Z, 0.1 hours before the alert went out and 61 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -150 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1147 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 22 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 59 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 68 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
191 WHUS42 KMHX 180006 CFWMHX Coastal Hazard Message National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 806 PM EDT Sat Aug 17 2024 NCZ196-204-205-181215- /O.EXP.KMHX.BH.S.0053.000000T0000Z-240818T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMHX.BH.S.0054.240818T0006Z-240819T0000Z/ /O.CON.KMHX.CF.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-240819T1200Z/ /O.CON.KMHX.SU.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-240819T1200Z/ East Carteret-Ocracoke Island-Hatteras Island- 806 PM EDT Sat Aug 17 2024 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT MONDAY... ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT MONDAY... * WHAT...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, 1 to 2 feet of inundation above ground level in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways. For the High Surf Advisory, large breaking waves of 5 to 8 feet in the surf zone. For the Beach Hazards Statement, dangerous rip currents and large breaking waves in the surf zone. * WHERE...East Carteret County, and Ocracoke Island and Hatteras Island. * WHEN...For the Beach Hazards Statement, through Sunday evening. For the Coastal Flood Advisory, until 8 AM EDT Monday. For the High Surf Advisory, until 8 AM EDT Monday. * IMPACTS...Up to 1 to 2 feet of inundation above ground level is possible in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways resulting in a low threat of property damage. Some roads and low lying property including parking lots, parks, lawns, and homes adjacent to the waterfront may experience shallow flooding. Vulnerable dune structures along Ocracoke and Hatteras Islands will be most susceptible to impacts from ocean overwash. Portions of NC-12 may be impacted, especially around times of high tide. Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and localized beach erosion expected. Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water. Dangerous shore break can throw a swimmer or surfer head first into the bottom causing neck and back injuries. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide, which will occur around 1 PM Sunday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property. Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to dangerous surf conditions. Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired, float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to escape, face the shore and call or wave for help. Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. It is extremely important to protect your head and neck whenever you are in breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at all times. && $$ NCZ203-181215- /O.EXP.KMHX.BH.S.0053.000000T0000Z-240818T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMHX.BH.S.0054.240818T0006Z-240819T0000Z/ /O.CON.KMHX.SU.Y.0009.240818T0900Z-240819T1200Z/ Northern Outer Banks- 806 PM EDT Sat Aug 17 2024 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM SUNDAY TO 8 AM EDT MONDAY... * WHAT...For the Beach Hazards Statement, dangerous rip currents and large breaking waves in the surf zone. For the High Surf Advisory, large breaking waves of 5 to 8 feet expected in the surf zone. * WHERE...Northern Outer Banks beaches. * WHEN...For the Beach Hazards Statement, through Sunday evening. For the High Surf Advisory, from 5 AM Sunday to 8 AM EDT Monday. * IMPACTS...Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and localized beach erosion. Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water. Dangerous shore break can throw a swimmer or surfer head first into the bottom causing neck and back injuries. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide, which will occur around 1 PM Sunday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to dangerous surf conditions. Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired, float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to escape, face the shore and call or wave for help. Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. It is extremely important to protect your head and neck whenever you are in breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at all times. && $$ NCZ195-199-181215- /O.EXP.KMHX.BH.S.0053.000000T0000Z-240818T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMHX.BH.S.0054.240818T0006Z-240819T0000Z/ West Carteret-Coastal Onslow- 806 PM EDT Sat Aug 17 2024 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... * WHAT...Dangerous rip currents. * WHERE...Crystal Coast beaches. * WHEN...Through Sunday evening. * IMPACTS...Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide, which will occur around 1 PM Sunday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired, float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to escape, face the shore and call or wave for help. && $$
3 follow-up statements
215 WHUS42 KMHX 180701 CFWMHX Coastal Hazard Message National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 301 AM EDT Sun Aug 18 2024 NCZ203-182115- /O.CAN.KMHX.SU.Y.0009.240818T0900Z-240819T1200Z/ /O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0054.000000T0000Z-240819T0000Z/ Northern Outer Banks- 301 AM EDT Sun Aug 18 2024 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...Dangerous rip currents and large breaking waves in the surf zone. * WHERE...Northern Outer Banks beaches. * WHEN...Through this evening. * IMPACTS...Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water. Dangerous shore break can throw a swimmer or surfer head first into the bottom causing neck and back injuries. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide, which will occur around 1 pm. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired, float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to escape, face the shore and call or wave for help. Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. It is extremely important to protect your head and neck whenever you are in breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at all times. && $$ NCZ196-204-205-182115- /O.CON.KMHX.CF.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-240819T1200Z/ /O.CON.KMHX.SU.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-240819T1200Z/ /O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0054.000000T0000Z-240819T0000Z/ East Carteret-Ocracoke Island-Hatteras Island- 301 AM EDT Sun Aug 18 2024 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT MONDAY... ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT MONDAY... ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... * WHAT...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, 1 to 2 feet of inundation above ground level in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways. For the High Surf Advisory, large breaking waves of 5 to 8 feet in the surf zone. For the Beach Hazards Statement, dangerous rip currents and large breaking waves in the surf zone. * WHERE...East Carteret County, and Ocracoke Island and Hatteras Island. * WHEN...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, until 8 AM EDT Monday. For the Beach Hazards Statement, through this evening. * IMPACTS...Flooding of lots, parks, and roads with only isolated road closures expected. Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and localized beach erosion. Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water. Dangerous shore break can throw a swimmer or surfer head first into the bottom causing neck and back injuries. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide, which will occur around 1 pm. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property. Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to dangerous surf conditions. Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired, float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to escape, face the shore and call or wave for help. Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. It is extremely important to protect your head and neck whenever you are in breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at all times. && $$ NCZ195-199-182115- /O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0054.000000T0000Z-240819T0000Z/ West Carteret-Coastal Onslow- 301 AM EDT Sun Aug 18 2024 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Dangerous rip currents. * WHERE...Crystal Coast beaches. * WHEN...Through this evening. * IMPACTS...Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide, which will occur around 1 pm. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired, float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to escape, face the shore and call or wave for help. && $$
116 WHUS42 KMHX 182007 CFWMHX Coastal Hazard Message National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 407 PM EDT Sun Aug 18 2024 NCZ196-204-205-190815- /O.CON.KMHX.CF.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-240819T1200Z/ /O.CON.KMHX.SU.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-240819T1200Z/ /O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0054.000000T0000Z-240819T0000Z/ East Carteret-Ocracoke Island-Hatteras Island- 407 PM EDT Sun Aug 18 2024 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT MONDAY... ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT MONDAY... ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, 1 to 2 feet of inundation above ground level in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways. For the High Surf Advisory, large breaking waves of 5 to 8 feet in the surf zone. For the Beach Hazards Statement, dangerous rip currents and large breaking waves in the surf zone. * WHERE...East Carteret County, and Ocracoke Island and Hatteras Island. * WHEN...For the Beach Hazards Statement, through Sunday evening. For the Coastal Flood Advisory, until 8 AM EDT Monday. For the High Surf Advisory, until 8 AM EDT Monday. * IMPACTS...Up to 1 to 2 feet of inundation above ground level is possible in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways resulting in a low threat of property damage. Some roads and low lying property including parking lots, parks, lawns, and homes adjacent to the waterfront may experience shallow flooding. Vulnerable dune structures along Ocracoke and Hatteras Islands will be most susceptible to impacts from ocean overwash. Portions of NC-12 may be impacted, especially around times of high tide. Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and localized beach erosion expected. Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water. Dangerous shore break can throw a swimmer or surfer head first into the bottom causing neck and back injuries. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide, which occurred around 12:30 PM today. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property. Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to dangerous surf conditions. Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired, float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to escape, face the shore and call or wave for help. Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. It is extremely important to protect your head and neck whenever you are in breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at all times. && $$ NCZ195-199-190000- /O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0054.000000T0000Z-240819T0000Z/ West Carteret-Coastal Onslow- 407 PM EDT Sun Aug 18 2024 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Dangerous rip currents. * WHERE...Crystal Coast beaches. * WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide, which occurred around 12:30 PM today. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired, float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to escape, face the shore and call or wave for help. && $$ NCZ203-190000- /O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0054.000000T0000Z-240819T0000Z/ Northern Outer Banks- 407 PM EDT Sun Aug 18 2024 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Dangerous rip currents and large breaking waves in the surf zone. * WHERE...Northern Outer Banks beaches. * WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water. Dangerous shore break can throw a swimmer or surfer head first into the bottom causing neck and back injuries. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide, which occurred around 12:30 PM today. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired, float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to escape, face the shore and call or wave for help. Shore break occurs when waves break directly on the beach. It is extremely important to protect your head and neck whenever you are in breaking waves by keeping your hands in front of you at all times. && $$
771 WHUS42 KMHX 190003 CFWMHX Coastal Hazard Message National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 803 PM EDT Sun Aug 18 2024 NCZ196-204-205-191215- /O.EXP.KMHX.BH.S.0054.000000T0000Z-240819T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMHX.BH.S.0055.240819T0003Z-240820T0000Z/ /O.EXT.KMHX.CF.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-240819T1400Z/ /O.EXT.KMHX.SU.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-240819T1400Z/ East Carteret-Ocracoke Island-Hatteras Island- 803 PM EDT Sun Aug 18 2024 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT MONDAY... ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT MONDAY... * WHAT...For the Coastal Flood Advisory, 1 to 2 feet of inundation above ground level in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways. For the High Surf Advisory, large breaking waves of 5 to 8 feet in the surf zone. For the Beach Hazards Statement, dangerous rip currents. * WHERE...East Carteret County, and Ocracoke Island and Hatteras Island. * WHEN...For the Beach Hazards Statement, through Monday evening. For the Coastal Flood Advisory, until 10 AM EDT Monday. For the High Surf Advisory, until 10 AM EDT Monday. * IMPACTS...Up to 1 to 2 feet of inundation above ground level is possible in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways resulting in a low threat of property damage. Some roads and low lying property including parking lots, parks, lawns, and homes adjacent to the waterfront may experience shallow flooding. Vulnerable dune structures along Ocracoke and Hatteras Islands will be most susceptible to impacts from ocean overwash. Portions of NC-12 may be impacted, especially around times of high tide. The next high tide is around 8 AM Monday morning. Dangerous swimming and surfing conditions and localized beach erosion expected. Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide, which will occur around 1:30 PM Monday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone property. Inexperienced swimmers should remain out of the water due to dangerous surf conditions. Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired, float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to escape, face the shore and call or wave for help. && $$ NCZ195-199-203-191215- /O.EXP.KMHX.BH.S.0054.000000T0000Z-240819T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMHX.BH.S.0055.240819T0003Z-240820T0000Z/ West Carteret-Coastal Onslow-Northern Outer Banks- 803 PM EDT Sun Aug 18 2024 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... * WHAT...Dangerous rip currents. * WHERE...Crystal Coast beaches, and northern Outer Banks beaches. * WHEN...Through Monday evening. * IMPACTS...Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away from shore into deeper water. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The most likely time for strong rip currents to occur is a couple hours either side of low tide, which will occur around 1:30 PM Monday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Life-threatening rip currents. If caught in a rip current, remain calm. Swim in a direction following the shoreline. If tired, float or tread water until out of the rip current. If unable to escape, face the shore and call or wave for help. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this beach hazards statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this beach hazards statement went out at Aug 17, 7:47 PM EDT, 19 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Aug 17, 7:47 PM EDT, 19 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
747 PM EDT Sat Aug 17 2024
.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure has shifted offshore and a cold front is
approaching from the west. The cold front will move across the
Carolinas Sunday into Monday bringing our next threat for
unsettled, and potentially severe, weather to the area. Swell
from distant Hurricane Ernesto will continue impacting the coast
through the weekend, bringing an elevated rip current risk and
minor coastal flood threat. High pressure then builds in from
the north and west next week once again bringing fair weather to
ENC.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/...
As of 730 PM Saturday...No major changes with the forecast.
chances for rain rapidly diminish with a loss of daytime heating
this evening, before a weak mid-level shortwave brings another
chance of rain in the early morning hours (primarily east of hwy
17).
Previous Discussion...As of 4 PM Saturday...High pressure has
moved offshore today and a potent cold front is making its way
across the Ohio River Valley. An isolated shower across the
inner coastal plain and northern tier of the FA cannot be ruled
out this afternoon and evening, but most areas should remain dry
until after midnight. Late tonight, a weak mid-level
disturbance could trigger isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows will reach the lower 70s inland and mid 70s at the beaches.
Coastal hazards from Ernesto continue for ENC's entire coastline.
See the COASTAL FLOODING section for details.
River flooding from Debby is ongoing in some areas but all
rivers have crested as of today. For more details, see the
HYDROLOGY section.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/...
As of 730 PM Saturday...No major changes with the forecast.
Previous Discussion...As of 4 PM Saturday...A chance for severe
weather is on the table tomorrow as a shortwave pushes a cold
front towards ENC. There will be a slight chance for showers and
thunderstorms throughout the day, but chances will increase as
the front enters the CWA from the west later in the
afternoon/evening. Daytime heating sending Ts into the low 90s
and moist southwesterly flow allowing Tds to reach the mid to
upper 70s will create a juicy environment that could generate
strong to severe thunderstorms across the area. The best chance
for severe storms will be west of HWY 17 where the event will
start with a multicellular storm mode. This area has been
highlighted with a Slight Risk (Level 2/5) from SPC. As the
front progresses eastward, storms will likely congeal into a
QLCS and race towards the coast, eventually making it offshore
after midnight. The main threats with this event are damaging
wind gusts and heavy rainfall, but the progressive nature of
this system should mostly preclude any flooding threat.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 330 AM Sat...A severe risk is in play for Sunday, with
more unsettled weather with showers and storms to start the
week, then dry and cool for mid to late week.
Monday...Upr trough remains west of the region with the front
stalling through Monday. Therefore, chances for precip cont, and
have cont to advertise 40-50% pops during the afternoon hours.
Severe threat appears quite a bit lower, but cannot rule out a
few storms per instability still in place. Highs cont warm in
the mid to upper 80s.
Tuesday through Friday...Cold front expected to push through,
thus precip chances wane and mostly dry and cooler conditions
are expected. Dropped the 20-30% chc of rain that was
advertised, and now a dry forecast Tue and beyond. Temps drop
back down to below climo, and TD's plummet through the 60s and
into the upper 50s. This will yield a fantastic airmass for mid
August, with highs in the low 80s, and lows in the upper 50s to
low 60s. GFS guidance has widespread lows in the 50s Wed and Thu
mornings inland. By Friday, the NNE flow becomes easterly, with
some shallow moisture and clouds returning. Have introduced
small pops (20-30%) in the form of a few showers possibly
migrating wwrd and off the Atlantic by Fri.
&&
.AVIATION /23Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
SHORT TERM /Through Sunday/...
As of 730 PM Saturday...Predominantly VFR conditions are
expected until shortly after midnight. The overnight hours will
present an opportunity for fog and low stratus, but confidence
is somewhat low for a few reasons. First, the winds are expected
to remain around 5 kt out of the south. This would keep us
mixed enough to prevent fog development, but any decoupling
would be problematic. Second, some guidance is hinting at low-
end MVFR to IFR ceilings between 06-12Z, but low-level cloud
cover may not be great enough to generate broken ceilings. Low
stratus seems more probable than fog given the overnight wind
forecast. have SCT IFR and BKN MVFR CIGs in the TAFs for PGV and
ISO where chances are the highest, diminishing to SCT MVFR for
EWN and ISO.
Tomorrow, isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms
are possible east of HWY 17 in the morning. A few hours of rain
free conditions are possible before convection kicks off
around/after 18Z ahead of an approaching cold front. Added VCTS
to all terminals from 18Z-00Z in the TAFs.
LONG TERM /Sunday night through Wednesday/...
As of 330 AM Sat...Unsettled weather returns late in the
weekend in the form of showers and storms. Could be some severe
storms very late afternoon Sun into Sun evening, with some
strong wind gusts possible along with brief reductions in vsby
to sub VFR. Gusty sswrly winds on Sunday ahead of the front with
speeds up to 20 kt possible. Another chc for some showers on
Mon, then cold front will move through by Tue bringing dry
weather back to ENC.
&&
.MARINE...
SHORT TERM /through Tonight/...
As of 4 PM Saturday...
- Ernesto swell will continue to impact the coastal waters
through Sunday night
Hazardous marine conditions will continue as long period swell
from distant Hurricane Ernesto impacts the waters of NC. SCAs
remain in effect for all of the coastal waters, Pamlico Sound,
Croatan Sound, and Roanoke Sound through the weekend. 10-15 kt
SW winds tonight will become 15-20 kt with gusts to 25 kt
tomorrow.
Current obs are showing 3-6 ft seas with the expectation of them
rebuilding to 6-7 ft tomorrow. Periods will be 12-13 seconds
through tonight and 11-12 seconds tomorrow.
LONG TERM /Sunday through Wednesday/...
As of 330 AM Sat...Tropical Cyclone Ernesto passes close to
Bermuda this weekend. Wave guidance suggests long period swells
will impact the waters into Monday as Ernesto only slowly moves
northward. The long period swells could make inlet conditions
particularly dangerous at times of opposing winds/currents/tides
and perpendicular swell energy (SE/E/NE direction), especially
for east facing inlets along the NC coast. The large swells
finally subside later Mon.
Sswrly winds inc Sun afternoon and evening ahead of approaching
cold front, with winds of 15-25 kt expected for
Pamlico/Croatan/Roanoke sounds. May need SCA's hoisted for these
zones with subsequent forecast updates. Swrly winds diminish
some by Mon, then turn nw Tue, and N to NE Wed into Thu, with
speeds of 10-15 kt expected.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
As of 4 PM Saturday...All rivers have crested and are falling as
of this afternoon. Flooding along the Neuse, Tar, and Contentnea
is ongoing but conditions will continue to improve over the
coming days.
&&
.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
As of 4 PM Saturday...Powerful long period swells from distant
Ernesto are combining with high astronomical tides and leading
to several coastal hazards, which will persist through the
weekend. Dangerous rip currents and rough surf are expected for
the beaches from Duck to Cape Lookout. There is also potential
for beach erosion and ocean overwash (esp. where dune structures
are vulnerable). The greatest window of concern will be around
the times of high into Monday. A High Surf Advisory is in effect
from Duck to Cape Lookout for dangerous breaking waves of 5-8
ft. In addition, a Coastal Flood Advisory is in effect from
Oregon Inlet to Cape Lookout for 1-2 feet of inundation.
Vulnerable dune structures along Ocracoke and Hatteras Islands
will be most susceptible to impacts from beach erosion and ocean
overwash.
&&
.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...Beach Hazards Statement until 8 PM EDT this evening for NCZ195-
196-199-203>205.
Coastal Flood Advisory until 8 AM EDT Monday for NCZ196-204-
205.
High Surf Advisory until 8 AM EDT Monday for NCZ196-204-205.
High Surf Advisory from 5 AM Sunday to 8 AM EDT Monday for
NCZ203.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 2 PM Sunday to midnight EDT Sunday
night for AMZ135-231.
Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM EDT Monday for AMZ150.
Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT Monday for AMZ152-154-156-
158.
&&
SYNOPSIS...MHX
NEAR TERM...OJC/RJ
SHORT TERM...OJC/RJ
LONG TERM...TL
AVIATION...TL/RJ
MARINE...TL/OJC
HYDROLOGY...MHX
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...MHXHazardous weather outlook, Aug 17, 7:49 PM EDT, 17 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 749 PM EDT Sat Aug 17 2024 NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>092-094-193-194-198-190000- Martin-Pitt-Washington-Tyrrell-Mainland Dare-Greene-Beaufort- Mainland Hyde-Duplin-Lenoir-Jones-Pamlico-Northern Craven- Southern Craven-Inland Onslow- 749 PM EDT Sat Aug 17 2024 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. Thunderstorms, some severe, are possible Sunday afternoon and evening. The main threat with the storms would be damaging wind gusts. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. NCZ196-204-205-190000- East Carteret-Ocracoke Island-Hatteras Island- 749 PM EDT Sat Aug 17 2024 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT MONDAY... ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT MONDAY... ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Beach Hazards Statement. Coastal Flood Advisory. High Surf Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Beach Hazards Statement. Coastal Flood Advisory. High Surf Advisory. Long period swells from Tropical Cyclone Ernesto will continue impacting eastern North Carolina beaches which will lead to an increased risk for rip currents, coastal impacts, and large surf through the weekend. Thunderstorms, some severe, are possible Sunday afternoon and evening. The main threat with the storms would be damaging wind gusts. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. NCZ203-190000- Northern Outer Banks- 749 PM EDT Sat Aug 17 2024 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM SUNDAY TO 8 AM EDT MONDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Beach Hazards Statement. High Surf Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Beach Hazards Statement. High Surf Advisory. Long period swells from Tropical Cyclone Ernesto will continue impacting eastern North Carolina beaches which will lead to an increased risk for rip currents, coastal impacts, and large surf through the weekend. Thunderstorms, some severe, are possible Sunday afternoon and evening. The main threat with the storms would be damaging wind gusts. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. NCZ195-199-190000- West Carteret-Coastal Onslow- 749 PM EDT Sat Aug 17 2024 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for eastern North Carolina. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Beach Hazards Statement. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Beach Hazards Statement. Long period swells from Tropical Cyclone Ernesto will continue impacting eastern North Carolina beaches which will lead to an increased risk for rip currents, coastal impacts, and large surf through the weekend. Thunderstorms, some severe, are possible Sunday afternoon and evening. The main threat with the storms would be damaging wind gusts. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 7:45 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | MHX | Greene | 30 min |
Nearby
Beach Hazards Statements in North Carolina, 2024Every beach hazards statement in 2024
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.