Alert archive / Oregon / High Wind Warnings in 2024
High Wind Warning 1, NWS Medford, OR
NWS Medford, OR issued this high wind warning at Jan 29, 2024, 7:25 PM PST for Modoc County, Siskiyou County, California; 6 counties in Oregon. It took effect at Jan 30, 2024, 1:00 PM PST. It was in force for 33 hr. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 29, 2024, 7:25 PM PST (03:25 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jan 30, 2024, 1:00 PM PST
- Expired
- Jan 31, 2024, 10:00 PM PST
- In force
- 33 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Medford, OR
Counties Modoc County, CA, Siskiyou County, CA, Coos County, OR, Curry County, OR, Douglas County, OR, Jackson County, OR, Klamath County, OR, Lake County, OR
The radar
The Medford radar (KMAX), 52 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:22 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 8:00 AM PST | RAIN 1.26 | 2 Sse Pistol River, OR | Trained spotter reported 1.26 inches of rain in past 24 hours. |
| Jan 31, 2:00 PM PST | RAIN 1.9 | 1 Nnw Lakeside, OR | Accumulation over 24 hours. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Medford/Jackson, OR (KMFR), launched 00:00Z, 3.4 hours before the alert went out and 33 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2035 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 43 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 41 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 116 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
938 WWUS76 KMFR 300325 NPWMFR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Medford OR 725 PM PST Mon Jan 29 2024 CAZ080-082-083-ORZ028-300430- /O.CAN.KMFR.HW.A.0003.240131T0900Z-240201T0000Z/ Western Siskiyou County-South Central Siskiyou County- North Central and Southeast Siskiyou County- Siskiyou Mountains and Southern Oregon Cascades- 725 PM PST Mon Jan 29 2024 ...HIGH WIND WATCH IS CANCELLED... The High Wind Watch was upgraded and included in our Winter Storm Watches. Please see the WSWMFR for more details. $$ ORZ026-301315- /O.UPG.KMFR.HW.A.0003.240131T0900Z-240201T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.WI.Y.0008.240130T2100Z-240201T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.HW.W.0001.240131T0600Z-240201T0300Z/ Jackson County- Including the cities of Medford and Ashland 725 PM PST Mon Jan 29 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TUESDAY TO 7 PM PST WEDNESDAY... ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM TUESDAY TO 7 PM PST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...For the High Wind Warning, southeast winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph expected. For the Wind Advisory, southeast winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...For the High Wind Warning, portions of southeast Jackson County including Ashland and Interstate 5 at Siskiyou Summit. For the Wind Advisory, higher terrain above 2000 feet surrounding the Rogue Valley, as well as for portions of the Rogue Valley including South Medford, Phoenix, Talent, White City, Eagle Point, Butte Falls, and Prospect. * WHEN...For the Wind Advisory, from 1 PM Tuesday to 7 PM PST Wednesday. For the High Wind Warning, from 10 PM Tuesday to 7 PM PST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds can blow down trees and power lines. Power outages are possible. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds will begin to increase late Tuesday morning. The strongest winds in southeast Jackson County will occur Wednesday morning. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ CAZ084-085-ORZ029>031-301315- /O.UPG.KMFR.HW.A.0003.240131T0900Z-240201T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.WI.Y.0008.240131T0600Z-240201T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.HW.W.0001.240131T0900Z-240201T0600Z/ Northeast Siskiyou and Northwest Modoc Counties-Modoc County- Klamath Basin- Northern and Eastern Klamath County and Western Lake County- Central and Eastern Lake County- Including the cities of Newell, Tulelake, Dorris, Macdoel, Adin, Alturas, Canby, Likely, Altamont, Olene, Klamath Falls, Midland, and Adel 725 PM PST Mon Jan 29 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM TUESDAY TO 10 PM PST WEDNESDAY... ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 10 PM PST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...For the High Wind Warning, south winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph expected. For the Wind Advisory, south winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...For the High Wind Warning, portions of Highway 97 in Northeast Siskiyou County including Macdoel and Dorris; higher terrain in Klamath, Lake, and Modoc Counties including the Winter rim, Warner Mountains including at Cedar Pass, and south of Canby. Additionally, areas near Klamath Lake are included in the warning as well. For the advisory, most other areas of Klamath, Lake, and Modoc Counties. This includes Highways 31, 139, 140, 299, and 395 and the cities of Alturas, Lakeview, Klamath Falls, and Chiloquin. * WHEN...For the Wind Advisory, from 10 PM Tuesday to 10 PM PST Wednesday. For the High Wind Warning, from 1 AM to 10 PM PST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds can blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are possible. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds will begin on Tuesday, but the strongest winds will occur Wednesday morning. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ CAZ081-301315- /O.UPG.KMFR.HW.A.0003.240131T0900Z-240201T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.HW.W.0001.240130T2100Z-240201T0600Z/ Central Siskiyou County- 725 PM PST Mon Jan 29 2024 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TUESDAY TO 10 PM PST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...South winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 70 mph expected. * WHERE...The Shasta Valley in Central Siskiyou County. This includes the communities of Weed, Gazelle, and Grenada. * WHEN...From 1 PM Tuesday to 10 PM PST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds can blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are possible. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds will begin on Tuesday gusting to 50 mph and will peak on Wednesday morning gusting to 70 mph. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && && $$ ORZ021-022-301315- /O.UPG.KMFR.HW.A.0003.240131T0900Z-240131T2100Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.HW.W.0001.240131T0600Z-240131T2100Z/ South Central Oregon Coast-Curry County Coast- Including the cities of Gold Beach, Nesika Beach, Ophir, and Pistol River 725 PM PST Mon Jan 29 2024 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM TUESDAY TO 1 PM PST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...South winds 20 to 35 mph with gusts up to 70 mph expected. * WHERE...Exposed areas of the Coos and Curry County Coast as well as the headlands above 500 feet. This includes portions of Highway 101 and the Communities of Pistol River, Gold Beach, Cape Blanco, and Port Orford. * WHEN...From 10 PM Tuesday to 1 PM PST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds can blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are possible. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The strongest winds will be at Cape Blanco and in the headlands. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ ORZ024-301315- /O.UPG.KMFR.HW.A.0003.240131T0900Z-240131T2100Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.WI.Y.0008.240130T2100Z-240201T0300Z/ Eastern Curry County and Josephine County- 725 PM PST Mon Jan 29 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TUESDAY TO 7 PM PST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...South winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 55 mph expected. * WHERE...The higher terrain of eastern Curry County and Josephine County above 2000 feet. This could impact portions of Highway 199 south of Obrien. * WHEN...From 1 PM Tuesday to 7 PM PST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.&& $$ ORZ023-025-301315- /O.NEW.KMFR.WI.Y.0008.240130T2100Z-240201T0300Z/ Central Douglas County-Eastern Douglas County Foothills- Including the city of Toketee Falls 725 PM PST Mon Jan 29 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TUESDAY TO 7 PM PST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Southeast winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Areas of Douglas County above 2000 feet including the Douglas County Foothills. This also includes portions of Interstate 5 near Canyon Mountain Pass, Highway 138, and the communities of Steamboat, Toketee Falls, and Azalea. * WHEN...From 1 PM Tuesday to 7 PM PST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ Visit us at https://www.weather.gov/Medford
6 follow-up statements
893 WWUS76 KMFR 301117 NPWMFR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Medford OR 317 AM PST Tue Jan 30 2024 ORZ026-310000- /O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0001.240131T0600Z-240201T0300Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0008.240130T2100Z-240201T0300Z/ Jackson County- Including the cities of Medford and Ashland 317 AM PST Tue Jan 30 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM PST WEDNESDAY... ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM PST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...For the High Wind Warning, southeast winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph expected. For the Wind Advisory, southeast winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...For the High Wind Warning, portions of southeast Jackson County including Ashland and Interstate 5 at Siskiyou Summit. For the Wind Advisory, higher terrain above 2000 feet surrounding the Rogue Valley, as well as for portions of the Rogue Valley including South Medford, Phoenix, Talent, White City, Eagle Point, Butte Falls, and Prospect. * WHEN...For the Wind Advisory, from 1 PM Tuesday to 7 PM PST Wednesday. For the High Wind Warning, from 10 PM Tuesday to 7 PM PST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds can blow down trees and power lines. Power outages are possible. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds will begin to increase late this morning. The strongest winds in southeast Jackson County will occur Wednesday morning. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ CAZ084-085-ORZ029>031-310000- /O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0001.240131T0900Z-240201T0600Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0008.240131T0600Z-240201T0600Z/ Northeast Siskiyou and Northwest Modoc Counties-Modoc County- Klamath Basin- Northern and Eastern Klamath County and Western Lake County- Central and Eastern Lake County- Including the cities of Newell, Tulelake, Dorris, Macdoel, Adin, Alturas, Canby, Likely, Altamont, Olene, Klamath Falls, Midland, and Adel 317 AM PST Tue Jan 30 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM PST WEDNESDAY... ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 10 PM PST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...For the High Wind Warning, south winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph expected. For the Wind Advisory, south winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...For the High Wind Warning, portions of Highway 97 in Northeast Siskiyou County including Macdoel and Dorris; higher terrain in Klamath, Lake, and Modoc Counties including the Winter rim, Warner Mountains including at Cedar Pass, and south of Canby. Additionally, areas near Klamath Lake are included in the warning as well. For the advisory, most other areas of Klamath, Lake, and Modoc Counties. This includes Highways 31, 139, 140, 299, and 395 and the cities of Alturas, Lakeview, Klamath Falls, and Chiloquin. * WHEN...For the Wind Advisory, from 10 PM Tuesday to 10 PM PST Wednesday. For the High Wind Warning, from 1 AM to 10 PM PST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds can blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are possible. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds will increase late this morning, but the strongest winds will occur Wednesday morning. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ CAZ081-310000- /O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0001.240130T2100Z-240201T0600Z/ Central Siskiyou County- 317 AM PST Tue Jan 30 2024 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM PST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...South winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 70 mph expected. * WHERE...The Shasta Valley in Central Siskiyou County. This includes the communities of Weed, Gazelle, and Grenada. * WHEN...From 1 PM Tuesday to 10 PM PST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds can blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are possible. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...It will be windy this morning, but the strongest winds will be from this afternoon through Wednesday evening. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ ORZ021-022-310000- /O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0001.240131T0600Z-240131T2100Z/ South Central Oregon Coast-Curry County Coast- Including the cities of Gold Beach, Nesika Beach, Ophir, and Pistol River 317 AM PST Tue Jan 30 2024 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM PST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...South winds 20 to 35 mph with gusts up to 70 mph expected. * WHERE...Exposed areas of the Coos and Curry County Coast as well as the headlands above 500 feet. This includes portions of Highway 101 and the Communities of Pistol River, Gold Beach, Cape Blanco, and Port Orford. * WHEN...From 10 PM Tuesday to 1 PM PST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds can blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are possible. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The strongest winds will be at Cape Blanco and in the headlands. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ ORZ023>025-310000- /O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0008.240130T2100Z-240201T0300Z/ Central Douglas County-Eastern Curry County and Josephine County- Eastern Douglas County Foothills- Including the city of Toketee Falls 317 AM PST Tue Jan 30 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM PST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Southeast winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Areas of Douglas County above 2000 feet including the Douglas County Foothills. This also includes portions of Interstate 5 near Canyon Mountain Pass, Highway 138, and the communities of Steamboat, Toketee Falls, and Azalea. * WHEN...From 1 PM Tuesday to 7 PM PST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ Visit us at https://www.weather.gov/Medford
887 WWUS76 KMFR 302156 NPWMFR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Medford OR 156 PM PST Tue Jan 30 2024 ORZ026-311400- /O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0001.240131T0600Z-240201T0300Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-240201T0300Z/ Jackson County- Including the cities of Medford and Ashland 156 PM PST Tue Jan 30 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM PST WEDNESDAY... ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM PST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...For the High Wind Warning, southeast winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph expected. For the Wind Advisory, southeast winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...For the High Wind Warning, portions of southeast Jackson County including Ashland and Interstate 5 at Siskiyou Summit. For the Wind Advisory, higher terrain above 2000 feet surrounding the Rogue Valley, as well as for portions of the Rogue Valley including South Medford, Phoenix, Talent, White City, Eagle Point, Butte Falls, and Prospect. * WHEN...For the Wind Advisory, until 7 PM PST Wednesday. For the High Wind Warning, from 10 PM this evening to 7 PM PST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds can blow down trees and power lines. Power outages are possible. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds will begin to increase late this morning. The strongest winds in southeast Jackson County will occur Wednesday morning. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ CAZ084-085-ORZ029>031-311400- /O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0001.240131T0900Z-240201T0600Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0008.240131T0600Z-240201T0600Z/ Northeast Siskiyou and Northwest Modoc Counties-Modoc County- Klamath Basin- Northern and Eastern Klamath County and Western Lake County- Central and Eastern Lake County- Including the cities of Newell, Tulelake, Dorris, Macdoel, Adin, Alturas, Canby, Likely, Altamont, Olene, Klamath Falls, Midland, and Adel 156 PM PST Tue Jan 30 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM PST WEDNESDAY... ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 10 PM PST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...For the High Wind Warning, south winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph expected. For the Wind Advisory, south winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...For the High Wind Warning, portions of Highway 97 in Northeast Siskiyou County including Macdoel and Dorris; higher terrain in Klamath, Lake, and Modoc Counties including the Winter rim, Warner Mountains including at Cedar Pass, and south of Canby. Additionally, areas near Klamath Lake are included in the warning as well. For the advisory, most other areas of Klamath, Lake, and Modoc Counties. This includes Highways 31, 139, 140, 299, and 395 and the cities of Alturas, Lakeview, Klamath Falls, and Chiloquin. * WHEN...For the Wind Advisory, from 10 PM this evening to 10 PM PST Wednesday. For the High Wind Warning, from 1 AM to 10 PM PST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds can blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are possible. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds will increase late this morning, but the strongest winds will occur Wednesday morning. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ CAZ081-311400- /O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-240201T0600Z/ Central Siskiyou County- 156 PM PST Tue Jan 30 2024 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...South winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 70 mph expected. * WHERE...The Shasta Valley in Central Siskiyou County. This includes the communities of Weed, Gazelle, and Grenada. * WHEN...Until 10 PM PST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds can blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are possible. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...It will be windy this morning, but the strongest winds will be from this afternoon through Wednesday evening. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ ORZ021-022-311400- /O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0001.240131T0600Z-240131T2100Z/ South Central Oregon Coast-Curry County Coast- Including the cities of Gold Beach, Nesika Beach, Ophir, and Pistol River 156 PM PST Tue Jan 30 2024 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM PST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...South winds 20 to 35 mph with gusts up to 70 mph expected. * WHERE...Exposed areas of the Coos and Curry County Coast as well as the headlands above 500 feet. This includes portions of Highway 101 and the Communities of Pistol River, Gold Beach, Cape Blanco, and Port Orford. * WHEN...From 10 PM this evening to 1 PM PST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds can blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are possible. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The strongest winds will be at Cape Blanco and in the headlands. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ ORZ023>025-311400- /O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-240201T0300Z/ Central Douglas County-Eastern Curry County and Josephine County- Eastern Douglas County Foothills- Including the city of Toketee Falls 156 PM PST Tue Jan 30 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM PST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Southeast winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Areas of Douglas County above 2000 feet including the Douglas County Foothills. This also includes portions of Interstate 5 near Canyon Mountain Pass, Highway 138, and the communities of Steamboat, Toketee Falls, and Azalea. * WHEN...Until 7 PM PST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ Visit us at https://www.weather.gov/Medford
773 WWUS76 KMFR 311124 NPWMFR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Medford OR 324 AM PST Wed Jan 31 2024 ORZ026-010000- /O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-240201T0300Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-240201T0300Z/ Jackson County- Including the cities of Medford and Ashland 324 AM PST Wed Jan 31 2024 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS EVENING... ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...For the High Wind Warning, southeast winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph expected. For the Wind Advisory, southeast winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...For the High Wind Warning, portions of southeast Jackson County including Ashland and Interstate 5 at Siskiyou Summit. For the Wind Advisory, higher terrain above 2000 feet surrounding the Rogue Valley, as well as for portions of the Rogue Valley including South Medford, Phoenix, Talent, White City, Eagle Point, Butte Falls, and Prospect. * WHEN...For the Wind Advisory, until 7 PM PST Wednesday. For the High Wind Warning, until 7 PM PST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds can blow down trees and power lines. Power outages are possible. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The strongest winds will be in southeast Jackson County this morning. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ CAZ084-085-ORZ029>031-010000- /O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-240201T0600Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-240201T0600Z/ Northeast Siskiyou and Northwest Modoc Counties-Modoc County- Klamath Basin- Northern and Eastern Klamath County and Western Lake County- Central and Eastern Lake County- Including the cities of Newell, Tulelake, Dorris, Macdoel, Adin, Alturas, Canby, Likely, Altamont, Olene, Klamath Falls, Midland, and Adel 324 AM PST Wed Jan 31 2024 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING... ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...For the High Wind Warning, south winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph expected. For the Wind Advisory, south winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...For the High Wind Warning, portions of Highway 97 in Northeast Siskiyou County including Macdoel and Dorris; higher terrain in Klamath, Lake, and Modoc Counties including the Winter rim, Warner Mountains including at Cedar Pass, and south of Canby. Additionally, areas near Klamath Lake are included in the warning as well. For the advisory, most other areas of Klamath, Lake, and Modoc Counties. This includes Highways 31, 139, 140, 299, and 395 and the cities of Alturas, Lakeview, Klamath Falls, and Chiloquin. * WHEN...For the Wind Advisory, until 10 PM PST Wednesday. For the High Wind Warning, until 10 PM PST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds can blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are possible. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds will increase late this morning, but the strongest winds will occur Wednesday morning. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ CAZ081-010000- /O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-240201T0600Z/ Central Siskiyou County- 324 AM PST Wed Jan 31 2024 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...South winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 70 mph expected. * WHERE...The Shasta Valley in Central Siskiyou County. This includes the communities of Weed, Gazelle, and Grenada. * WHEN...Until 10 PM PST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds can blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are possible. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...It will be windy this morning, but the strongest winds will be from this afternoon through Wednesday evening. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ ORZ021-022-312100- /O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-240131T2100Z/ South Central Oregon Coast-Curry County Coast- Including the cities of Gold Beach, Nesika Beach, Ophir, and Pistol River 324 AM PST Wed Jan 31 2024 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...South winds 20 to 35 mph with gusts up to 70 mph expected. * WHERE...Exposed areas of the Coos and Curry County Coast as well as the headlands above 500 feet. This includes portions of Highway 101 and the Communities of Pistol River, Gold Beach, Cape Blanco, and Port Orford. * WHEN...Until 1 PM PST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds can blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are possible. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The strongest winds will be at Cape Blanco and in the headlands. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ ORZ023>025-010000- /O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-240201T0300Z/ Central Douglas County-Eastern Curry County and Josephine County- Eastern Douglas County Foothills- Including the city of Toketee Falls 324 AM PST Wed Jan 31 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Southeast winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Areas of Douglas County above 2000 feet including the Douglas County Foothills. This also includes portions of Interstate 5 near Canyon Mountain Pass, Highway 138, and the communities of Steamboat, Toketee Falls, and Azalea. * WHEN...Until 7 PM PST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ Visit us at https://www.weather.gov/Medford
622 WWUS76 KMFR 312055 NPWMFR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Medford OR 1255 PM PST Wed Jan 31 2024 ORZ021-022-312200- /O.EXP.KMFR.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-240131T2100Z/ South Central Oregon Coast-Curry County Coast- Including the cities of Gold Beach, Nesika Beach, Ophir, and Pistol River 1255 PM PST Wed Jan 31 2024 ...HIGH WIND WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 1 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON... Wind speed observations near the Oregon coast indicate that sustained and gust speeds are below Warning thresholds. No extensions are necessary for this product. $$ ORZ026-010300- /O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-240201T0300Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-240201T0300Z/ Jackson County- Including the cities of Medford and Ashland 1255 PM PST Wed Jan 31 2024 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS EVENING... ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...For the High Wind Warning, southeast winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph expected. For the Wind Advisory, southeast winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...For the High Wind Warning, portions of southeast Jackson County including Ashland and Interstate 5 at Siskiyou Summit. For the Wind Advisory, higher terrain above 2000 feet surrounding the Rogue Valley, as well as for portions of the Rogue Valley including South Medford, Phoenix, Talent, White City, Eagle Point, Butte Falls, and Prospect. * WHEN...Until 7 PM PST this evening. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds can blow down trees and power lines. Power outages are possible. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The strongest winds will be in southeast Jackson County this morning. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ CAZ084-085-ORZ029>031-010300- /O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-240201T0600Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-240201T0600Z/ Northeast Siskiyou and Northwest Modoc Counties-Modoc County- Klamath Basin- Northern and Eastern Klamath County and Western Lake County- Central and Eastern Lake County- Including the cities of Newell, Tulelake, Dorris, Macdoel, Adin, Alturas, Canby, Likely, Altamont, Olene, Klamath Falls, Midland, and Adel 1255 PM PST Wed Jan 31 2024 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING... ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...For the High Wind Warning, south winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph expected. For the Wind Advisory, south winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...For the High Wind Warning, portions of Highway 97 in Northeast Siskiyou County including Macdoel and Dorris; higher terrain in Klamath, Lake, and Modoc Counties including the Winter rim, Warner Mountains including at Cedar Pass, and south of Canby. Additionally, areas near Klamath Lake are included in the warning as well. For the advisory, most other areas of Klamath, Lake, and Modoc Counties. This includes Highways 31, 139, 140, 299, and 395 and the cities of Alturas, Lakeview, Klamath Falls, and Chiloquin. * WHEN...Until 10 PM PST this evening. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds can blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are possible. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds will increase late this morning, but the strongest winds will occur Wednesday morning. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ CAZ081-010300- /O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-240201T0600Z/ Central Siskiyou County- 1255 PM PST Wed Jan 31 2024 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...South winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 70 mph expected. * WHERE...The Shasta Valley in Central Siskiyou County. This includes the communities of Weed, Gazelle, and Grenada. * WHEN...Until 10 PM PST this evening. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds can blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are possible. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...It will be windy this morning, but the strongest winds will be from this afternoon through Wednesday evening. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ ORZ023>025-010300- /O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-240201T0300Z/ Central Douglas County-Eastern Curry County and Josephine County- Eastern Douglas County Foothills- Including the city of Toketee Falls 1255 PM PST Wed Jan 31 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Southeast winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...Areas of Douglas County above 2000 feet including the Douglas County Foothills. This also includes portions of Interstate 5 near Canyon Mountain Pass, Highway 138, and the communities of Steamboat, Toketee Falls, and Azalea. * WHEN...Until 7 PM PST this evening. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects. && $$ Visit us at https://www.weather.gov/Medford
192 WWUS76 KMFR 010258 NPWMFR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Medford OR 658 PM PST Wed Jan 31 2024 ORZ026-010400- /O.EXP.KMFR.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-240201T0300Z/ /O.EXP.KMFR.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-240201T0300Z/ Jackson County- Including the cities of Medford and Ashland 658 PM PST Wed Jan 31 2024 ...HIGH WIND WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM PST THIS EVENING... ...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM PST THIS EVENING... Observed winds have decreased this evening and will continue to calm overnight. $$ ORZ023>025-010400- /O.EXP.KMFR.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-240201T0300Z/ Central Douglas County-Eastern Curry County and Josephine County- Eastern Douglas County Foothills- Including the city of Toketee Falls 658 PM PST Wed Jan 31 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM PST THIS EVENING... Observed winds have decreased this evening and will continue to calm overnight. $$ CAZ084-085-ORZ029>031-010600- /O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-240201T0600Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-240201T0600Z/ Northeast Siskiyou and Northwest Modoc Counties-Modoc County- Klamath Basin- Northern and Eastern Klamath County and Western Lake County- Central and Eastern Lake County- Including the cities of Newell, Tulelake, Dorris, Macdoel, Adin, Alturas, Canby, Likely, Altamont, Olene, Klamath Falls, Midland, and Adel 658 PM PST Wed Jan 31 2024 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING... ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...For the High Wind Warning, south winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph expected. For the Wind Advisory, south winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph expected. * WHERE...For the High Wind Warning, portions of Highway 97 in Northeast Siskiyou County including Macdoel and Dorris; higher terrain in Klamath, Lake, and Modoc Counties including the Winter rim, Warner Mountains including at Cedar Pass, and south of Canby. Additionally, areas near Klamath Lake are included in the warning as well. For the advisory, most other areas of Klamath, Lake, and Modoc Counties. This includes Highways 31, 139, 140, 299, and 395 and the cities of Alturas, Lakeview, Klamath Falls, and Chiloquin. * WHEN...Until 10 PM PST this evening. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds can blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are possible. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds will increase late this morning, but the strongest winds will occur Wednesday morning. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ CAZ081-010600- /O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-240201T0600Z/ Central Siskiyou County- 658 PM PST Wed Jan 31 2024 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...South winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 70 mph expected. * WHERE...The Shasta Valley in Central Siskiyou County. This includes the communities of Weed, Gazelle, and Grenada. * WHEN...Until 10 PM PST this evening. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds can blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are possible. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...It will be windy this morning, but the strongest winds will be from this afternoon through Wednesday evening. * View the hazard area in detail at https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?wfo=mfr PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive. && $$ Visit us at https://www.weather.gov/Medford
614 WWUS76 KMFR 010534 NPWMFR URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Medford OR 934 PM PST Wed Jan 31 2024 CAZ084-085-ORZ029>031-010645- /O.EXP.KMFR.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-240201T0600Z/ /O.EXP.KMFR.WI.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-240201T0600Z/ Northeast Siskiyou and Northwest Modoc Counties-Modoc County- Klamath Basin- Northern and Eastern Klamath County and Western Lake County- Central and Eastern Lake County- Including the cities of Newell, Tulelake, Dorris, Macdoel, Adin, Alturas, Canby, Likely, Altamont, Olene, Klamath Falls, Midland, and Adel 934 PM PST Wed Jan 31 2024 ...HIGH WIND WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 10 PM PST THIS EVENING... ...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 10 PM PST THIS EVENING... Observed winds have decreased below both warning and advisory thresholds and will continue to calm overnight. $$ CAZ081-010645- /O.EXP.KMFR.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-240201T0600Z/ Central Siskiyou County- 934 PM PST Wed Jan 31 2024 ...HIGH WIND WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 10 PM PST THIS EVENING... Observed winds have decreased below warning thresholds and will continue to calm overnight. $$ Visit us at https://www.weather.gov/Medford
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this high wind warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Medford, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this high wind warning went out at Jan 29, 2:57 PM PST, 4 hours 28 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 29, 2:57 PM PST, 4 hours 28 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Medford OR
257 PM PST Mon Jan 29 2024
...Updated AVIATION discussion...
.SHORT TERM (Today through Tuesday night)...
Overview:
After what has turn out to be a nice afternoon by end of January
standards, we will start to transition back to an active weather
pattern starting tomorrow night. We have a combination of strong
winds, heavy rainfall along/near the coast, and snowfall all
starting in the short term. Snowfall is expected to start Tuesday
night into Wednesday morning, but the majority of impacts will
likely be in the Long Term, so please see that section below for
more details on the Winter Storm Watch. The rainfall may also bring
impacts to Curry County, and western parts of both Josephine and
Siskiyou counties starting as early as Tuesday night. That said,
these impacts will ultimately end up being mostly in the extended
forecast, so please see the Long Term for overall details on
precipitation (rain and snow). The high winds will be discussed
further below instead of the Long Term section for simplicity. The
last noteworthy item is the fact we canceled the Flood Warning for
the Coquille River at Coquille. The latest observation has fallen
below flood stage, and the current forecast continues to decrease
the river height through the week. Currently, the next round of
rainfall does not bring the river back into flood stage, but this
may be something to reevaluate later this week.
Further Details:
A strong low pressure system will develop over the Pacific Tuesday
afternoon/evening and deepen/strengthen as it edges towards the
PacNW. A surface closed low of ~965mb (+/- 1mb) appears to develop
around longitude 138 W Tuesday evening. This will be combined with a
very strong dynamic closed low aloft. Ridging at 500mb over central
parts of the CONUS appears to halt this upper low from advancing
inland, and it may stall out over the northern Pacific which would
continue to pump moisture into the area. A very strong stacked low
level jet appears to develop as well, and this can be seen at 925mb,
850mb, and 700mb as the low comes onshore. By Tuesday
night/Wednesday morning, we are progged to see a 65-80 knot jet
between 925mb and 700mb. Strong winds initially at the coast are
expected given steepening lapse rates early Wednesday morning which
should help mix these strong winds to the surface. In addition to
these steep lapse rates creating momentum transfer to the surface,
we are also seeing signs of a strong pressure gradient as well. The
combination of a strong pressure gradient and efficient mixing will
allow for very strong wind speeds and gusts starting early Wednesday
morning. These strong winds will likely go throughout the day
Wednesday moving west to east. The High Wind Watch is in effect
until 4pm Wednesday to account for this threat.
From this strong dynamic system, we will also see an abundant amount
of moisture feeding into the area leading to another atmospheric
river event. We will start to see this Tuesday night, but more so as
the event progress throughout the day Wednesday through Thursday.
Please see the long term below for more details.
Lastly, we have one more day tomorrow (Tues) with potentially well
above normal high temperatures. Some areas on the westside will be
close to 70 degrees once again, but mostly mid 50 and mid 60s for
the westside. The eastside wont be as warm, but highs could still be
in the 50s for a lot of locations (minus high elevation).
.LONG TERM (Wednesday through Sunday)...
The long term forecast begins with a low pressure system moving in
with a cold front. This cold front will bring heavy rain to the
coast and northern California as winds take a more southerly shift
to increase moisture. Areas west of the Cascades will see another
healthy rain with 0.25"-0.50" inland and 1.00"-3.00" at the coast.
The heavy rain with this event for the coast will come later Tuesday
evening through Wednesday evening. Northern California will see
their heavier precipitation Wednesday night and Thursday night.
The excessive rainfall outlook for Wednesday morning through
Thursday morning includes a marginal and slight risk in parts of our
area. The slight risk includes southern Curry County into Brookings
while the marginal risk expands beyond that to southern Coos County
and western Josephine and Siskiyou counties. For clarity, the slight
risk indicates a 15% risk for the rainfall to exceed flash flood
guidance within 25 miles of the area and a marginal risk includes a
5% risk.
Snow levels at the start of the event (Tuesday) will be over 7,000
feet, and they will drop to 3,500-4,500 feet Thursday morning. These
snow levels, combined with the incoming moisture, will result in a
healthy snowfall in southern Siskiyou County, including at Mount
Shasta, Wednesday. A Winter Storm Watch has been issued from
Wednesday morning through Thursday evening for parts of southern
Siskiyou County and this includes Etna Summit, Tennant, and
Dunsmuir. Winds with this system are forecast to reach 35-45 mph and
gust up to 70 mph Wednesday. Although most of the Winter Storm Watch
does not include well traveled roads, Etna Summit is included in
this and into Wednesday afternoon there is a 50-60% probability for
blowing snow.
Once this front passes there will be a cooler pattern ahead, and
this could result in lows for valleys near freezing next weekend.
This will also be paired with lowering snow levels, and they are
forecast to fall below 2,000 feet into the weekend. Later next
weekend another system moves northward from California, but long
range models are in disagreement with placement and timing.
-Hermansen
&&
.AVIATION (00Z TAFs)...
VFR conditions are expected to persist through the TAF period for
most areas under high ceilings and stable atmospheric conditions.
Persisting cloud cover has lowered expected high temperatures,
slightly increasing the chances for fog for inland valleys
overnight. Confidence is still moderate at best, with chances
looking best for the Umpqua Valley and with lower possibilities for
the Rogue Valley and Klamath Falls. Anything that does develop
overnight should melt away by late Tuesday morning.
The rest of the TAF period looks to continue VFR levels under
persisting high ceilings. Winds for areas east of the Cascades and
for elevated terrain in general will start to rise near the end of
the TAF period for areas ahead of an approaching cold front. -TAD
&&
.MARINE...Updated 200 PM Monday January 29, 2024...Elevated
southerly winds and swell from the southwest continue to support a
Small Craft Advisory for all waters. This product is in place
through Tuesday at 1 PM.
An approaching cold front will affect all waters through the middle
of the week, with storm and gale winds quickly building dangerous
and chaotic seas. Strong and gusty southerly winds will start to
develop Tuesday afternoon, reaching peak speeds early Wednesday
morning. For waters within 10 nm of shore, sustained winds of 25 to
35 knots and gusts of around 50 knots are possible, with the highest
wind speeds south of Cape Arago. These winds will build seas of 12
to 16 feet at 11 to 13 seconds. For waters from 10 to 60 nm from
shore, Wednesday morning's winds reach 35 to 45 knots with gusts of
up to 65 knots forecast. These winds will build seas of 15 to 23
feet at 11 to 13 seconds. Confidence in the potential of this cold
front has allowed existing watches to be upgraded. A Storm Warning
will cover outer waters south of Cape Blanco and most outer waters
to the north and a Gale Warning will cover all other waters. These
products will be in place from Tuesday at 1 PM through Wednesday at
10 AM to cover these expected dangerous conditions.
Very steep and hazardous seas are expected to continue behind the
front with a mix of fresh southerly swell and long period westerly
swell affecting all waters. Probabilistic guidance suggests a 90
percent chance of waves over 18 feet for Thursday and a 70 percent
chance for waves over 15 feet for Friday at 14 to 15 seconds. While
more exact forecasts for this period will benefit from additional
time and guidance, continuing steep to very steep seas are likely to
continue into Saturday. Seas may start to calm into the latter half
of the weekend.
-TAD
&&
.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...High Wind Watch from late Tuesday night through Wednesday
afternoon for ORZ021-022-024-026-028>031.
CA...Winter Storm Watch from late Tuesday night through Thursday
afternoon for CAZ080-082-083.
High Wind Watch from late Tuesday night through Wednesday
afternoon for CAZ081-084-085.
PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM PST Tuesday
for PZZ350-356-370-376.
Gale Warning from 1 PM Tuesday to 10 AM PST Wednesday for PZZ350-
356-370-376.
Storm Warning from 1 PM Tuesday to 10 AM PST Wednesday for
PZZ350-356-370-376.
&&The office that day
Everything else NWS Medford, OR issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 7:25 PM PST | Wind Advisory | MFR | Modoc, Siskiyou | 51 hr |
| Jan 30, 1:49 PM PST | Winter Storm Warning | MFR | Siskiyou | 41 hr |
| Jan 30, 2:25 AM PST | Hazardous Seas Warning | MFR | 72 hr | |
| Jan 30, 2:15 PM PST | High Surf Advisory | MFR | Coos, Curry, Douglas | 48 hr |
Nearby
High Wind Warnings in Oregon, 2024High Wind Warnings in California, 2024Every high wind warning in 2024
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.