Tornado Warning 26, NWS Miami, FL

572 
WWUS52 KMFL 260904
SVSMFL

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Miami FL
504 AM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

FLC021-260930-
/O.CON.KMFL.TO.W.0026.000000T0000Z-240926T0930Z/
Collier FL-
504 AM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 AM EDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN COLLIER COUNTY...

At 504 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 7 miles east of Golden Gate Estates, moving north at 40
mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Ave Maria, Immokalee, Golden Gate Estates, Orangetree, Big Corkscrew
Island, Corkscrew Swamp Sanctuary, and Lake Trafford.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile
home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and
protect yourself from flying debris.

Tornadoes are extremely difficult to see and confirm at night. Do not
wait to see or hear the tornado. TAKE COVER NOW!

&&

LAT...LON 2615 8139 2613 8152 2634 8166 2642 8166
      2642 8156 2651 8156 2652 8142
TIME...MOT...LOC 0904Z 162DEG 34KT 2619 8148 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN

$$

RAG

214 
WWUS52 KMFL 260916
SVSMFL

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Miami FL
516 AM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

FLC021-260926-
/O.CAN.KMFL.TO.W.0026.000000T0000Z-240926T0930Z/
Collier FL-
516 AM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN COLLIER COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer appears capable of producing a tornado.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.  However, gusty winds and
heavy rain are still possible with this thunderstorm.

LAT...LON 2615 8139 2613 8152 2634 8166 2642 8166
      2642 8156 2651 8156 2652 8142
TIME...MOT...LOC 0915Z 163DEG 32KT 2629 8151 

$$

RAG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
341 AM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

...New LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Friday)
Issued at 127 AM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

*** KEY POINTS FOR HURRICANE HELENE ***

Impacts for South Florida: Hurricane Helene will bring about heavy
rain, gusty winds, storm surge across the Gulf Coast, and increased
flooding potential as its outer bands move across the region. A
Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for all of South Florida,
including the local waters, through at least late Thursday night.

Flood Watch Issued: A Flood Watch is in effect for all of South
Florida, as rainfall amounts of 2-4 inches are possible across
inland and metro areas, with isolated higher amounts possible.

Storm Surge Risk: 2-4 feet of storm surge is expected along the Gulf
Coast from Bonita Beach to Flamingo due to Helene's size and the
shallow Florida shelf. Values as high as 5 feet may be observed. A
Storm Surge Warning is in effect for these coastal areas.

Tornado Threat: Several tornadoes are possible today, especially
over SW FL and around the Lake Okeechobee region.

***

South FL is experiencing a bit of a lull early this morning, however
additional rain bands associated with Hurricane Helene are expected
to cross the area during the day and into this evening. While storm
motions will be brisk, high rainfall rates along with training
storms will present a urban and poor drainage flood risk today and
tonight across all of South FL. Because of this, a Flood Watch
remains in effect until Friday morning.

Winds will be breezy today and tonight across the area. Most of the
time sustained winds will be below tropical storm strength in the 20-
30 mph range, however gusts of 40-50+ mph will remain possible with
any convection that moves across the area. A Tropical Storm Warning
remains in effect for all of South Florida through at least late
tonight. Due to the large size of Helene, the extent of storm surge
flooding will be present all the way down the Gulf side of the
peninsula. A Storm Surge Warning remains in effect for Collier and
Mainland Monroe, where 2-5 ft of surge is possible along the coast.

There will also be a tornado threat today beginning this morning
and extending through at least the afternoon hours. Most favorable
area will be across SW FL and around the lake region, however
anywhere in South FL should be alert for the possibility of a tornado.

Helene is expected to make landfall somewhere in the vicinity of the
big bend area of FL this evening, however even as the system moves
inland, trailing moisture will remain across South FL overnight and
through the day on Friday, resulting in additional periods of
showers and thunderstorms. Depending on how much rainfall occurs
today and tonight, the Flood Watch may need to be extended beyond
Friday morning, but that decision will be made later today.

Daytime high temps today and Friday will be in the upper 80s to
around 90. Overnight lows will be very mild, only dropping down to
the upper 70s and lower 80s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 340 AM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

To start of the weekend, a stream of elevated moisture,
characterized by PWAT values of 2.2-2.4 inches will remain draped
over the region in the presence of persistent southwesterly flow.
This southwest flow, associated with Helene's extratropical
transition, could enhance low-level convergence, further elevating
hydrologic concerns, especially in areas prone to poor drainage for
the end of the week. The moisture fetch will gradually drift
northward with time, eventually clearing out of the area by Sunday.
For the latter half of the weekend, expect much drier conditions as
a plume of drier air filters in over the region in concordance with
an expanding surface ridge of high pressure.

Through the early/mid-week period, H500 ridging remains dominant,
generally suppressing development of showers and thunderstorms. With
that being said, some remnant moisture may drift southward and allow
for a few showers and isolated thunderstorms to spawn at times.
Overall, expect mostly benign weather and a generally drier pattern
to prevail, with PoPs remaining below climatological ranges through
much of next week.

Strong upper ridging, weak surface winds, and the lack of abundant
rainfall/cloud cover will generally allow for warm temperatures
through the weekend and next week. Maximum temperatures will reach
the low to mid 90s while dewpoints remain in the mid 70s. This may
prompt the issuance of heat advisories and even excessive heat
warnings through the weekend and possibly into portions of next week
as well.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 127 AM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

Poor aviation conditions expected today as impacts from Hurricane
Helene are felt across South FL. S/SE winds increase to 20-30 kts
with gusts approaching 40 kts at times, especially during times of
convection. MVFR ceilings will be prevailing however some periods
of IFR/LIFR ceilings and visibilities are possible during periods
of heavy rain.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 127 AM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

Dangerous winds and seas expected for all South FL waters through at
least late tonight. Tropical Storm Warnings remain in effect.
Conditions begin to improve late tonight, however elevated winds and
seas will linger through at least the end of the day on Friday.

&&

.BEACHES...
Issued at 127 AM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

Moderate to Major coastal flooding is possible today along the Gulf
coast as Hurricane Helene tracks northward in the eastern Gulf of
Mexico.

Dangerous rip and high surf conditions are expected for all South FL
beaches through at least tonight. Elevated rips should be expected
through at least Friday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            90  81  91  80 /  70  60  80  30
West Kendall     90  80  91  79 /  70  60  80  30
Opa-Locka        90  81  92  80 /  70  60  80  30
Homestead        89  81  90  79 /  70  60  80  40
Fort Lauderdale  89  80  90  80 /  70  60  80  30
N Ft Lauderdale  90  81  92  80 /  70  60  80  30
Pembroke Pines   92  82  93  81 /  70  60  80  30
West Palm Beach  91  81  92  79 /  70  60  70  30
Boca Raton       92  81  92  79 /  70  60  80  30
Naples           88  82  89  80 /  80  80  70  60

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Tropical Storm Warning for FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174.

     Flood Watch through Friday morning for FLZ063-066>075-168-
     172>174.

     Storm Surge Warning for FLZ069-075.

     High Rip Current Risk through Friday evening for FLZ168-172-173.

     High Surf Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for FLZ168-172-
     173.

AM...Tropical Storm Warning for AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671.

GM...Tropical Storm Warning for GMZ656-657-676.

&&

SHORT TERM...CMF
LONG TERM....SRB
AVIATION...CMF

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Miami FL
512 PM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024

AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-GMZ656-657-676-
262115-
Lake Okeechobee-Biscayne Bay-
Coastal waters from Jupiter Inlet to Deerfield Beach FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Deerfield Beach to Ocean Reef FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Jupiter Inlet to Deerfield Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Deerfield Beach to Ocean Reef FL from 20 to 60 NM
excluding the territorial waters of Bahamas-Glades-Hendry-
Inland Palm Beach County-Metro Palm Beach County-
Coastal Collier County-Inland Collier County-Inland Broward County-
Metro Broward County-Inland Miami-Dade County-
Metropolitan Miami Dade-Mainland Monroe-Coastal Palm Beach County-
Coastal Broward County-Coastal Miami Dade County-Far South Miami-
Dade County-
Coastal waters from Chokoloskee to Bonita Beach FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from East Cape Sable to Chokoloskee FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Chokoloskee to Bonita Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-
512 PM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024

...Hurricane Helene Pushes into the Southeast Gulf of Mexico...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters,
southeast Florida, southern Florida, southwest Florida and Gulf of
Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hurricane Helene will continue to push into the eastern Gulf of
Mexico through the middle and latter portion of the week. For more
details please refer to the Hurricane Threats and Impacts webpage at
www.weather.gov/srh/tropical?office=mfl#hti

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Hurricane Helene will continue to push into the eastern Gulf of
Mexico through the middle and latter portion of the week. For more
details please refer to the Hurricane Threats and Impacts webpage at
www.weather.gov/srh/tropical?office=mfl#hti

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report high wind, hail, and
flooding to the National Weather Service forecast office in Miami.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Miami FL
131 AM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

FLZ069-070-260600-
Coastal Collier County FL-Inland Collier County FL-
131 AM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southwestern Collier
County through 200 AM EDT...

At 131 AM EDT, National Weather Service meteorologists were tracking
a strong thunderstorm capable of producing a landspout near Royal
Palm Hammock, or 11 miles northeast of Marco Island, moving north at
25 mph.

HAZARD...Landspouts and wind gusts of 45 to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor damage to outdoor objects is possible. Gusty winds
         could knock down tree limbs and blow around unsecured
         objects.

Locations impacted include...
Golden Gate Estates, Ave Maria, Orangetree, West Toll Gate On
Alligator Alley, Vineyards, Golden Gate, Royal Palm Hammock, North
Naples, South Blocks Golde, Picayune Strand State Forest, Port Of The
Island, and Intersection I-75 And Everglades Blvd.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Conditions are favorable for the development of weak, brief funnel
clouds. This type of funnel cloud is harmless, but on rare occasions
they can briefly touch down, producing wind gusts over 50 mph. If a
funnel cloud is spotted move indoors and report your sighting to the
National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 2627 8175 2632 8145 2596 8142 2593 8162
TIME...MOT...LOC 0531Z 168DEG 22KT 2603 8154

LANDSPOUT...POSSIBLE
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

RAG

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Miami FL
205 AM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

FLZ066-070-260630-
Hendry FL-Inland Collier County FL-
205 AM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of eastern Collier and
southeastern Hendry Counties through 230 AM EDT...

At 205 AM EDT, National Weather Service meteorologists were tracking
a strong thunderstorm capable of producing a landspout near Big
Cypress National Preserve, or 22 miles northeast of Everglades City,
moving north at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Landspouts and wind gusts of 45 to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor damage to outdoor objects is possible. Gusty winds
         could knock down tree limbs and blow around unsecured
         objects.

Locations impacted include...
Hendry Correctional and Big Cypress National Preserve.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This activity was also developing in an environment favorable for the
formation of funnel clouds. Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio and
local media for additional updates and possible warnings.

&&

LAT...LON 2599 8098 2595 8118 2637 8132 2643 8103
TIME...MOT...LOC 0605Z 168DEG 32KT 2605 8110

LANDSPOUT...POSSIBLE
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

RAG

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Miami FL
241 AM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

FLZ066-067-071-260715-
Inland Broward County FL-Hendry FL-Inland Palm Beach County FL-
241 AM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of east central Hendry,
northern Broward and southwestern Palm Beach Counties through 315 AM
EDT...

At 241 AM EDT, National Weather Service meteorologists were tracking
a strong thunderstorm capable of producing a landspout near
Miccosukee Service Plaza, or 26 miles west of Pembroke Pines, moving
north at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Landspouts and wind gusts of 45 to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor damage to outdoor objects is possible. Gusty winds
         could knock down tree limbs and blow around unsecured
         objects.

Locations impacted include...
Holey Land Wildlife Refuge, Miccosukee Service Plaza, Rotenberger
Wildlife Refuge, and West Broward Rec. Area On Alligator Alley.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These winds can down small tree limbs and branches, and blow around
unsecured small objects. Seek shelter in a safe building until the
storm passes.

This activity was also developing in an environment favorable for the
formation of funnel clouds. Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio and
local media for additional updates and possible warnings.

&&

LAT...LON 2610 8066 2608 8082 2647 8094 2651 8064
TIME...MOT...LOC 0641Z 172DEG 32KT 2614 8074

LANDSPOUT...POSSIBLE
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

SB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Miami FL
313 AM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

FLZ066-067-260745-
Hendry FL-Inland Palm Beach County FL-
313 AM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of northeastern
Hendry and southwestern Palm Beach Counties through 345 AM EDT...

At 313 AM EDT, National Weather Service meteorologists were tracking
a strong thunderstorm capable of producing a landspout near
Rotenberger Wildlife Refuge, or 19 miles south of South Bay, moving
north at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Landspouts and wind gusts of 45 to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor damage to outdoor objects is possible. Gusty winds
         could knock down tree limbs and blow around unsecured
         objects.

Locations impacted include...
Belle Glade, Clewiston, South Bay, Lake Harbor, Okeelanta, Holey Land
Wildlife Refuge, Rotenberger Wildlife Refuge, and Harlem.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This activity was also developing in an environment favorable for the
formation of funnel clouds. Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio and
local media for additional updates and possible warnings.

&&

LAT...LON 2677 8072 2674 8071 2633 8066 2633 8086
      2672 8101 2675 8089 2673 8085 2670 8082
      2670 8078 2669 8074 2670 8072 2674 8073
      2676 8075 2678 8073
TIME...MOT...LOC 0713Z 168DEG 33KT 2640 8078

LANDSPOUT...POSSIBLE
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

RAG

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Miami FL
359 AM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

FLZ069-070-075-260830-
Coastal Collier County FL-Inland Collier County FL-
Mainland Monroe FL-
359 AM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southwestern Collier
and northern Mainland Monroe Counties through 430 AM EDT...

At 359 AM EDT, National Weather Service meteorologists were tracking
a strong thunderstorm capable of producing a funnel cloud near
Chokoloskee, moving north at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Funnel clouds and wind gusts of 45 to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Funnel clouds occasionally touch down and produce tornadoes
         or waterspouts. Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and
         blow around unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Chokoloskee, Everglades City, Plantation Island, Carnestown,
Copeland, Royal Palm Hammock, South Blocks Golde, Fakahatchee Strand
State Preserve, Picayune Strand State Forest, Port Of The Island,
Jerome, and Deep Lake.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This activity was also developing in an environment favorable for the
formation of funnel clouds. Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio and
local media for additional updates and possible warnings.

&&

LAT...LON 2607 8163 2614 8134 2570 8126 2580 8128
      2580 8134 2583 8136 2581 8136 2585 8139
      2589 8151 2587 8150 2584 8153 2585 8153
      2589 8154 2590 8151 2592 8156 2591 8156
      2590 8155 2590 8156
TIME...MOT...LOC 0759Z 164DEG 33KT 2575 8138

FUNNEL CLOUD...POSSIBLE
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

RAG

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Miami FL
438 AM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

FLZ069-070-260915-
Coastal Collier County FL-Inland Collier County FL-
438 AM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of south central
Collier County through 515 AM EDT...

At 438 AM EDT, National Weather Service meteorologists were tracking
a strong thunderstorm capable of producing a landspout over
Carnestown, or near Everglades City, moving north at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Landspouts and wind gusts of 45 to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor damage to outdoor objects is possible. Gusty winds
         could knock down tree limbs and blow around unsecured
         objects.

Locations impacted include...
Everglades City, Golden Gate Estates, Carnestown, Copeland, Miles
City, Fakahatchee Strand State Preserve, Picayune Strand State
Forest, Jerome, Deep Lake, Intersection I-75 And Everglades Blvd, and
South Blocks Golde.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This activity was also developing in an environment favorable for the
formation of funnel clouds. Stay tuned to NOAA weather radio and
local media for additional updates and possible warnings.

&&

LAT...LON 2622 8160 2627 8130 2587 8126 2585 8139
      2587 8143 2586 8144 2587 8145 2586 8146
      2587 8147 2587 8146 2588 8146 2590 8148
TIME...MOT...LOC 0838Z 168DEG 27KT 2593 8138

LANDSPOUT...POSSIBLE
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

RAG