Severe Thunderstorm Warning 21, NWS Lubbock, TX

291 
WWUS54 KLUB 091202
SVSLUB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
702 AM CDT Tue Apr 9 2024

TXC107-125-169-263-091300-
/O.CON.KLUB.SV.W.0021.000000T0000Z-240409T1300Z/
Kent TX-Dickens TX-Garza TX-Crosby TX-
702 AM CDT Tue Apr 9 2024

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 AM CDT
FOR KENT...SOUTHWESTERN DICKENS...NORTHEASTERN GARZA AND SOUTHEASTERN
CROSBY COUNTIES...

At 701 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 11 miles northeast
of Lake Alan Henry, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and ping pong ball size hail.

SOURCE...West Texas Mesonet at Lake Alan Henry measured 69 MPH at 
         6:48AM CDT.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect 
         considerable tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to 
         mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

Locations impacted include...
Spur, Jayton, White River Lake, Lake Alan Henry, Kalgary, and
Clairemont.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3297 10103 3310 10114 3320 10133 3354 10117
      3349 10086 3343 10077 3326 10057 3314 10052
TIME...MOT...LOC 1201Z 251DEG 27KT 3318 10097 

THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.50 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH

$$

55

400 
WWUS54 KLUB 091224
SVSLUB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
724 AM CDT Tue Apr 9 2024

TXC107-125-169-263-091300-
/O.CON.KLUB.SV.W.0021.000000T0000Z-240409T1300Z/
Kent TX-Dickens TX-Garza TX-Crosby TX-
724 AM CDT Tue Apr 9 2024

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 AM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN KENT...SOUTHWESTERN DICKENS...NORTHEASTERN GARZA AND
SOUTHEASTERN CROSBY COUNTIES...

At 723 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 5 miles north of
Clairemont, or 11 miles west of Jayton, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and ping pong ball size hail.

SOURCE...West Texas Mesonet at Lake Alan Henry measured 69 MPH at 
         6:48AM CDT.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect 
         considerable tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to 
         mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

Locations impacted include...
Spur, Jayton, White River Lake, and Clairemont.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3306 10076 3327 10095 3339 10108 3344 10122
      3354 10117 3349 10086 3343 10077 3326 10057
      3314 10052
TIME...MOT...LOC 1223Z 251DEG 27KT 3324 10078 

THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.50 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH

$$

AP

511 
WWUS54 KLUB 091250
SVSLUB

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
750 AM CDT Tue Apr 9 2024

TXC107-125-169-091300-
/O.CAN.KLUB.SV.W.0021.000000T0000Z-240409T1300Z/
Dickens TX-Garza TX-Crosby TX-
750 AM CDT Tue Apr 9 2024

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN DICKENS...
NORTHEASTERN GARZA AND SOUTHEASTERN CROSBY COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

&&

LAT...LON 3323 10062 3332 10070 3337 10070 3326 10057
      3323 10056
TIME...MOT...LOC 1250Z 251DEG 27KT 3331 10055 

$$

TXC263-091300-
/O.CON.KLUB.SV.W.0021.000000T0000Z-240409T1300Z/
Kent TX-
750 AM CDT Tue Apr 9 2024

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 AM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN KENT COUNTY...

At 750 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 4 miles north of
Jayton, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and ping pong ball size hail.

SOURCE...West Texas Mesonet at Lake Alan Henry measured 69 MPH at 
         6:48AM CDT.

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect 
         considerable tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to 
         mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings.

Locations impacted include...
Jayton.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3323 10062 3332 10070 3337 10070 3326 10057
      3323 10056
TIME...MOT...LOC 1250Z 251DEG 27KT 3331 10055 

THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.50 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH

$$

AP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
619 AM CDT Tue Apr 9 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 303 AM CDT Tue Apr 9 2024

The best chances of any additional severe thunderstorms will be
early this morning. The slow moving closed off low was still located
well to the west of the region in southern Arizona. An upper level
short wave was present in water vapor imagery that models look to be
picking up. This short wave is associated with a 100kt or so jet
streak nosing its way into West Texas. Strong height falls will
continue to spread over the region through the morning hours
creating substantial large scale lift. This large scale lift will be
supplemented by strong moist isentropic ascent in the lower levels
of the atmosphere. However, because the surface front is well south
of the region, this convection will all be elevated. Instability
will be quite strong this morning with the strong warm air
advection. Lifting parcels from around 850-750mb will continue to
yield instability values around 1500-2000 J/kg with little to no
CIN. Steep lapse rates will contribute to the high levels of
elevated instability. Additionally, the bulk of this instability
will be confined to the southern half of the FA. As the day
progresses, instability will wane as the atmospheric column becomes
increasingly saturated. Some thunder will still be possible after
this morning but chances will decrease due to the more moist
environment. A heavy rain threat will exist as the column becomes
increasingly saturated leading to more efficient warm rain
processes. The bulk of the precipitation chances from this afternoon
onward will be from the strong deformation area within this upper
low as it moves from Far West Texas into the Permian Basin. Models
have still not completely resolved where the maximum deformation
bands will set up but look to favor the northern half of the FA
peaking from 18Z through roughly 06Z. Low stratus for much if not
all of the day today along with easterly low level winds will keep
temperatures well below seasonal averages. Most areas on the caprock
may struggle to get out of the 40s with mostly 50s off the caprock.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 303 AM CDT Tue Apr 9 2024

The closed low bringing showers and storms overnight is more
progressive than previously progged. Rain shield on the back side of
the system by tomorrow morning will favor the southern Texas
Panhandle and northern Rolling Plains before exiting entirely to the
east by Wednesday afternoon. North surface winds and low clouds may
result in some lingering drizzle into the afternoon the farther
north you go in our forecast area. We eventually begin to clear out
Wednesday night as ridging builds in from the west. Highs on
Thursday may be warmer than currently forecast if rainfall totals
are lower than forecasted today and tonight, but by Friday and the
weekend we warm back up nicely into 80s with plenty of sunshine.
Extended guidance hints at the potential for a progressive Pacific
system bringing rain chances again sometime in the first half of
next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 615 AM CDT Tue Apr 9 2024

Rain showers and isolated thunderstorms will continue to affect
all TAF sites through the mid-morning hours as an upper level
storm system approaches the region. Storm activity is expected to
decrease by mid-morning but pick back up in the afternoon.
However, there will be smaller chances of thunder with the
activity that develops after noon. Periods of IFR could occur but
generally MVFR CIGS are expected at all TAF sites through
early Wednesday morning.

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....55
AVIATION...01

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
309 AM CDT Tue Apr 9 2024

TXZ021>044-100815-
Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-Floyd-
Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King-Yoakum-
Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall-
309 AM CDT Tue Apr 9 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the South Plains, Rolling
Plains, and the far Southern Texas Panhandle.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Strong to severe thunderstorms may redevelop early Tuesday morning
across the South Plains and Rolling Plains. These storms will be
capable of producing wind gusts to 60 mph and hail up to the size of
golfballs. The severe thunderstorm threat is expected to diminish by
late Tuesday morning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Thunderstorm chances continue into Wednesday across the entire area.
Periods of heavy rainfall through early Wednesday morning across the
Caprock and Rolling Plains may lead to localized flooding concerns.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed.