Alert archive / Illinois / River Flood Warnings in 2024

River Flood Warning 74, NWS St. Louis, MO

May 14, 2024Pike County, Illinois; Ralls County, Missouri

NWS St. Louis, MO issued this river flood warning at May 14, 2024, 9:14 PM CDT for Pike County, Illinois; Ralls County, Missouri. It took effect at May 15, 2024, 7:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 4 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 14, 2024, 9:14 PM CDT (02:14 UTC)
In effect from
May 15, 2024, 7:00 PM CDT
Expired
May 20, 2024, 1:00 AM CDT
In force
4 days
Issued by
NWS St. Louis, MO
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Pike County, IL, Ralls County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 112 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Mississippi River at Saverton Lock and Dam 22 (SVRM7).

Action stage
14 ft
Minor stage
16 ft
Moderate stage
20 ft
Major stage
24 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 393810091145601, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

851 
WGUS43 KLSX 150214
FLWLSX

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service St Louis MO
914 PM CDT Tue May 14 2024

...The National Weather Service in St Louis MO has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in Illinois...Missouri...

  Mississippi River at Saverton.

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted. The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions change.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at https://water.noaa.gov/wfo/lsx

&&

ILC149-MOC173-161415-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0074.240516T0000Z-240520T0600Z/
/SVRM7.1.ER.240516T0000Z.240516T1800Z.240519T0000Z.NO/
914 PM CDT Tue May 14 2024

...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING TO EARLY MONDAY 
MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Mississippi River at Saverton.

* WHEN...From Wednesday evening to early Monday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 15.5 feet, An access road to riverside raised homes 
  on the riverward side of the Sny levee begins to flood near this 
  level.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 6:00 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 15.1 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    tomorrow evening to a crest of 16.3 feet early Thursday
    afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage Saturday
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 16.0 feet.



&&


                   Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location           Stg    Stage    Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Mississippi River
  Saverton         16.0    15.1    16.2  16.3  16.2  15.8  15.3



&&

LAT...LON 3967 9135 3974 9121 3970 9114 3952 9097
      3945 9111


$$

Fuchs
4 follow-up statements
023 
WGUS83 KLSX 151553
FLSLSX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
1053 AM CDT Wed May 15 2024

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Illinois...Missouri...

  Mississippi River at Winfield.

  Mississippi River at Grafton.

  Mississippi River at Saverton.

  Mississippi River at Hannibal.

  Mississippi River at Louisiana.

  Mississippi River at Clarksville.

  Mississippi River at Chester.

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted. The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions change.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at https://water.noaa.gov/wfo/lsx

&&

ILC013-MOC113-170400-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-240522T1500Z/
/CAGM7.1.ER.240515T0449Z.240517T0000Z.240521T0900Z.NO/
1053 AM CDT Wed May 15 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY, MAY 22...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Mississippi River at Winfield.

* WHEN...Until Wednesday, May 22.

* IMPACTS...At 27.5 feet, At this stage, Lock and Dam 25 will 
  stockpile 200 tons of sand, 12,000 sandbags, and 10,000 square 
  feet of polyethylene plastic as a precaution.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 6:30 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 26.4 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 6:30 AM CDT Wednesday was 26.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 27.2
    feet tomorrow evening. It will then fall below flood stage
    early Tuesday morning.
  - Flood stage is 26.0 feet.



&&


                   Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location           Stg    Stage    Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Mississippi River
  Winfield         26.0    26.4    27.0  27.1  27.0  26.8  26.4



&&

LAT...LON 3922 9081 3923 9071 3888 9057 3881 9057
      3887 9074


$$

ILC083-MOC183-170400-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0075.240515T1800Z-240521T0600Z/
/GRFI2.1.ER.240515T1800Z.240516T1800Z.240520T0000Z.NO/
1053 AM CDT Wed May 15 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Mississippi River at Grafton.

* WHEN...Until early Tuesday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 21.0 feet, Water begins flooding the floor at the 
  Palisades Marina in Portage Des Sioux.  Access to homes along 
  North Shore Drive in eastern St. Charles County becomes cut off 
  near this height.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:30 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 19.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    this afternoon to a crest of 20.4 feet early tomorrow
    afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage Sunday
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 20.0 feet.



&&


                   Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location           Stg    Stage    Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Mississippi River
  Grafton          20.0    19.9    20.3  20.4  20.3  20.1  19.8



&&

LAT...LON 3881 9057 3888 9057 3899 9046 3895 9028
      3882 9048


$$

ILC149-MOC173-170400-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0074.240516T1200Z-240520T0300Z/
/SVRM7.1.ER.240516T1200Z.240517T0000Z.240518T2100Z.NO/
1053 AM CDT Wed May 15 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING TO LATE SUNDAY 
EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Mississippi River at Saverton.

* WHEN...From Thursday morning to late Sunday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 15.5 feet, An access road to riverside raised homes 
  on the riverward side of the Sny levee begins to flood near this 
  level.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:00 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 15.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    tomorrow morning to a crest of 16.2 feet tomorrow evening. It
    will then fall below flood stage Saturday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 16.0 feet.



&&


                   Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location           Stg    Stage    Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Mississippi River
  Saverton         16.0    15.5    16.0  16.2  16.1  15.7  15.1



&&

LAT...LON 3967 9135 3974 9121 3970 9114 3952 9097
      3945 9111


$$

ILC149-MOC127-170400-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HNNM7.1.ER.240515T0706Z.240517T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1053 AM CDT Wed May 15 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Mississippi River at Hannibal.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 18.0 feet, The northern end of Southside Recreation 
  #2 Park along Bear Creek begins flooding at this height. Gate 
  wells are shut down to prevent the sewers from backing up.  Also 
  at this level pumps are set to standby.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:15 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 17.3 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 10:15 AM CDT Wednesday was 17.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 18.1
    feet Friday morning.
  - Flood stage is 17.0 feet.



&&


                   Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location           Stg    Stage    Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Mississippi River
  Hannibal         17.0    17.3    17.7  18.1  18.1  17.9  17.5



&&

LAT...LON 3983 9148 3983 9135 3974 9121 3967 9135


$$

ILC149-MOC163-170400-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LUSM7.1.ER.240514T1545Z.240516T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1053 AM CDT Wed May 15 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Mississippi River at Louisiana.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 17.0 feet, The parking area at the boat house floods.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:30 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 16.1 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 10:30 AM CDT Wednesday was 16.1 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 16.5
    feet early tomorrow afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 15.0 feet.



&&


                   Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location           Stg    Stage    Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Mississippi River
  Louisiana        15.0    16.1    16.4  16.5  16.4  16.1  15.7



&&

LAT...LON 3945 9111 3952 9097 3945 9089 3939 9097


$$

ILC013-MOC163-170400-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLKM7.1.ER.240514T0340Z.240516T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1053 AM CDT Wed May 15 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Mississippi River at Clarksville.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 27.2 feet, Silo Park just northwest of Clarksville 
  off Highway 79 begins flooding.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:30 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 26.3 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 10:30 AM CDT Wednesday was 26.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 26.9
    feet tomorrow morning.
  - Flood stage is 25.0 feet.



&&


                   Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location           Stg    Stage    Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Mississippi River
  Clarksville      25.0    26.3    26.9  26.8  26.7  26.4  25.9



&&

LAT...LON 3939 9097 3945 9089 3938 9077 3923 9071
      3922 9081


$$

ILC077-157-MOC157-186-170400-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CHSI2.1.ER.240501T0507Z.240511T2200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1053 AM CDT Wed May 15 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Mississippi River at Chester.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 28.0 feet, Unleveed islands near Chester and the 
  prison farm floods.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:30 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 28.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 10:30 AM CDT Wednesday was 28.6 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 29.0
    feet early Saturday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 27.0 feet.



&&


                   Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location           Stg    Stage    Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon

Mississippi River
  Chester          27.0    28.0    27.9  28.4  28.9  29.0  28.3



&&

LAT...LON 3826 9043 3826 9030 3769 8935 3769 8959
      3787 9003


$$

Glass
464 
WGUS83 KLSX 160206
FLSLSX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
906 PM CDT Wed May 15 2024

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Missouri...
Illinois...

  Mississippi River at Grafton.

  Mississippi River at Winfield.

  Mississippi River at Hannibal.

  Mississippi River at Louisiana.

  Mississippi River at Chester.

  Mississippi River at Saverton.

  Mississippi River at Clarksville.

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted. The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions change.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at https://water.noaa.gov/wfo/lsx

&&

ILC083-MOC183-171415-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0075.000000T0000Z-240521T0000Z/
/GRFI2.1.ER.240515T2115Z.240516T1800Z.240519T1800Z.NO/
906 PM CDT Wed May 15 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MONDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Mississippi River at Grafton.

* WHEN...Until Monday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 21.0 feet, Water begins flooding the floor at the 
  Palisades Marina in Portage Des Sioux.  Access to homes along 
  North Shore Drive in eastern St. Charles County becomes cut off 
  near this height.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:30 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 20.1 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:30 PM CDT Wednesday was 20.1 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 20.4
    feet early tomorrow afternoon. It will then fall below flood
    stage early Sunday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 20.0 feet.



&&


                   Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location           Stg    Stage    Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Mississippi River
  Grafton          20.0    20.1    20.4  20.3  20.1  19.8  19.4



&&

LAT...LON 3881 9057 3888 9057 3899 9046 3895 9028
      3882 9048


$$

ILC013-MOC113-171415-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-240522T1200Z/
/CAGM7.1.ER.240515T0449Z.240517T0000Z.240521T0600Z.NO/
906 PM CDT Wed May 15 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY, MAY 22...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Mississippi River at Winfield.

* WHEN...Until Wednesday, May 22.

* IMPACTS...At 27.5 feet, At this stage, Lock and Dam 25 will 
  stockpile 200 tons of sand, 12,000 sandbags, and 10,000 square 
  feet of polyethylene plastic as a precaution.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:00 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 27.1 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:00 PM CDT Wednesday was 27.1 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 27.2
    feet tomorrow evening. It will then fall below flood stage
    early Tuesday morning.
  - Flood stage is 26.0 feet.



&&


                   Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location           Stg    Stage    Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Mississippi River
  Winfield         26.0    27.1    27.2  27.1  26.8  26.4  25.9



&&

LAT...LON 3922 9081 3923 9071 3888 9057 3881 9057
      3887 9074


$$

ILC149-MOC127-171415-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-240522T0600Z/
/HNNM7.1.ER.240515T0706Z.240517T1800Z.240521T0000Z.NO/
906 PM CDT Wed May 15 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY, MAY 22...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Mississippi River at Hannibal.

* WHEN...Until Wednesday, May 22.

* IMPACTS...At 18.0 feet, The northern end of Southside Recreation 
  #2 Park along Bear Creek begins flooding at this height. Gate 
  wells are shut down to prevent the sewers from backing up.  Also 
  at this level pumps are set to standby.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:15 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 17.4 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:15 PM CDT Wednesday was 17.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 17.9
    feet early Friday afternoon. It will then fall below flood
    stage Monday evening.
  - Flood stage is 17.0 feet.



&&


                   Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location           Stg    Stage    Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Mississippi River
  Hannibal         17.0    17.4    17.8  17.9  17.6  17.2  16.8



&&

LAT...LON 3983 9148 3983 9135 3974 9121 3967 9135


$$

ILC149-MOC163-171415-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-240523T0000Z/
/LUSM7.1.ER.240514T1545Z.240517T1200Z.240521T1800Z.NO/
906 PM CDT Wed May 15 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY, MAY 22...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Mississippi River at Louisiana.

* WHEN...Until Wednesday, May 22.

* IMPACTS...At 17.0 feet, The parking area at the boat house floods.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:30 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 16.1 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:30 PM CDT Wednesday was 16.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 16.5
    feet Friday morning. It will then fall below flood stage
    early Tuesday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 15.0 feet.



&&


                   Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location           Stg    Stage    Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Mississippi River
  Louisiana        15.0    16.1    16.5  16.4  16.0  15.7  15.2



&&

LAT...LON 3945 9111 3952 9097 3945 9089 3939 9097


$$

ILC077-157-MOC157-186-171415-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-240522T2230Z/
/CHSI2.1.ER.240501T0507Z.240511T2200Z.240521T1630Z.NO/
906 PM CDT Wed May 15 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY, MAY 22...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Mississippi River at Chester.

* WHEN...Until Wednesday, May 22.

* IMPACTS...At 28.0 feet, Unleveed islands near Chester and the 
  prison farm floods.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:30 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 28.1 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:30 PM CDT Wednesday was 28.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 29.4
    feet Saturday evening. It will then fall below flood stage
    late Tuesday morning.
  - Flood stage is 27.0 feet.



&&


                   Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location           Stg    Stage    Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Mississippi River
  Chester          27.0    28.1    28.8  29.3  29.3  28.6  27.3



&&

LAT...LON 3826 9043 3826 9030 3769 8935 3769 8959
      3787 9003


$$

ILC149-MOC173-171415-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0074.240516T1800Z-240519T1200Z/
/SVRM7.1.ER.240516T1800Z.240517T0600Z.240518T0600Z.NO/
906 PM CDT Wed May 15 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON TO SUNDAY 
MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Mississippi River at Saverton.

* WHEN...From Thursday afternoon to Sunday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 15.5 feet, An access road to riverside raised homes 
  on the riverward side of the Sny levee begins to flood near this 
  level.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 6:00 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 15.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    early tomorrow afternoon to a crest of 16.1 feet early Friday
    morning. It will then fall below flood stage early Saturday
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 16.0 feet.



&&


                   Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location           Stg    Stage    Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Mississippi River
  Saverton         16.0    15.7    16.1  15.9  15.5  15.1  14.6



&&

LAT...LON 3967 9135 3974 9121 3970 9114 3952 9097
      3945 9111


$$

ILC013-MOC163-171415-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLKM7.1.ER.240514T0340Z.240517T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
906 PM CDT Wed May 15 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Mississippi River at Clarksville.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 27.2 feet, Silo Park just northwest of Clarksville 
  off Highway 79 begins flooding.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:30 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 26.3 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:30 PM CDT Wednesday was 26.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 26.9
    feet Friday morning.
  - Flood stage is 25.0 feet.



&&


                   Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location           Stg    Stage    Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Mississippi River
  Clarksville      25.0    26.3    26.9  26.7  26.3  25.9  25.3



&&

LAT...LON 3939 9097 3945 9089 3938 9077 3923 9071
      3922 9081


$$

MRM
931 
WGUS83 KLSX 161619
FLSLSX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
1119 AM CDT Thu May 16 2024

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...Illinois...

  Mississippi River at Saverton.

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted. The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions change.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at https://water.noaa.gov/wfo/lsx

&&

ILC149-MOC173-180430-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0074.240516T1800Z-240518T0600Z/
/SVRM7.1.ER.240516T1800Z.240516T1800Z.240517T0000Z.NO/
1119 AM CDT Thu May 16 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Mississippi River at Saverton.

* WHEN...Until early Saturday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 15.5 feet, An access road to riverside raised homes 
  on the riverward side of the Sny levee begins to flood near this 
  level.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:00 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 15.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 16.0
    feet this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage this
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 16.0 feet.



&&


                   Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location           Stg    Stage    Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue

Mississippi River
  Saverton         16.0    15.9    15.8  15.6  15.3  15.1  14.7



&&

LAT...LON 3967 9135 3974 9121 3970 9114 3952 9097
      3945 9111


$$

Glass
784 
WGUS83 KLSX 171555
FLSLSX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
1055 AM CDT Fri May 17 2024

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...Illinois...

  Mississippi River at Grafton.

  Mississippi River at Hannibal.

  Mississippi River at Chester.

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Missouri...Illinois...

  Mississippi River at Winfield.

  Mississippi River at Louisiana.

  Mississippi River at Clarksville.

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Missouri...Illinois...

  Mississippi River at Saverton.

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at https://water.noaa.gov/wfo/lsx

&&

ILC149-MOC173-171700-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0074.000000T0000Z-240517T1555Z/
/SVRM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1055 AM CDT Fri May 17 2024

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Mississippi River at Saverton.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:00 AM CDT Friday the stage was 15.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 13.9 feet
    Thursday morning.



&&


                   Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location           Stg    Stage    Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed

Mississippi River
  Saverton         16.0    15.8    15.7  15.5  15.2  14.8  14.3



&&

LAT...LON 3967 9135 3974 9121 3970 9114 3952 9097
      3945 9111


$$

ILC083-MOC183-190400-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0075.000000T0000Z-240519T1200Z/
/GRFI2.1.ER.240515T2115Z.240516T0800Z.240518T0600Z.NO/
1055 AM CDT Fri May 17 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Mississippi River at Grafton.

* WHEN...Until Sunday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 21.0 feet, Water begins flooding the floor at the 
  Palisades Marina in Portage Des Sioux.  Access to homes along 
  North Shore Drive in eastern St. Charles County becomes cut off 
  near this height.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:30 AM CDT Friday the stage was 20.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 10:30 AM CDT Friday was 20.1 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    just after midnight tonight and continue falling to 18.2 feet
    Thursday morning.
  - Flood stage is 20.0 feet.



&&


                   Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location           Stg    Stage    Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed

Mississippi River
  Grafton          20.0    20.0    19.9  19.7  19.5  19.3  18.8



&&

LAT...LON 3881 9057 3888 9057 3899 9046 3895 9028
      3882 9048


$$

ILC013-MOC113-190400-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-240522T1800Z/
/CAGM7.1.ER.240515T0449Z.240516T1030Z.240521T1200Z.NO/
1055 AM CDT Fri May 17 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Mississippi River at Winfield.

* WHEN...Until early Wednesday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 27.5 feet, At this stage, Lock and Dam 25 will 
  stockpile 200 tons of sand, 12,000 sandbags, and 10,000 square 
  feet of polyethylene plastic as a precaution.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:30 AM CDT Friday the stage was 26.8 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 10:30 AM CDT Friday was 26.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 26.8
    feet this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage
    Tuesday morning.
  - Flood stage is 26.0 feet.



&&


                   Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location           Stg    Stage    Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed

Mississippi River
  Winfield         26.0    26.8    26.7  26.6  26.3  26.0  25.6



&&

LAT...LON 3922 9081 3923 9071 3888 9057 3881 9057
      3887 9074


$$

ILC149-MOC127-190400-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-240521T0600Z/
/HNNM7.1.ER.240515T0706Z.240517T0045Z.240520T0000Z.NO/
1055 AM CDT Fri May 17 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Mississippi River at Hannibal.

* WHEN...Until early Tuesday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 17.0 feet, John Hay Recreation Area on east side 
  (inside the Illinois Sny Levee) begins flooding.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:15 AM CDT Friday the stage was 17.5 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 10:15 AM CDT Friday was 17.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    Sunday evening and continue falling to 15.7 feet Thursday
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 17.0 feet.



&&


                   Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location           Stg    Stage    Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed

Mississippi River
  Hannibal         17.0    17.5    17.3  17.1  16.8  16.5  16.1



&&

LAT...LON 3983 9148 3983 9135 3974 9121 3967 9135


$$

ILC149-MOC163-190400-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-240523T1800Z/
/LUSM7.1.ER.240514T1545Z.240517T1245Z.240522T1200Z.NO/
1055 AM CDT Fri May 17 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Mississippi River at Louisiana.

* WHEN...Until early Thursday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 17.0 feet, The parking area at the boat house floods.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:30 AM CDT Friday the stage was 16.3 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 10:30 AM CDT Friday was 16.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    Wednesday morning and continue falling to 14.5 feet Thursday
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 15.0 feet.



&&


                   Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location           Stg    Stage    Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed

Mississippi River
  Louisiana        15.0    16.3    16.2  16.0  15.8  15.4  15.0



&&

LAT...LON 3945 9111 3952 9097 3945 9089 3939 9097


$$

ILC013-MOC163-190400-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-240524T0000Z/
/CLKM7.1.ER.240514T0340Z.240517T1330Z.240522T1800Z.NO/
1055 AM CDT Fri May 17 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Mississippi River at Clarksville.

* WHEN...Until Thursday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 27.2 feet, Silo Park just northwest of Clarksville 
  off Highway 79 begins flooding.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:30 AM CDT Friday the stage was 26.6 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 10:30 AM CDT Friday was 26.6 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 26.6
    feet this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage
    early Wednesday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 25.0 feet.



&&


                   Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location           Stg    Stage    Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed

Mississippi River
  Clarksville      25.0    26.6    26.5  26.3  26.0  25.6  25.1



&&

LAT...LON 3939 9097 3945 9089 3938 9077 3923 9071
      3922 9081


$$

ILC077-157-MOC157-186-190400-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-240522T1400Z/
/CHSI2.1.ER.240501T0507Z.240511T2200Z.240521T0800Z.NO/
1055 AM CDT Fri May 17 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Mississippi River at Chester.

* WHEN...Until late Wednesday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 28.0 feet, Unleveed islands near Chester and the 
  prison farm floods.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:30 AM CDT Friday the stage was 27.9 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 10:30 AM CDT Friday was 28.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 28.3
    feet this evening. It will then fall below flood stage early
    Tuesday morning.
  - Flood stage is 27.0 feet.



&&


                   Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location           Stg    Stage    Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed

Mississippi River
  Chester          27.0    27.9    28.3  28.3  27.7  26.8  25.6



&&

LAT...LON 3826 9043 3826 9030 3769 8935 3769 8959
      3787 9003


$$

MRB

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at May 14, 6:36 PM CDT, 2 hours 38 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • Showers and isolated thunderstorms will diminish this evening and exit to the east overnight. Isolated instances of heavy rain are possible through this evening.
  • Active weather will return late Wednesday night and continue through at least Friday with periods of showers and thunderstorms impacting parts of the area, including the potential for strong storms Thursday afternoon and evening.
  • Above normal temperatures return next weekend and continue into early next week.
Area forecast discussion, May 14, 6:36 PM CDT, 2 hours 38 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...Updated Aviation
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
636 PM CDT Tue May 14 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Showers and isolated thunderstorms will diminish this evening
  and exit to the east overnight. Isolated instances of heavy rain
  are possible through this evening.

- Active weather will return late Wednesday night and continue
  through at least Friday with periods of showers and
  thunderstorms impacting parts of the area, including the
  potential for strong storms Thursday afternoon and evening.

- Above normal temperatures return next weekend and continue into
  early next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...  (Through Late Wednesday Night)
Issued at 225 PM CDT Tue May 14 2024

The slow-moving upper low was located over central MO at mid-
afternoon. More continuous/banded showers and scattered
thunderstorms were located in advance of the low stretching from
far southeast MO through southwest and west-central IL, while
further west more diurnally driven scattered showers and isolated
storms were rotating cyclonically about the mid-upper circulation
feeding off SBCAPE of 1000-1500+ J/KG. The aforementioned band
will continue to shift slowly east through the remainder of the
afternoon bringing some locally heavy downpours and pockets of
heavy rain, owing to more persistence and a very moist air
mass/higher rain rates. The trend heading through the early-mid
evening should be a decrease in coverage of showers/thunderstorms
as the diurnally driven instability wanes and the upper low moves
to the east-southeast. All of the precipitation should exit the
area overnight as the upper low moves into the Ohio Valley.

Stratus is expected to hang tough across the area overnight and
any breaks could result in locally areas of fog. All-in-all, a lot
of cloudiness is expected to persist on Wednesday. The stratus
will diminish as clouds become more cumuliform heading into the
afternoon, with below normal temps.

The active weather regime will then resume late Wednesday night.
A broader trof will move into the upper MS Valley with a well-
defined vort max tracking into the area overnight. This
disturbance along with a returning warm front and increasing
southwesterly LLJ should support showers and thunderstorms moving
into at least central and portions of eastern MO between 06-12Z
Thursday. The activity could be weakening convection originating
from the central Plains and/or additional elevated development.

Glass

&&

.LONG TERM...  (Thursday through Next Tuesday)
Issued at 225 PM CDT Tue May 14 2024

The expectation is showers and thunderstorms will be ongoing at
daybreak Thursday, probably west of the MS River, supported by the
aforementioned mid-level disturbance and LLJ. This activity will
likely move east across the CWA through the morning with potential
for additional development trailing in its wake. Later on Thursday
afternoon and night, the presence of a lingering east-west
boundary across the southern part of MO and southern IL is likely
to be the catalyst for additional rounds of showers and storms
with MLCAPE forecast from 1500-2500 J/KG. Sufficient deep layer
shear on the order of 30 kts should be present to support
potential for organized storms, including a few strong-severe
storms.

The forecast for Friday into early Saturday is a bit more muddled.
There are differences in the upper level trof structure/position
and timing with a trof translating eastward from the southwest
U.S. across the Plains which adds uncertainty to the forecast.
Most of the guidance shows only nebulous forcing Friday and a
lack of a surface boundary but plentiful instability, at least
supporting a threat of showers and thunderstorms. I suspect that
this trof will have passed to the east by early Saturday and the
majority of the weekend will be dry with a warming trend.
Differences in details of the large scale regime persist into
early next week. There is good agreement the flow aloft will
become more southwesterly with potential short waves tracking
within it bringing more thunderstorms chances, but uncertainty is
high in the timing and details. Temperatures should return to
above normal this coming weekend and continue through early next
week.

Glass

&&

.AVIATION...  (For the 00z TAFs through 00z Wednesday Evening)
Issued at 624 PM CDT Tue May 14 2024

A cluster of showers and a few thunderstorms just went up over the
St. Louis metro, but overall, precipitation across the area will
diminish in coverage and intensity over the next few hours. Clouds
will linger after the precipitation ends, gradually filling in
and lowering through the evening. The vast majority of forecast
guidance has cigs dropping below 1000 ft at all terminals, though
NBM MOS guidance does indicate lower probs of IFR conditions than
other models, so I've narrowed the IFR window slightly. Reduced
flight conditions will linger through much of the morning,
gradually improving back to VFR by mid day.

Specifics for KSTL:
The weak thunderstorm just to the east of the terminal is very
slowly sliding westward and will likely impact the terminal with
at least rain and MVFR visbys in the next 10-20 minutes. I'm not
confident that thunder will impact the terminal, so I've stuck
with just VCTS in the prevailing group. Precip should not linger
long after sunset.

BSH

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...None.
IL...None.
&&

WFO LSX
Hazardous weather outlook, May 14, 3:25 PM CDT, 5 hours 49 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service St Louis MO
325 PM CDT Tue May 14 2024

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-152030-
Greene IL-Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-
Marion IL-Washington IL-Randolph IL-Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-
Calhoun IL-Jersey IL-Madison IL-Saint Clair IL-Monroe IL-Knox MO-
Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-Boone MO-
Audrain MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-Callaway MO-Montgomery MO-
Lincoln MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Saint Charles MO-Franklin MO-
Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-
Washington MO-Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Iron MO-
Madison MO-Reynolds MO-
325 PM CDT Tue May 14 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern and
central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

There is a chance of thunderstorms through this evening. Isolated
instances of heavy rain are possible as well.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

There is a chance of thunderstorms Wednesday night through late
Friday. Another chance of thunderstorms will exist, mainly Saturday
afternoon through Monday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

Glass

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 14, 4:28 PM CDT, 4 hours 46 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service St Louis MO
428 PM CDT Tue May 14 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0426 PM     Rain             1 SE Kampsville         39.30N 90.61W
05/14/2024  M4.00 Inch       Calhoun            IL   Trained Spotter

            Caller indicated 2 separate gages in
            Kampsville recorded 4 inches since 9 am
            today. She mentioned another gage 2 miles
            south of Kampsville recorded 2.5 inches.

&&

MF
Local storm report, May 14, 8:02 PM CDT, 1 hour 12 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service St Louis MO
802 PM CDT Tue May 14 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0801 PM     Rain             Kirkwood                38.58N 90.39W
05/14/2024  E3.00 Inch       St. Louis          MO   Public

            Estimated to have fallen in 30 minutes. Not
            a precise gage.

&&

MF

The office that day

Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 15, 8:11 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXJersey4 days
May 14, 7:56 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryLSXSaint Louis, City of Saint Louis3 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Illinois, 2024River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2024Every river flood warning in 2024

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.