River Flood Warning 23, NWS St. Louis, MO

288 
WGUS43 KLSX 281309
FLWLSX

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service St Louis MO
809 AM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024

...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity and 
increased in duration for the following rivers in Missouri...

  North Fabius River near Ewing.

  South Fabius River near Taylor.

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

The next statement will be issued Monday evening at 815 PM CDT.

&&

MOC111-300115-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0023.240428T1309Z-240503T0630Z/
/EWNM7.2.ER.240428T1146Z.240430T0000Z.240502T0030Z.NO/
809 AM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING TO EARLY FRIDAY 
MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...North Fabius River near Ewing.

* WHEN...From this morning to early Friday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 18.0 feet, Juniper Avenue (Lewis County Road 513) 
  will be flooded at this height.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:30 AM CDT Sunday the stage was 12.6 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 7:30 AM CDT Sunday was 12.6 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 18.0
    feet tomorrow evening. It will then fall below flood stage
    Wednesday evening.
  - Flood stage is 11.0 feet.



&&


                    Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location            Stg    Stage    Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri

North Fabius River
  Ewing             11.0    12.6    17.2  17.3  13.4  8.8   6.4



&&

LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154


$$

MOC127-300115-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0022.240428T1309Z-240502T1512Z/
/TAYM7.2.ER.240428T1203Z.240430T0000Z.240501T0912Z.NO/
809 AM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING TO LATE THURSDAY 
MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...South Fabius River near Taylor.

* WHEN...From this morning to late Thursday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 14.7 feet, Cornfield just south and downstream of the 
  County Road 315 bridge at the gage begins to flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:30 AM CDT Sunday the stage was 10.4 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 7:30 AM CDT Sunday was 10.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 14.5
    feet tomorrow evening. It will then fall below flood stage
    early Wednesday morning.
  - Flood stage is 10.0 feet.



&&


                    Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location            Stg    Stage    Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri

South Fabius River
  Taylor            10.0    10.4    13.6  13.7  9.3   4.5   3.6



&&

LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
      3989 9176


$$

Walsh

998 
WGUS83 KLSX 290201
FLSLSX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
901 PM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  North Fabius River near Ewing.

  South Fabius River near Taylor.

  North River at Palmyra.

  Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday.

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted. The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions change.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

The next statement will be issued Tuesday morning at 915 AM CDT.

&&

MOC111-301415-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-240502T1704Z/
/EWNM7.2.ER.240428T1146Z.240430T0000Z.240501T1104Z.NO/
901 PM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...North Fabius River near Ewing.

* WHEN...Until early Thursday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 17.6 feet, Left bank overflows at the gage.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:30 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 14.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 17.8
    feet tomorrow evening. It will then fall below flood stage
    Wednesday morning.
  - Flood stage is 11.0 feet.



&&


                    Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location            Stg    Stage    Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

North Fabius River
  Ewing             11.0    14.7    16.8  10.8  7.1   5.9   5.4



&&

LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154


$$

MOC127-301415-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-240502T1030Z/
/TAYM7.2.ER.240428T1203Z.240429T1200Z.240501T0430Z.NO/
901 PM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...South Fabius River near Taylor.

* WHEN...Until early Thursday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 14.7 feet, Cornfield just south and downstream of the 
  County Road 315 bridge at the gage begins to flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:30 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 13.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 14.3
    feet tomorrow morning. It will then fall below flood stage
    late Tuesday evening.
  - Flood stage is 10.0 feet.



&&


                    Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location            Stg    Stage    Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

South Fabius River
  Taylor            10.0    13.4    12.3  8.9   5.3   3.5   3.2



&&

LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
      3989 9176


$$

MOC127-301415-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-240501T1057Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.240428T1020Z.240429T0600Z.240430T0457Z.NO/
901 PM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...North River at Palmyra.

* WHEN...Until early Wednesday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 17.1 feet, Agricultural land along the left bank 
  begins flooding near the gage.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:30 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 17.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 18.3
    feet just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below
    flood stage late tomorrow evening.
  - Flood stage is 13.0 feet.



&&


             Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location     Stg    Stage    Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

North River
  Palmyra    13.0    17.8    10.8  7.1   5.8   5.0   4.7



&&

LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170


$$

MOC137-301415-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-240502T0134Z/
/PMZM7.1.ER.240428T0555Z.240429T1200Z.240430T2334Z.NO/
901 PM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday.

* WHEN...Until Wednesday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 19.0 feet, Wastewater lift station begins flooding at 
  about this height.  Water was 16 ft deep in July 2008.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:30 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 20.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 20.8
    feet tomorrow morning. It will then fall below flood stage
    Tuesday evening.
  - Flood stage is 17.0 feet.



&&


                     Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location             Stg    Stage    Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Mid Fork Salt River
  Holliday           17.0    20.5    19.2  11.4  8.2   7.1   6.6



&&

LAT...LON 3957 9229 3959 9225 3950 9197 3947 9199
      3952 9221


$$

Carney

004 
WGUS83 KLSX 291523
FLSLSX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
1023 AM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  North Fabius River near Ewing.

  Middle Fabius River near Ewing.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  South Fabius River near Taylor.

  North River at Palmyra.

  Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday.

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted. The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions change.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

The next statement will be issued Tuesday evening at 830 PM CDT.

&&

MOC111-010330-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-240502T2236Z/
/EWNM7.2.ER.240428T1146Z.240430T0600Z.240501T1636Z.NO/
1023 AM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...North Fabius River near Ewing.

* WHEN...Until Thursday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 16.0 feet, Lewis County Road 532 (or 230th Street) 
  will be flooded at this height.
  At 16.5 feet, Crop damage begins near Monticello.
  At 17.1 feet, Right bank begins flooding at the gage.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:30 AM CDT Monday the stage was 15.5 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:30 AM CDT Monday was 15.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 17.0
    feet just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below
    flood stage late Wednesday morning.
  - Flood stage is 11.0 feet.



&&


                    Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location            Stg    Stage    Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

North Fabius River
  Ewing             11.0    15.5    16.5  12.0  7.8   6.0   5.4



&&

LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154


$$

MOC127-010330-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-240502T0300Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.240428T1203Z.240429T0330Z.240430T2100Z.NO/
1023 AM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...South Fabius River near Taylor.

* WHEN...Until late Wednesday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 12.5 feet, Marion County Road 150 will be flooded 
  near this height.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:30 AM CDT Monday the stage was 12.1 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:30 AM CDT Monday was 13.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    tomorrow afternoon and continue falling to 3.0 feet Monday,
    May 06.
  - Flood stage is 10.0 feet.



&&


                    Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location            Stg    Stage    Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

South Fabius River
  Taylor            10.0    12.1    10.7  8.8   4.5   3.3   3.2



&&

LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
      3989 9176


$$

MOC111-010330-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-240502T2200Z/
/EWMM7.1.ER.240428T1115Z.240429T0545Z.240501T1600Z.NO/
1023 AM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Middle Fabius River near Ewing.

* WHEN...Until Thursday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 16.6 feet, Left bank overflows downstream of bridge 
  near the gage.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:30 AM CDT Monday the stage was 16.1 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:30 AM CDT Monday was 16.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 16.2
    feet this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage late
    Wednesday morning.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.



&&


                     Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location             Stg    Stage    Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Middle Fabius River
  Ewing              12.0    16.1    16.0  13.4  6.5   5.2   4.6



&&

LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162


$$

MOC127-010130-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-240501T0125Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.240428T1020Z.240429T0330Z.240429T1925Z.NO/
1023 AM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...North River at Palmyra.

* WHEN...Until tomorrow evening.

* IMPACTS...At 14.0 feet, Marion County Rd 341 north of Palmyra 
  inundated. Significant agricultural land flooding...right bank.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:30 AM CDT Monday the stage was 14.3 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:30 AM CDT Monday was 17.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    this afternoon and continue falling to 4.3 feet Monday, May
    06.
  - Flood stage is 13.0 feet.



&&


             Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location     Stg    Stage    Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

North River
  Palmyra    13.0    14.3    8.2   5.6   4.9   4.7   4.6



&&

LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170


$$

MOC137-010330-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-240502T0000Z/
/PMZM7.1.ER.240428T0555Z.240429T1800Z.240430T2200Z.NO/
1023 AM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday.

* WHEN...Until Wednesday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 19.0 feet, Wastewater lift station begins flooding at 
  about this height.  Water was 16 ft deep in July 2008.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:00 AM CDT Monday the stage was 20.7 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 10:00 AM CDT Monday was 20.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 20.7
    feet this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage
    tomorrow afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 17.0 feet.



&&


                     Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location             Stg    Stage    Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Mid Fork Salt River
  Holliday           17.0    20.7    18.9  11.1  7.8   6.7   6.2



&&

LAT...LON 3957 9229 3959 9225 3950 9197 3947 9199
      3952 9221


$$

19

945 
WGUS83 KLSX 300232
FLSLSX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
932 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  South Fabius River near Taylor.

  Middle Fabius River near Ewing.

  North Fabius River near Ewing.

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted. The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions change.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

The next statement will be issued Wednesday morning at 945 AM CDT.

&&

MOC127-011445-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-240502T1440Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.240428T1203Z.240429T0330Z.240501T0840Z.NO/
932 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE THURSDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...South Fabius River near Taylor.

* WHEN...Until late Thursday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 12.5 feet, Marion County Road 150 will be flooded 
  near this height.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:30 PM CDT Monday the stage was 12.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 12.5
    feet just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below
    flood stage early Wednesday morning.
  - Flood stage is 10.0 feet.



&&


                    Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location            Stg    Stage    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

South Fabius River
  Taylor            10.0    12.2    9.5   4.5   3.4   3.2   3.1



&&

LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
      3989 9176


$$

MOC111-011445-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-240502T2220Z/
/EWMM7.1.ER.240428T1115Z.240430T1200Z.240501T1620Z.NO/
932 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Middle Fabius River near Ewing.

* WHEN...Until Thursday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 16.6 feet, Left bank overflows downstream of bridge 
  near the gage.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:30 PM CDT Monday the stage was 16.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 16.9
    feet tomorrow morning. It will then fall below flood stage
    late Wednesday morning.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.



&&


                     Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location             Stg    Stage    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

Middle Fabius River
  Ewing              12.0    16.5    13.3  6.6   5.2   4.6   4.2



&&

LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162


$$

MOC111-011445-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-240502T2236Z/
/EWNM7.2.ER.240428T1146Z.240430T1200Z.240501T1636Z.NO/
932 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...North Fabius River near Ewing.

* WHEN...Until Thursday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 17.1 feet, Right bank begins flooding at the gage.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:30 PM CDT Monday the stage was 16.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 17.0
    feet tomorrow morning. It will then fall below flood stage
    late Wednesday morning.
  - Flood stage is 11.0 feet.



&&


                    Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location            Stg    Stage    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

North Fabius River
  Ewing             11.0    16.4    12.0  7.8   6.0   5.4   5.1



&&

LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154


$$

Carney

883 
WGUS83 KLSX 301537
FLSLSX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
1037 AM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  North Fabius River near Ewing.

  South Fabius River near Taylor.

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Rainfall heavier than forecast could cause river levels to rise even 
higher than predicted. The National Weather Service will monitor 
this developing situation and issue follow up statements as 
conditions change.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

The next statement will be issued Wednesday evening at 1045 PM CDT.

&&

MOC111-020345-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-240503T0500Z/
/EWNM7.1.ER.240428T1146Z.240430T1030Z.240501T2300Z.NO/
1037 AM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...North Fabius River near Ewing.

* WHEN...Until early Friday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 16.0 feet, Lewis County Road 532 (or 230th Street) 
  will be flooded at this height.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:30 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 16.5 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:30 AM CDT Tuesday was 17.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 16.5
    feet this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage
    tomorrow evening.
  - Flood stage is 11.0 feet.



&&


                    Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location            Stg    Stage    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

North Fabius River
  Ewing             11.0    16.5    13.2  8.5   7.5   6.7   5.7



&&

LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154


$$

MOC127-020345-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-240502T1800Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.240428T1203Z.240429T0330Z.240501T1200Z.NO/
1037 AM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...South Fabius River near Taylor.

* WHEN...Until early Thursday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 12.5 feet, Marion County Road 150 will be flooded 
  near this height.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:30 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 12.4 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:30 AM CDT Tuesday was 12.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    tomorrow morning and continue falling to 2.9 feet Tuesday,
    May 07.
  - Flood stage is 10.0 feet.



&&


                    Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location            Stg    Stage    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

South Fabius River
  Taylor            10.0    12.4    10.0  5.9   4.8   3.7   3.2



&&

LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
      3989 9176


$$

Fuchs

109 
WGUS83 KLSX 302312
FLSLSX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
612 PM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  North Fabius River near Ewing.

River forecasts are based on observed precipitation and forecast 
precipitation for the next 24 hours.

MOC111-010015-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-240430T2312Z/
/EWNM7.1.ER.240428T1146Z.240430T1030Z.240430T2228Z.NO/
612 PM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the North Fabius River near Ewing.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 5:30 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 11.0 feet and falling.
  - The river rose above flood stage on Sunday, April 28 and
    crested near 17.0 feet early this morning. It fell back below
    flood stage this afternoon.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to continue a rapid fall
    back toward normal base flow tomorrow.



&&


                    Fld   Observed  Forecasts (7:00 am)
Location            Stg    Stage    Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun

North Fabius River
  Ewing             11.0    11.0    7.4   6.2   5.8   5.4   5.2



&&

LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154


$$

Kimble

Area Forecast Discussion...Updated Aviation
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
701 AM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A line of showers and thunderstorms will move east out of
  west/southwest Missouri this morning and is expected to weaken
  in time.

- Additional showers and thunderstorms are expected along a cold
  front this afternoon into late this evening. A few thunderstorms
  could be severe with marginally severe hail, damaging winds and
  an isolated tornado or two.

- The front will stall over the region Monday with showers and
  sub-severe thunderstorms over sections of southeast Missouri
  and southwest Illinois. The front returns north with warmer than
  normal conditions continuing through the upcoming week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...  (Through Late Monday Afternoon)
Issued at 413 AM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024

Key Messages:

- A line of showers and weakening thunderstorms will move east out
of western Missouri this morning and continue to decay as the line
approaches the Mississippi River.

- Additional thunderstorms are expected along a cold front this
afternoon into late this evening. A few thunderstorms could be
severe with marginally severe hail, damaging winds and an isolated
tornado or two.

- The front will stall over the region Monday with showers and sub-
severe thunderstorms over sections of southeast Missouri and
southwest Illinois. The front returns north with warmer than normal
conditions continuing through the upcoming week.

Radar trends show precipitation over northeast Missouri and west-
central Illinois, remnant of overnight convection that quickly
decayed as it encountered a less favorable environment over eastern
sections of Missouri. In fact, very little lightning is being
detected within this area and what thunderstorms remain are further
west with the next round of approaching precipitation.

The the focus shifts to western Missouri where another line of
weakening thunderstorms are progressing eastward early this morning.
Given the diurnal minimum and thunderstorms that preceded the
incoming activity, further decay is expected as the line departs the
origin of instability and moves into air that has been largely
stabilized by preceding thunderstorms. Though this activity is
expected to be sub-severe as it enters the CWA this morning,
rainfall and cloud cover could eat into potential for instability to
recover this afternoon, when redevelopment is possible along the
approaching cold front.

This afternoon's thunderstorm potential could very well be to be
conditional upon the survival and geographic spread of the lingering
rainfall that is ejecting out of western Missouri. The upper level
low continues to track into the northern Plains with the surface low
slightly to the southeast over western Iowa. The trailing cold front
begins to slow, presenting less of a convergent focus as it moves
into central Missouri. Upper ascent becomes more fragmented in the
vicinity of the surface front, along with marginal MUCAPE values
around 1000 J/kg encompassing much of the state of Missouri. Mid-
level lapse rates of around 7C are more respectable than in previous
days, but highest values reside over south-central Missouri around
the time convective initiation is favored between early and mid-
afternoon. RAP model sounding show skinny CAPE profiles closer to
the Mississippi River, suggesting hail may not be much of a threat,
if any at all, as thunderstorms approach the St. Louis Metro area.
The one favorable parameter are 0-6km shear values that are at 40-50
kts ahead of the front, along with a strengthening LLJ.

All of this suggests that redevelopment will once again be focused
to our west, closer to the slowing front. This leaves a limited
window of opportunity to organize behind the preceding rainfall and
prior to waning diurnal maximums with much of the surface air
already being rain-cooled over central Missouri. Should strong to
severe thunderstorms develop this afternoon, their peak intensity
may be over western portions of the CWA. Should hail be a concern,
it will be with initial discrete development, which then transitions
to a damaging wind threat as convection become linear. An isolated
tornado or two may be embedded in the line with backed winds ahead
of the approaching line. Confidence in severe weather is low given
all of the potential caveats ahead of the redevelopment.

Guidance has been consistent in stalling the front over southern
sections of the forecast area Monday. This becomes the focus for
scattered, sub-severe thunderstorms over  sections of southeast
Missouri and southwest Illinois Monday afternoon.

Maples

&&

.LONG TERM...  (Monday Night through Saturday)
Issued at 441 AM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024

The pattern continues to look warm and active over the upcoming
week. Surface high pressure quasi-zonal flow lends potential for
one quiet and dry day Tuesday before mid and upper level
amplification commences through midweek. The initial topic will be
the warming temperatures as southerly return flow leads to well
above normal conditions Tuesday into Wednesday. NBM spread
continues to point at temperatures that could inch within a few
degrees of record highs Wednesday. The key will be the evolution
of a broad upper trough over the Intermountain West, which becomes
a slingshot for multiple shortwaves that eject out of the
southwest into the central U.S. The consequence is what looks to
be an increasingly active week over the Plains and Midwest. A
cold front begins to approach the region from the northwest late
Tuesday or Wednesday. While the front initially hangs up at the
northwest periphery of the southeast ridge, thunderstorm
potential increases as the front draws near. Guidance then begins
to spread as there is less agreement on the progress of the front
and evolution of the synoptic setup through the later half of the
week.

Maples

&&

.AVIATION...  (For the 12z TAFs through 12z Monday Morning)
Issued at 650 AM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024

Metro terminals remain well east of decaying showers and
thunderstorms that are tracking into section of central and
northeast Missouri, as well as west-central Illinois. Given slow
eastward movement and rate of weakening, metro terminals should
remain VFR for much of the day with gusty southerly winds being
the primary impact.

Central Missouri terminals, along with KUIN, are on the edge of
showers and isolated thunderstorms. Much of the lightning has
decreased considerably in the couple of hour leading up to the 12z
TAF package. Showers an intermittent lightning activity will move
over KCOU/KJEF and KUIN through the morning hours with the
potential to bounce between low VFR/high MVFR ceilings. Pockets of
moderate shower activity and/or more persistent rainfall will also
lead to marginal visibility reductions.

Early morning activity could curb instability recovery for this
afternoon through late this evening. There is uncertainty in how
intense thunderstorms may get, but latest trends are favoring less
in the way of stronger thunderstorms. Nonetheless, impacts will be
similar to that of late night and this morning with weakening
showers and thunderstorms move west to east. MVFR conditions are
largely expected to accompany thunderstorms with pockets of IFR
possible within isolated stronger cells. Much of the activity
will move east of the terminals late in the TAF period.

Maples

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...None.
IL...None.
&&

WFO LSX

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service St Louis MO
423 AM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-290930-
Greene IL-Macoupin IL-Montgomery IL-Bond IL-Fayette IL-Clinton IL-
Marion IL-Washington IL-Randolph IL-Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL-
Calhoun IL-Jersey IL-Madison IL-Saint Clair IL-Monroe IL-Knox MO-
Lewis MO-Shelby MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Ralls MO-Pike MO-Boone MO-
Audrain MO-Moniteau MO-Cole MO-Osage MO-Callaway MO-Montgomery MO-
Lincoln MO-Gasconade MO-Warren MO-Saint Charles MO-Franklin MO-
Saint Louis MO-Saint Louis City MO-Jefferson MO-Crawford MO-
Washington MO-Saint Francois MO-Sainte Genevieve MO-Iron MO-
Madison MO-Reynolds MO-
423 AM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern and
central Missouri as well as west central and southwest Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

There is a chance for severe thunderstorms this afternoon into
this evening, mainly along and west of the Mississippi River. Severe
thunderstorms may produce marginally severe hail, damaging winds and
an isolated tornado. Locally heavy rainfall could result in localized
flash flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

There is a chance of thunderstorms Monday through Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed.

Maples

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service St Louis MO
349 AM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1102 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Palmyra                 39.80N 91.52W
04/27/2024                   Marion             MO   911 Call Center

            Damage to metal outbuilding. Time estimated
            from radar.

&&

JPG

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service St Louis MO
508 AM CDT Sun Apr 28 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0105 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Wellsville              39.07N 91.57W
04/28/2024                   Montgomery         MO   Law Enforcement

            Medium tree uprooted. Time estimated from
            radar.

&&

JPG