Alert archive / Kentucky / Tornado Warnings in 2024

Tornado Warning 3, NWS Louisville, KY

March 14, 2024Trimble County, Kentucky; Jefferson County, Indiana

NWS Louisville, KY issued this tornado warning at Mar 14, 2024, 1:48 PM EDT for Trimble County, Kentucky; Jefferson County, Indiana. It was in force for 42 min. 5 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Mar 14, 2024, 1:48 PM EDT (17:48 UTC)
Expired
Mar 14, 2024, 2:30 PM EDT
In force
42 min
Issued by
NWS Louisville, KY
Area
Storm-based polygon
Tornado
Radar indicated
Hail
1.75 in

Counties Jefferson County, IN, Trimble County, KY

The radar

The Louisville radar (KLVX), 98 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Mar 14, 1:58 PM EDTHAIL 2.25Volga, IN
Mar 14, 1:58 PM EDTTORNADO1 N Hanover, IN*** 2 INJ *** An NWS storm survey found a 17.2 mile long EF-2 tornado with peak winds of 115 mph occurred on the afternoon of March 14, 2024. The tornado was on the ground for 22 minutes as it touched down 1 mile north of Hanover, IN, and lifted in Switzerland
Mar 14, 2:00 PM EDTHAIL 23 Ssw Wirt, IN
Mar 14, 2:05 PM EDTHAIL 1.51 Ene North Madison, IN
Mar 14, 2:08 PM EDTTORNADO 28 Wnw Prestonville, KYEF2 tornado with winds to 115 MPH confirmed in Carroll County KY and Switzerland County IN in the NWS Wilmington OH forecast area. This tornado also affected portions of Jefferson County IN and Trimble County KY in the NWS Louisville KY forecast area.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this tornado warning; the first came 10 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Mar 14, 10:49 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC5 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 5.8 hours before the alert went out and 157 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2024-03-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 20 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2024-03-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 114 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
20 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-147 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1277 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
114 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
135 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

977 
WFUS53 KLMK 141748
TORLMK
INC077-KYC223-141830-
/O.NEW.KLMK.TO.W.0003.240314T1748Z-240314T1830Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Louisville KY
148 PM EDT Thu Mar 14 2024

The National Weather Service in Louisville has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Central Jefferson County in south central Indiana...
  Northwestern Trimble County in central Kentucky...

* Until 230 PM EDT.
    
* At 147 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
  was located 10 miles northeast of Scottsburg, moving east at 45
  mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado and golf ball size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. 
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree 
           damage is likely.

* This dangerous storm will be near...
  Madison around 155 PM EDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Wakefield, Hanover, Canaan, Volga, North Madison, Kent, Manville,
Belleview, Madison Municipal Airport, and Ringwald.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

To report severe weather contact your nearest law enforcement agency.
They will send your report to the National Weather Service office in
Louisville.

&&

LAT...LON 3869 8520 3870 8522 3873 8525 3874 8529
      3874 8533 3869 8530 3872 8565 3873 8565
      3873 8566 3878 8568 3891 8520
TIME...MOT...LOC 1747Z 267DEG 39KT 3875 8560 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN

$$

RJS
6 follow-up statements
093 
WWUS53 KLMK 141755
SVSLMK

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
155 PM EDT Thu Mar 14 2024

INC077-KYC223-141830-
/O.CON.KLMK.TO.W.0003.000000T0000Z-240314T1830Z/
Jefferson IN-Trimble KY-
155 PM EDT Thu Mar 14 2024

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 PM EDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN JEFFERSON AND NORTHWESTERN TRIMBLE COUNTIES...
    
At 154 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was approaching Madison, moving east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and golf ball size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Madison around 200 PM EDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Hanover, Volga, North Madison, Kent, Ringwald, Manville, China,
Brooksburg, Smyrna, and Milton.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

If a tornado or other severe weather is spotted, report it to the
National Weather Service or your local nearest law enforcement agency
who will send your report. This act may save lives of others in the
path of dangerous weather.

&&

LAT...LON 3869 8520 3870 8522 3873 8525 3874 8529
      3874 8533 3869 8530 3872 8556 3877 8558
      3888 8520
TIME...MOT...LOC 1754Z 267DEG 44KT 3875 8550 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN

$$

RJS
364 
WWUS53 KLMK 141802
SVSLMK

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
202 PM EDT Thu Mar 14 2024

INC077-KYC223-141830-
/O.CON.KLMK.TO.W.0003.000000T0000Z-240314T1830Z/
Jefferson IN-Trimble KY-
202 PM EDT Thu Mar 14 2024

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 PM EDT FOR EAST
CENTRAL JEFFERSON AND NORTHWESTERN TRIMBLE COUNTIES...
    
At 201 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located over Madison, moving east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Madison around 205 PM EDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include North
Madison, Ringwald, Manville, Brooksburg, Milton, Madison Municipal
Airport, and Hanover.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

If a tornado or other severe weather is spotted, report it to the
National Weather Service or your local nearest law enforcement agency
who will send your report. This act may save lives of others in the
path of dangerous weather.

&&

LAT...LON 3869 8520 3870 8522 3873 8525 3874 8529
      3874 8533 3870 8531 3872 8548 3876 8549
      3886 8520
TIME...MOT...LOC 1801Z 267DEG 38KT 3875 8544 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

RJS
966 
WWUS53 KLMK 141804
SVSLMK

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
204 PM EDT Thu Mar 14 2024

INC077-KYC223-141830-
/O.CON.KLMK.TO.W.0003.000000T0000Z-240314T1830Z/
Jefferson IN-Trimble KY-
204 PM EDT Thu Mar 14 2024

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 PM EDT FOR EAST
CENTRAL JEFFERSON AND NORTH CENTRAL TRIMBLE COUNTIES...
    
At 204 PM EDT, a confirmed tornado was located over Madison, moving
east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado and golf ball size hail.

SOURCE...Emergency management confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
east central Jefferson and north central Trimble Counties, including
the following locations... Brooksburg, North Madison, Manville, and
Milton.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a
basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

If a tornado or other severe weather is spotted, report it to the
National Weather Service or your local nearest law enforcement agency
who will send your report. This act may save lives of others in the
path of dangerous weather.

&&

LAT...LON 3869 8520 3870 8522 3873 8525 3874 8529
      3874 8533 3870 8531 3871 8542 3876 8542
      3886 8520
TIME...MOT...LOC 1804Z 268DEG 40KT 3875 8538 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN

$$

RJS
178 
WWUS53 KLMK 141810
SVSLMK

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
210 PM EDT Thu Mar 14 2024

KYC223-141820-
/O.CAN.KLMK.TO.W.0003.000000T0000Z-240314T1830Z/
Trimble KY-
210 PM EDT Thu Mar 14 2024

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL TRIMBLE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out 
of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 400 PM EDT for
south central Indiana.

LAT...LON 3869 8520 3870 8522 3873 8525 3874 8529
      3874 8533 3875 8535 3881 8520
TIME...MOT...LOC 1810Z 270DEG 41KT 3874 8529 

$$

INC077-141830-
/O.CON.KLMK.TO.W.0003.000000T0000Z-240314T1830Z/
Jefferson IN-
210 PM EDT Thu Mar 14 2024

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 PM EDT FOR EAST
CENTRAL JEFFERSON COUNTY...
    
At 210 PM EDT, a confirmed tornado was located near Madison, moving
east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado and golf ball size hail.

SOURCE...Emergency management confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Brooksburg.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a
basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

If a tornado or other severe weather is spotted, report it to the
National Weather Service or your local nearest law enforcement agency
who will send your report. This act may save lives of others in the
path of dangerous weather.

&&

LAT...LON 3869 8520 3870 8522 3873 8525 3874 8529
      3874 8533 3875 8535 3881 8520
TIME...MOT...LOC 1810Z 270DEG 41KT 3874 8529 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN

$$

RJS
158 
WWUS53 KLMK 141817
SVSLMK

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
217 PM EDT Thu Mar 14 2024

INC077-141830-
/O.CON.KLMK.TO.W.0003.000000T0000Z-240314T1830Z/
Jefferson IN-
217 PM EDT Thu Mar 14 2024

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 PM EDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY...
    
At 216 PM EDT, a confirmed tornado was located near Carrollton,
moving east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado and golf ball size hail.

SOURCE...Emergency management confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Brooksburg.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a
basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

If a tornado or other severe weather is spotted, report it to the
National Weather Service or your local nearest law enforcement agency
who will send your report. This act may save lives of others in the
path of dangerous weather.

&&

LAT...LON 3869 8520 3870 8522 3873 8525 3875 8525
      3875 8520
TIME...MOT...LOC 1816Z 285DEG 39KT 3871 8522 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN

$$

RJS
411 
WWUS53 KLMK 141821
SVSLMK

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
221 PM EDT Thu Mar 14 2024

INC077-141831-
/O.EXP.KLMK.TO.W.0003.000000T0000Z-240314T1830Z/
Jefferson IN-
221 PM EDT Thu Mar 14 2024

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY WILL EXPIRE
AT 230 PM EDT...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
Louisville.

LAT...LON 3869 8520 3870 8522 3873 8525 3875 8525
      3875 8520
TIME...MOT...LOC 1821Z 267DEG 39KT 3871 8517 

$$

RJS

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Louisville, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Mar 14, 11:39 AM EDT, 2 hours 9 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • * Near-record high temps today. * There is a slight to marginal risk for severe storms this afternoon and tonight. Best chance for storms will be during the overnight hours. Potential impacts include damaging wind gusts and large hail while spin-up tornado cannot be ruled out. * Unseasonably cool Monday through Wednesday, with subfreezing temperatures possible each morning.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 14, 11:39 AM EDT, 2 hours 9 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Louisville KY
1139 AM EDT Thu Mar 14 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

* Near-record high temps today.

* There is a slight to marginal risk for severe storms this
  afternoon and tonight. Best chance for storms will be during
  the overnight hours. Potential impacts include damaging wind
  gusts and large hail while spin-up tornado cannot be ruled
  out.

* Unseasonably cool Monday through Wednesday, with subfreezing
  temperatures possible each morning.

&&

.MESOSCALE...
Issued at 1138 AM EDT Thu Mar 14 2024

SPC, in coordination with surrounding WFOs, has issued Severe
Thunderstorm Watch 41. This Severe Thunderstorm Watch includes our
northern most Indiana counties. A convective line of strong to
severe storms was located from north central IN stretching south-
southeast towards Terre Haute, IN and just west of Vincennes, IN
moving east-northeast around 60 to 65 mph. Main threats will be
large hail and damaging winds but a couple of brief spin-up tornadoes
are possible.

Instability looks to increase across central KY into southern IN
through the rest of the morning into the afternoon. SBCAPE is
forecast to increase to around 2000-2500 J/kg with modest shear.
Our overall severe threat remains condition on potential outflow
boundaries that could push further southward into our CWA to produce
additional convection. Model soundings along with current ACAR
soundings show a capping inversion this morning into the afternoon
but if we can get activity to fire all severe threat are on the
table this afternoon. The best combination of thermodynamic and
kinematic parameter remain to our north closest to the stationary
boundary located across northern IN but as the QLCS quickly
progresses across central IN, the southern portion of the line will
need to be monitored for more development southward.

Another wave of storms associated with an approaching cold front is
expected later tonight close to 03-04z through the overnight before
exiting the area in the pre-dawn areas. SPC has our area in a slight
risk for severe weather across all of southern IN and northern KY
then along and west of I-65. Main threat will be gusty winds and
some hail with a brief spin-up tornado.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 328 AM EDT Thu Mar 14 2024

Synopsis...A shortwave trough, currently ejecting from the Desert
Southwest upper low, will push the surface low pressure over the
central Plains towards the Midwest and Great Lakes today, allowing
rain and storm chances to increase over the lower Ohio Valley. As of
now, there are two distinct periods when strong to potentially
severe storms can impact the forecast area. The first one is this
afternoon as earlier upstream convection grows upscale driven by a
wind speed max moving across the moderately unstable warm sector.
The second period will be at or shortly after midnight related to
the actual frontal dynamics in an less unstable and dynamic
environment.

Model Confidence/Evaluation...The risk of strong to severe storms
this afternoon is still conditional and therefore low confidence.
Although the thermodynamic and kinematic parameters are indicative
of an elevated severe threat, convection-allowing models are not
completely sold on storm initiation over southern Indiana and
northern Kentucky, leaving most of the organized convection to the
north or west. The second wave of storms on Thursday night appears
to have higher confidence of occurrence but chances of severe risk
might end up being lower, although not zero, given nocturnal
stability and subsequent weakening signal of convection depicted in
the hi-res guidance. Overall, the highest probabilities of severe
weather (wind/hail/tornado) are focused over the western and
northern sections of the forecast area as supported by the CSU and
Nadocast output.

Today...Southerly winds in the broad warm sector of the central
Plains storm system will continue theta-e advection over the lower
Ohio Valley which coupled with mostly unblocked solar radiation in
the morning will account for quick instability buildup and possible
near-record values in the afternoon (especially if storms stay
north). Surface winds will gradually increase in the morning and
eventually become gusty in response to the incoming 40- to 45-knot
southwesterly low level jet. Overnight upstream convection has
started to congeal into several linear features while eastward. The
ongoing upscale growth will continue through the morning hours while
approaching the Middle Ohio Valley. As mentioned above, there is
much uncertainty in how far south the system will extend, but if it
does, it will tap into a moderately unstable and sufficiently
sheared environment capable of supporting deep, organized
convection. If this conditional threat realizes, then all severe
threats are on the table with an emphasis on isolated damaging winds
and large severe hail. Nonetheless, any cellular element might
quickly display rotating updrafts and an enhanced tornado risk based
on STP and SCP values. Lastly, the afternoon convection (independent
of where it occurs) will likely produce an strong convective outflow
that will serve as the focus of further redevelopment later in the
evening and tonight.

Tonight...Second wave of storms will arrive around midnight or
shortly after ahead of the weakening frontal boundary. Consensus of
CAM models, including several past runs of the GFDL SHIELD, have
been to focus storms along a couple of linear features: one oriented
west to east associated with earlier convective outflow and a second
one (potentially stronger) diving from western Kentucky to the
Tennessee Valley force by residual mid-level frontogenesis. Although
the environment will not be as supportive for convective
maintenance/development as earlier in the afternoon, sufficiently
strong cores plus cold pool dynamics amid a few hundreds of ML CAPE,
upper jet lifting, and decent deep-layer shear will support a
marginal risk of damaging winds and isolated, brief spin-up
tornadoes for virtually the whole event

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 328 AM EDT Thu Mar 14 2024

Active weather will continue into Friday as we begin the day with
the cold front near the Ohio River. The boundary will be laying out
almost parallel to the flow aloft, so expect its southward progress
to be slow. Better forcing and deep moisture will be focused more
across the Tennessee Valley by this point, so the severe threat
should have departed to the south. However, there is still just
enough lift along and ahead of the front to support scattered to
numerous showers through the day Friday, and even some embedded
thunder. Cloud cover, precip, and cold advection will limit temp
recovery on Friday and keep us in the 60s.

Dry weather for the weekend but we will transition to a much cooler
pattern as a deep, stacked low pressure system makes its way from
Lake Winnipeg on Friday afternoon to southern Quebec on Sunday,
carving out a broad eastern CONUS trof. Fast NNW flow over the
Plains on Sunday will allow unseasonably cold air to spill
southward, spreading into the Ohio Valley in earnest early next
week. Tuesday will be the coldest morning with sfc ridge axis draped
across Arkansas and Tennessee, and temps in the 20s for most of
Kentucky and southern Indiana. Subfreezing temperatures are likely
each morning Monday through Wednesday. Daytime temps will really
struggle on Monday with highs in the lower/mid 40s, a solid 10-15
degrees below normal. A gradual moderating trend will follow as we
go through the week.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 646 AM EDT Thu Mar 14 2024

Impacts/Confidence:
- High confidence in gusty SW winds of 20-25 knots today.
- Low confidence in storm chances this afternoon.
- Increasing confidence in MVFR/IFR conditions tonight with storms.

Discussion...Prevailing VFR conditions for most of the forecast
period except with heaviest showers and/or storms. Expect quiet
weather during the morning and part of the afternoon as a low
pressure system and cold front moves towards the Ohio Valley.
Strengthening of the low-level flow will promote gusty SW winds by
midmorning and through the afternoon. There is a conditional threat
of isolated, strong storms this afternoon, so additional adjustments
could be needed at HNB and SDF if it actually occurs. Better
coverage, and therefore confidence, exists with a second round of
storms tonight with MVFR/IFR visibilities as the main impact to all
terminals.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 329 PM EDT Wed Mar 13 2024

================== Potential Record Temperatures ==================

             Thursday 3/14/2024
          Max T Fcst/Record (Year)

Louisville:       78/82     (2012)

Bowling Green:    79/82     (2012)

Lexington:        77/81     (1973)

&&

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...None.
IN...None.

&&

MESOSCALE...BTN
SHORT TERM...ALL
LONG TERM...RAS
AVIATION...ALL
CLIMATE...DM/ALL
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 14, 11:08 AM EDT, 2 hours 40 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Louisville KY
1108 AM EDT Thu Mar 14 2024

INZ084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-070>078-081-082-
151515-
Crawford-Perry-Harrison IN-Floyd-Clark IN-Hancock-Breckinridge-Meade-
Ohio-Grayson-Hardin-Bullitt-Jefferson-Oldham-Trimble-Henry-Shelby-
Franklin-Scott KY-Harrison KY-Spencer-Anderson-Woodford-Fayette-
Bourbon-Nicholas-Nelson-Washington KY-Mercer-Jessamine-Clark KY-
Larue-Marion-Boyle-Garrard-Madison-Butler-Edmonson-Hart-Green-Taylor-
Casey-Lincoln-Logan-Warren-Simpson-Allen-Barren-Monroe-Metcalfe-
Adair-Russell-Cumberland-Clinton-
1108 AM EDT Thu Mar 14 2024 /1008 AM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Indiana, south central
Indiana, east central Kentucky, north central Kentucky, northwest
Kentucky and south central Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

A conditional threat of strong to severe storms exists mainly across
southern Indiana and northern Kentucky this afternoon. With an
isolated threat further south. If storms occur, all severe hazards
are possible.

A second wave of strong to severe storms is expected overnight as a
cold front approaches the area. Isolated damaging winds and isolated,
brief spin up tornadoes are the primary hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed.

GENERAL STORM MOTION OF THE DAY:

Storms will move east-northeast 55 to 65 mph

Any users of this storm motion must be aware that thunderstorm activity
can be erratic and constantly evolving.  Please use this with caution
and be prepared for changing conditions.

&&

More information, along with other weather, hydrological and
climate information can be found, at weather.gov/louisville.

INZ076>079-083-151515-
Orange-Washington IN-Scott IN-Jefferson IN-Dubois-
1108 AM EDT Thu Mar 14 2024

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 41 IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Indiana.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

A conditional threat of strong to severe storms exists in southern
Indiana and northern Kentucky this afternoon. If storms occur, all
severe hazards are possible.

A second wave of strong to severe storms is expected overnight as a
cold front approaches the area. Isolated damaging winds and isolated,
brief spin up tornadoes are the primary hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed.

GENERAL STORM MOTION OF THE DAY:

Storms will move east-northeast 55 to 65 mph

Any users of this storm motion must be aware that thunderstorm activity
can be erratic and constantly evolving.  Please use this with caution
and be prepared for changing conditions.

&&

More information, along with other weather, hydrological and
climate information can be found, at weather.gov/louisville.

BTN

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Mar 14, 12:31 PM EDT, 1 hour 17 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
1231 PM EDT Thu Mar 14 2024

INZ076-077-141700-
Orange IN-Washington IN-
1231 PM EDT Thu Mar 14 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHERN ORANGE AND NORTHWESTERN
WASHINGTON COUNTIES THROUGH 100 PM EDT...

At 1230 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles northwest of Paoli, moving east at 65 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Salem, Orleans, Orangeville, Campbellsburg, Saltillo, Kossuth,
Leipsic, Smedley, Bonds, and Claysville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional
information and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Louisville.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 400 PM EDT for
south central Indiana.

&&

LAT...LON 3871 8598 3862 8607 3859 8668 3869 8668
      3869 8631 3873 8631 3874 8629 3876 8628
      3877 8626 3876 8625 3878 8623 3877 8622
      3878 8621 3877 8621 3878 8618 3876 8613
      3878 8609
TIME...MOT...LOC 1630Z 262DEG 55KT 3866 8660

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

RJS
Special weather statement, Mar 14, 12:57 PM EDT, 51 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
1257 PM EDT Thu Mar 14 2024

INZ077-078-141730-
Washington IN-Scott IN-
1257 PM EDT Thu Mar 14 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SCOTT AND NORTHERN WASHINGTON
COUNTIES THROUGH 130 PM EDT...

At 1257 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles northwest of Salem, moving east at 55 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Scottsburg, Salem, Vienna, Austin, Campbellsburg, Little York,
Saltillo, Kossuth, Smedley, and Hitchcock.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 400 PM EDT for
south central Indiana.

&&

LAT...LON 3883 8571 3862 8568 3861 8628 3874 8630
      3877 8628 3878 8618 3876 8613 3878 8609
      3876 8603 3877 8598 3875 8598 3876 8596
      3876 8594 3875 8592 3875 8590 3873 8589
      3873 8587 3878 8580 3881 8579
TIME...MOT...LOC 1657Z 262DEG 49KT 3871 8620

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

RJS
Special weather statement, Mar 14, 1:29 PM EDT, 19 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
129 PM EDT Thu Mar 14 2024

INZ078-079-141800-
Jefferson IN-Scott IN-
129 PM EDT Thu Mar 14 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN JEFFERSON AND
NORTHWESTERN SCOTT COUNTIES THROUGH 200 PM EDT...

At 129 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Scottsburg, moving east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Madison, Austin, Smyrna, Kent, Dupont, Wakefield, Middlefork, Volga,
Deputy, and Madison Municipal Airport.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 400 PM EDT for
south central Indiana.

&&

LAT...LON 3874 8542 3873 8586 3878 8582 3878 8580
      3881 8579 3882 8574 3883 8573 3882 8572
      3883 8571 3882 8570 3882 8563 3883 8561
      3885 8561 3885 8557 3888 8557 3888 8554
      3890 8554 3891 8551 3891 8543
TIME...MOT...LOC 1729Z 260DEG 41KT 3876 8587

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

RJS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Louisville, KY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 14, 1:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKTrimble40 min
Mar 14, 4:15 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementLMKClark30 min
Mar 14, 12:31 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementLMKOrange29 min
Mar 14, 12:57 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementLMKScott33 min
Mar 14, 1:29 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementLMKJefferson31 min

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Kentucky, 2024Tornado Warnings in Indiana, 2024Every tornado warning in 2024Tornadoes in 2024

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.