Tornado Warning 29, NWS Louisville, KY

535 
WWUS53 KLMK 082353
SVSLMK

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
753 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

KYC217-090003-
/O.CAN.KLMK.TO.W.0029.000000T0000Z-240509T0015Z/
Taylor KY-
753 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TAYLOR COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out 
of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM EDT/900 PM CDT/ for
south central and central Kentucky.

&&

LAT...LON 3718 8527 3725 8519 3718 8493 3697 8510
TIME...MOT...LOC 2353Z 303DEG 31KT 3717 8518 

$$

KYC001-045-207-090015-
/O.CON.KLMK.TO.W.0029.000000T0000Z-240509T0015Z/
Russell KY-Casey KY-Adair KY-
753 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM EDT/715 PM CDT/
FOR NORTH CENTRAL RUSSELL...SOUTH CENTRAL CASEY AND NORTHEASTERN
ADAIR COUNTIES...

At 753 PM EDT/653 PM CDT/, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing
a tornado was located 8 miles northeast of Columbia, moving southeast
at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Jamestown, Russell Springs, Knifley, Sycamore Flat, Christine,
Jericho, Absher, Pellyton, Teddy, and Webbs Cross Roads.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3718 8527 3725 8519 3718 8493 3697 8510
TIME...MOT...LOC 2353Z 303DEG 31KT 3717 8518 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

Padgett

551 
WWUS53 KLMK 090001
SVSLMK

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
801 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

KYC001-045-207-090011-
/O.CAN.KLMK.TO.W.0029.000000T0000Z-240509T0015Z/
Russell KY-Casey KY-Adair KY-
801 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL RUSSELL...SOUTH CENTRAL
CASEY AND NORTHEASTERN ADAIR COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer appears capable of producing a tornado.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM EDT/900 PM CDT/ for
south central and central Kentucky.

&&

LAT...LON 3718 8527 3725 8519 3718 8493 3697 8510
TIME...MOT...LOC 2359Z 303DEG 31KT 3713 8511 

$$

Padgett

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Louisville KY
651 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

*   Scattered severe storms possible this evening. All severe
    hazards will be possible.

*   Flooding concerns increasing for southern and central Kentucky.
    A Flood Watch is in effect through Thursday morning.

*   Below normal temperatures return by Friday and persist into the
    weekend.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 650 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

Strong convection has moved into the region from the southwest along
a warm front situated over western Kentucky and central Tennessee.
Instability over the BWG area is around 3000 J/kg of SBCAPE and
decreases quickly to the northwest. Therefore, storms are weakening
as they move to the northwest and away from the best forcing and
instability. Have decided to add in Casey, Lincoln, Marion, and
Boyle counties into the tornado watch. As storms travel over these
counties they have been maintaining healthy structure, although not
as strong as other storms to the southwest.

Hodographs above about 1km show nearly unidirectional winds which is
supporting splitting cells. Left moving splits are showing higher
hail potential with some reports of golf ball sized hail. Right
moving splits have a higher potential for tornadoes. The right
movers so far have been impacted by merging cells, have larger hail
content, and have not developed strong circulations. If a storm does
veer to the right, it will have the potential to ingest better low-
level SRH values (which are currently around 200-250 m2/s2).

The greatest threat for severe storms will be to the south of a line
extending from Hardinsburg through Bardstown.

Flooding and flash flooding is a threat through the overnight hours
given individual cells leading to downpours and multiple cells
entraining over an area. With sunset occurring in the next few
hours, travelers are advised to use caution. Flooding at night is
very difficult to see.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 337 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

=====================
This afternoon and evening
=====================

A MCV is located near St. Louis this afternoon, evolving slowly
eastward. An effective warm front/remnant outflow boundary extends
SE through portions of western and southern KY, with sfc dewpoints
near 70 F along and south of the boundary. Scattered thunderstorms
have developed in south-central KY along the boundary and associated
instability gradient. Portions of south-central KY have been the
slowest to destabilize in the wake of morning convection and cloud
debris. Sfc temperatures are only now warming into the lower 70s at
BWG, with mid/upper 70s to near 80 noted across southern IN and the
northern half of KY. Likely still have a shallow low-level inversion
present across south-central KY, where ongoing impressive
supercellular storms could be elevated. However, this is also along
a boundary/instability gradient which continues to drift northeast
with time. A long, straight hodograph above 1 km is also supporting
splitting supercells which we have already seen with a left-mover
tracking northeast through Ohio County and a right-mover now moving
east across Warren County. Storms that move further to the right (E,
ESE) will realize greater low-level SRH and have a better chance of
producing a tornado.

A Tornado Watch has been issued for portions of central and southern
KY where the near-term tornado risk is highest - roughly southwest
of a line from Brandenburg to Campbellsville. Further north and
northeast, low-level winds are notably weaker and the tornado risk
is lower.

The scattered storm activity ongoing now is expected to continue to
drift east and northeast with time, while increasing in coverage
this evening. So while severe weather is still very much possible
further north, such as along the I-64 corridor, the window for
storms and severe weather is shorter. The most likely time frame for
severe weather is now (3-4 PM) through Midnight. But areas further
northeast, such as from Louisville to Lexington, have the best
chance at seeing a severe storm from 5-11 PM EDT.

Given the destabilizing airmass (1000-2000+ J/kg MLCAPE) and very
strong effective deep layer shear (50-60 kt), supercellular storm
modes are likely well into the evening hours. Increasingly larger
clusters and perhaps bowing segments will be possible beyond 8 PM.
All severe hazards remain possible through the evening hours, with
the highest risk in the Tornado Watch area (this includes large
hail, damaging winds of 70+ mph, and tornadoes.

A Flood Watch also remains in effect for much of the area. Again,
the highest risk for flash flooding is concentrated across the
southwestern half of the CWA where the greatest thunderstorm
coverage is anticipated. Will need to watch closely for any training
along the boundary as it slowly lifts northeast. PW values are also
highest, exceeding 1.5 inches, along the lingering boundary. 1-3
inches of rain will be possible, with the highest amounts across
south-central KY. Localized higher totals of 3+ inches cannot be
ruled out across south-central KY.

=====================
Tonight and tomorrow
=====================

A final band of showers and storms will likely push southeast across
the region late this evening into tonight ahead of the cold front.
Confidence in severe weather after Midnight is much lower, but
localized damaging winds cannot be ruled out. Waning instability
will help to limit the wind threat at ground level. This activity
will likely weaken with time as it exits from NW to SE by the early
morning hours. Thursday looks drier with morning lows in the 60s and
afternoon highs near 80 F.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 337 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

By Thursday evening, the cold front responsible for recent inclement
weather will be off to our east along with most, if not all,
convective activity. Aloft, a positively tilted longwave trough will
extend from the NE US to an upper low positioned over the Four
Corners region of the SW CONUS. Embedded shortwave energy will
propagate through the longwave pattern into the OH Valley during the
day Friday, coupled with wrap-around moisture from the departing
surface low, and resulting in lingering precip chances. GFS
soundings suggest fog/stratus potential Friday morning; furthermore,
12Z NAM3k and HRRR soundings also show a saturated layer from just
above the surface to around 800/750mb, indicative of the possibility
of drizzle across southern Indiana and north central KY until late
Friday morning.

With the upper trough positioned over the OH Valley, temperatures
through the weekend will be several degrees below normal, resulting
in more of a Springtime feel: looking for daily highs in the upper
60s to low 70s through the weekend. Another shortwave will makes its
way through OH Valley Saturday, bringing another chance of light
showers as well as tightening the pressure gradient enough to
produce some breezy conditions, with gusts expected in the 20-25 mph
range Saturday afternoon. Low level ridging will simultaneously
begin building into our region Saturday, which would suggest dry
conditions for Sunday.

Low amplitude upper level ridging will pass overhead to start the
workweek, as the low level high center passes to our east. This
leaves our region on the dirty side of the high with return flow and
an uptick in low level moisture. Rain and storm chances return as
early as Monday evening through Mid week. Not expecting a washout,
but long range models' low temporal resolution have yet to resolve
finer details. It's worth repeating though that CIPS/CSU/SPC severe
comparisons show no signs of severe weather during this timeframe.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 149 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

Scattered TSRA developing this afternoon along an outflow boundary
extending from southern IL and western KY southeast along the KY/TN
border. This boundary will slowly drift northeast with time, making
for a complicated forecast for BWG this evening. Thunderstorms will
likely impact that terminal at times, lowering both ceilings and
visibilities significantly for relatively short periods of time.

Additional SCT TSRA possible later this evening, especially after
21Z, for the I-64 corridor from HNB east. But areas further
northeast, such as LEX, will see a bit less activity/shorter
duration of TSRA before activity clears us to the south by 03-06Z
Thu.

For this evening, any thunderstorms in the vicinity of any of our
terminals could become severe quickly and pose a risk for large
hail, damaging winds, and torrential rainfall.

&&

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...Flood Watch through Thursday morning for KYZ023>043-045>049-
     053>057-061>067-070>078-081-082.
IN...Flood Watch through Thursday morning for INZ077>079-084-
     089>092.

&&

UPDATE...SRM
SHORT TERM...EBW
LONG TERM...CRG
AVIATION...EBW

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Louisville KY
648 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

INZ077>079-084-090>092-KYZ029>043-045>049-056-057-092300-
Washington IN-Scott IN-Jefferson IN-Crawford-Harrison IN-Floyd-
Clark IN-Bullitt-Jefferson-Oldham-Trimble-Henry-Shelby-Franklin-
Scott KY-Harrison KY-Spencer-Anderson-Woodford-Fayette-Bourbon-
Nicholas-Nelson-Washington KY-Mercer-Jessamine-Clark KY-Garrard-
Madison-
648 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Indiana, south central
Indiana, east central Kentucky and north central Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/louisville on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

Scattered severe storms will be possible this evening. Damaging
straight line winds, large hail, and tornadoes will be possible with
severe storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/louisville on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed.

GENERAL STORM MOTION OF THE DAY:

Storms will move E/NE at 35 to 45 mph.

Any users of this storm motion must be aware that thunderstorm activity
can be erratic and constantly evolving.  Please use this with caution
and be prepared for changing conditions.

&&

More information, along with other weather, hydrological and
climate information can be found, at weather.gov/louisville.

INZ076-083-092300-
Orange-Dubois-
648 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Indiana.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Scattered severe storms will be possible this evening. Damaging
straight line winds, large hail, and tornadoes will be possible with
severe storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed.

GENERAL STORM MOTION OF THE DAY:

Storms will move E/NE at 35 to 45 mph.

Any users of this storm motion must be aware that thunderstorm activity
can be erratic and constantly evolving.  Please use this with caution
and be prepared for changing conditions.

&&

More information, along with other weather, hydrological and
climate information can be found, at weather.gov/louisville.

INZ089-KYZ023>028-053>055-061>067-070>078-081-082-092300-
Perry-Hancock-Breckinridge-Meade-Ohio-Grayson-Hardin-Larue-Marion-
Boyle-Butler-Edmonson-Hart-Green-Taylor-Casey-Lincoln-Logan-Warren-
Simpson-Allen-Barren-Monroe-Metcalfe-Adair-Russell-Cumberland-
Clinton-
648 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024 /548 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024/

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...
...TORNADO WATCH 206 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT /9 PM CDT/ THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Indiana, east central
Kentucky, north central Kentucky, northwest Kentucky and south
central Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/louisville on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   Tornado Watch.

Scattered severe storms will be possible this evening. Damaging
straight line winds, large hail, and tornadoes will be possible with
severe storms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/louisville on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

GENERAL STORM MOTION OF THE DAY:

Storms will move E/NE at 35 to 45 mph.

Any users of this storm motion must be aware that thunderstorm activity
can be erratic and constantly evolving.  Please use this with caution
and be prepared for changing conditions.

&&

More information, along with other weather, hydrological and
climate information can be found, at weather.gov/louisville.

SRM

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Louisville KY
618 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0615 PM     Hail             4 N Black Gnat          37.36N 85.46W
05/08/2024  E0.70 Inch       Taylor             KY   Emergency Mngr

            Dime size hail and 45 mph at Bengal.

&&

KF

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Louisville KY
634 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0620 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     5 W Saloma              37.40N 85.48W
05/08/2024                   Taylor             KY   Emergency Mngr

            Tree and Powerline down across KY highway
            210.

&&

KF

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
646 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

KYZ028-053-063-082315-
Hart KY-Larue KY-Hardin KY-
646 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHERN LARUE...NORTHERN HART
AND SOUTH CENTRAL HARDIN COUNTIES THROUGH 715 PM EDT/615 PM CDT/...

At 646 PM EDT/546 PM CDT/, Doppler radar was tracking a strong
thunderstorm 11 miles north of Munfordville, moving east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Upton, Sonora, Bonnieville, Boundary Oak, Seven Corners, Wabash,
Lines Mill, Flint Hill, Vento, and Linwood.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM EDT/900 PM CDT/ for
central Kentucky.

&&

LAT...LON 3735 8605 3739 8605 3740 8602 3741 8604
      3742 8603 3743 8604 3753 8603 3753 8549
      3749 8547 3747 8548 3748 8550 3745 8553
      3747 8563 3745 8564 3744 8566 3739 8565
      3735 8569 3730 8570 3729 8569 3730 8572
TIME...MOT...LOC 2246Z 274DEG 33KT 3744 8595

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

RAS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
652 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

KYZ066-067-082330-
Lincoln KY-Casey KY-
652 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL LINCOLN AND CENTRAL
CASEY COUNTIES THROUGH 730 PM EDT...

At 652 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm
northwest of Liberty, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Liberty, Crab Orchard, Hustonville, Peytons Store, Lawhorn Hill,
Ottenheim, Broughtentown, Walltown, Geneva, and Jacktown.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM EDT for central
Kentucky.

&&

LAT...LON 3735 8449 3733 8450 3735 8456 3724 8472
      3729 8505 3747 8503 3747 8448
TIME...MOT...LOC 2252Z 274DEG 32KT 3737 8494

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

RAS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
557 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024

KYZ075-077-078-081-082-082330-
Russell KY-Monroe KY-Cumberland KY-Adair KY-Clinton KY-
557 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN CLINTON...EASTERN
MONROE...SOUTHWESTERN RUSSELL...CUMBERLAND AND SOUTH CENTRAL ADAIR
COUNTIES THROUGH 630 PM CDT...

At 557 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles west of Burkesville, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Albany, Burkesville, Leslie, Littrell, Desda, Meshack, Snow, Cundiff,
Ida, and Modoc.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for south central
Kentucky.

&&

LAT...LON 3666 8559 3683 8562 3683 8560 3682 8560
      3682 8558 3684 8558 3686 8559 3686 8557
      3685 8556 3687 8551 3689 8547 3691 8547
      3702 8523 3671 8512
TIME...MOT...LOC 2257Z 248DEG 27KT 3683 8552

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Padgett

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Louisville KY
633 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024

KYZ078-082-090000-
Russell KY-Clinton KY-
633 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL CLINTON AND SOUTHERN
RUSSELL COUNTIES THROUGH 700 PM CDT...

At 633 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles northeast of Burkesville, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Albany, Jamestown, Desda, Cartwright, Snow, Ida, Karlus, Seventy Six,
Decide, and Aaron.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for south central
Kentucky.

&&

LAT...LON 3669 8525 3673 8525 3685 8522 3686 8524
      3688 8525 3690 8527 3705 8490 3701 8486
      3700 8484 3695 8491 3696 8493 3696 8495
      3692 8496 3686 8506 3683 8506 3680 8502
      3675 8501
TIME...MOT...LOC 2333Z 253DEG 32KT 3685 8520

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Padgett