Tornado Warning 57, NWS Lake Charles, LA

579 
WWUS54 KLCH 081723
SVSLCH

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
1223 PM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024

TXC241-351-081730-
/O.CON.KLCH.TO.W.0057.000000T0000Z-240708T1730Z/
Newton TX-Jasper TX-
1223 PM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1230 PM CDT FOR WEST
CENTRAL NEWTON AND NORTHEASTERN JASPER COUNTIES...

At 1223 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Roganville, or near Jasper, moving north at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Jasper around 1230 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile
home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and
protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3081 9385 3079 9395 3099 9399 3099 9383
TIME...MOT...LOC 1723Z 173DEG 44KT 3086 9392 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN

$$

Calhoun

950 
WWUS54 KLCH 081730
SVSLCH

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
1230 PM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024

TXC241-351-081740-
/O.EXP.KLCH.TO.W.0057.000000T0000Z-240708T1730Z/
Newton TX-Jasper TX-
1230 PM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR WEST CENTRAL NEWTON AND NORTHEASTERN
JASPER COUNTIES HAS EXPIRED...

The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer appears capable of producing a tornado.
Therefore, the warning has been allowed to expire.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for southeastern
Texas.

&&

LAT...LON 3081 9385 3079 9395 3099 9399 3099 9383
TIME...MOT...LOC 1730Z 173DEG 44KT 3094 9393 

$$

Calhoun

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
1035 AM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024

...New UPDATE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1035 AM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024

TC Beryl was downgraded to a high end tropical storm as of the 10
AM advisory...regional 88Ds show the center of the system west of
Houston at this time. KBPT has gusted to 53 knots while KORG has
gusted 35 knots...thus no changes were made to inherited TS
Warning. Outer rain bands continue streaming over mainly our TX
zones this morning...expect these to expand ewd, along with
additional more diurnally-driven convection, through the course of
the afternoon. The tornado threat associated with the storm will
also continue as Beryl inches nwd...and a new tornado watch was
issued for the wrn 1/2 of the forecast area through 22L/03z to
account. All associated public products have been issued for these
hazards, including the going Flood Watch.

Otherwise no changes to inherited grids/zones.
25

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Wednesday night)
Issued at 502 AM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024

Persistent showers and storms will continue as Beryls bands move
across the area. 24h radar estimated rainfall maximums are in the
3- 5 inch range, with those higher totals in southern Jefferson Co
and Cameron Par. Forecast PWATs today are well over the 90th
percentile, with some near their daily max.

As of 4AM, Beryl made landfall near Matagorda as a category 1
hurricane with sustained wind speeds near 80 MPH. It will continue
to weaken as it moves inland, however we will still have impacts in
our area. Specifically focusing on "inland" impacts, we currently
have a Storm Surge Warning and Tropical Storm Warning in effect
for Lower Jefferson and a Tropical Storm Warning in effect for
Hardin, Tyler, and Upper Jefferson. Then we have a Coastal Flood
Warning in effect for Cameron and a Coastal Flood Advisory for
Southern Orange, Southern Calcasieu, Lower Vermilion, Lower Iberia
and Lower St. Mary. There is a Flood Watch in effect for all of
our SETX Counties. Lastly, as the environment is conducive for
tornadoes, we do have a Tornado Watch in effect for Hardin and
Jefferson.

Additional rainfall amounts over the next 3 days will be in the
2-4 inch range, however for SETX most of that is expected today
with trace amounts days 2&3. Then for parts of coastal LA, those
higher totals are expected over today and tomorrow. It is
certainly worth noting that locally higher amounts will be
possible. As a result, today parts of SETX are in a Moderate Risk
for excessive rainfall with a Slight to Marginal Risk area east of
there. Tomorrow Beryl will be over the ArkLaTx with bands
expected to set up / train along coastal Louisiana. We are
highlighted in a day 2 Slight Risk ERO as a result.

Thanks to rain and overcast skies, highs today will be much cooler
in the low to mid 80s across SETX and parts of west central to
southwestern Louisiana. Unfortunately they will be a bit warmer in
the lower 90s across parts of central to south central Louisiana.
With that and higher dewpoints, it would not be out of the realm of
possibility to see near or above Heat Advisory criteria.

Even with Beryl moving off as an extratropical low going into the
latter half of the period, some moisture will still stick around.
As a result, the area can look forward to showers and storms
mainly in the afternoon to evening timeframe.

Tomorrow and Wednesday temps will be in the low to mid 90s across
the entire area with lows in the 70s. A weak frontal boundary
will help in limiting higher dewpoints during that time, with no
heat hazards expected.

Stigger/87

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Monday)
Issued at 502 AM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024

A weakness will persist over the region south of a midlevel
trough extending from the central CONUS into the Great Lakes. The
trough will gradually lift northeast by the weekend, with ridging
over the SE coast building west across the Gulf coast. Shower and
thunderstorm chances will be mainly diurnally driven through the
period, with greater coverage expected Thursday and Friday before
becoming more scattered by the weekend. PWATs, while still
somewhat elevated, are not expected to be as extreme as they were
prior to and during Beryl's landfall. Still, with values hovering
between roughly 1.7 and 2.1 inches, locally heavy rainfall and
flooding will be possible in some locations.

High temperatures along and south of I-10 will be near 90 or into
the lower 90s Thursday and Friday when shower coverage is expected
to be higher. Further north, highs are expected to reach the middle
90s. By the weekend and into early next week, daytime temperatures
will gradually increase as ridging aloft builds, with highs reaching
the middle to upper 90s. A return to Heat Advisory headlines could
be in the works by Sunday and Monday as maximum heat index readings
are forecast to reach 108 to 112 degrees in a few locations.

24

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 647 AM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024

Beryl has made landfall and is moving north through TX. Persistent
showers and storms will continue as Beryls bands move across the
area, with higher rain chances across SETX and western Louisiana.
Outside of showers to some intermittent downpours, strong winds
and gusts will be possible.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 502 AM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024

Beryl has officially made landfall this morning. Tropical storm
conditions are expected today over Sabine Lake and Sabine Pass,
Texas and adjacent coastal waters westward, with Small Craft
Advisories further east. As Beryl moves further inland, winds and
seas will gradually subside going into tomorrow.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  91  74  91  70 /  50  70  40  10
LCH  87  76  90  75 /  90  70  60  30
LFT  93  79  92  77 /  50  60  80  30
BPT  86  74  92  74 / 100  60  50  30

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...Coastal Flood Warning until 1 PM CDT Tuesday for LAZ073-074.

     Coastal Flood Advisory until 1 PM CDT Tuesday for LAZ241-252>254.

TX...Tropical Storm Warning for TXZ180-201-515-615.

     Coastal Flood Advisory until 1 PM CDT Tuesday for TXZ616.

     Flood Watch through Tuesday morning for TXZ180-201-259>262-515-
     516-615-616.

GM...Tropical Storm Warning for GMZ430-450-470.

     Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM CDT Tuesday for GMZ432-452-455-
     472-475.

&&

SHORT TERM...87
LONG TERM....24
AVIATION...87

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
1031 AM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0935 AM     Non-Tstm Wnd Gst 4 WNW Sea Rim State Par 29.71N 94.12W
07/08/2024  M57 MPH          Jefferson          TX   Mesonet

            Mesonet station FADT2 Mcfaddin.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
1032 AM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0506 AM     Non-Tstm Wnd Gst 3 SW Cameron            29.77N 93.34W
07/08/2024  M45 MPH          GMZ432             LA   Buoy

            Buoy station CAPL1 Calcasieu Pass, LA.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
1133 AM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1107 AM     Tornado          2 SW Jasper             30.90N 94.02W
07/08/2024                   Jasper             TX   Emergency Mngr

            Emergency manager reports damage to
            condominiums/apartments in west Jasper.
            Search and rescue ongoing. Time estimated by
            radar.

&&

MC/AS

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
1137 AM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1107 AM     Tornado          1 SW Jasper             30.91N 94.01W
07/08/2024                   Jasper             TX   Public

            Jasper County, TX Emergency Management
            Director relayed to the NWS that a tornado
            struck the city of Jasper. A condo building
            took a direct hit. A tornado debris
            signature was evident on radar.

&&

Cramer

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
1142 AM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0900 AM     Storm Surge      4 SE Sabine Pass        29.69N 93.84W
07/08/2024                   Jefferson          TX   C-Man Station

            3.1 MHHW measured.

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
1145 AM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1000 AM     Storm Surge      2 S Port Arthur         29.87N 93.93W
07/08/2024                   Jefferson          TX   C-Man Station

            2.73 MHHW.

&&