Tornado Warning 13, NWS Jackson, KY

830 
WWUS53 KJKL 270652
SVSJKL

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
252 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024

KYC121-235-270701-
/O.CAN.KJKL.TO.W.0013.000000T0000Z-240527T0700Z/
Knox KY-Whitley KY-
252 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL KNOX AND SOUTHEASTERN
WHITLEY COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out 
of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 AM EDT for south central
and southeastern Kentucky.

&&

LAT...LON 3659 8393 3660 8392 3665 8395 3668 8388
      3671 8387 3671 8385 3672 8383 3674 8383
      3676 8380 3682 8357 3666 8353 3666 8354
      3662 8364 3658 8369
TIME...MOT...LOC 0651Z 259DEG 30KT 3664 8388 

$$

KYC013-270700-
/O.CON.KJKL.TO.W.0013.000000T0000Z-240527T0700Z/
Bell KY-
252 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM EDT FOR BELL
COUNTY...

At 251 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located over Chenoa, or 8 miles west of Middlesboro, moving east
at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Chenoa around 255 AM EDT.
  Noetown around 300 AM EDT.

Other locations in the path of this tornadic thunderstorm include
Middlesboro and East Pineville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3659 8393 3660 8392 3665 8395 3668 8388
      3671 8387 3671 8385 3672 8383 3674 8383
      3676 8380 3682 8357 3666 8353 3666 8354
      3662 8364 3658 8369
TIME...MOT...LOC 0651Z 259DEG 30KT 3664 8388 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

CH

587 
WWUS53 KJKL 270659
SVSJKL

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
259 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024

KYC013-270709-
/O.EXP.KJKL.TO.W.0013.000000T0000Z-240527T0700Z/
Bell KY-
259 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR BELL COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT 300 AM EDT...

The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer appears capable of producing a tornado.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 AM EDT for south central
and southeastern Kentucky.

&&

LAT...LON 3659 8393 3660 8392 3665 8395 3668 8388
      3671 8387 3671 8385 3672 8383 3674 8383
      3676 8380 3682 8357 3666 8353 3666 8354
      3662 8364 3658 8369
TIME...MOT...LOC 0659Z 259DEG 30KT 3665 8380 

$$

CH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson KY
150 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- One last round of severe thunderstorms are moving through
  overnight, with damaging winds isolated tornadoes being the main
  threats.

- Locally heavy rainfall could lead to isolated flash flooding
  tonight, particularly in the Lake Cumberland region.

- Generally cooler and less humid weather will arrive over the
  next several days. Warmer and somewhat more humid weather is
  forecast to make a comeback next weekend, with our next area
  wide chance of showers and thunderstorms.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 130 AM EDT MON MAY 27 2024

The expected thunderstorm line is quickly moving into eastern
Kentucky with the strongest storms in the southern parts of the
line. Other locations will need to be watched closely for severe
or tor potential at the storm scale. With this very minor update
just tweaked the leading edge of the squall line in the forecast
PoP grids along with adding in the current obs and trends for the
T/Td/Sky ones. These tiny adjustments have been sent to the NDFD
and web servers.

UPDATE Issued at 1155 PM EDT SUN MAY 26 2024

Looks like the last round of severe weather is on the way as a
large MCS continues to grow to the west with its leading edge
accelerating toward eastern Kentucky. The kinematics and fuel will
be in place to sustain the severe threat well into the night with
expectations for a QLCS squall line to blow through between 1 and
5 AM. There will continue to be a threat for tornadoes from any
discrete cells ahead of the main line while quick hitting spin-up
tornadoes will be possible along the line while damaging wind gust
spread through the CWA - perhaps weakening as they approach the
easternmost parts. For this reason, in conjunction with SPC, a
tornado watch is in effect for the entire area through 6 am. The
flood threat remains heightened for the Lake Cumberland area of
eastern Kentucky thanks also to earlier rains. A flood watch
continues there while more localized flooding remains a concern
elsewhere depending on training and cell mergers during the
overnight event. The forecast has been updated for these threats
with the PoPs, QPF, and thunder adjusted per the latest radar and
CAMs trends. Did also add in the current obs and tendencies for
the T/Td/Sky grids. These adjustments have been sent to the NDFD
and web servers along with a freshening of the zones, HWO, SAFs,
and Flood Watch.

UPDATE Issued at 745 PM EDT SUN MAY 26 2024

23Z sfc analysis shows a meso high associated with the earlier
storms and their cold pool just east of Kentucky now and this is
creating a fairly tight pressure gradient through the area as low
pressure is approaching from the west. This gradient is also
allowing a steady flow of charged air to move back into eastern
Kentucky from the southwest. This is expected to help sustain and
fuel the next round of severe weather around or just after
midnight moving in from west to east. Currently, temperatures are
running in the mid to upper 60s most places with low 70s noted
north and still rain cooled low 60s in the far east. Meanwhile,
amid those southerly winds of 10 mph - with higher gusts,
dewpoints are rebounding and climbing back into the mid and upper
60s in the southwest parts of the JKL CWA - and still coming up
from the low 60s in the northeast. Have updated the forecast to
cover the pcpn lull this evening and its resurgence leading into
the ramp up after midnight from the next round of storms per the
latest CAMs trends. Did also include the current obs and
tendencies for the T/Td/Sky grids with this update. These
adjustments have been sent to the NDFD and web servers.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday night)
Issued at 629 PM EDT SUN MAY 26 2024

Our daytime round of convection is departing to the southeast,
with mainly stratiform rain and a bit of rumbling remaining in
southeast KY. However, more active wx is on the way. A strong
surface low is passing northeast over the upper Midwest, with a
cold front stretching south southwestward. Aloft, flow is brisk
with a shortwave trough approaching from the west. Although
substantive heating is finished for the day, advection of mild,
moist air northward ahead of the front will provide instability.
ML CAPE is expected to be in the 1500-2000 J/KG range late
tonight. Another MCS is expected to travel southeast through the
region late tonight and tap into the instability. The system
will emanate from the storms currently underway over MO. A linear
system is expected by the time the storms get here, which will
present wind as a primary threat. However, very favorable shear
(directional and speed) is shown in forecast soundings, and this
would also present an increased risk of embedded QLCS tornadoes.
With a Flood Watch already in place until Monday morning, wet
ground from today's rain, and more thunderstorms on the way, will
leave it in place. However, if tonight's storms are progressive (as
it looks like they may be) the threat will be somewhat lessened.

The system will be exiting southeast early Monday morning, taking
our severe wx threat with it. A meaningful change in surface air
mass will be gradual, and a few more showers or thunderstorms
can't be ruled out during the day. However, instability will be
weaker and air aloft will be extremely dry. Significant convection
is not expected to regenerate. Any precip should be gone by late
Monday evening, with fair wx overnight as drier low level air
continues to make its way in.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 657 PM EDT SUN MAY 26 2024

Upper level longwave troughing will dominate the eastern CONUS
through most of the upcoming week, providing cooler and less humid
weather. Multiple shortwave troughs will rotate through the
larger trough during this time. As one of these passes by, there
is a potential for a few showers/thunderstorms to POP up as far
southwest as the JKL forecast area on Wednesday afternoon, but the
POP remains low.

The main upper level trough is expected to shift eastward during
the weekend, and transient ridging should pass over us from west
to east while surface high pressure also departs to the east. A
return of southerly winds, warming temperatures aloft, and at
least partial sun on Saturday will bring a warm-up. By Sunday a
shortwave trough impinges on the departing ridge and could find
enough moisture returned to the area to bring showers and
thunderstorms.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Monday night)
ISSUED AT 150 AM EDT MON MAY 27 2024

The main aviation concern during the TAF window is upon us as
another period of thunderstorms with strong gusty winds are now
moving into the area. Still see a two to three hour window for the
line of storms to move in from the west through 09Z for most
places. Went with a tempo to IFR or lower and gusts to 40 kts to
cover this threat. Some storms may linger in the area through the
day on Monday, but much more widely scattered, so did keep some
VCTS around into Monday afternoon. Most places will see clearing
late in the day. Winds will be southerly at 10 kts or less until
the storms move through with significantly high gusts possible.
Then look for winds to become more southwesterly to west at 10 to
15 knots along with higher gusts later Monday morning and into
the afternoon. Currently some LLWS has developed from the
southwest at near 40 kts - clearing out by dawn.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch until 8 AM EDT this morning for KYZ079-083-084.

&&

UPDATE...GREIF
SHORT TERM...HAL
LONG TERM...HAL
AVIATION...GREIF

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson KY
1115 PM EDT Sun May 26 2024

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-080-085>088-104-106>120-280315-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Rockcastle-
Jackson-Laurel-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-
Magoffin-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-
Martin-Pike-
1115 PM EDT Sun May 26 2024

...TORNADO WATCH 327 IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a portion of eastern Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Thunderstorms are expected at times through tonight. Some of the
thunderstorms could become strong to severe, with damaging wind gusts
and a few tornadoes as the main threats. There will also be a risk
of localized flash flooding in locations where thunderstorms tend to
redevelop and persist over the same place.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Thunderstorms are possible Monday into Monday evening, Wednesday
afternoon over extreme eastern and northeastern Kentucky, and area
wide again on Saturday afternoon.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are asked to send in any reports of severe weather or
flooding through tonight.

KYZ079-083-084-280315-
Pulaski-Wayne-McCreary-
1115 PM EDT Sun May 26 2024

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT MONDAY...
...TORNADO WATCH 327 IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a portion of eastern Kentucky.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Thunderstorms are expected at times through tonight. Some of the
thunderstorms could become strong to severe, with damaging wind gusts
and a few tornadoes as the main threats. There will also be a risk
of flash flooding in locations where thunderstorms tend to redevelop
and persist over the same place.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Thunderstorms are possible Monday into Monday evening, and again on
Saturday afternoon.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are asked to send in any reports of severe weather or
flooding through tonight.

HAL/GREIF

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Jackson KY
1231 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0333 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     Ashcamp                 37.27N 82.43W
05/26/2024                   Pike               KY   911 Call Center

            Corrects previous tstm wnd dmg report from
            Ashcamp. Trees were reported to have been
            blown down. The event time is radar
            estimated.

&&

JP

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
113 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024

KYZ050-058>060-068-069-079-080-108-111-114-116-270600-
Jackson KY-Montgomery KY-Menifee KY-Lee KY-Clay KY-Estill KY-
Owsley KY-Rockcastle KY-Powell KY-Wolfe KY-Laurel KY-Pulaski KY-
113 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT POWELL...NORTHERN LAUREL...
SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY...NORTHWESTERN OWSLEY...ESTILL...NORTHERN
PULASKI...JACKSON...ROCKCASTLE...SOUTHERN MENIFEE...LEE...
NORTHWESTERN WOLFE AND NORTHWESTERN CLAY COUNTIES THROUGH 200 AM
EDT...

At 113 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 7 miles north of Richmond to 7 miles northwest
of Conway to 6 miles northwest of Gum Sulphur to near Science Hill.
Movement was east at 60 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Stanton, Irvine, Mount Vernon, Beattyville, McKee, Frenchburg, Boone,
Clay City, Fincastle, Science Hill, Ravenna, Wellington, Campsites in
the Indian Creek area of the Daniel Boone National Forrest, Pilot,
Donaro, Travellers Rest, Bummer, Bowen, Kimbrell, and Shop Branch.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS...
 Bert T. Combs Mountain Parkway between mile markers 13 and 41.
 Interstate 75 in east central Kentucky between mile markers 42 and
72.
 Kentucky Highway 80 in Laurel County near mile marker 4.
 Kentucky Highway 80 in Pulaski County between mile markers 34 and
37.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 AM EDT for south central,
southeastern and east central Kentucky.

&&

LAT...LON 3736 8456 3733 8451 3748 8445 3747 8438
      3754 8435 3751 8426 3757 8409 3764 8413
      3767 8409 3781 8410 3781 8412 3782 8409
      3783 8400 3787 8403 3791 8399 3795 8347
      3763 8365 3753 8376 3716 8388 3716 8483
TIME...MOT...LOC 0513Z 259DEG 53KT 3784 8427 3752 8446 3749 8453 3720
8461

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

JP

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
124 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024

KYZ044-050>052-059-060-104-106-270600-
Rowan KY-Montgomery KY-Elliott KY-Menifee KY-Morgan KY-Bath KY-
Fleming KY-Powell KY-
124 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHERN POWELL...MONTGOMERY...
NORTHWESTERN MORGAN...BATH...MENIFEE...FLEMING...ROWAN AND WESTERN
ELLIOTT COUNTIES THROUGH 200 AM EDT...

At 123 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Fairview to near Carlisle to near Sideview
to 6 miles northwest of Cressy. Movement was northeast at 65 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Mount Sterling, Morehead, West Liberty, Flemingsburg, Owingsville,
Frenchburg, Marshall, Henry, Jeffersonville, Camargo, Clay City,
Wellington, Sharpsburg, Salt Lick, Fairview, Zag, Pecks Ridge, Levee,
Cornwell, and Elliottville.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS...
 Bert T. Combs Mountain Parkway between mile markers 13 and 17.
 Interstate 64 in eastern Kentucky between mile markers 105 and 148.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 AM EDT for southeastern
and east central Kentucky.

&&

LAT...LON 3849 8359 3843 8358 3838 8345 3839 8340
      3819 8327 3819 8324 3827 8317 3823 8312
      3791 8323 3785 8401 3787 8403 3787 8402
      3793 8397 3812 8408 3832 8384 3836 8392
      3845 8398 3849 8393 3846 8385 3852 8364
TIME...MOT...LOC 0523Z 243DEG 56KT 3843 8399 3826 8398 3809 8407 3790
8410

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

JP

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Jackson KY
141 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0135 AM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     3 WNW Mill Springs      36.95N 84.83W
05/27/2024                   Wayne              KY   Law Enforcement

            Numerous 911 calls reporting roof collapse
            at Conley Bottom Resort main pier on Lake
            Cumberland with people trapped on the boats.

&&

CC

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
209 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024

KYZ069-112>117-270645-
Jackson KY-Clay KY-Breathitt KY-Perry KY-Knott KY-Owsley KY-
Leslie KY-
209 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT OWSLEY...NORTH CENTRAL LESLIE...
NORTHERN PERRY...SOUTHEASTERN JACKSON...NORTHWESTERN KNOTT...SOUTHERN
BREATHITT AND NORTHERN CLAY COUNTIES THROUGH 245 AM EDT...

At 208 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Sebastian, or 8 miles southeast of Booneville, moving east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Hazard, Hindman, Buckhorn, Elic, Buck, Blake, Vail, Southfork,
Emmalena, Cowcreek, Tyner, Bearville, Privett, Shepherdtown, Valjean,
Taff, Haddix, Herd, Arnett, and Tina.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS...
 Hal Rogers Parkway between mile markers 57 and 59.
 Kentucky Highway 80 in Knott County between mile markers 1 and 8.
 Kentucky Highway 80 in Perry County between mile markers 9 and 15.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 AM EDT for southeastern
Kentucky.

&&

LAT...LON 3728 8405 3742 8393 3753 8300 3751 8295
      3726 8300
TIME...MOT...LOC 0608Z 265DEG 39KT 3736 8361

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

JP

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service JACKSON KY
230 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024

KYZ104-106>110-112>120-270715-
Clay KY-Floyd KY-Johnson KY-Morgan KY-Wolfe KY-Elliott KY-
Breathitt KY-Perry KY-Martin KY-Pike KY-Knott KY-Owsley KY-
Magoffin KY-Letcher KY-Leslie KY-
230 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN OWSLEY...KNOTT...
FLOYD...EAST CENTRAL WOLFE...MARTIN...CENTRAL MORGAN...JOHNSON...
NORTHERN LESLIE...NORTH CENTRAL LETCHER...PERRY...BREATHITT...
NORTHWESTERN PIKE...MAGOFFIN...NORTHEASTERN CLAY AND ELLIOTT COUNTIES
THROUGH 315 AM EDT...

At 229 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Grayson Lake State Park to near Bays to
Sizerock. Movement was east at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Pikeville, Hazard, Paintsville, West Liberty, Prestonsburg, Jackson,
Salyersville, Hindman, Inez, Sandy Hook, Mason, Simpson, Estill,
Lewis, Bath, Coal Run Village, Wheelwright, Martin, Pippa Passes, and
Wayland.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS...
 Bert T. Combs Mountain Parkway between mile markers 59 and 76.
 Hal Rogers Parkway between mile markers 44 and 59.
 Kentucky Highway 3 in Floyd County between mile markers 1 and 4.
 Kentucky Highway 3 in Johnson County  Kentucky Highway 3 in Martin
County between mile markers 1 and 9.
 Kentucky Highway 80 in Floyd County between mile markers 1 and 14.
 Kentucky Highway 80 in Knott County between mile markers 1 and 20.
 Kentucky Highway 80 in Perry County between mile markers 9 and 15.
 U.S. Highway 119 in Pike County between mile markers 1 and 10.
 U.S. Highway 23 in Floyd County between mile markers 1 and 21.
 U.S. Highway 23 in Johnson County between mile markers 0 and 16.
 U.S. Highway 23 in Pike County between mile markers 21 and 32.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 AM EDT for southeastern,
northeastern and east central Kentucky.

&&

LAT...LON 3717 8277 3719 8365 3761 8341 3824 8313
      3818 8305 3821 8301 3816 8291 3811 8289
      3800 8302 3796 8300 3800 8293 3788 8261
      3795 8258 3796 8253 3790 8247 3788 8242
      3781 8240 3776 8231 3774 8233 3770 8229
TIME...MOT...LOC 0629Z 260DEG 45KT 3825 8306 3763 8321 3723 8351

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

JP