Tornado Warning 33, NWS Jacksonville, FL

841 
WWUS52 KJAX 091927
SVSJAX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
227 PM EST Sat Mar 9 2024

GAC127-091945-
/O.CON.KJAX.TO.W.0033.000000T0000Z-240309T1945Z/
Glynn GA-
227 PM EST Sat Mar 9 2024

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 245 PM EST FOR CENTRAL
GLYNN COUNTY...

At 227 PM EST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Country Club Estates, or near Dock Junction, moving
east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
central Glynn County, including the following locations... Boys
Estate.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3119 8158 3128 8158 3133 8144 3131 8144
      3131 8142 3129 8141 3128 8139 3120 8138
TIME...MOT...LOC 1927Z 258DEG 29KT 3127 8149 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN

$$

CORLESS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
1259 PM EST Sat Mar 9 2024

...New AVIATION...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 724 AM EST Sat Mar 9 2024

For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit:
https://www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf

Minor tweaks to POPs this morning to account for timing of
convection already underway over interior Southeast GA. A tornado
watch is in effect for all counties over Southeast GA as well as
Hamilton County, FL until 2 PM this afternoon.

&&

.NEAR TERM...
Issued at 342 AM EST Sat Mar 9 2024

A mild night is currently underway in the warm sector of an approaching
cold front currently off to the northwest. A light to moderate
southeast to southerly breeze and some high clouds streaming
across the area is helping to inhibit any fog formation. However,
the increase in moisture has allowed ample low cloud cover across
the area. Showers streaming from southwest to northeast ahead of
the front are mostly remaining outside the GA CWA boundary, though
a few showers are possible north of waycross through daybreak.

The pre frontal trough will start to make progress southeastward by
about mid to late morning. Daytime heating, combined with ample
layer moisture with PWATs in the 90th percentile or higher, will
yield a modest amount of instability for a squall line of
thunderstorms to form by early this afternoon. Sufficient shear
will also be in place to bring the potential for severe storms,
with the main hazards being strong winds of 50-70mph and isolated
tornadoes. The most favorable dynamics aloft will remain generally
north of I-10 as the front loses steam moving southeastward
through Tonight, coinciding with the loss of daytime heating.
Therefore, expect the highest potential for severe storms to be in
the same aforementioned area during the afternoon and evening
today, with potential decreasing as the front dips into areas
south of about I-10.

As mentioned above, today will start of mild in the 60s and low
70s, approaching record high minimums in some climate spots. With
some daytime heating in the warm sector, highs will also be
approaching records in many spots with widespread 80s further
south and east, and a bit cooler in the upper 70s further north
and west where more cloud cover and some earlier showers may
occur. More specific climate record data is listed in the Climate
section of the discussion.

For the latest NE FL and SE GA Daily Key Messages please visit:
https://www.weather.gov/media/jax/briefings/nws-jax-briefing.pdf

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Sunday through Monday night)
Issued at 342 AM EST Sat Mar 9 2024

Lingering showers over north-central FL taper off early Sunday
morning as a cold front shifts into central FL. Quiet and dry
weather then prevail through Tuesday as high pressure builds in
across the SE US and overhead by Monday night. Cool, dry airmass
filters in across the area in the wake of the front keeping temps
at or just below normal with highs in the 60s/70s and lows in the
40s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through Friday)
Issued at 342 AM EST Sat Mar 9 2024

High pressure overhead shifts eastward into the Atlantic on Tuesday
developing a southerly return flow of moisture. Rain chances
return on Wednesday as an overrunning pattern develops and upper
shortwaves parade across the northern Gulf and into N FL. Showers
will be mainly along and south of the FL/GA state border with the
best chance for isolated thunderstorms south of I-10 where the
best instability is. Brief break from precip on Thursday as the
next frontal system moves into the SE US. Rain chances increase
from northwest to southeast Friday into Friday night ahead of the
approaching cold front. Southerly return flow will cause a warming
trend with highs in the 70s on Tuesday increasing to near record
on Friday in the mid 80s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1259 PM EST Sat Mar 9 2024

VFR conditions for now at TAF sites. With the approaching squall
line, ceilings will start to lower as SHRA/TSRA approach the TAF
sites from late afternoon into the evening. Timing of TEMPO
groups may need to be adjusted as storms develop ahead of the
squall line.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 342 AM EST Sat Mar 9 2024

A cold front will approach area waters later this morning and move
southeastward and across all waters by Sunday Morning. Ahead of
the front, showers and scattered thunderstorms are expected
through tonight, with some storms capable of producing gusty winds
and small hail, especially for waters Saint Augustine northward.
High pressure builds in behind the front on Sunday and remains in
place through Tuesday. Small Craft Advisories are in effect from
early Sunday Morning through Monday Morning post cold front
passage. An area of low pressure approaches from the Gulf of
Mexico by Wednesday, likely impacting waters into Thursday.

Rip Currents: Moderate risk for area beaches through Monday.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 342 AM EST Sat Mar 9 2024

About an inch of rainfall will be possible with storms today into
tonight mainly for areas along and north of the I-10 corridor. Locally
higher totals will be possible in any training bands of convection.
Heavier rainfall totals upstream along the Ocmulgee River will
likely send a flood wave down the Altamaha River, with minor
flooding possible by Sunday morning along upper portions of the
Altamaha River near the Baxley gauge, where a flood warning was
already issued. An additional flood warning may be necessary at
Charlotteville.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 950 PM EST Thu Mar 7 2024

Record high minimum and maximum temperatures at our designated
climate sites for Today, March 9:

Jacksonville   69/1921   88/1974
Gainesville    65/2022   89/1907
Alma, GA       66/1980   88/1974
Craig Airport  64/1980   83/2012

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  52  67  40  67 /  20   0   0   0
SSI  54  68  45  63 /  40   0   0   0
JAX  56  72  44  67 /  50   0   0   0
SGJ  59  74  49  65 /  70   0   0   0
GNV  58  74  44  71 /  70   0   0   0
OCF  60  75  45  72 /  70   0   0   0

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory from 5 AM Sunday to 8 AM EST Monday for
     AMZ470-472-474.

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
1231 PM EST Sat Mar 9 2024

GAZ166-091745-
Coastal Camden GA-
1231 PM EST Sat Mar 9 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN CAMDEN COUNTY
THROUGH 1245 PM EST...

At 1231 PM EST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Kings Bay Base, moving northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts around 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
St. Marys, Kings Bay Base, Cumberland Island, High Point, and
Harrietts Bluff.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 200 PM EST for southeastern
Georgia.

&&

LAT...LON 3079 8142 3077 8161 3086 8165 3103 8138
TIME...MOT...LOC 1731Z 243DEG 30KT 3083 8155

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

SHASHY

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
1242 PM EST Sat Mar 9 2024

FLZ033-125-133-325-091815-
Coastal St. Johns FL-South Central Duval FL-Coastal Duval FL-
Inland St. Johns FL-
1242 PM EST Sat Mar 9 2024

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHERN ST. JOHNS AND
SOUTHEASTERN DUVAL COUNTIES THROUGH 115 PM EST...

At 1242 PM EST, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms over Durbin, or 7 miles east of Fruit Cove, moving
northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts around 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Ponte Vedra Beach, Fruit Cove, Jacksonville Beach, World Golf
Village, Palm Valley, Sawgrass, South Ponte Vedra, Nocatee, Bayard,
and Durbin.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 2988 8156 3016 8161 3033 8136 3024 8134
      3001 8126
TIME...MOT...LOC 1742Z 242DEG 27KT 3006 8149

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

SHASHY

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
116 PM EST Sat Mar 9 2024

FLZ033-125-132-133-232-325-091830-
Eastern Clay FL-Coastal St. Johns FL-Western Clay FL-
South Central Duval FL-Coastal Duval FL-Inland St. Johns FL-
116 PM EST Sat Mar 9 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHERN ST. JOHNS...EAST
CENTRAL CLAY AND SOUTHEASTERN DUVAL COUNTIES THROUGH 130 PM EST...

At 116 PM EST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Green Cove Springs, moving northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Green Cove Springs, Ponte Vedra Beach, World Golf Village, Palm
Valley, Sawgrass, South Ponte Vedra, Nocatee, Durbin, Guana River
State Park, and South Ponte Vedra Beach.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 2995 8170 2998 8170 3025 8138 2996 8130
TIME...MOT...LOC 1816Z 239DEG 33KT 3000 8162

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

SANDRIK

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
120 PM EST Sat Mar 9 2024

FLZ031-136-232-237-091845-
Eastern Alachua FL-Western Clay FL-Western Putnam FL-Bradford FL-
120 PM EST Sat Mar 9 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN BRADFORD...EAST
CENTRAL ALACHUA...NORTHWESTERN PUTNAM AND SOUTHWESTERN CLAY COUNTIES
THROUGH 145 PM EST...

At 120 PM EST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Orange Heights, or near Melrose, moving northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Melrose, Lake Geneva, Florahome, and Putnam Hall.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 2963 8214 2967 8217 2987 8193 2972 8184
TIME...MOT...LOC 1820Z 239DEG 33KT 2968 8212

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

SANDRIK

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
145 PM EST Sat Mar 9 2024

FLZ021-120-220-091915-
Western Hamilton FL-Eastern Hamilton FL-Suwannee FL-
145 PM EST Sat Mar 9 2024

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN SUWANNEE AND
HAMILTON COUNTIES THROUGH 215 PM EST...

At 145 PM EST, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 8 miles northeast of Jasper to 9 miles south of
Madison. Movement was east at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph, pea size hail, and minor flooding
         due to heavy rainfall.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible. Minor flooding due to heavy rainfall is possible.

Locations impacted include...
Jasper, Jennings, Suwannee River State Park, Blue Springs, and
Crossroads.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 200 PM EST for northern
Florida...and southeastern Georgia.

&&

LAT...LON 3061 8287 3060 8279 3047 8279 3028 8323
      3031 8321 3035 8321 3035 8319 3038 8319
      3039 8317 3041 8318 3042 8322 3046 8322
      3047 8324 3052 8324 3062 8327
TIME...MOT...LOC 1845Z 275DEG 12KT 3060 8285 3033 8346

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

SANDRIK

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
204 PM EST Sat Mar 9 2024

FLZ033-132-133-232-091930-
Eastern Clay FL-Coastal St. Johns FL-Western Clay FL-
Inland St. Johns FL-
204 PM EST Sat Mar 9 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL ST. JOHNS AND EAST
CENTRAL CLAY COUNTIES THROUGH 230 PM EST...

At 204 PM EST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Picolata, or near Green Cove Springs, moving northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts around 40 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Saint Augustine, World Golf Village, South Ponte Vedra, Nocatee,
Vilano Beach, Picolata, Guana River State Park, Durbin, Bakersville,
and South Ponte Vedra Beach.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 2986 8172 2991 8173 3016 8135 2989 8128
TIME...MOT...LOC 1904Z 241DEG 36KT 2991 8163

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

SANDRIK