Wind Advisory 6, NWS Northern Indiana

Adams County, IN, Allen County, IN, Blackford County, IN, Cass County, IN, DeKalb County, IN, Fulton County, IN, Grant County, IN, Huntington County, IN, Jay County, IN, Kosciusko County, IN, Miami County, IN, Noble County, IN, Pulaski County, IN, Wabash County, IN, Wells County, IN, White County, IN, Whitley County, IN, Allen County, OH, Defiance County, OH, Fulton County, OH, Henry County, OH, Paulding County, OH, Putnam County, OH, Van Wert County, OH, Williams County, OH

755 
WWUS73 KIWX 291700
NPWIWX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
1200 PM EST Sun Dec 29 2024

INZ008-009-013-015-017-018-020-022>027-032>034-116-216-OHZ001-002-
004-005-015-016-024-025-300400-
/O.CON.KIWX.WI.Y.0006.241229T1800Z-241230T0400Z/
Noble-De Kalb-Pulaski-Fulton IN-Whitley-Allen IN-White-Cass IN-
Miami-Wabash-Huntington-Wells-Adams-Grant-Blackford-Jay-Northern
Kosciusko-Southern Kosciusko-Williams-Fulton OH-Defiance-Henry-
Paulding-Putnam-Van Wert-Allen OH-
1200 PM EST Sun Dec 29 2024

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Portions of northern Indiana and northwest Ohio.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&

$$

Fisher

142 
WWUS73 KIWX 300343
NPWIWX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
1043 PM EST Sun Dec 29 2024

INZ008-009-013-015-017-018-020-022>027-032>034-116-216-OHZ001-002-
004-005-015-016-024-025-300445-
/O.EXP.KIWX.WI.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-241230T0400Z/
Noble-De Kalb-Pulaski-Fulton IN-Whitley-Allen IN-White-Cass IN-
Miami-Wabash-Huntington-Wells-Adams-Grant-Blackford-Jay-Northern
Kosciusko-Southern Kosciusko-Williams-Fulton OH-Defiance-Henry-
Paulding-Putnam-Van Wert-Allen OH-
1043 PM EST Sun Dec 29 2024

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 11 PM EST THIS EVENING...

Winds continue to weaken and have allowed the wind advisory to 
expire. Breezy conditions are still expected over the next few hours.

$$

Andersen

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
1215 AM EST Sun Dec 29 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Unseasonably warm temperatures as well as a soaking rain in
  store overnight, lingering into Sunday.

- Another chance of light rain Tuesday, possibly mixing with
  snow Tuesday night.

- Temperatures trend colder, especially into next weekend with
  chances for lake effect snow showers at times.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 157 PM EST Sat Dec 28 2024

Dry slot/subsidence in the wake of the departing wave has allowed
some breaks in the clouds with temperatures warming into the 50s,
well above normal for late December. Clouds will quickly fill back
in this evening ahead of the deepening trough moving through eastern
TX which will be responsible for a possible severe weather outbreak
across portions of MS/LA/AL prior to ejecting NE and become
negatively tilted as it tracks over the area Sunday afternoon. Sfc
low appears to track over SE parts of the area Sunday afternoon, but
some timing/final track differences linger. Where stronger agreement
seems to exist is with the track of the 700mb low, which tends to
focus the highest QPF amounts in a deepening/negatively tilted
system. This suggests that the highest precipitation is likely
to center somewhere between South Bend and Ft Wayne, especially
as the deformation zone sets up. That being said, overall QPF
amounts vary between the models with a potential tight gradient
in the NW that could be under an inch (maybe a fair amount
lower) and also a dry slot working into SE areas in the
afternoon. Forecast will still lean towards between 1 and 1.5",
heaviest in the area noted above. Trend has been for for a
somewhat slower arrival to the rainfall, with far southern
areas beginning to see precip arrive near/after 6Z and then
rapidly expanding N with the peak period between 9Z and 18Z. As
noted, depending on the final track of the sfc low, a dry slot
may advance across portions of the area, favoring parts of NW
Ohio that could reduce overall QPF somewhat and may (I stress
may) set the stage for a few thunderstorms around 21Z if enough
moisture arrives and heating occurs (steepening mid level lapse
rates). As the low wraps up, winds will increase Sunday and
linger into Sunday night with colder air filtering in behind the
low. Deepest moisture should be departing as this occurs, so
not concerned about any wintry precip at this point and even if
it did the warm road/ground temps would preclude
accumulations/impacts.

The upper low will settle into Ontario Monday with a brief lull in
precip prior to the arrival of another wave set to move from the
central Plains Monday morning to Kentucky by 12Z Tue with a sfc low
taking a similar track. While the highest potential likely resides
south of us, an area of light rain still looks to impact at least
the southern third to maybe half of the area Tuesday. Thermal
profiles still point towards rain (although a colder rain with 850
mb temps more +1 to +3 C) and maybe some mixing of snow towards the
end of the precip.

While some signals exist for lake effect snow showers in the Wed-Fri
time frame, have kept pops limited despite the arrival of
increasingly colder air (850 mb temps -10 C or low and resultant
delta Ts in the mid to upper teens) as moisture will be rather
sparse. Plenty of time to sort out those details, but suffice to say
temperatures trending back below normal will result in a much more
typical feel to the start of the new year.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 1211 AM EST Sun Dec 29 2024

Widespread heavy rainfall and gusty winds are ahead for most of
the day Sunday. Scattered showers can be seen lifting northward
into our area, with the heaviest rain still several hours away
near the Indiana/Kentucky stateline. Scattered light rain should
overspread the area in the next few hours with moderate to heavy
rain arriving around 12Z. Ceilings will quickly drop in the next
few hours to IFR as the rain approaches. Ceilings could even
drop to LIFR, especially around KFWA, where the NBM has about
40% probabilities of LIFR ceilings. Rain will likely cause
reduced visibilities today, down to as low as 2 to 5 miles.
Winds will be quite gusty as well, especially on the backside of
the system this evening, with gusts as high as 25 to 35 kts
possible (especially south and east of KFWA).

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...None.
OH...None.
MI...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 4 AM EST
     Monday for LMZ043-046.

&&

DISCUSSION...Fisher
AVIATION...Johnson

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
244 PM EST Sat Dec 28 2024

INZ005>009-012>015-017-018-020-022>027-032>034-103-104-116-203-204-
216-MIZ078>081-177-277-OHZ001-002-004-005-015-016-024-025-291945-
Elkhart-Lagrange-Steuben-Noble-De Kalb-Starke-Pulaski-Marshall-
Fulton IN-Whitley-Allen IN-White-Cass IN-Miami-Wabash-Huntington-
Wells-Adams-Grant-Blackford-Jay-Northern La Porte-
Eastern St. Joseph IN-Northern Kosciusko-Southern La Porte-
Western St. Joseph IN-Southern Kosciusko-Cass MI-St. Joseph MI-
Branch-Hillsdale-Northern Berrien-Southern Berrien-Williams-
Fulton OH-Defiance-Henry-Paulding-Putnam-Van Wert-Allen OH-
244 PM EST Sat Dec 28 2024 /144 PM CST Sat Dec 28 2024/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Indiana, southwest
Michigan and northwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

LMZ043-046-291945-
New Buffalo MI to St Joseph MI-Michigan City IN to New Buffalo MI-
244 PM EST Sat Dec 28 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SUNDAY TO 4 AM EST
MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the nearshore waters of
southeastern Lake Michigan.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Small Craft Advisory.