Alert archive / Illinois / Tornado Warnings in 2024

Tornado Warning 12, NWS Lincoln, IL

March 14, 2024Clark County, Illinois

NWS Lincoln, IL issued this tornado warning at Mar 14, 2024, 7:12 PM CDT for Clark County, Illinois. It was in force for 48 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Mar 14, 2024, 7:12 PM CDT (00:12 UTC)
Expired: Mar 14, 2024, 8:00 PM CDT
In force: 48 min
Issued by: NWS Lincoln, IL
Area: Storm-based polygon
Tornado: Radar indicated
Hail: 1.25 in

County Clark County, IL

The radar

The Evansville,IN radar (KVWX), 118 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this tornado warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Mar 14, 1:33 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 00:00Z, 0.2 hours before the alert went out and 124 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 905 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 69 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 5 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 230 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

836 
WFUS53 KILX 150012
TORILX
ILC023-150100-
/O.NEW.KILX.TO.W.0012.240315T0012Z-240315T0100Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
712 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024

The National Weather Service in Lincoln has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Central Clark County in east central Illinois...

* Until 800 PM CDT.

* At 712 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
  was located over Martinsville, or near Casey, moving east at 35
  mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado and half dollar size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. 
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree 
           damage is likely.

* This dangerous storm will be near...
  Martinsville around 715 PM CDT.
  Marshall around 730 PM CDT.

This includes Interstate 70 between mile markers 130 and 144, and
between mile markers 147 and 153.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3934 8756 3934 8758 3931 8760 3931 8762
      3930 8760 3928 8761 3927 8760 3926 8761
      3925 8757 3928 8797 3938 8796 3944 8756
      3935 8755
TIME...MOT...LOC 0012Z 269DEG 31KT 3933 8792 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.25 IN

$$

Bumgardner

3 follow-up statements

964 
WWUS53 KILX 150030
SVSILX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
730 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024

ILC023-150100-
/O.CON.KILX.TO.W.0012.000000T0000Z-240315T0100Z/
Clark-
730 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN CLARK COUNTY...

At 730 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Marshall, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Marshall around 735 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Lincoln Trail State Park and Darwin.

This includes Interstate 70 between mile markers 140 and 144, and
between mile markers 147 and 153.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3934 8756 3934 8758 3931 8760 3931 8762
      3930 8760 3928 8761 3927 8760 3925 8757
      3930 8779 3940 8781 3944 8756 3935 8755
TIME...MOT...LOC 0030Z 269DEG 31KT 3933 8772 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.25 IN

$$

Bumgardner

069 
WWUS53 KILX 150039
SVSILX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
739 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024

ILC023-150100-
/O.CON.KILX.TO.W.0012.000000T0000Z-240315T0100Z/
Clark-
739 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN CLARK COUNTY...

At 739 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Marshall, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
northeastern Clark County, including the following locations...
Darwin.

This includes Interstate 70 between mile markers 147 and 153.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3934 8756 3934 8758 3931 8760 3931 8762
      3930 8760 3929 8761 3925 8757 3932 8768
      3942 8770 3944 8756 3935 8755
TIME...MOT...LOC 0039Z 263DEG 31KT 3935 8761 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN

$$

Bumgardner

009 
WWUS53 KILX 150050
SVSILX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
750 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024

ILC023-150100-
/O.EXP.KILX.TO.W.0012.000000T0000Z-240315T0100Z/
Clark-
750 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN CLARK COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT
800 PM CDT...

The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for east central
Illinois.

&&

LAT...LON 3934 8756 3934 8758 3931 8760 3931 8762
      3930 8760 3929 8761 3925 8757 3932 8768
      3942 8770 3944 8756 3935 8755
TIME...MOT...LOC 0050Z 269DEG 31KT 3935 8749 

$$

Bumgardner

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Lincoln, IL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Mar 14, 1:33 PM CDT, 5 hours 39 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

Scattered severe thunderstorms late this afternoon and evening, mainly south of a Jacksonville to Danville line. Large hail, damaging winds, and a few tornadoes could occur with these storms.
Much cooler weather after a cold frontal passage late Saturday afternoon and Saturday evening. Hard freeze likely Sunday night and Monday night may harm any tender emerging vegetation.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 14, 1:33 PM CDT, 5 hours 39 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
133 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Scattered severe thunderstorms late this afternoon and evening,
  mainly south of a Jacksonville to Danville line. Large hail,
  damaging winds, and a few tornadoes could occur with these
  storms.

- Much cooler weather after a cold frontal passage late Saturday
  afternoon and Saturday evening. Hard freeze likely Sunday night
  and Monday night may harm any tender emerging vegetation.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 132 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024

Subsidence/capping from this morning's convection is still evident
on visible satellite where skies are clear over much of the
northern/eastern CWA. However, destabilization is beginning to
work east from west central IL where an agitated cu field is
expanding. This is occuring ahead of a cold front which stretches
southwest from low pressure over northeast IL back along the IL
River Valley. Output from latest convective allowing models,
including experimental Warn on Forecast, continues to show deep
convection becoming established near the I-72 corridor between
2-3 pm. The environment will be characterized by strong deep
layer shear, courtesy of a 70-80 kt 500 mb jet streak overhead,
and moderate instability with mixed layer CAPE > 2000 J/kg.
Initially these storms should pose a significant hail risk. Veered
boundary layer winds ahead of the front lead to long, straight
hodographs. Thus a low (non-zero) tornado threat will exist owing
to the strong deep layer shear and potential mesoscale influence
of outflow/differential heating boundaries. Upscale growth into
line segments and clusters is expected late afternoon/early
evening over east central and southeast IL. Large hail and
damaging winds will be the primary risks, but a few tornadoes will
be possible, especially where multiple cell/boundary interactions
occur. The severe risk should diminish over our southeast
counties after 9 pm. Another aspect of these storms will be very
heavy rainfall rates, given Pwats near 90% of climatology and the
strongly forced convection. Fast storm motions would tend to limit
a widespread flood risk, but any training of more intense
convection will lead to a localized flash flood threat.

Behind the front, north winds and low clouds will overspread the
region from the north this evening and overnight. Cold advection
is not overly strong, so we are looking for mid/upper 50s highs on
Friday.

A dry cold front is forecast to cross the region late Saturday
afternoon and evening. Much stronger cold advection and gusty
northwest winds will dominate the region behind this front. 850 mb
temps plunge as low as -10C late Sunday to early Monday. This sets
us up for a hard freeze (mid 20s lows) both Sunday night and
Monday night.

25

&&

.AVIATION...  (For the 18z TAFs through 18z Friday Afternoon)
Issued at 1222 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024

Cold front was located over far northwest IL early this afternoon
and will track southeast across all central IL terminals by 00z.
MVFR ceilings will move in behind the front, possibly dropping to
IFR at times overnight. Confidence was not high enough to include
IFR at this issuance. Scattered TSRA are expected to develop
ahead of the front mid/late afternoon near the I-72 corridor.
There is a low chance that a storm will impact a terminal so
included PROB30 for KSPI-KDEC-KCMI 20z-23z. If a storm does impact
a terminal variable/gusty wind, hail, and brief IFR conditions
will occur. South to south southwest winds will be gusty this
afternoon, veering northwest behind the frontal passage.

25

&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 14, 3:38 PM CDT, 3 hours 34 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
338 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024

ILZ027>031-036>038-152045-
Knox-Stark-Peoria-Marshall-Woodford-Fulton-Tazewell-McLean-
338 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Illinois and west
central Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight.

ILZ040>057-061>063-066>068-071>073-152045-
Schuyler-Mason-Logan-De Witt-Piatt-Champaign-Vermilion-Cass-Menard-
Scott-Morgan-Sangamon-Christian-Macon-Moultrie-Douglas-Coles-Edgar-
Shelby-Cumberland-Clark-Effingham-Jasper-Crawford-Clay-Richland-
Lawrence-
338 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Illinois, east
central Illinois, southeast Illinois and west central Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Another round of scattered thunderstorms will develop after 2pm.
Some of these storms will become severe, capable of producing very
large hail greater than two inches in diameter. Sporadic downburst
wind signatures and a tornado or two will also be possible through
10pm.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is needed.

Expected storm motion is toward the east-north-east around 45 mph.

MJA

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 14, 4:38 PM CDT, 2 hours 34 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
438 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0437 PM     Hail             Franklin                39.62N 90.05W
03/14/2024  M1.00 inch       Morgan             IL   Emergency Mngr

&&

RD

Local storm report, Mar 14, 5:24 PM CDT, 1 hour 48 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
524 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0507 PM     Funnel Cloud     2 SW Pawnee             39.57N 89.61W
03/14/2024                   Sangamon           IL   Emergency Mngr

&&

Local storm report, Mar 14, 5:27 PM CDT, 1 hour 45 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
527 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0524 PM     Hail             Taylorville             39.55N 89.30W
03/14/2024  M1.25 inch       Christian          IL   Trained Spotter

            Measured half dollar hail east side of
            Taylorville from a trained spotter.

&&

RD

Local storm report, Mar 14, 5:51 PM CDT, 1 hour 21 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
551 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0532 PM     Hail             5 NW Assumption         39.58N 89.11W
03/14/2024  M1.25 inch       Christian          IL   Public

            relayed via social media post.

&&

Local storm report, Mar 14, 6:24 PM CDT, 48 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
624 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0555 PM     Hail             Oconee                  39.29N 89.11W
03/14/2024  M1.25 inch       Shelby             IL   Broadcast Media

            Delayed report from WCIA broadcast
            meteorologist of half dollar hail in Oconee.

&&

RD

Local storm report, Mar 14, 6:41 PM CDT, 31 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
641 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0638 PM     Funnel Cloud     1 NE Neoga              39.33N 88.44W
03/14/2024                   Cumberland         IL   Trained Spotter

            Funnel cloud spotted to the west of the
            Neoga exit on I-57, north of Neoga.

&&

RD

The office that day

Everything else NWS Lincoln, IL issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Mar 14, 7:01 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	ILX	Clay	29 min
Mar 14, 7:22 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	ILX	Clark, Edgar	3 hr
Mar 14, 7:25 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	ILX	Clay, Jasper, Richland	50 min
Mar 14, 8:02 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILX	Clay, Richland	41 min
Mar 14, 8:15 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILX	Lawrence, Richland	60 min

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Illinois, 2024 Every tornado warning in 2024 Tornadoes in 2024

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.