Severe Thunderstorm Warning 83, NWS Lincoln, IL

958 
WWUS53 KILX 071125
SVSILX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
625 AM CDT Tue May 7 2024

ILC113-203-071200-
/O.CON.KILX.SV.W.0083.000000T0000Z-240507T1200Z/
Woodford-McLean-
625 AM CDT Tue May 7 2024

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 AM CDT
FOR WOODFORD AND NORTHWESTERN MCLEAN COUNTIES...

At 625 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Congerville, or
7 miles southeast of Eureka, moving northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Trained weather spotters.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

This severe storm will be near...
  Carlock around 630 AM CDT.
  El Paso around 640 AM CDT.
  Gridley around 650 AM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this severe thunderstorm include Panola
and Kappa.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 39 between mile markers 7 and 28.
 Interstate 74 between mile markers 110 and 121.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 800 AM CDT for central
Illinois.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4075 8893 4075 8872 4049 8926 4062 8927
      4062 8933 4073 8933 4093 8914 4093 8893
TIME...MOT...LOC 1125Z 236DEG 36KT 4062 8921 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Shimon

108 
WWUS53 KILX 071135
SVSILX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
635 AM CDT Tue May 7 2024

ILC113-203-071200-
/O.CON.KILX.SV.W.0083.000000T0000Z-240507T1200Z/
Woodford-McLean-
635 AM CDT Tue May 7 2024

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 AM CDT
FOR EASTERN WOODFORD AND NORTHWESTERN MCLEAN COUNTIES...

At 635 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Secor, or 9
miles east of Eureka, moving northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

This severe storm will be near...
  El Paso around 640 AM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this severe thunderstorm include Panola
and Kappa.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 39 between mile markers 7 and 28.
 Interstate 74 between mile markers 119 and 121.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 800 AM CDT for central
Illinois.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4075 8893 4075 8872 4055 8914 4064 8918
      4070 8918 4083 8923 4093 8914 4093 8893
TIME...MOT...LOC 1135Z 229DEG 38KT 4069 8910 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Shimon

570 
WWUS53 KILX 071142
SVSILX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
642 AM CDT Tue May 7 2024

ILC113-203-071200-
/O.CON.KILX.SV.W.0083.000000T0000Z-240507T1200Z/
Woodford-McLean-
642 AM CDT Tue May 7 2024

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 AM CDT
FOR EASTERN WOODFORD AND NORTH CENTRAL MCLEAN COUNTIES...

At 642 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near El Paso, or 11
miles east of Eureka, moving northeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

This severe storm will be near...
  El Paso around 645 AM CDT.
  Gridley around 650 AM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this severe thunderstorm include Panola
and Kappa.

This includes Interstate 39 between mile markers 7 and 28.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 800 AM CDT for central
Illinois.

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 4075 8893 4075 8872 4058 8907 4066 8911
      4073 8915 4089 8915 4093 8914 4093 8893
TIME...MOT...LOC 1142Z 236DEG 30KT 4070 8906 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH

$$

Shimon

885 
WWUS53 KILX 071146
SVSILX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
646 AM CDT Tue May 7 2024

ILC113-203-071156-
/O.CAN.KILX.SV.W.0083.000000T0000Z-240507T1200Z/
Woodford-McLean-
646 AM CDT Tue May 7 2024

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN WOODFORD AND NORTH
CENTRAL MCLEAN COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.  However, gusty winds are
still possible with this thunderstorm.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 800 AM CDT for central
Illinois.

&&

LAT...LON 4075 8893 4075 8872 4058 8907 4066 8911
      4073 8915 4089 8915 4093 8914 4093 8893
TIME...MOT...LOC 1145Z 229DEG 38KT 4073 8901 

$$

Shimon

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
328 AM CDT Tue May 7 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A line of thunderstorms will push into central Illinois early
  this morning...bringing a few damaging wind gusts to locations
  west of the I-55 corridor.

- Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms will re-develop east
  of I-55 this afternoon.

- Wednesday afternoon severe event is shifting southward...with
  the latest guidance suggesting the highest probability for
  damaging winds, large hail, and tornadoes focusing along/south
  of the I-70 corridor.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Wednesday)
Issued at 328 AM CDT Tue May 7 2024

08z/3am regional radar mosaic continues to show a line of strong
to severe convection approaching the Mississippi River. The
airmass further east across central Illinois has been relatively
stable with MLCAPEs of only 100-300J/kg: however, the RAP is
showing an uptick to 500-1000J/kg over the next couple of hours as
the LLJ transports richer moisture northward into the region.
While the line of convection will weaken with time, think it will
have enough energy to work with to produce scattered damaging wind
gusts along/west of I-55 through 11z/6am. The storms will then
continue eastward and will exit into Indiana by mid-morning.

After a brief lull in precip chances behind the early morning
line, scattered convection will develop by 17z/12pm...primarily
east of the Illinois River. Given modest instability characterized
by SBCAPEs of around 1500J/kg and very strong 0-6km bulk shear in
excess of 60kt, many of the cells will rotate and will be capable
of producing damaging wind gusts, large hail, and isolated
tornadoes. The primary threat area will be east of I-57 between
12pm and 6pm. After that, the cells will exit into
Indiana...leaving behind dry conditions this evening through
Wednesday morning.

A push of dry air will surge into central Illinois from the west
tonight...with both the NAM and GFS showing surface dewpoints
dropping to 50-55F everywhere north of I-70 by Wednesday morning.
Thanks to this dry air intrusion, the main baroclinic zone will
shift slightly further south than previously thought, which will
have major implications for the next round of severe convection
expected Wednesday afternoon/evening. It now appears low pressure
will track eastward out of the Plains along the boundary generally
along/near the I-70 corridor. With the strongest instability/shear
focused south of the front, the highest probabilities for severe
weather will focus from the Ozarks northeastward into the Ohio
River Valley. Latest SPC Day 2 Convective Outlook reflects this
change, as the Enhanced Risk area has shifted southward to include
locations along/south of a Carlinville to Martinsville line. While
pockets of strong to severe convection are possible as far north
as I-72, widespread severe will likely remain further south where
damaging wind gusts greater than 70mph, hail larger than golf
balls, and several tornadoes will be possible.

Barnes

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Monday)
Issued at 328 AM CDT Tue May 7 2024

Once the low tracks into Indiana Wednesday night, the severe
potential will come to an end and a much cooler/more stable
airmass will arrive by the end of the week. High temperatures will
be in the 60s while overnight lows drop into the 40s Thursday
through Sunday. In addition, periodic shower chances will occur as
the Great Lakes/Midwest remains in a northwesterly flow pattern
aloft.

Barnes

&&

.AVIATION...  (For the 06z TAFs through 06z Tuesday Night)
Issued at 1200 AM CDT Tue May 7 2024

Line of severe storms is moving across NE/KS this evening and
approaching KS/IA this hour. Latest CAMs suggest this line will
reach the lower Illinois River Valley by around 09/10Z or 400/500
AM CDT isolated storms popping up ahead of the main line around
08Z/0300 CDT. Given the unfavorable diurnal timing, storms should
be in a weakening trend, but couldn't rule out some strong/severe
storms reaching as far east as central Illinois. Latest RAP
suggests pockets of 1000 J/kg MLCAPE will still be in place as the
line arrive with deep layer shear of around 30kt which would
support a continuing severe threat.

Deubelbeiss

&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
444 AM CDT Tue May 7 2024

ILZ027>031-036>038-040>057-061-080945-
Knox-Stark-Peoria-Marshall-Woodford-Fulton-Tazewell-McLean-Schuyler-
Mason-Logan-De Witt-Piatt-Champaign-Vermilion-Cass-Menard-Scott-
Morgan-Sangamon-Christian-Macon-Moultrie-Douglas-Coles-Edgar-Shelby-
444 AM CDT Tue May 7 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Illinois, east
central Illinois and west central Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

A line of thunderstorms will move across the area this morning.
Isolated damaging wind gusts are possible.

Scattered thunderstorms will redevelop this afternoon, some of which
could become severe with damaging wind gusts, large hail, and a few
tornadoes. The better chances for severe weather this afternoon are
east of I-55.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Another chance for severe weather will occur Wednesday afternoon and
early evening, with damaging winds, large hail, and an isolated
tornado possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed today between noon and 6 pm.

ILZ062-063-066>068-071>073-080945-
Cumberland-Clark-Effingham-Jasper-Crawford-Clay-Richland-Lawrence-
444 AM CDT Tue May 7 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east central Illinois and
southeast Illinois.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

A line of thunderstorms will move across the area this morning, with
cloud to ground lightning and heavy downpours.

Scattered thunderstorms will redevelop this afternoon, some of which
could become severe with damaging wind gusts, large hail, and a few
tornadoes.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

A better chance for organized severe weather will occur Wednesday
afternoon and early evening, with damaging winds, large hail, and
tornadoes possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed today between noon and 6 pm.

25

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
411 AM CDT Tue May 7 2024

ILZ036-040-041-047-049-050-071000-
Scott-Mason-Morgan-Schuyler-Cass-Fulton-
411 AM CDT Tue May 7 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SCOTT...FULTON...CASS...
SCHUYLER...SOUTHWESTERN MASON AND MORGAN COUNTIES THROUGH 500 AM
CDT...

At 410 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Buckhorn, or 18 miles southwest of Rushville, moving northeast at 45
mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Jacksonville, Beardstown, Rushville, Lewistown, Virginia, Winchester,
Alexander, South Jacksonville, Ashland, Cuba, Astoria, Meredosia,
Bluff Springs, Avon, Bluffs, Vermont, Franklin, Murrayville,
Chandlerville, and Fairview.

This includes Interstate 72 between mile markers 43 and 79.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 800 AM CDT for west central
Illinois.

&&

LAT...LON 4028 9091 4027 9045 4070 9044 4069 9016
      3952 8995 3952 9058 3958 9058 3971 9065
      3983 9057 3987 9059 3997 9051 3999 9052
      3998 9060 4003 9061 4005 9068 4008 9067
      4008 9070 4011 9071 4011 9091
TIME...MOT...LOC 0910Z 238DEG 40KT 3991 9077

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

25

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
525 AM CDT Tue May 7 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0518 AM     Tstm Wnd Gst     Farmington              40.70N 90.01W
05/07/2024  E60 MPH          Fulton             IL   Emergency Mngr

&&

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
529 AM CDT Tue May 7 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0517 AM     Hail             Farmington              40.70N 90.01W
05/07/2024  M0.75 Inch       Fulton             IL   Emergency Mngr

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
608 AM CDT Tue May 7 2024

ILZ029>031-071145-
Marshall-Peoria-Woodford-
608 AM CDT Tue May 7 2024

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT MARSHALL...NORTHERN WOODFORD...
EASTERN STARK AND NORTHEASTERN PEORIA COUNTIES THROUGH 645 AM CDT...

At 608 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Camp Grove to Germantown Hills. Movement
was northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Chillicothe, Lacon, Metamora, Germantown Hills, Henry, Minonk, Rome,
Toluca, Washburn, Wenona, Spring Bay, Benson, Sparland, Varna, Camp
Grove, Cazenovia, Hopewell, Bay View Gardens, La Rose, and Lake
Wildwood.

This includes Interstate 39 between mile markers 23 and 40.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 800 AM CDT for central and
north central Illinois.

&&

LAT...LON 4112 8933 4110 8935 4110 8905 4093 8905
      4093 8893 4087 8893 4075 8952 4101 8964
      4109 8964 4115 8956 4115 8933
TIME...MOT...LOC 1108Z 228DEG 33KT 4105 8963 4078 8948

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

Shimon

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Lincoln IL
618 AM CDT Tue May 7 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0617 AM     Tstm Wnd Gst     1 SW Mackinaw           40.53N 89.38W
05/07/2024  M62 MPH          Tazewell           IL   Trained Spotter

            A measured 62 mph wind gust was reported by
            a trained spotter at Route 9 and Hoffman in
            Mackinaw.

&&

RC