Tornado Warning 51, NWS Wichita, KS

380 
WWUS53 KICT 260537
SVSICT

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1237 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024

KSC019-035-260630-
/O.CON.KICT.TO.W.0051.000000T0000Z-240526T0630Z/
Cowley KS-Chautauqua KS-
1237 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 130 AM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN COWLEY AND SOUTHERN CHAUTAUQUA COUNTIES...

At 1237 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 7 miles southeast of Cedar Vale, moving east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and golf ball size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Elgin around 1245 AM CDT.
  Chautauqua around 1255 AM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Niotaze.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3716 9662 3715 9596 3700 9597 3700 9663
TIME...MOT...LOC 0537Z 268DEG 33KT 3701 9645 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN

$$

DARMOFAL

044 
WWUS53 KICT 260544
SVSICT

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1244 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024

KSC035-260554-
/O.CAN.KICT.TO.W.0051.000000T0000Z-240526T0630Z/
Cowley KS-
1244 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN COWLEY COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out 
of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 500 AM CDT for south central
and southeastern Kansas.

&&

LAT...LON 3716 9652 3715 9596 3700 9597 3700 9653
TIME...MOT...LOC 0544Z 268DEG 33KT 3701 9637 

$$

KSC019-260630-
/O.CON.KICT.TO.W.0051.000000T0000Z-240526T0630Z/
Chautauqua KS-
1244 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 130 AM CDT FOR SOUTHERN
CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY...

At 1244 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado 
was located 3 miles west of Elgin, or 9 miles southeast of Cedar 
Vale, moving east at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and golf ball size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
  Elgin around 1250 AM CDT.
  Chautauqua around 1255 AM CDT.
  Peru around 105 AM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Niotaze.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3716 9652 3715 9596 3700 9597 3700 9653
TIME...MOT...LOC 0544Z 268DEG 33KT 3701 9637 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN

$$

DARMOFAL

731 
WWUS53 KICT 260555
SVSICT

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1255 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024

KSC019-260630-
/O.CON.KICT.TO.W.0051.000000T0000Z-240526T0630Z/
Chautauqua KS-
1255 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 130 AM CDT FOR SOUTHERN
CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY...

At 1255 AM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located just west of Chautauqua, or 8 miles south of Sedan, 
moving east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and golf ball size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
southern Chautauqua County, including the following locations...
Niotaze.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3715 9596 3700 9597 3700 9642 3716 9640
TIME...MOT...LOC 0555Z 269DEG 37KT 3700 9618 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.75 IN

$$

DARMOFAL

033 
WWUS53 KICT 260620
SVSICT

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
120 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024

KSC019-260629-
/O.CAN.KICT.TO.W.0051.000000T0000Z-240526T0630Z/
Chautauqua KS-
120 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTHERN CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.  However, dime size hail 
and gusty winds to 55 mph are still possible with this thunderstorm.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 500 AM CDT for southeastern
Kansas.

&&

LAT...LON 3715 9596 3700 9597 3700 9642 3716 9640
TIME...MOT...LOC 0619Z 268DEG 33KT 3701 9590 

$$

DARMOFAL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
541 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Severe thunderstorms this evening and overnight

- Drying out Sunday and into Monday

- Next chance for showers and thunderstorm will be mid to late next
week

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 233 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024

This afternoon and evening forecast is heavily dependent on when
quality moisture (Tds >65F) arrives in the region and when the cap
breaks.  Currently, the moisture is to the south in Eastern OK and
into Arkansas. This moisture is currently moving further west into
OK as of late morning and is expected to move north into Kansas.
This is expected to continue through afternoon today and will
serving to help destabilize the atmosphere in CWA.  How fast this
moisture advection occurs this afternoon is still in question and
creates a significant amount of uncertainty for the possibility of
thunderstorms this afternoon.  To add to this uncertainty, most of
the BUFKIT soundings show a decent cap in place over much of South
Central and Southeast Kansas this afternoon through sunset. By
sunset, the dryline is expected to encroach on the CWA from the west
and provide the needed push to kick off the thunderstorm activity.
Due to the late arrival of the quality moisture, this dry line will
be rather diffuse so the initiation point/location of this
thunderstorm activity is difficult to identify.  Given this
uncertainty and the presence of a decent cap over much of the CWA,
it is looking like thunderstorm activity will not start until closer
to sunset rather than this afternoon.  That said, if an updraft is
able to break through, the mid level cap this afternoon, it will
grow up scale quickly as the mid and upper level dynamics are very
supportive of severe thunderstorms.  This will make this a low
chance but high impact possibility for this afternoon.  As sunset
approaches, this will change dramatically with a much higher
likelyhood of severe thunderstorm activity. Thunderstorms are
expected to develop to the west of the CWA and enter the CWA around
sunset. By this time, the moisture will be in place and will create
conducive environment for severe thunderstorm activity.  Large,
damaging hail, damaging winds and with a few strong tornadoes are
possible during the evening.  This activity will move across the CWA
with this thunderstorm activity likely coming together into a more
linear or squall line mode as it moves into the I-135 corridor. Once
this occurs, high winds (65+ mph) are expected but large hail and an
isolated tornado can't be ruled out.  This thunderstorm activity is
expected to push through the CWA during the overnight with Southeast
Kansas likely to see some residual thunderstorm activity Sunday
morning but this will be pushing out of the region.

Sunday the main area of showers and thunderstorms will push to the
east and north.  This activity may linger in these areas for much of
the afternoon but do not expect severe weather to linger and is
expected to push off to the east.  Monday high pressure will
dominate and keep the shower and thunderstorm activity out of the
forecast.  Temperatures are expected to remain near normal for this
time and through the end of the week.  Rain chances increase by mid
week and into end of the week.  At this time, the best chance for
rain look to be toward the end of the week with smaller chances on
Wednesday.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 24Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 541 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024

60+ dew points arrived at the southern terminals late this afternoon
and cu popped up as a result of the lower level moisture, diabtic
heating and colder and drier air aloft. An upper wave moving through
from the southwest, dry line advancing from the west, deep shear of
50+ knots and moderate to strong instability will all combine for
the potential for scattered to widespread strong to severe
thunderstorms from near issuance time at KRSL and KGDB to 06z at
KCNU. Gusts to 50+, hail greater than an inch and tornadoes are all
possible along with MVFR and brief IFR flying conditions.

Best chances of thunderstorms looks to be at KICT, KHUT and KNU,
closer to the higher dew points, so will put Tempo thunderstorm
groups in there. In fact, radar was showing two supercells, that
were just southeast of Dodge City, moving northeast toward
Hutchinson and Wichita and set to be nearby shortly after 01z.

As the complex low pressure system moves away Sunday morning, flying
conditions will improve and winds will shift to the southwest and
later northwest.

Winds away from convection will be mostly from the south and
southeast with gusts to around 25 knots over the eastern terminals
and 30+ knots over western ones.

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

DISCUSSION...ELM
AVIATION...MK

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wichita KS
319 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-262030-
Russell-Lincoln-Barton-Ellsworth-Saline-Rice-McPherson-Marion-Chase-
Reno-Harvey-Butler-Greenwood-Woodson-Allen-Kingman-Sedgwick-Harper-
Sumner-Cowley-Elk-Wilson-Neosho-Chautauqua-Montgomery-Labette-
319 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Central Kansas,
South Central Kansas and Southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Storms are expected to develop over Western Oklahoma and Western
Kansas late this afternoon or early evening, affecting the area
generally after 6 pm. Very large hail up to baseball size and
damaging winds to 75 mph will be possible with any storm that is
able to develop this evening. The highest tornado potential looks
to be generally along and south of Highway 400 between 6 pm and 10
pm. Additionally, very heavy rain is likely with these storms which
may cause localized flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

Scattered storms are expected to return to return to the forecast
for Tuesday night through Friday with at least some strong storms
possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated tonight.

&&

For a graphical version of this information, see our webpage at:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=ict

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wichita KS
947 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0942 PM     Non-Tstm Wnd Gst 2 SW Salina             38.79N 97.65W
05/25/2024  M63 MPH          Saline             KS   ASOS

&&

JWK

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wichita KS
948 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024

KSZ051-260330-
McPherson KS-
948 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT CENTRAL MCPHERSON COUNTY THROUGH
1030 PM CDT...

At 948 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm just
west of Mcpherson, moving east-northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Mcpherson, Galva, Canton, Mcpherson Airport, and Roxbury.

This includes Interstate 135 between Mile Markers 57 and 70.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 100 AM CDT for central
Kansas.

&&

LAT...LON 3837 9737 3828 9777 3844 9784 3859 9737
TIME...MOT...LOC 0248Z 241DEG 36KT 3838 9772

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

DARMOFAL

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1002 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0952 PM     Hail             1 N Mcpherson           38.39N 97.66W
05/25/2024  M0.88 Inch       McPherson          KS   NWS Employee

&&

Baerg

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1021 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1020 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     5 NE Lincoln            39.09N 98.08W
05/25/2024  E60 MPH          Lincoln            KS   Trained Spotter

            50-60 mph wind gust and penny-sized hail
            reported.

&&

JWK

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1034 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1032 PM     Hail             2 N Durham              38.51N 97.23W
05/25/2024  M0.75 Inch       Marion             KS   Law Enforcement

&&

JWK

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1205 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1158 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     7 N Arkansas City       37.17N 97.03W
05/25/2024  M58 MPH          Cowley             KS   ASOS

            ASOS station KWLD Strother Field Airport.

&&