Wind Advisory 7, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

894 
WWUS72 KGSP 280513
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
1213 AM EST Wed Feb 28 2024

NCZ033-049-050-053-065-501-503-505-507-509-281600-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0007.240228T1800Z-240229T0600Z/
Avery-Yancey-Mitchell-Buncombe-Henderson-Caldwell Mountains-
Burke Mountains-McDowell Mountains-Rutherford Mountains-
Polk Mountains-
Including the cities of Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Swiss, 
Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, Ramseytown, Busick, Spruce Pine, 
Poplar, Asheville, Black Mountain, Candler, Hendersonville, 
Fletcher, Dana, East Flat Rock, Tuxedo, Etowah, Jonas Ridge, 
Ashford, Woodlawn, Old Fort, Chimney Rock State Park, and Saluda
1213 AM EST Wed Feb 28 2024

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM WEDNESDAY TO 1 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 55 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Avery, Buncombe, Burke Mountains, Caldwell Mountains, 
  Henderson, McDowell Mountains, Mitchell, Polk Mountains, 
  Rutherford Mountains, and Yancey Counties.

* WHEN...From 1 PM Wednesday to 1 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

NCZ052-059-062>064-281600-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0007.240228T1800Z-240229T0600Z/
Haywood-Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson-Transylvania-
Including the cities of Rainbow Springs, Kyle, Highlands, 
and Cashiers
1213 AM EST Wed Feb 28 2024

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM WEDNESDAY TO 1 AM EST
THURSDAY ABOVE 3500 FEET...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 55 mph 
  expected above 3500 feet.

* WHERE...Haywood, Macon, Northern Jackson, Southern Jackson, 
  and Transylvania Counties.

* WHEN...From 1 PM Wednesday to 1 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$
Lane

611 
WWUS72 KGSP 280908
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
408 AM EST Wed Feb 28 2024

NCZ033-049-050-053-065-501-503-505-507-509-290000-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0007.240228T1800Z-240229T0600Z/
Avery-Yancey-Mitchell-Buncombe-Henderson-Caldwell Mountains-Burke
Mountains-McDowell Mountains-Rutherford Mountains-Polk Mountains-
Including the cities of Swiss, Jonas Ridge, Poplar, Patterson,
Black Mountain, Old Fort, Celo, Tuxedo, Ashford, Candler,
Ramseytown, Busick, Asheville, Sugar Hill, Burnsville,
Hendersonville, Etowah, Banner Elk, Fletcher, Ingalls, Saluda,
Woodlawn, East Flat Rock, Newland, Chimney Rock State Park,
Micaville, Dana, and Spruce Pine
408 AM EST Wed Feb 28 2024

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 AM 
EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 to 60 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Avery, Buncombe, Burke Mountains, Caldwell Mountains, 
  Henderson, McDowell Mountains, Mitchell, Polk Mountains, 
  Rutherford Mountains, and Yancey Counties.

* WHEN...From 1 PM this afternoon to 1 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of weather 
information for the latest updates. Additional details can be found 
at www.weather.gov/gsp.

&&

$$

NCZ052-059-062>064-290000-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0007.240228T1800Z-240229T0600Z/
Haywood-Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson-Transylvania-
Including the cities of Waterville, Cruso, Rainbow Springs,
Highlands, Cashiers, Canton, Sylva, Wolf Mountain, Brevard,
Waynesville, Tuckasegee, Cullowhee, Franklin, Cove Creek, Kyle,
Little River, and Cedar Mountain
408 AM EST Wed Feb 28 2024

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 AM 
EST THURSDAY ABOVE 3500 FEET...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph 
  expected above 3500 feet.

* WHERE...Haywood, Macon, Northern Jackson, Southern Jackson, and 
  Transylvania Counties.

* WHEN...From 1 PM this afternoon to 1 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of weather 
information for the latest updates. Additional details can be found 
at www.weather.gov/gsp.

&&

$$

TW

862 
WWUS72 KGSP 282350
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
650 PM EST Wed Feb 28 2024

NCZ033-049-050-053-065-501-503-505-507-509-290600-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-240229T0600Z/
Avery-Yancey-Mitchell-Buncombe-Henderson-Caldwell Mountains-Burke
Mountains-McDowell Mountains-Rutherford Mountains-Polk Mountains-
Including the cities of Ashford, Newland, Tuxedo, Swiss,
Hendersonville, Saluda, Old Fort, Ramseytown, Black Mountain,
Spruce Pine, Sugar Hill, Patterson, Micaville, Burnsville,
Fletcher, Banner Elk, Celo, Busick, Ingalls, Asheville, Etowah,
Poplar, Chimney Rock State Park, Jonas Ridge, East Flat Rock,
Dana, Candler, and Woodlawn
650 PM EST Wed Feb 28 2024

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.

* WHERE...Avery, Buncombe, Burke Mountains, Caldwell Mountains, 
  Henderson, McDowell Mountains, Mitchell, Polk Mountains, 
  Rutherford Mountains, and Yancey Counties.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of weather 
information for the latest updates. Additional details can be found 
at www.weather.gov/gsp.

&&

$$

NCZ052-059-062>064-290600-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-240229T0600Z/
Haywood-Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson-Transylvania-
Including the cities of Waynesville, Franklin, Rainbow Springs,
Brevard, Little River, Cashiers, Kyle, Cove Creek, Canton, Sylva,
Cruso, Tuckasegee, Wolf Mountain, Cullowhee, Cedar Mountain,
Highlands, and Waterville
650 PM EST Wed Feb 28 2024

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY ABOVE 
3500 FEET...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph above 
  3500 feet.

* WHERE...Haywood, Macon, Northern Jackson, Southern Jackson, and 
  Transylvania Counties.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree 
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high 
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your favorite source of weather 
information for the latest updates. Additional details can be found 
at www.weather.gov/gsp.

&&

$$

Moore

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
157 PM EST Tue Feb 27 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
A strong cold front will approach from the Mississippi Valley
tonight then move across our area Wednesday afternoon and evening.
Expect showers and thunderstorms ahead of the front.  A brief period
of dry weather is expected Thursday before unsettled conditions
return Friday and into the weekend. Temperatures will be a bit
chilly on Friday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 210 PM Tuesday: Starting the near term off with scattered
showers tapering off across the CWA. Meanwhile, a strong frontal
boundary extends southward from the upper Midwest, while a moderate
shortwave trough sweeps across the central portion of the CONUS. To
the south, the subtropical jet continues to feed in moisture ahead
of the FROPA. Guidance from the NAM indicates the strong isentropic
ascent weakens Tuesday night and pressure height falls gradually
creep across the region overnight. Most of the rain showers will
diminish by the evening with an occasional pop-up shower likely in
the mountains before midnight. PoP goes down (<15%) through
Wednesday afternoon and quickly ramp up from west to east,
coinciding with the front. As for any thunderstorm possibility,
chances are looking low. Guidance from the CAMs do hint at a weak
QLCS coming through quickly in the afternoon, but instability
remains limited. The HRRR and RAP suggest a brief window of sbCAPE
around 100 J/kg along the line. If any can muster, this would be
undercut rapidly with the CAA and drier air behind the frontal
boundary. Another hindrance is the shear parallel flow, not aiding
to much surface wind response for any sustained updrafts. For these
reasons, if any line of storms can survive the mountains, wind
damage may be the only hazard of concern. Confidence remains low for
severe. The front should be nearing, if not out of, the CWA by the
end of this forecast period. Strong surface winds are likely to be
an issue across the mountains, especially the higher elevations,
behind the front. A Wind Advisory will likely be needed in the next
forecast. In addition to the FROPA and second round of
precipitation, compressional heating from a tightening gradient will
help support well above normal high temperatures. Most of the area
east of the mountains will reach the mid 70s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 115 pm Tuesday: The system impacting the area in the near term
period will depart rapidly on Wednesday evening with small pops
ending during the evening. Some of the precip may become a wintry
mix in the higher mountains before ending, but nothing significant
is expected. What will be more significant is the winds behind this
system on Wednesday evening and overnight. Gusts of 40 to 50 mph will
be possible in the high elevations and in locations near the Blue
Ridge escarpment. A narrow region right along and just southeast of
the escarpment could see gusts of 50 to 60 mph. A wind advisory will
need to be considered tonight for this scenario. Temperatures by
Thursday morning will generally be in the 20s in the mountains and
30s in the Piedmont.

Surface high pressure will build into the area on Thursday leading
to lighter winds and dry conditions. Highs on Thursday will be 10-15
degrees cooler than Wednesday, but still only a few degrees below
climo.

Moisture will return rapidly from the southwest Thursday night as
the next system moves out of the Plains into the eastern part of the
country. Precipitation, mostly rain, will approach the area toward
daybreak on Friday. Some of the initial precipitation in the
mountains may be a wintry mix especially in the higher elevations.
The mixed precipitation should not last very long as the warmer air
spreads north and the surface high centered to the northeast moves
away to the east.

A rainy and cool day is expected on Friday as this next system moves
through. This should be the most widespread rain event of the
period, but amounts should be manageable.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 130 pm Tuesday: Some light rain will linger into Friday night
and early Saturday, but conditions should improve somewhat by
Saturday afternoon. For the rest of the weekend into Monday, there
will be plenty of clouds with a small chance of showers as weak
impulses move through the westerly mid and upper level flow. The
next system looks to impact the area next Tuesday.

The weekend and early next week will feature above normal
temperatures each period.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
At KCLT and elsewhere: Sites start off messy with IFR/LIFR
throughout the area due to ongoing scattered showers and lower
stratus. Conditions will start to improve as the showers taper off
this afternoon. Lingering moisture will keep CIGS MVFR through most
of the period once the showers end. KHKY and KAVL will likely dip
into IFR overnight but come back up to MVFR by Wednesday morning.
This is all ahead of a strong cold front expected to sweep through
Wednesday afternoon, as seen at KCLT with direction change to NW
near 23z. Other sites can expect a similar shift in the next TAF
issuance. Winds will remain SW and gusty at all sites this afternoon
and overnight, ahead of the front, with speeds picking up after the
front passes. There is a chance for the front to also bring a quick
shot of TS, but should remain sub severe. Confidence is low to
medium, hence a PROB30 for KCLT from 20z-22z Wednesday.

Outlook: A cold front passes through on Wednesday with possible
possible thunderstorms. Dry conditions return Thursday before the
pattern turns wet again with rain and associated restrictions likely
returning by early Friday.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...Increased Fire Danger until 7 PM EST this evening for GAZ010-
     017-018-026-028-029.
NC...None.
SC...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DEO
NEAR TERM...CP
SHORT TERM...SCW
LONG TERM...SCW
AVIATION...CP

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
531 AM EST Tue Feb 27 2024

NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501-503-505-507-509-281045-
Avery-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Buncombe-Graham-
Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson-Transylvania-Henderson-
Caldwell Mountains-Burke Mountains-McDowell Mountains-
Rutherford Mountains-Polk Mountains-
531 AM EST Tue Feb 27 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Very gusty winds from the south are expected to develop across the
North Carolina mountains today and continue through tonight. Winds
on exposed peaks and ridgetops above 4000 feet are expected to see
frequent gusts of 40 to 50 mph. While winds will not be as strong in
the lower elevations, occasional gusts as high as 40 mph will be
possible in the valleys.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Very gusty winds are expected to continue into Wednesday and
Wednesday night across the mountains. The strongest winds are
expected from late afternoon into the evening, when directions will
shift from the northwest in the wake of a strong cold front. Gusts of
40 to 50 mph will be possible in the high elevations and in locations
near the Blue Ridge escarpment. A narrow region right along and just
southeast of the escarpment could see gusts of 50 to 60 mph.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

None.

NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-502-504-506-508-510-SCZ008>014-019-
101>109-281045-
Alexander-Iredell-Davie-Catawba-Rowan-Cleveland-Lincoln-Gaston-
Mecklenburg-Cabarrus-Union NC-Greater Caldwell-Greater Burke-
Eastern McDowell-Greater Rutherford-Eastern Polk-Cherokee-York-
Anderson-Abbeville-Laurens-Union SC-Chester-Greenwood-
Oconee Mountains-Pickens Mountains-Greenville Mountains-
Greater Oconee-Greater Pickens-Central Greenville-
Southern Greenville-Northern Spartanburg-Southern Spartanburg-
531 AM EST Tue Feb 27 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for piedmont North Carolina,
western North Carolina and upstate South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

None.

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-281045-
Rabun-Habersham-Stephens-Franklin-Hart-Elbert-
531 AM EST Tue Feb 27 2024

...INCREASED FIRE DANGER IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST THIS MORNING
THROUGH THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Increased Fire Danger.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

None.

Lane