Alert archive / Iowa / River Flood Warnings in 2024

River Flood Warning 3, NWS Sioux Falls, SD

May 2, 2024Clay County, Iowa

NWS Sioux Falls, SD issued this river flood warning at May 2, 2024, 8:50 AM CDT for Clay County, Iowa. It took effect at May 2, 2024, 11:59 AM CDT. It was in force for 69 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 2, 2024, 8:50 AM CDT (13:50 UTC)
In effect from
May 2, 2024, 11:59 AM CDT
Expired
May 5, 2024, 8:57 AM CDT
In force
69 hr
Issued by
NWS Sioux Falls, SD
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Clay County, IA

The radar

The Sioux Falls radar (KFSD), 130 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Ocheyedan River near Spencer (SPOI4). The gauge peaked at 9.09 ft at May 3, 2024, 12:00 PM CDT.

actionminormoderate67891005/0205/0305/0405/0505/06
Action stage
7 ft
Minor stage
8 ft
Moderate stage
9.5 ft
Major stage
10.5 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 06605000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

006 
WGUS43 KFSD 021350
FLWFSD

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
850 AM CDT Thu May 2 2024

...The National Weather Service in Sioux Falls SD has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in Iowa...

  Ocheyedan River near Spencer affecting Clay County.

  Little Sioux River at Cherokee affecting Cherokee County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by Friday morning.

&&

IAC041-031600-
/O.NEW.KFSD.FL.W.0003.240502T1659Z-240506T1500Z/
/SPOI4.1.ER.240502T1659Z.240503T1200Z.240505T1500Z.NO/
850 AM CDT Thu May 2 2024

...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING TO LATE MONDAY 
MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Ocheyedan River near Spencer.

* WHEN...From this morning to late Monday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 9.5 feet, significant amounts of pasture and other 
  farm land begin flooding.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:45 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 7.6 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    late this morning to a crest of 8.8 feet tomorrow morning. It
    will then fall below flood stage late Sunday morning.
  - Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

               Fld    Observed            Forecasts (7 am CDT)     
Location       Stg    Stg    Day/Time     Fri   Sat   Sun          

Ocheyedan River
Spencer        8.0    7.6    Thu 7 am     8.8   8.6   8.1          


&&

LAT...LON 4317 9531 4314 9516 4313 9514 4312 9520
      4313 9531


$$

IAC035-031600-
/O.NEW.KFSD.FL.W.0004.240503T0243Z-240508T0000Z/
/CHKI4.1.ER.240503T0243Z.240503T1800Z.240507T0000Z.NO/
850 AM CDT Thu May 2 2024

...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING TO TUESDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Little Sioux River at Cherokee.

* WHEN...From this evening to Tuesday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 18.0 feet, Cherokee city park begins to flood on the 
  south bank of the river.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:00 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 15.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    late this evening to a crest of 18.2 feet early tomorrow
    afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage Monday
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

  Fld    Observed            Forecasts (7 am CDT)
Location          Stg    Stg    Day/Time     Fri   Sat   Sun

Little Sioux River
Cherokee          17.0   15.3   Thu 7 am     18.1  17.8  17.4


&&

LAT...LON 4292 9547 4287 9542 4264 9555 4256 9569
      4256 9581 4269 9561 4280 9559


$$

Dux
6 follow-up statements
282 
WGUS83 KFSD 030201
FLSFSD

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
901 PM CDT Thu May 2 2024

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Iowa...

  Little Sioux River at Cherokee affecting Cherokee County.

  Waterman Creek near Sutherland affecting O'Brien County.

  Little Sioux River above Spencer / Highway 18 affecting Clay 
  County.

  Little Sioux River at Spencer affecting Clay County.

  Little Sioux River near Milford affecting Dickinson County.

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Iowa...

  Ocheyedan River near Spencer affecting Clay County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by Friday evening.

&&

IAC035-040415-
/O.EXT.KFSD.FL.W.0004.240503T0201Z-240507T1800Z/
/CHKI4.1.ER.240503T0032Z.240503T1800Z.240506T1800Z.NO/
901 PM CDT Thu May 2 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING TO EARLY TUESDAY 
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Little Sioux River at Cherokee.

* WHEN...From this evening to early Tuesday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 18.0 feet, Cherokee city park begins to flood on the 
  south bank of the river.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:00 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 17.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 18.1
    feet early tomorrow afternoon. It will then fall below flood
    stage early Monday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

  Fld    Observed            Forecasts (7 pm CDT)
Location          Stg    Stg    Day/Time     Fri   Sat   Sun

Little Sioux River
Cherokee          17.0   17.0   Thu 7 pm     18.1  17.3  17.0


&&

LAT...LON 4292 9547 4287 9542 4264 9555 4256 9569
      4256 9581 4269 9561 4280 9559


$$

IAC041-040415-
/O.EXT.KFSD.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-240507T0000Z/
/SPOI4.1.ER.240502T1415Z.240503T1200Z.240506T0000Z.NO/
901 PM CDT Thu May 2 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MONDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Ocheyedan River near Spencer.

* WHEN...Until Monday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 9.5 feet, significant amounts of pasture and other 
  farm land begin flooding.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:45 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 8.9 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 7:45 PM CDT Thursday was 8.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 9.1
    feet tomorrow morning. It will then fall below flood stage
    Sunday evening.
  - Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

               Fld    Observed            Forecasts (7 pm CDT)     
Location       Stg    Stg    Day/Time     Fri   Sat   Sun          

Ocheyedan River
Spencer        8.0    8.9    Thu 7 pm     9.0   8.5   8.0          


&&

LAT...LON 4317 9531 4314 9516 4313 9514 4312 9520
      4313 9531


$$

IAC141-040415-
/O.CON.KFSD.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SWCI4.1.ER.240502T1449Z.240502T1815Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
901 PM CDT Thu May 2 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Waterman Creek near Sutherland.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 1235.0 feet, ditches fill and minor lowland flooding 
  begins.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:00 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 1235.4 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:00 PM CDT Thursday was 1236.2 feet.
  - Forecast...No forecast is available for this location.
  - Flood stage is 1235.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

              Fld    Observed            Forecasts (unknown time) 
Location      Stg    Stg    Day/Time     d1    d2    d3           

Waterman Creek
Sutherland    1235.0 1235.4 Thu 8 pm     MSG   MSG   MSG          


&&

LAT...LON 4305 9546 4305 9540 4294 9541 4294 9543


$$

IAC041-040415-
/O.CON.KFSD.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SPII4.1.ER.240502T1330Z.240503T0100Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
901 PM CDT Thu May 2 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Little Sioux River above Spencer / Highway 18.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:00 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 1322.8 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:00 PM CDT Thursday was 1322.8 feet.
  - Forecast...No forecast is available for this location.
  - Flood stage is 1322.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

  Fld    Observed            Forecasts (unknown time)
Location            Stg    Stg    Day/Time     d1    d2    d3

Little Sioux River
Spencer / Highway 1 1322.0 1322.8 Thu 8 pm     MSG   MSG   MSG


&&

LAT...LON 4326 9527 4326 9520 4321 9521 4317 9514
      4317 9520 4321 9526


$$

IAC041-040415-
/O.CON.KFSD.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SPWI4.1.ER.240501T0257Z.240503T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
901 PM CDT Thu May 2 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Little Sioux River at Spencer.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:15 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 11.4 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 7:15 PM CDT Thursday was 11.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 12.0
    feet tomorrow morning.
  - Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

  Fld    Observed            Forecasts (7 pm CDT)
Location          Stg    Stg    Day/Time     Fri   Sat   Sun

Little Sioux River
Spencer           10.0   11.4   Thu 7 pm     12.0  11.7  11.2


&&

LAT...LON 4317 9520 4317 9514 4313 9502 4300 9501
      4296 9508 4296 9516 4306 9508 4312 9519


$$

IAC059-040415-
/O.CON.KFSD.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MIFI4.1.ER.240501T0040Z.240503T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
901 PM CDT Thu May 2 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Little Sioux River near Milford.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 14.0 feet, significant amounts of pasture and other 
  farm lands begin to flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:00 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 13.7 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 7:00 PM CDT Thursday was 13.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to remain nearly steady
    around 13.7 feet through early afternoon Friday, and then
    start slowly falling.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

  Fld    Observed            Forecasts (7 pm CDT)
Location          Stg    Stg    Day/Time     Fri   Sat   Sun

Little Sioux River
Milford           12.0   13.7   Thu 7 pm     13.6  13.5  13.0


&&

LAT...LON 4341 9527 4341 9523 4330 9515 4326 9520
      4326 9527 4329 9523


$$

Masters
251 
WGUS83 KFSD 031532
FLSFSD

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
1032 AM CDT Fri May 3 2024

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Iowa...

  Little Sioux River at Cherokee affecting Cherokee County.

  Ocheyedan River near Spencer affecting Clay County.

  Little Sioux River above Spencer / Highway 18 affecting Clay 
  County.

  Little Sioux River at Spencer affecting Clay County.

  Little Sioux River near Milford affecting Dickinson County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by Saturday afternoon.

&&

IAC035-041745-
/O.EXT.KFSD.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-240508T0000Z/
/CHKI4.1.ER.240503T0032Z.240503T1000Z.240507T0000Z.NO/
1032 AM CDT Fri May 3 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Little Sioux River at Cherokee.

* WHEN...Until Tuesday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 18.0 feet, Cherokee city park begins to flood on the 
  south bank of the river.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:00 AM CDT Friday the stage was 18.1 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:00 AM CDT Friday was 18.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    Monday evening and continue falling to 16.2 feet Wednesday
    morning. This will be dependent on rainfall over the next 24
    hours.
  - Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

  Fld    Observed            Forecasts (1 pm CDT)
Location          Stg    Stg    Day/Time     Sat   Sun   Mon

Little Sioux River
Cherokee          17.0   18.1   Fri 9 am     17.7  17.4  17.1


&&

LAT...LON 4292 9547 4287 9542 4264 9555 4256 9569
      4256 9581 4269 9561 4280 9559


$$

IAC041-041745-
/O.EXT.KFSD.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-240507T1200Z/
/SPOI4.1.ER.240502T1415Z.240503T1045Z.240506T1200Z.NO/
1032 AM CDT Fri May 3 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Ocheyedan River near Spencer.

* WHEN...Until Tuesday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 9.5 feet, significant amounts of pasture and other 
  farm land begin flooding.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:45 AM CDT Friday the stage was 9.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:45 AM CDT Friday was 9.1 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    Monday morning and continue falling to 7.2 feet Wednesday
    morning. This will be dependent on rainfall over the next 24
    hours.
  - Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

               Fld    Observed            Forecasts (1 pm CDT)     
Location       Stg    Stg    Day/Time     Sat   Sun   Mon          

Ocheyedan River
Spencer        8.0    9.0    Fri 9 am     8.7   8.4   7.9          


&&

LAT...LON 4317 9531 4314 9516 4313 9514 4312 9520
      4313 9531


$$

IAC041-041745-
/O.CON.KFSD.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SPII4.1.ER.240502T1330Z.240503T1300Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1032 AM CDT Fri May 3 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Little Sioux River above Spencer / Highway 18.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:30 AM CDT Friday the stage was 1322.8 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:30 AM CDT Friday was 1322.8 feet.
  - Forecast...No forecast is available for this location.
  - Flood stage is 1322.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

  Fld    Observed            Forecasts (unknown time)
Location            Stg    Stg    Day/Time     d1    d2    d3

Little Sioux River
Spencer / Highway 1 1322.0 1322.8 Fri 9 am     MSG   MSG   MSG


&&

LAT...LON 4326 9527 4326 9520 4321 9521 4317 9514
      4317 9520 4321 9526


$$

IAC041-041745-
/O.CON.KFSD.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SPWI4.1.ER.240501T0257Z.240503T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1032 AM CDT Fri May 3 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Little Sioux River at Spencer.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:00 AM CDT Friday the stage was 11.8 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:00 AM CDT Friday was 11.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 12.0
    feet this afternoon. The river may then begin to fall
    depending on rainfall over the next 24 hours.
  - Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

  Fld    Observed            Forecasts (1 pm CDT)
Location          Stg    Stg    Day/Time     Sat   Sun   Mon

Little Sioux River
Spencer           10.0   11.8   Fri 9 am     12.0  11.7  11.3


&&

LAT...LON 4317 9520 4317 9514 4313 9502 4300 9501
      4296 9508 4296 9516 4306 9508 4312 9519


$$

IAC059-041745-
/O.CON.KFSD.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MIFI4.1.ER.240501T0040Z.240503T1300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1032 AM CDT Fri May 3 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Little Sioux River near Milford.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 14.0 feet, significant amounts of pasture and other 
  farm lands begin to flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:00 AM CDT Friday the stage was 13.8 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 9:00 AM CDT Friday was 13.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 13.9
    feet tomorrow morning. This will be dependent on rainfall
    over the next 24 hours.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

  Fld    Observed            Forecasts (1 pm CDT)
Location          Stg    Stg    Day/Time     Sat   Sun   Mon

Little Sioux River
Milford           12.0   13.8   Fri 9 am     13.6  13.3  12.9


&&

LAT...LON 4341 9527 4341 9523 4330 9515 4326 9520
      4326 9527 4329 9523


$$

AP
221 
WGUS83 KFSD 040127
FLSFSD

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
827 PM CDT Fri May 3 2024

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Iowa...

  Little Sioux River at Cherokee affecting Cherokee County.

  Ocheyedan River near Spencer affecting Clay County.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Iowa...

  Little Sioux River above Spencer / Highway 18 affecting Clay 
  County.

  Little Sioux River at Spencer affecting Clay County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by Saturday evening.

&&

IAC035-050330-
/O.EXT.KFSD.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CHKI4.1.ER.240503T0032Z.240506T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
827 PM CDT Fri May 3 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Little Sioux River at Cherokee.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 19.0 feet, the north bank of the river overflows.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:00 PM CDT Friday the stage was 17.5 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 7:00 PM CDT Friday was 18.1 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 19.6
    feet Sunday evening.
  - Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

  Fld    Observed            Forecasts (7 pm CDT)
Location          Stg    Stg    Day/Time     Sat   Sun   Mon

Little Sioux River
Cherokee          17.0   17.5   Fri 7 pm     18.7  19.6  19.1


&&

LAT...LON 4292 9547 4287 9542 4264 9555 4256 9569
      4256 9581 4269 9561 4280 9559


$$

IAC041-050330-
/O.EXT.KFSD.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-240509T1200Z/
/SPOI4.1.ER.240502T1415Z.240505T0000Z.240508T1200Z.NO/
827 PM CDT Fri May 3 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Ocheyedan River near Spencer.

* WHEN...Until Thursday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 9.5 feet, significant amounts of pasture and other 
  farm land begin flooding.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:45 PM CDT Friday the stage was 9.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 7:45 PM CDT Friday was 9.1 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 9.2
    feet tomorrow evening. It will then fall below flood stage
    Wednesday morning.
  - Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

               Fld    Observed            Forecasts (7 pm CDT)     
Location       Stg    Stg    Day/Time     Sat   Sun   Mon          

Ocheyedan River
Spencer        8.0    9.0    Fri 7 pm     9.2   9.0   8.6          


&&

LAT...LON 4317 9531 4314 9516 4313 9514 4312 9520
      4313 9531


$$

IAC041-050330-
/O.CON.KFSD.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SPII4.1.ER.240502T1330Z.240503T1300Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
827 PM CDT Fri May 3 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Little Sioux River above Spencer / Highway 18.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:30 PM CDT Friday the stage was 1322.8 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 7:30 PM CDT Friday was 1322.8 feet.
  - Forecast...No forecast is available for this location.
  - Flood stage is 1322.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

  Fld    Observed            Forecasts (unknown time)
Location            Stg    Stg    Day/Time     d1    d2    d3

Little Sioux River
Spencer / Highway 1 1322.0 1322.8 Fri 7 pm     MSG   MSG   MSG


&&

LAT...LON 4326 9527 4326 9520 4321 9521 4317 9514
      4317 9520 4321 9526


$$

IAC041-050330-
/O.CON.KFSD.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SPWI4.1.ER.240501T0257Z.240505T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
827 PM CDT Fri May 3 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Little Sioux River at Spencer.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 14.0 feet, city sewers in Spencer can begin to back 
  up. Highway 18 between Spencer and Dickens can start flooding if 
  flows on the tributary creeks are also very high.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:15 PM CDT Friday the stage was 12.2 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 7:15 PM CDT Friday was 12.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 12.4
    feet early Sunday morning.
  - Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

  Fld    Observed            Forecasts (7 pm CDT)
Location          Stg    Stg    Day/Time     Sat   Sun   Mon

Little Sioux River
Spencer           10.0   12.2   Fri 7 pm     12.3  12.3  12.1


&&

LAT...LON 4317 9520 4317 9514 4313 9502 4300 9501
      4296 9508 4296 9516 4306 9508 4312 9519


$$

Chapman
806 
WGUS83 KFSD 041322
FLSFSD

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
822 AM CDT Sat May 4 2024

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Iowa...

  Little Sioux River At Linn Grove affecting O'Brien, Buena Vista, 
  Clay and Cherokee Counties.

  Little Sioux River at Cherokee affecting Cherokee County.

  Ocheyedan River near Spencer affecting Clay County.

  Little Sioux River above Spencer / Highway 18 affecting Clay 
  County.

  Little Sioux River at Spencer affecting Clay County.

  Little Sioux River near Milford affecting Dickinson County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by Sunday morning.

&&

IAC021-035-041-141-051530-
/O.EXT.KFSD.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-240508T1200Z/
/LNNI4.1.ER.240504T0340Z.240505T1800Z.240507T1200Z.NO/
822 AM CDT Sat May 4 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Little Sioux River at Linn Grove.

* WHEN...Until Wednesday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 18.5 feet, the city park in Sioux Rapids is flooded.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:00 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 18.4 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:00 AM CDT Saturday was 18.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 18.8
    feet early tomorrow afternoon. It will then fall below flood
    stage Tuesday morning.
  - Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

  Fld    Observed            Forecasts (7 am CDT)
Location          Stg    Stg    Day/Time     Sun   Mon   Tue

Little Sioux River
Linn Grove        18.0   18.4   Sat 8 am     18.7  18.6  18.0


&&

LAT...LON 4296 9544 4296 9508 4287 9509 4287 9542
      4292 9547


$$

IAC035-051530-
/O.EXT.KFSD.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-240509T0300Z/
/CHKI4.1.ER.240503T0032Z.240505T1200Z.240508T0300Z.NO/
822 AM CDT Sat May 4 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Little Sioux River at Cherokee.

* WHEN...Until late Wednesday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 18.0 feet, Cherokee city park begins to flood on the 
  south bank of the river.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:00 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 17.4 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 7:00 AM CDT Saturday was 17.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 17.8
    feet tomorrow morning. It will then fall below flood stage
    late Tuesday evening.
  - Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

  Fld    Observed            Forecasts (7 am CDT)
Location          Stg    Stg    Day/Time     Sun   Mon   Tue

Little Sioux River
Cherokee          17.0   17.4   Sat 7 am     17.8  17.8  17.4


&&

LAT...LON 4292 9547 4287 9542 4264 9555 4256 9569
      4256 9581 4269 9561 4280 9559


$$

IAC041-051530-
/O.EXT.KFSD.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-240506T0000Z/
/SPOI4.1.ER.240502T1415Z.240504T0130Z.240505T0000Z.NO/
822 AM CDT Sat May 4 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TOMORROW EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Ocheyedan River near Spencer.

* WHEN...Until tomorrow evening.

* IMPACTS...At 8.0 feet, minor flooding of pasture land begins.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:45 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 8.6 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 7:45 AM CDT Saturday was 9.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    this evening and continue falling to 6.5 feet Thursday
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

               Fld    Observed            Forecasts (7 am CDT)     
Location       Stg    Stg    Day/Time     Sun   Mon   Tue          

Ocheyedan River
Spencer        8.0    8.6    Sat 7 am     7.7   7.2   6.9          


&&

LAT...LON 4317 9531 4314 9516 4313 9514 4312 9520
      4313 9531


$$

IAC041-051530-
/O.CON.KFSD.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SPII4.1.ER.240502T1330Z.240503T1300Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
822 AM CDT Sat May 4 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Little Sioux River above Spencer / Highway 18.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:30 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 1322.8 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 7:30 AM CDT Saturday was 1322.8 feet.
  - Forecast...No forecast is available for this location.
  - Flood stage is 1322.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

  Fld    Observed            Forecasts (unknown time)
Location            Stg    Stg    Day/Time     d1    d2    d3

Little Sioux River
Spencer / Highway 1 1322.0 1322.8 Sat 7 am     MSG   MSG   MSG


&&

LAT...LON 4326 9527 4326 9520 4321 9521 4317 9514
      4317 9520 4321 9526


$$

IAC041-051530-
/O.CON.KFSD.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SPWI4.1.ER.240501T0257Z.240504T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
822 AM CDT Sat May 4 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Little Sioux River at Spencer.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 14.0 feet, city sewers in Spencer can begin to back 
  up. Highway 18 between Spencer and Dickens can start flooding if 
  flows on the tributary creeks are also very high.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:00 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 12.3 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 7:00 AM CDT Saturday was 12.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 12.3
    feet this afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

  Fld    Observed            Forecasts (7 am CDT)
Location          Stg    Stg    Day/Time     Sun   Mon   Tue

Little Sioux River
Spencer           10.0   12.3   Sat 7 am     12.2  11.8  11.3


&&

LAT...LON 4317 9520 4317 9514 4313 9502 4300 9501
      4296 9508 4296 9516 4306 9508 4312 9519


$$

IAC059-051530-
/O.CON.KFSD.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MIFI4.1.ER.240501T0040Z.240505T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
822 AM CDT Sat May 4 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Little Sioux River near Milford.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 14.0 feet, significant amounts of pasture and other 
  farm lands begin to flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:00 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 13.6 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 7:00 AM CDT Saturday was 13.6 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 13.8
    feet this evening.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

  Fld    Observed            Forecasts (7 am CDT)
Location          Stg    Stg    Day/Time     Sun   Mon   Tue

Little Sioux River
Milford           12.0   13.6   Sat 7 am     13.8  13.5  13.1


&&

LAT...LON 4341 9527 4341 9523 4330 9515 4326 9520
      4326 9527 4329 9523


$$

AP
893 
WGUS83 KFSD 050150
FLSFSD

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
850 PM CDT Sat May 4 2024

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Iowa...

  Little Sioux River At Linn Grove affecting Buena Vista, Cherokee, 
  O'Brien and Clay Counties.

  Little Sioux River at Cherokee affecting Cherokee County.

  Little Sioux River above Spencer / Highway 18 affecting Clay 
  County.

  Little Sioux River at Spencer affecting Clay County.

  Little Sioux River near Milford affecting Dickinson County.

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Iowa...

  Ocheyedan River near Spencer affecting Clay County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued by Sunday evening.

&&

IAC021-035-041-141-060400-
/O.EXT.KFSD.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-240508T0000Z/
/LNNI4.1.ER.240504T0340Z.240504T2230Z.240507T0000Z.NO/
850 PM CDT Sat May 4 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Little Sioux River at Linn Grove.

* WHEN...Until Tuesday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 18.5 feet, the city park in Sioux Rapids is flooded.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:00 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 19.0 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:00 PM CDT Saturday was 19.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    Monday evening and continue falling to 15.2 feet Thursday
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

  Fld    Observed            Forecasts (7 pm CDT)
Location          Stg    Stg    Day/Time     Sun   Mon   Tue

Little Sioux River
Linn Grove        18.0   19.0   Sat 8 pm     18.8  18.0  17.2


&&

LAT...LON 4296 9544 4296 9508 4287 9509 4287 9542
      4292 9547


$$

IAC035-060400-
/O.EXT.KFSD.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-240508T2100Z/
/CHKI4.1.ER.240503T0032Z.240505T1800Z.240507T2100Z.NO/
850 PM CDT Sat May 4 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Little Sioux River at Cherokee.

* WHEN...Until Wednesday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 18.0 feet, Cherokee city park begins to flood on the 
  south bank of the river.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:00 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 17.4 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 7:00 PM CDT Saturday was 17.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 18.2
    feet early tomorrow afternoon. It will then fall below flood
    stage Tuesday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

  Fld    Observed            Forecasts (7 pm CDT)
Location          Stg    Stg    Day/Time     Sun   Mon   Tue

Little Sioux River
Cherokee          17.0   17.4   Sat 7 pm     18.2  17.8  16.9


&&

LAT...LON 4292 9547 4287 9542 4264 9555 4256 9569
      4256 9581 4269 9561 4280 9559


$$

IAC041-060400-
/O.EXT.KFSD.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-240506T1200Z/
/SPOI4.1.ER.240502T1415Z.240504T0130Z.240505T1200Z.NO/
850 PM CDT Sat May 4 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Ocheyedan River near Spencer.

* WHEN...Until Monday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 8.0 feet, minor flooding of pasture land begins.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:45 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 8.3 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 7:45 PM CDT Saturday was 8.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    tomorrow morning and continue falling to 6.4 feet Thursday
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

               Fld    Observed            Forecasts (7 pm CDT)     
Location       Stg    Stg    Day/Time     Sun   Mon   Tue          

Ocheyedan River
Spencer        8.0    8.3    Sat 7 pm     7.7   7.3   6.9          


&&

LAT...LON 4317 9531 4314 9516 4313 9514 4312 9520
      4313 9531


$$

IAC041-060400-
/O.CON.KFSD.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SPII4.1.ER.240502T1330Z.240503T1300Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
850 PM CDT Sat May 4 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Little Sioux River above Spencer / Highway 18.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:00 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 1322.7 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:00 PM CDT Saturday was 1322.8 feet.
  - Forecast...No forecast is available for this location.
  - Flood stage is 1322.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

  Fld    Observed            Forecasts (unknown time)
Location            Stg    Stg    Day/Time     d1    d2    d3

Little Sioux River
Spencer / Highway 1 1322.0 1322.7 Sat 8 pm     MSG   MSG   MSG


&&

LAT...LON 4326 9527 4326 9520 4321 9521 4317 9514
      4317 9520 4321 9526


$$

IAC041-060400-
/O.CON.KFSD.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SPWI4.1.ER.240501T0257Z.240504T1400Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
850 PM CDT Sat May 4 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Little Sioux River at Spencer.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 14.0 feet, city sewers in Spencer can begin to back 
  up. Highway 18 between Spencer and Dickens can start flooding if 
  flows on the tributary creeks are also very high.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:15 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 12.1 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 7:15 PM CDT Saturday was 12.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 10.2 feet
    Thursday evening.
  - Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

  Fld    Observed            Forecasts (7 pm CDT)
Location          Stg    Stg    Day/Time     Sun   Mon   Tue

Little Sioux River
Spencer           10.0   12.1   Sat 7 pm     11.7  11.2  10.8


&&

LAT...LON 4317 9520 4317 9514 4313 9502 4300 9501
      4296 9508 4296 9516 4306 9508 4312 9519


$$

IAC059-060400-
/O.CON.KFSD.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MIFI4.1.ER.240501T0040Z.240504T1700Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
850 PM CDT Sat May 4 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Little Sioux River near Milford.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 14.0 feet, significant amounts of pasture and other 
  farm lands begin to flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:00 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 13.5 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 7:00 PM CDT Saturday was 13.6 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 12.0 feet
    Thursday evening.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

  Fld    Observed            Forecasts (7 pm CDT)
Location          Stg    Stg    Day/Time     Sun   Mon   Tue

Little Sioux River
Milford           12.0   13.5   Sat 7 pm     13.4  13.1  12.7


&&

LAT...LON 4341 9527 4341 9523 4330 9515 4326 9520
      4326 9527 4329 9523


$$

Chapman
956 
WGUS83 KFSD 051357
FLSFSD

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
857 AM CDT Sun May 5 2024

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Iowa...

  Ocheyedan River near Spencer affecting Clay County.

IAC041-051500-
/O.CAN.KFSD.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-240505T1357Z/
/SPOI4.1.ER.240502T1415Z.240504T0130Z.240505T1215Z.NO/
857 AM CDT Sun May 5 2024

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Ocheyedan River near Spencer.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:45 AM CDT Sunday the stage was 8.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to continue to fall through
    at least the first half of Monday. Additional rises are
    possible thereafter dependent on rainfall later Monday, which
    is not factored into the current forecast.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

               Fld    Observed            Forecasts (7 am CDT)     
Location       Stg    Stg    Day/Time     Mon   Tue   Wed          

Ocheyedan River
Spencer        8.0    8.0    Sun 8 am     7.5   7.1   6.8          


&&

LAT...LON 4317 9531 4314 9516 4313 9514 4312 9520
      4313 9531


$$

Kalin

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Sioux Falls, SD wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at May 2, 6:39 AM CDT, 2 hours 11 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • With up to 1-1.5" of rainfall fallen across portions of northwestern Iowa overnight by sunrise, there may be ponding of water on roadways and low-lying area, with some rises on the local rivers/streams.
  • Main area of showers and thunderstorms will move east this morning, with additional pop-up showers possible throughout the day.
  • Additional chances for scattered showers and thunderstorms return Friday night into Saturday, and again Monday night into Tuesday.
Area forecast discussion, May 2, 6:39 AM CDT, 2 hours 11 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
639 AM CDT Thu May 2 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- With up to 1-1.5" of rainfall fallen across portions of
  northwestern Iowa overnight by sunrise, there may be ponding
  of water on roadways and low-lying area, with some rises on
  the local rivers/streams.

- Main area of showers and thunderstorms will move east this
  morning, with additional pop-up showers possible throughout
  the day.

- Additional chances for scattered showers and thunderstorms
  return Friday night into Saturday, and again Monday night into
  Tuesday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 406 AM CDT Thu May 2 2024

Early morning radar shows showers and thunderstorms shifting
eastwards across the region, and as of 3 AM majority of the rainfall
is occurring east of the James River Valley. This activity is
occurring as an inverted trough is extending northwards into the
region, further aided by shortwaves moving around the cut-off upper
level low parked on the International Border. As the inverted trough
continues to shift eastwards, majority of the currently observed
rainfall will be pushing east of US 71 across SW Minnesota and NW
Iowa by the mid-morning hours. Soundings from across the region show
that the low-levels remain saturated throughout the day, and as
additional, albeit weaker, shortwaves move across the region,
another round or two of showers are possible throughout the day.
Given the saturated low-levels, not impossible to see some drizzle
falling out of the stratus deck during the morning hours.

Otherwise, a surface high pressure will be developing on the
backside of the exiting surface low pressure, which result in a
tightened surface pressure gradient leading to breezy winds
developing throughout the afternoon hours. Highest wind gusts are
expected along the central NE/SD border, where gusts into the mid
30s are possible, whereas elsewhere wind gusts into the mid 20s are
expected. Afternoon temperatures are expected to rebound up into the
mid 50s to lower 60s, possible mid 60s near the SD/IA/NE border.

We'll be watching a new surface low pressure develop under the
aforementioned cut-off upper level low, sending a cold front towards
the region. After early morning lows in the mid 30s to lower 40s,
with some patchy frost in central South Dakota, southwesterly winds
will advect warm air into the region out. Areas west of I-29 will be
the first to see the cold frontal passage, thus will see the coolest
high temperatures in the upper 50s to lower 60s. Areas well ahead of
the front are expected to reach back up into the mid 60s to lower
70s. The trough axis moves in quickly behind the cold front as it
pushes eastwards across the area throughout the afternoon hours, and
will lead to additional chances for scattered showers and
thunderstorms overnight into Saturday. Instability looks to remain
quite limited, with models showing a modest 200-500 J/kg of CAPE
available, so no severe weather is expected. Given little time for
moisture return since the last event, rainfall amounts are expected
to remain light, resulting in a 20 to 40% chance for a quarter inch,
lowest north of I-90 and highest south of I-90.

As a strong cut-off upper level low moves ashore onto the west
coast, upper level ridging will lead to dry conditions expected for
the rest of Saturday and throughout Sunday. Highs on Saturday will
fall into the lower to mid 60s, increasing on Sunday into the mid
60s to lower 70s.

The upper level ridging breaks down into Monday as the big trough
slides eastwards. The similarly strong surface low pressure will
continue warm air advection as we remain in the developing warm
sector, which will bring surface temperatures into the lower to mid
70s. Chances for showers and thunderstorms return Monday afternoon
as the surface low continues to move eastwards, with a strong cold
front moving across the region overnight into Tuesday. SPC has added
a 15% chance for severe thunderstorms south of the area, with
uncertainties on how north the instability is able to reach. Model
solutions continue to show that the cut-off upper level low will
stall out somewhere over the northern plains, which would result in
continued chances for scattered showers and thunderstorms.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 639 AM CDT Thu May 2 2024

Overnight showers are continuing to shift eastwards east of I-29,
with MVFR/IFR cigs building into the region. Lowered cigs will stick
around for most of the morning hours, begining to lift and clear for
areas west of I-29 by the late morning. For areas along and east of
I-29, lifting and clearing will occur from west to east throughout
the afternoon hours. Breezy easterly winds will weaken throughout
the morning hours, with winds strengthening again during the
afternoon hours with winds out of the west. Highest wind gusts are
expected along the central NE/SD border, where gusts into the mid
30s are possible, whereas elsewhere wind gusts into the mid 20s are
expected.

&&

.FSD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...None.
MN...None.
IA...None.
NE...None.

&&

DISCUSSION...APT
AVIATION...APT
Hazardous weather outlook, May 2, 4:51 AM CDT, 3 hours 59 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Sioux Falls SD
451 AM CDT Thu May 2 2024

IAZ001>003-012>014-020>022-031-032-MNZ071-072-080-081-089-090-097-
098-NEZ013-014-SDZ038>040-050-052>071-031000-
Lyon-Osceola-Dickinson-Sioux-O'Brien-Clay-Plymouth-Cherokee-
Buena Vista-Woodbury-Ida-Lincoln-Murray-Cottonwood-Nobles-Jackson-
Pipestone-Rock-Dixon-Dakota-Beadle-Kingsbury-Brookings-Gregory-
Jerauld-Sanborn-Miner-Lake-Moody-Brule-Aurora-Davison-Hanson-
McCook-Minnehaha-Charles Mix-Douglas-Hutchinson-Turner-Bon Homme-
Yankton-Union-
451 AM CDT Thu May 2 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of northwest Iowa,
west central Iowa, southwest Minnesota, northeast Nebraska,
central South Dakota, east central South Dakota, south central
South Dakota, and southeast South Dakota.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Early morning showers and thunderstorms exit the region
throughout the morning hours. With up to 1-1.5" of rainfall fallen
across portions of northwestern Iowa overnight, there may be
ponding of water on roadways and low-lying area, with some rises
on the local rivers/streams.

Additional pop-up showers are possible throughout the day, though
only light accumulations are expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Additional chances for scattered showers and thunderstorms return
Friday night into Saturday, and again Monday night into Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Sioux Falls, SD issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 2, 8:50 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningFSDCherokee13 days
May 2, 9:33 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningFSDClay21 days
May 2, 2:06 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningFSDO'Brien24 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Iowa, 2024Every river flood warning in 2024

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.