Alert archive / Minnesota / Red Flag Warnings in 2024

Red Flag Warning 9, NWS Grand Forks, ND

October 15, 20247 counties in Minnesota; 7 counties in North Dakota

NWS Grand Forks, ND issued this red flag warning at Oct 15, 2024, 2:01 PM CDT for 7 counties in Minnesota; 7 counties in North Dakota. It took effect at Oct 16, 2024, 1:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 6 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 15, 2024, 2:01 PM CDT (19:01 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 16, 2024, 1:00 PM CDT
Expired
Oct 16, 2024, 7:00 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
NWS Grand Forks, ND

Counties Becker County, MN, Clay County, MN, Grant County, MN, Mahnomen County, MN, Norman County, MN, Otter Tail County, MN, Wilkin County, MN, Barnes County, ND, Cass County, ND, Ransom County, ND, Richland County, ND, Sargent County, ND, Steele County, ND, Traill County, ND

The radar

The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 93 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Aberdeen, SD (KABR), launched 12:00Z, 7.0 hours before the alert went out and 243 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Aberdeen, SD at 12:00Z on 2024-10-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Aberdeen, SD at 12:00Z on 2024-10-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -60 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1225 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
54 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-60 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-105 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

667 
WWUS83 KFGF 151901
RFWFGF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
201 PM CDT Tue Oct 15 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING FOR SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING AND A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR WILKIN AND GRANT COUNTIES
OF WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

NDZ049-052-053-160315-
/O.UPG.KFGF.FW.A.0005.241016T1800Z-241017T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KFGF.FW.W.0009.241016T1800Z-241017T0000Z/
Ransom-Sargent-Richland-
201 PM CDT Tue Oct 15 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 7 PM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 049,
052, AND 053...

The National Weather Service in Grand Forks has issued a Red Flag
Warning, which is in effect from 1 PM to 7 PM CDT Wednesday. The
Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect. 

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire weather zones 049, 052, and 053.

* WIND...South winds up to 20 mph gusting to 30 mph

* HUMIDITY...As low as 22 percent

* IMPACTS...any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly.
  Outdoor burning is not recommended. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

MNZ029-040-160315-
/O.NEW.KFGF.FW.A.0006.241016T1800Z-241017T0000Z/
Wilkin-Grant-
201 PM CDT Tue Oct 15 2024

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR 
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 029 AND 040...

The National Weather Service in Grand Forks has issued a Fire
Weather Watch, which is in effect from Wednesday afternoon
through Wednesday evening. 

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire weather zones 029 and 040.

* WIND...South winds up to 20 mph gusting to 30 mph

* HUMIDITY...As low as 20 percent

* IMPACTS...any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$
5 follow-up statements
332 
WWUS83 KFGF 160335
RFWFGF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
1035 PM CDT Tue Oct 15 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING FOR SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR WILKIN AND
GRANT COUNTIES OF WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...

NDZ049-052-053-170000-
/O.CON.KFGF.FW.W.0009.241016T1800Z-241017T0000Z/
Ransom-Sargent-Richland-
1035 PM CDT Tue Oct 15 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 7 PM CDT
WEDNESDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 049, 052, AND 053...

* AFFECTED AREA...In North Dakota, Ransom, Sargent and Richland.

* WIND...South winds up to 20 mph gusting to 30 mph

* HUMIDITY...As low as 22 percent

* IMPACTS...Any fires that ignite will spread rapidly and become 
  difficult to control. Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

MNZ029-040-170000-
/O.CON.KFGF.FW.A.0006.241016T1800Z-241017T0000Z/
Wilkin-Grant-
1035 PM CDT Tue Oct 15 2024

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 029 AND 040...

* AFFECTED AREA...In Minnesota, Wilkin and Grant.

* WIND...South winds up to 20 mph gusting to 30 mph

* HUMIDITY...As low as 20 percent

* IMPACTS...Any fires that ignite will spread rapidly and become 
  difficult to control. Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$
665 
WWUS83 KFGF 160824
RFWFGF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
324 AM CDT Wed Oct 16 2024

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING...

MNZ029-040-161630-
/O.UPG.KFGF.FW.A.0006.241016T1800Z-241017T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KFGF.FW.W.0009.241016T1800Z-241017T0000Z/
Wilkin-Grant-
324 AM CDT Wed Oct 16 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM
CDT THIS EVENING FOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND GUSTY SOUTH WINDS
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 029 AND 040...

The National Weather Service in Grand Forks has issued a Red Flag
Warning, which is in effect from 1 PM this afternoon to 7 PM CDT
this evening. The Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect. 

* AFFECTED AREA...In Minnesota, Wilkin and Grant counties.
 
* WIND...South winds up to 20 mph gusting to 30 mph

* HUMIDITY...As low as 20 percent

* IMPACTS...Any fires that ignite will spread rapidly and 
  become difficult to control. Outdoor burning is not 
  recommended. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

NDZ039-161630-
/O.EXA.KFGF.FW.W.0009.241016T1800Z-241017T0000Z/
Cass-
324 AM CDT Wed Oct 16 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM
CDT THIS EVENING FOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND GUSTY SOUTH WINDS 
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 039...

The National Weather Service in Grand Forks has issued a Red Flag
Warning, which is in effect from 1 PM this afternoon to 7 PM CDT
this evening. 

* AFFECTED AREA...In North Dakota, Cass county. 

* WIND...South winds up to 20 mph gusting to 30 mph

* HUMIDITY...As low as 22 percent

* IMPACTS...Any fires that ignite will spread rapidly and 
  become difficult to control. Outdoor burning is not 
  recommended. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

MNZ003-030-161630-
/O.EXA.KFGF.FW.W.0009.241016T1800Z-241017T0000Z/
Clay-West Otter Tail-
324 AM CDT Wed Oct 16 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM
CDT THIS EVENING FOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND GUSTY SOUTH WINDS 
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 003 AND 030...

The National Weather Service in Grand Forks has issued a Red Flag
Warning, which is in effect from 1 PM this afternoon to 7 PM CDT
this evening. 

* AFFECTED AREA...In Minnesota, Clay county and west portion of
  Otter Tail county. 

* WIND...South winds up to 20 mph gusting to 30 mph

* HUMIDITY...As low as 22 percent

* IMPACTS...Any fires that ignite will spread rapidly and 
  become difficult to control. Outdoor burning is not 
  recommended. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

NDZ049-052-053-161630-
/O.CON.KFGF.FW.W.0009.241016T1800Z-241017T0000Z/
Ransom-Sargent-Richland-
324 AM CDT Wed Oct 16 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND GUSTY SOUTH
WINDS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 049, 052, AND 053...

* AFFECTED AREA...In North Dakota, Ransom, Sargent and Richland
  counties.

* WIND...South winds up to 20 mph gusting to 30 mph

* HUMIDITY...As low as 20 percent

* IMPACTS...Any fires that ignite will spread rapidly and 
  become difficult to control. Outdoor burning is not 
  recommended. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

RIDDLE
682 
WWUS83 KFGF 162040
RFWFGF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
340 PM CDT Wed Oct 16 2024

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING...

MNZ002-022-027-028-031-170445-
/O.NEW.KFGF.FW.W.0010.241017T1300Z-241018T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KFGF.FW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-241017T0000Z/
Norman-Mahnomen-West Becker-East Becker-East Otter Tail-
340 PM CDT Wed Oct 16 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND GUSTY SOUTH WINDS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 
002, 022, 027, 028, AND 031... 
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT 
FROM 8 AM TO 7 PM CDT THURSDAY FOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND GUSTY
SOUTH WINDS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 002, 022, 027, 028, AND 031...

The National Weather Service in Grand Forks has issued a Red Flag
Warning, which is in effect until 7 PM CDT this evening. a Red
Flag Warning has also been issued from 8 AM to 7 PM CDT Thursday.

* AFFECTED AREA...In Minnesota, Wilkin and Grant counties.

* WIND...South winds up to 20 mph gusting to 30 mph

* HUMIDITY...As low as 20 percent

* IMPACTS...Any fires that ignite will spread rapidly and 
  become difficult to control. Outdoor burning is not 
  recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

MNZ003-029-030-040-170445-
/O.NEW.KFGF.FW.W.0010.241017T1300Z-241018T0000Z/
/O.CON.KFGF.FW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-241017T0000Z/
Clay-Wilkin-West Otter Tail-Grant-
340 PM CDT Wed Oct 16 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND GUSTY SOUTH WINDS FOR FIRE WEATHER 
ZONES 003, 029, 030, AND 040... 
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 7 PM CDT THURSDAY FOR 
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND GUSTY SOUTH WINDS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
003, 029, 030, AND 040...

The National Weather Service in Grand Forks has issued a Red Flag
Warning, which is in effect from 8 AM to 7 PM CDT Thursday. 

* AFFECTED AREA...In Minnesota, Clay county and west portion of 
  Otter Tail county. 

* WIND...South winds up to 20 mph gusting to 30 mph

* HUMIDITY...As low as 22 percent

* IMPACTS...Any fires that ignite will spread rapidly and 
  become difficult to control. Outdoor burning is not 
  recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

NDZ029-030-038-170445-
/O.NEW.KFGF.FW.W.0010.241017T1300Z-241018T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KFGF.FW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-241017T0000Z/
Steele-Traill-Barnes-
340 PM CDT Wed Oct 16 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND GUSTY SOUTH WINDS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 
029, 030, AND 038... 
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 7 
PM CDT THURSDAY FOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND GUSTY SOUTH WINDS 
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 029, 030, AND 038...

The National Weather Service in Grand Forks has issued a Red Flag
Warning, which is in effect until 7 PM CDT this evening. a Red
Flag Warning has also been issued from 8 AM to 7 PM CDT Thursday.

* AFFECTED AREA...In Minnesota, Wilkin and Grant counties.

* WIND...South winds up to 20 mph gusting to 30 mph

* HUMIDITY...As low as 20 percent

* IMPACTS...Any fires that ignite will spread rapidly and 
  become difficult to control. Outdoor burning is not 
  recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

NDZ039-049-052-053-170445-
/O.NEW.KFGF.FW.W.0010.241017T1300Z-241018T0000Z/
/O.CON.KFGF.FW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-241017T0000Z/
Cass-Ransom-Sargent-Richland-
340 PM CDT Wed Oct 16 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND GUSTY SOUTH WINDS FOR FIRE WEATHER 
ZONES 039, 049, 052, AND 053... 
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 7 PM CDT THURSDAY FOR 
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND GUSTY SOUTH WINDS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
039, 049, 052, AND 053...

The National Weather Service in Grand Forks has issued a Red Flag
Warning, which is in effect from 8 AM to 7 PM CDT Thursday. 

* AFFECTED AREA...In North Dakota, Cass county.

* WIND...South winds up to 20 mph gusting to 30 mph

* HUMIDITY...As low as 22 percent

* IMPACTS...Any fires that ignite will spread rapidly and 
  become difficult to control. Outdoor burning is not 
  recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

MNZ001-013>015-032-170445-
/O.NEW.KFGF.FW.W.0010.241017T1300Z-241018T0000Z/
West Polk-Pennington-Red Lake-East Polk-Wadena-
340 PM CDT Wed Oct 16 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 7 PM CDT THURSDAY FOR
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND GUSTY SOUTH WINDS FOR FIRE WEATHER 
ZONES 001, 013, 014, 015, AND 032...

The National Weather Service in Grand Forks has issued a Red Flag
Warning, which is in effect from 8 AM to 7 PM CDT Thursday. 

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire weather zones 001, 013, 014, 015, and 
  032. 

* WIND...South winds up to 20 mph gusting to 30 mph

* HUMIDITY...As low as 22 percent

* IMPACTS...any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

NDZ027-170445-
/O.NEW.KFGF.FW.W.0010.241017T1300Z-241018T0000Z/
Grand Forks-
340 PM CDT Wed Oct 16 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 7 PM CDT THURSDAY FOR
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND GUSTY SOUTH WINDS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE
027...

The National Weather Service in Grand Forks has issued a Red Flag
Warning, which is in effect from 8 AM to 7 PM CDT Thursday. 

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire weather zone 027.

* WIND...South winds up to 20 mph gusting to 30 mph

* HUMIDITY...As low as 22 percent

* IMPACTS...any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

MNZ004>009-016-017-023-024-170445-
/O.NEW.KFGF.FW.A.0007.241017T1300Z-241018T0000Z/
Kittson-Roseau-Lake Of The Woods-West Marshall-East Marshall-
North Beltrami-North Clearwater-South Beltrami-South Clearwater-
Hubbard-
340 PM CDT Wed Oct 16 2024

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING FOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND GUSTY SOUTH WINDS 
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 004, 005, 006, 007, 008, 009, 016, 017, 
023, AND 024...

The National Weather Service in Grand Forks has issued a Fire
Weather Watch, which is in effect from Thursday morning through
Thursday evening. 

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire weather zones 004, 005, 006, 007, 008, 
  009, 016, 017, 023, and 024. 

* WIND...South winds up to 20 mph gusting to 30 mph

* HUMIDITY...As low as 22 percent

* IMPACTS...any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

NDZ008-016-170445-
/O.NEW.KFGF.FW.A.0007.241017T1300Z-241018T0000Z/
Pembina-Eastern Walsh-
340 PM CDT Wed Oct 16 2024

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING FOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND GUSTY SOUTH WINDS 
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 008 AND 016...

The National Weather Service in Grand Forks has issued a Fire
Weather Watch, which is in effect from Thursday morning through
Thursday evening. 

* AFFECTED AREA...Fire weather zones 008 and 016.

* WIND...South winds up to 20 mph gusting to 30 mph

* HUMIDITY...As low as 22 percent

* IMPACTS...any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. 
  Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$
004 
WWUS83 KFGF 162125
RFWFGF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
425 PM CDT Wed Oct 16 2024

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING...

MNZ002-003-022-027>031-040-180000-
/O.CON.KFGF.FW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-241017T0000Z/
/O.CON.KFGF.FW.W.0010.241017T1300Z-241018T0000Z/
Norman-Clay-Mahnomen-West Becker-East Becker-Wilkin-
West Otter Tail-East Otter Tail-Grant-
425 PM CDT Wed Oct 16 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND GUSTY SOUTH WINDS FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 002, 022, 027, 028, AND 031...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 7 PM CDT
THURSDAY FOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND GUSTY SOUTH WINDS FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 002, 022, 027, 028, AND 031...

* AFFECTED AREA...In Minnesota, Norman, Clay, Mahnomen, West 
  Becker, East Becker, Wilkin, West Otter Tail, East Otter Tail 
  and Grant.

* WIND...South winds up to 20 mph gusting to 30 mph

* HUMIDITY...As low as 20 percent

* IMPACTS...Any fires that ignite will spread rapidly and become 
  difficult to control. Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

NDZ029-030-038-039-049-052-053-180000-
/O.CON.KFGF.FW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-241017T0000Z/
/O.CON.KFGF.FW.W.0010.241017T1300Z-241018T0000Z/
Steele-Traill-Barnes-Cass-Ransom-Sargent-Richland-
425 PM CDT Wed Oct 16 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND GUSTY SOUTH WINDS FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 029, 030, AND 038...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 7 PM CDT
THURSDAY FOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND GUSTY SOUTH WINDS FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 029, 030, AND 038...

* AFFECTED AREA...In North Dakota, Steele, Traill, Barnes, Cass, 
  Ransom, Sargent and Richland.

* WIND...South winds up to 20 mph gusting to 30 mph

* HUMIDITY...As low as 20 percent

* IMPACTS...Any fires that ignite will spread rapidly and become 
  difficult to control. Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

MNZ001-013>015-032-180000-
/O.CON.KFGF.FW.W.0010.241017T1300Z-241018T0000Z/
West Polk-Pennington-Red Lake-East Polk-Wadena-
425 PM CDT Wed Oct 16 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 7 PM CDT
THURSDAY FOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND GUSTY SOUTH WINDS FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 001, 013, 014, 015, AND 032...

* AFFECTED AREA...In Minnesota, West Polk, Pennington, Red Lake, 
  East Polk and Wadena.

* WIND...South winds up to 20 mph gusting to 30 mph

* HUMIDITY...As low as 22 percent

* IMPACTS...Any fires that ignite will spread rapidly and become 
  difficult to control. Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

NDZ027-180000-
/O.CON.KFGF.FW.W.0010.241017T1300Z-241018T0000Z/
Grand Forks-
425 PM CDT Wed Oct 16 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 7 PM CDT
THURSDAY FOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND GUSTY SOUTH WINDS FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONE 027...

* AFFECTED AREA...In North Dakota, Grand Forks.

* WIND...South winds up to 20 mph gusting to 30 mph

* HUMIDITY...As low as 22 percent

* IMPACTS...Any fires that ignite will spread rapidly and become 
  difficult to control. Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

NDZ054-180000-
/O.EXA.KFGF.FW.A.0007.241017T1300Z-241018T0000Z/
Western Walsh-
425 PM CDT Wed Oct 16 2024

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR WALSH
COUNTY...

The National Weather Service in Grand Forks has issued a Fire
Weather Watch for wind and low relative humidity, which is in
effect from Thursday morning through Thursday evening.

* AFFECTED AREA...In North Dakota, Western Walsh.

* WIND...South winds up to 20 mph gusting to 30 mph

* HUMIDITY...As low as 22 percent

* IMPACTS...Any fires that ignite will spread rapidly and become 
  difficult to control. Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

MNZ004>009-016-017-023-024-180000-
/O.CON.KFGF.FW.A.0007.241017T1300Z-241018T0000Z/
Kittson-Roseau-Lake Of The Woods-West Marshall-East Marshall-
North Beltrami-North Clearwater-South Beltrami-South Clearwater-
Hubbard-
425 PM CDT Wed Oct 16 2024

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND GUSTY
SOUTH WINDS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 004, 005, 006, 007, 008, 009,
016, 017, 023, AND 024...

* AFFECTED AREA...In Minnesota, Kittson, Roseau, Lake Of The 
  Woods, West Marshall, East Marshall, North Beltrami, North 
  Clearwater, South Beltrami, South Clearwater and Hubbard.

* WIND...South winds up to 20 mph gusting to 30 mph

* HUMIDITY...As low as 22 percent

* IMPACTS...Any fires that ignite will spread rapidly and become 
  difficult to control. Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

NDZ008-016-180000-
/O.CON.KFGF.FW.A.0007.241017T1300Z-241018T0000Z/
Pembina-Eastern Walsh-
425 PM CDT Wed Oct 16 2024

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND GUSTY
SOUTH WINDS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 008 AND 016...

* AFFECTED AREA...In North Dakota, Pembina and Eastern Walsh.

* WIND...South winds up to 20 mph gusting to 30 mph

* HUMIDITY...As low as 22 percent

* IMPACTS...Any fires that ignite will spread rapidly and become 
  difficult to control. Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$
035 
WWUS83 KFGF 162354
RFWFGF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
654 PM CDT Wed Oct 16 2024

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING...

MNZ002-003-022-027>031-040-180000-
/O.EXP.KFGF.FW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-241017T0000Z/
/O.CON.KFGF.FW.W.0010.241017T1300Z-241018T0000Z/
Norman-Clay-Mahnomen-West Becker-East Becker-Wilkin-
West Otter Tail-East Otter Tail-Grant-
654 PM CDT Wed Oct 16 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 7 PM CDT
THURSDAY FOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND GUSTY SOUTH WINDS FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 002, 022, 027, 028, AND 031...
...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND GUSTY SOUTH WINDS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
002, 022, 027, 028, AND 031...

* AFFECTED AREA...In Minnesota, Norman, Clay, Mahnomen, West 
  Becker, East Becker, Wilkin, West Otter Tail, East Otter Tail 
  and Grant.

* WIND...South winds up to 20 mph gusting to 30 mph

* HUMIDITY...As low as 20 percent

* IMPACTS...Any fires that ignite will spread rapidly and become 
  difficult to control. Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

NDZ029-030-038-039-049-052-053-180000-
/O.EXP.KFGF.FW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-241017T0000Z/
/O.CON.KFGF.FW.W.0010.241017T1300Z-241018T0000Z/
Steele-Traill-Barnes-Cass-Ransom-Sargent-Richland-
654 PM CDT Wed Oct 16 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 7 PM CDT
THURSDAY FOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND GUSTY SOUTH WINDS FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 029, 030, AND 038...
...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND GUSTY SOUTH WINDS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
029, 030, AND 038...

* AFFECTED AREA...In North Dakota, Steele, Traill, Barnes, Cass, 
  Ransom, Sargent and Richland.

* WIND...South winds up to 20 mph gusting to 30 mph

* HUMIDITY...As low as 20 percent

* IMPACTS...Any fires that ignite will spread rapidly and become 
  difficult to control. Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

MNZ001-013>015-032-180000-
/O.CON.KFGF.FW.W.0010.241017T1300Z-241018T0000Z/
West Polk-Pennington-Red Lake-East Polk-Wadena-
654 PM CDT Wed Oct 16 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 7 PM CDT
THURSDAY FOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND GUSTY SOUTH WINDS FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 001, 013, 014, 015, AND 032...

* AFFECTED AREA...In Minnesota, West Polk, Pennington, Red Lake, 
  East Polk and Wadena.

* WIND...South winds up to 20 mph gusting to 30 mph

* HUMIDITY...As low as 22 percent

* IMPACTS...Any fires that ignite will spread rapidly and become 
  difficult to control. Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

NDZ027-180000-
/O.CON.KFGF.FW.W.0010.241017T1300Z-241018T0000Z/
Grand Forks-
654 PM CDT Wed Oct 16 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 7 PM CDT
THURSDAY FOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND GUSTY SOUTH WINDS FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONE 027...

* AFFECTED AREA...In North Dakota, Grand Forks.

* WIND...South winds up to 20 mph gusting to 30 mph

* HUMIDITY...As low as 22 percent

* IMPACTS...Any fires that ignite will spread rapidly and become 
  difficult to control. Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

MNZ004>009-016-017-023-024-180000-
/O.CON.KFGF.FW.A.0007.241017T1300Z-241018T0000Z/
Kittson-Roseau-Lake Of The Woods-West Marshall-East Marshall-
North Beltrami-North Clearwater-South Beltrami-South Clearwater-
Hubbard-
654 PM CDT Wed Oct 16 2024

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND GUSTY
SOUTH WINDS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 004, 005, 006, 007, 008, 009,
016, 017, 023, AND 024...

* AFFECTED AREA...In Minnesota, Kittson, Roseau, Lake Of The 
  Woods, West Marshall, East Marshall, North Beltrami, North 
  Clearwater, South Beltrami, South Clearwater and Hubbard.

* WIND...South winds up to 20 mph gusting to 30 mph

* HUMIDITY...As low as 22 percent

* IMPACTS...Any fires that ignite will spread rapidly and become 
  difficult to control. Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

NDZ008-016-054-180000-
/O.CON.KFGF.FW.A.0007.241017T1300Z-241018T0000Z/
Pembina-Eastern Walsh-Western Walsh-
654 PM CDT Wed Oct 16 2024

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND GUSTY
SOUTH WINDS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 008 AND 016...

* AFFECTED AREA...In North Dakota, Pembina, Eastern Walsh and 
  Western Walsh.

* WIND...South winds up to 20 mph gusting to 30 mph

* HUMIDITY...As low as 22 percent

* IMPACTS...Any fires that ignite will spread rapidly and become 
  difficult to control. Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
Red Flag Warnings.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Oct 15, 12:15 PM CDT, 1 hour 46 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • Near critical to critical fire weather is expected Wednesday afternoon, with worsening conditions on Thursday.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 15, 12:15 PM CDT, 1 hour 46 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
1215 PM CDT Tue Oct 15 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Near critical to critical fire weather is expected Wednesday
afternoon, with worsening conditions on Thursday.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1215 PM CDT Tue Oct 15 2024

The fog from Baudette to Bemidji took a long time to lift, but
it finally looks like it is breaking up. Otherwise, the forecast
is looking good for the rest of the afternoon.

&&

UPDATE
Issued at 958 AM CDT Tue Oct 15 2024

The Freeze Warning will drop off at 10 am this morning, the last
one for the season. There is still some fog to the east of the
RRV, but holes are starting to develop. Think it should erode
within the next hour or so. Otherwise, expect south winds to
slowly increase today, mainly along and west of the RRV. There
has also been some cirrus spreading into areas west of the RRV
as well.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 252 AM CDT Tue Oct 15 2024

...Synopsis...

Surface high pressure centered in northwest Ontario will shift south
through the day today into the central plains with eastward
advancing 500 mb ridging through the mid week reaching its
maximum amplitude over our area Wednesday afternoon. It is
however quickly shunted east by western troughing through the
late week which will bring increasing rain chances this weekend
though not looking to be notable rain amounts with whatever does
fall. Main story of the period however will increased fire
weather concerns Wednesday and Thursday as RH drops and winds
increase.

- Fire Weather

A Fire Weather Watch has been issued and is valid 1pm to 7pm
Wednesday for southeast North Dakota. A tightened pressure pressure
gradient on the back edge of the departing sfc high and in advance
of a developing sfc low in eastern MT will result in 30+ kt 925mb
flow. Mixing of these stronger winds to the sfc will not be entirely
efficient in the warm air advection regime but there is strong
consensus in a period of high gusts but in the late morning hours
before RH really drops for the day. Min RH values of 20-25 in far
southeast North Dakota in combination with sustained southerly winds
around 20mph.

Stronger winds seem likely on Thursday with deeper mixing potential
and stronger winds aloft though RH looks to remain in the same
ballpark at 20-25 percent for area mins. HWDI does conclusively
paint Thursday as the more impactful day but will wait and see how
the forecast evolves as there is still some time for changes to
occur. Notably there is cold front associated with the low
developing in MT from the previous day that is forecast to sweep
through the Dakotas and Minnesota by the evening switching winds
from the south during the day to west/northwest overnight.

- Weekend Rain Chances

Still some variation as one would expect on Day 5 of the forecast
with where the cutoff low sets up with most clusters keeping it near
the four corners region with only about 20 percent of members
ejecting the low into the plains by Sunday. Overall this means
forcing for any rain will remain very weak and advection forced. QPF
looks to remain at or under 0.25" per all clusters so yet again
nowhere near enough to compensate for our bone dry last several
weeks but anything helps going into the impending winter deep freeze
for moisture for next years crops.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1215 PM CDT Tue Oct 15 2024

Once the morning stratus layer finally scours out at KBJI, the
main impact turns to increasing south winds over the next 24
hours. For this afternoon and tonight, the south winds really
only increase at KDVL/KGFK/KFAR. A low level jet kicks in after
dark, and spreads from west to east across the FA, bringing some
LLWS. After sunrise Wednesday, these south winds will once
again increase, becoming pretty windy by late morning into the
afternoon.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...Fire Weather Watch from Wednesday afternoon through Wednesday
     evening for NDZ049-052-053.
MN...None.

&&

UPDATE...Godon/TT
DISCUSSION...TT
AVIATION...Godon
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 15, 5:32 AM CDT, 8 hours 29 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
532 AM CDT Tue Oct 15 2024

MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-054-161045-
West Polk-Norman-Clay-Kittson-Roseau-Lake Of The Woods-
West Marshall-East Marshall-North Beltrami-Pennington-Red Lake-
East Polk-North Clearwater-South Beltrami-Mahnomen-
South Clearwater-Hubbard-West Becker-East Becker-Wilkin-
West Otter Tail-East Otter Tail-Wadena-Grant-Towner-Cavalier-
Pembina-Benson-Ramsey-Eastern Walsh-Eddy-Nelson-Grand Forks-
Griggs-Steele-Traill-Barnes-Cass-Western Walsh-
532 AM CDT Tue Oct 15 2024

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern North
Dakota, west central and northwest Minnesota.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated today.

NDZ049-052-053-161045-
Ransom-Sargent-Richland-
532 AM CDT Tue Oct 15 2024

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern North
Dakota.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

A Fire Weather Watch in in effect Wednesday afternoon due to
increasing south winds 20 to 30 mph and RH values as low as 20
percent.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated today.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Forks, ND issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 15, 2:01 PM CDTFire Weather WatchFGFGrant, Wilkin13 hr
Oct 15, 2:09 AM CDTFire Weather WatchFGFRansom, Richland, Sargent12 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Minnesota, 2024Red Flag Warnings in North Dakota, 2024Every red flag warning in 2024

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.