Red Flag Warning 3, NWS Grand Forks, ND

Becker County, MN, Clay County, MN, Grant County, MN, Kittson County, MN, Mahnomen County, MN, Marshall County, MN, Norman County, MN, Otter Tail County, MN, Pennington County, MN, Polk County, MN, Red Lake County, MN, Wadena County, MN, Wilkin County, MN, Barnes County, ND, Benson County, ND, Cass County, ND, Cavalier County, ND, Eddy County, ND, Grand Forks County, ND, Griggs County, ND, Nelson County, ND, Pembina County, ND, Ramsey County, ND, Ransom County, ND, Richland County, ND, Sargent County, ND, Steele County, ND, Towner County, ND, Traill County, ND, Walsh County, ND

456 
WWUS83 KFGF 060909
RFWFGF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
409 AM CDT Sat Apr 6 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING FOR THE RED RIVER VALLEY AS WELL AS SOUTHEAST
NORTH DAKOTA AND WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS 
EVENING...

.Critical fire weather conditions are expected this afternoon
and evening for the Red River Valley, southeastern North Dakota, 
and west central Minnesota. Minimum relative humidity as low as 24
percent is expected. Southeast winds will range from 20 to 30 
mph, with gusts up to 45 mph.

MNZ001>004-007-027>032-040-NDZ008-016-027-029-030-038-039-049-052-
053-061715-
/O.CON.KFGF.FW.W.0003.240406T1800Z-240407T0000Z/
West Polk-Norman-Clay-Kittson-West Marshall-West Becker-
East Becker-Wilkin-West Otter Tail-East Otter Tail-Wadena-Grant-
Pembina-Eastern Walsh-Grand Forks-Steele-Traill-Barnes-Cass-
Ransom-Sargent-Richland-
409 AM CDT Sat Apr 6 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
FOR THE RED RIVER VALLEY AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN NORTH
DAKOTA AND WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...

* AFFECTED AREA...Red River Valley, Southeastern North Dakota, 
  West Central Minnesota 

* WINDS...Southeast 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 27 percent.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that ignite will spread rapidly and 
  become difficult to control. Outdoor burning is not 
  recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

517 
WWUS83 KFGF 061526
RFWFGF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
1026 AM CDT Sat Apr 6 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING FOR THE RED RIVER VALLEY AS WELL AS SOUTHEAST
NORTH DAKOTA AND WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS
EVENING...

.Critical fire weather conditions are expected this afternoon and
evening for the Red River Valley, southeastern North Dakota,
northwest and west central Minnesota. Minimum relative humidity 
into the low 20s percent. Southeast winds will range from 20 to 
35 mph, with gusts up to 55 mph.

MNZ008-013>015-022-070000-
/O.EXA.KFGF.FW.W.0003.240406T1800Z-240407T0000Z/
East Marshall-Pennington-Red Lake-East Polk-Mahnomen-
1026 AM CDT Sat Apr 6 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR
WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR NORTHWEST MINNESOTA...

The National Weather Service in Grand Forks has issued a Red Flag
Warning for wind and low relative humidity, which is in effect
until 7 PM CDT this evening.

* AFFECTED AREA...In Minnesota, East Marshall, Pennington, Red 
  Lake, East Polk and Mahnomen.

* WINDS...Southeast 20 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 20 percent.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that ignite will spread rapidly and become 
  difficult to control. Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

MNZ001>004-007-027>032-040-NDZ008-016-027-029-030-038-039-049-052-
053-070000-
/O.CON.KFGF.FW.W.0003.240406T1800Z-240407T0000Z/
West Polk-Norman-Clay-Kittson-West Marshall-West Becker-
East Becker-Wilkin-West Otter Tail-East Otter Tail-Wadena-Grant-
Pembina-Eastern Walsh-Grand Forks-Steele-Traill-Barnes-Cass-
Ransom-Sargent-Richland-
1026 AM CDT Sat Apr 6 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE RED RIVER
VALLEY AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND WEST CENTRAL
MINNESOTA...

* AFFECTED AREA...In Minnesota, West Polk, Norman, Clay, 
  Kittson, West Marshall, West Becker, East Becker, Wilkin, West 
  Otter Tail, East Otter Tail, Wadena and Grant. In North 
  Dakota, Pembina, Eastern Walsh, Grand Forks, Steele, Traill, 
  Barnes, Cass, Ransom, Sargent and Richland.

* WINDS...Southeast 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 20 percent.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that ignite will spread rapidly and become 
  difficult to control. Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

302 
WWUS83 KFGF 062054
RFWFGF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
354 PM CDT Sat Apr 6 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING FOR THE RED RIVER VALLEY AS WELL AS SOUTHEAST
NORTH DAKOTA AND WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS
EVENING...

.Critical fire weather conditions are expected this afternoon
for portions of eastern North Dakota, and northwest into west- 
central Minnesota. Minimum relative humidity into the low 20s 
percent. Southeast winds will range from 20 to 35 mph, with gusts 
up to 55 mph.

NDZ006-007-014-015-024-026-028-054-070000-
/O.EXA.KFGF.FW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-240407T0000Z/
Towner-Cavalier-Benson-Ramsey-Eddy-Nelson-Griggs-Western Walsh-
354 PM CDT Sat Apr 6 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR
WIND AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR DEVILS LAKE BASIN IN NORTHEAST
NORTH DAKOTA...

The National Weather Service in Grand Forks has issued a Red Flag
Warning for wind and low relative humidity, which is in effect
until 7 PM CDT this evening.

* AFFECTED AREA...In North Dakota, Towner, Cavalier, Benson, 
  Ramsey, Eddy, Nelson, Griggs and Western Walsh.

* WINDS...Southeast 25 to 30 mph with gusts up to 45 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 23 percent.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that ignite will spread rapidly and become 
  difficult to control. Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

MNZ001>004-007-008-013>015-022-027>032-040-NDZ008-016-027-029-030-
038-039-049-052-053-070000-
/O.CON.KFGF.FW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-240407T0000Z/
West Polk-Norman-Clay-Kittson-West Marshall-East Marshall-
Pennington-Red Lake-East Polk-Mahnomen-West Becker-East Becker-
Wilkin-West Otter Tail-East Otter Tail-Wadena-Grant-Pembina-
Eastern Walsh-Grand Forks-Steele-Traill-Barnes-Cass-Ransom-
Sargent-Richland-
354 PM CDT Sat Apr 6 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR THE RED RIVER
VALLEY AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND WEST CENTRAL
MINNESOTA...

* AFFECTED AREA...In Minnesota, West Polk, Norman, Clay, 
  Kittson, West Marshall, East Marshall, Pennington, Red Lake, 
  East Polk, Mahnomen, West Becker, East Becker, Wilkin, West 
  Otter Tail, East Otter Tail, Wadena and Grant. In North 
  Dakota, Pembina, Eastern Walsh, Grand Forks, Steele, Traill, 
  Barnes, Cass, Ransom, Sargent and Richland.

* WINDS...Southeast 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 20 percent.

* IMPACTS...Any fires that ignite will spread rapidly and become 
  difficult to control. Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can
contribute to extreme fire behavior.

&&

$$

643 
WWUS83 KFGF 070001
RFWFGF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
701 PM CDT Sat Apr 6 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING FOR THE RED RIVER VALLEY AS WELL AS SOUTHEAST
NORTH DAKOTA AND WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...

.Critical fire weather conditions have improved for portions of 
eastern North Dakota, and northwest into west-central Minnesota
thus allowing the warning to expire. 

MNZ001>004-007-008-013>015-022-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052>054-070115-
/O.EXP.KFGF.FW.W.0003.000000T0000Z-240407T0000Z/
West Polk-Norman-Clay-Kittson-West Marshall-East Marshall-
Pennington-Red Lake-East Polk-Mahnomen-West Becker-East Becker-
Wilkin-West Otter Tail-East Otter Tail-Wadena-Grant-Towner-
Cavalier-Pembina-Benson-Ramsey-Eastern Walsh-Eddy-Nelson-
Grand Forks-Griggs-Steele-Traill-Barnes-Cass-Ransom-Sargent-
Richland-Western Walsh-
701 PM CDT Sat Apr 6 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR HIGH
WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 001, 002, 003, 
004, 006, 007, 007, 008, 008, 013, 014, 014, 015, 015, 016, 022, 
024, 026, 027, 027, 028, 028, 029, 029, 030, 030, 031, 032, 038, 
039, 040, 049, 052, 053, AND 054...

Red flag warning has been allowed to expire with improving
conditions.

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
1017 PM CDT Fri Apr 5 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Critical fire weather conditions continue for the Devils Lake
  Basin down towards Valley City until temperatures start to
  drop this evening.

- Higher and more widespread winds tomorrow will bring at least
  a 50 percent chance for critical fire weather conditions to
  all of eastern North Dakota and western Minnesota, with higher
  probabilities of 70 percent near the Red River. A Fire Weather
  Watch is in effect for Saturday.

- A mix of rain and snow will move into our southern counties on
  Sunday. During the morning hours, there could be some lower
  visibility with more moderate precipitation rates, along with
  a 20 percent chance for some slushy accumulation on elevated
  surfaces.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 938 PM CDT Fri Apr 5 2024

Higher clouds over the area will continue into tonight, with
lows only getting into the mid 30s in North Dakota and the low
30s in Minnesota. Forecast remains on track.

Issued at 629 PM CDT Fri Apr 5 2024

High clouds are pushing east into the area this evening.
Hopefully this cloud cover will increase the RH a bit and we
won't have issues with fires into the rest of the evening.
Otherwise, forecast remains on track.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 257 PM CDT Fri Apr 5 2024

Upper ridging moves further to the east and a cut off system
starts to come out into the Plains tomorrow, with surface low
pressure deepening over the Rockies and western Plains. Winds
will continue to increase during the next 24 hours, and although
there will be some slightly higher dew points moving in, fire
weather will continue to be a concern into tomorrow. See
discussion below. Winds will not have the cold air advection
push or a pressure rise/fall couplet, and will be mostly based
on gradient. Portions of eastern North Dakota and west central
MN could get above 30 mph sustained with gusts to around 40 mph
for a while tomorrow afternoon. May need a wind advisory, but
confidence (around 40 percent) not high enough in which
counties to go with one quite yet.

On Sunday, the upper low will be moving into southeastern SD and
northern precipitation bands will be wrapping into the southern
CWA. There has been a trend towards some cooler temperatures as
the precipitation moves in during the morning hours,
particularly in the higher elevations outside of the Red River
Valley. This will be tempered by clouds and still plenty of
wind, but it does look like there will be enough evaporative
cooling to help things along and bring a bit of snow mixing in
with the rain. NBM probabilities have about a 35 to 40 percent
chance for snow and 50 to 60 percent chance for rain in our west
central MN counties Sunday morning. As for impacts, there could
be some visibility reductions as moderate rain/snow falls, and
about a 20 percent chance of some minor accumulations on
elevated surfaces but most non-grassy areas will be too warm
for anything to stick. There is some low (30 percent
probabilities of a tenth of an inch of accumulation in the
Wadena area (again, most likely on grass), but chances of an
inch or more are near zero.

Monday, the upper low lifts north to northeast, moving to either
the Red River Valley or MN depending on the exact track of the
system. Still could see some interesting things happen if we are
directly under the upper low and get some instability, but
predictability is too low at this point to say if that will
happen even with the help of the clusters. It does look more
like clouds and shower chances with the upper low in the
vicinity, so the probability of seeing the partial solar eclipse
in our area does not currently look too high.

The upper trough moves off into Ontario for Tuesday, with near
zonal flow becoming northwesterly by the end of the week.
Conditions look to return to dry and above average temperatures
again.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 1017 PM CDT Fri Apr 5 2024

VFR ceilings throughout the period, only TAF concern is winds.
Winds will remain high overnight, around 15-20knots sustained,
and increase as we get past midnight and into the early morning
hours on Saturday. They will continue to increase out of the SE,
topping out at 20-25 knots sustained and gusts up to 35 knots.
Lower ceilings will creep north into early Sunday, and winds
will lessen somewhat by 06z.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 257 PM CDT Fri Apr 5 2024

Breezy southeast winds and RH values around 20 to 25 percent
continue to bring critical fire weather conditions to portions
of the Devils Lake Basin to the Sheyenne River Valley this
afternoon. This should remain through early evening and
temperatures start to drop. Southeasterly winds will remain
somewhat breezy overnight, but not quite as gusty as this
afternoon and not as windy as tomorrow.

Winds will continue to ramp up tomorrow into the 20 to 30 mph
range with gusts to around 40 mph, with some areas up to around
45 mph. Relative humidity values today have been a bit lower
than expected, so continued trend of going lower than guidance
for dew points and RH at peak mixing tomorrow. ND fuels are very
dry, and call to MN land managers indicate that many areas are
concerning on that side of the river as well. With that, will
put out a Fire Weather Watch for tomorrow afternoon, 18 to 00Z.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...Fire Weather Watch from Saturday afternoon through Saturday
     evening for NDZ006>008-014>016-024-026>030-038-039-049-
     052>054.
MN...Fire Weather Watch from Saturday afternoon through Saturday
     evening for MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040.

&&

UPDATE...AH
DISCUSSION...JR
AVIATION...AH
FIRE WEATHER...JR

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
1032 PM CDT Fri Apr 5 2024

MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052>054-070345-
West Polk-Norman-Clay-Kittson-Roseau-Lake Of The Woods-
West Marshall-East Marshall-North Beltrami-Pennington-Red Lake-
East Polk-North Clearwater-South Beltrami-Mahnomen-
South Clearwater-Hubbard-West Becker-East Becker-Wilkin-
West Otter Tail-East Otter Tail-Wadena-Grant-Towner-Cavalier-
Pembina-Benson-Ramsey-Eastern Walsh-Eddy-Nelson-Grand Forks-
Griggs-Steele-Traill-Barnes-Cass-Ransom-Sargent-Richland-
Western Walsh-
1032 PM CDT Fri Apr 5 2024

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of eastern North
Dakota, west central and northwest Minnesota.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

A Fire Weather Watch is in effect for Saturday afternoon and
evening, for the combination of dry fuels, low humidity, and
gusty winds.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.