Freeze Warning 1, NWS Atlanta, GA

Baldwin County, GA, Banks County, GA, Barrow County, GA, Bartow County, GA, Butts County, GA, Carroll County, GA, Chattooga County, GA, Cherokee County, GA, Clarke County, GA, Clayton County, GA, Cobb County, GA, Coweta County, GA, Dawson County, GA, DeKalb County, GA, Douglas County, GA, Fayette County, GA, Floyd County, GA, Forsyth County, GA, Fulton County, GA, Glascock County, GA, Gordon County, GA, Greene County, GA, Gwinnett County, GA, Hall County, GA, Hancock County, GA, Haralson County, GA, Heard County, GA, Henry County, GA, Jackson County, GA, Jasper County, GA, Jones County, GA, Lamar County, GA, Madison County, GA, Meriwether County, GA, Morgan County, GA, Newton County, GA, Oconee County, GA, Oglethorpe County, GA, Paulding County, GA, Pickens County, GA, Pike County, GA, Polk County, GA, Putnam County, GA, Rockdale County, GA, Spalding County, GA, Taliaferro County, GA, Troup County, GA, Walton County, GA, Warren County, GA, Wilkes County, GA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
1238 AM EST Sun Mar 10 2024

...New 06Z Aviation Discussion...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1007 PM EST Sat Mar 9 2024

The forecast is on track, and no updates are planned. /SEC

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Sunday)
Issued at 157 PM EST Sat Mar 9 2024

As the shortwave deepens and progresses over the Great Lakes region
this afternoon and evening, a cold front that is currently draped
over northern Alabama will slowly push into the area. The bulk of the
rainfall has now exited the forecast area, but additional showers
produced by lift from the frontal boundary approaching coinciding
with upper level divergence will be possible through the afternoon
and early evening hours. Showers will mainly be confined to far north
Georgia, but our far southeastern counties could also stand the
chance to see a few more showers (and even an isolated thunderstorm
where instability remains in place in this portion of the CWA)
through the afternoon. The flash flooding and severe weather threats
have diminished for the day, however, several creeks, streams, and
rivers are expected to crest at minor to moderate flood stages and
will remain a concern over the next several days.

The main story for the short term forecast will be the elevated
sustained winds and breezy gusts as the frontal boundary passes
through. Sustained northwest winds at 10 to 15 mph this afternoon
will gradually increase to 15 to 18 mph through Sunday. Wind gusts
from 20 to 25+ mph will be possible areawide with a few locations
along the ridgetops in the north Georgia mountains approaching gusts
between 30 and 35 mph. Have opted to hold off on a Wind Advisory with
this forecast package as these wind gusts will likely be isolated in
nature and confined to areas of high terrain. However, should
guidance suggest more widespread strong gusts, a Wind Advisory for
Sunday may need to be considered in future forecast cycles. Given the
elevated wind speeds and broken to overcast cloud coverage
overnight, frost is not expected to develop overnight despite low
temperatures bottoming out in the low to mid 30s. This afternoon,
temperatures topping out in the mid 70s will be confined to areas
south of the warm front (currently draped south of I-20) while areas
to the north north will be in the 60s. Tomorrow with the cooler and
drier airmass in place, high temperatures will range from the 50s to
mid 60s. Skies should gradually clear through the day on Sunday.

KAL

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday morning through next Friday)
Issued at 157 PM EST Sat Mar 9 2024

At a glance:

 - Dry air will return to the area and stick around well into next
   week. Temperatures will gradually increase as we approach the
   weekend with relative humidities rising with them.

 - Another system takes aim at the SE by next Friday. Still too far
   out to identify impacts.

Temperatures are expected to fall toward freezing on Sunday night
and into Monday morning. Areas of patchy frost are possible on Monday
morning. An advisory may be needed as the threat for frost moves
into the short term forecast. Temps gradually start to warm on
Tuesday and Wednesday but conditions will remain dry and depending on
how quickly fuels can dry out we may have some fire weather
concerns.

By Thursday a surge of warm air will push into the area driving
temps and dewpoints up out ahead of the next storm system. It's to
early to tell the magnitude of the next system or the local impacts
it may bring, but it is spring in the south and as a result
thunderstorms are defiantly possible. A few of the models are
indicating the front will stall as it approaches our area which has
resulted in chances of precip becoming more uniform in the slight
category.

Vaughn

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1227 AM EST Sun Mar 10 2024

MVFR ceilings between 020-030 are in place across much of north
Georgia, including the ATL metro sites. These ceilings will shift
southeast and scatter out by 09Z this morning. Conditions are
expected to be VFR thereafter. With a secondary cold front
advancing into central Georgia, NW have increased to 12-15 kts
with gusts up to 25 kts. Winds are expected to increase to 15-20
kts with gusts up to 30 kts after 15Z and through much of the
afternoon before diminishing after 23Z.

//ATL Confidence...06Z Update...
High confidence on all elements.

King

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          33  64  36  70 /   0   0   0   0
Atlanta         36  62  38  69 /   0   0   0   0
Blairsville     30  60  32  66 /   0   0   0   0
Cartersville    33  62  33  69 /   0   0   0   0
Columbus        38  65  38  71 /   0   0   0   0
Gainesville     35  64  37  69 /   0   0   0   0
Macon           37  64  37  70 /   0   0   0   0
Rome            33  63  33  71 /   0   0   0   0
Peachtree City  34  62  34  69 /   0   0   0   0
Vidalia         40  64  41  72 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...SEC
LONG TERM....Vaughn
AVIATION...King

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
653 PM EST Sat Mar 9 2024

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-110000-
Baldwin-Banks-Barrow-Bartow-Bibb-Bleckley-Butts-Carroll-Catoosa-
Chattahoochee-Chattooga-Cherokee-Clarke-Clayton-Cobb-Coweta-
Crawford-Crisp-Dade-Dawson-DeKalb-Dodge-Dooly-Douglas-Emanuel-
Fannin-Fayette-Floyd-Forsyth-Gilmer-Glascock-Gordon-Greene-
Gwinnett-Hall-Hancock-Haralson-Harris-Heard-Henry-Houston-Jackson-
Jasper-Jefferson-Johnson-Jones-Lamar-Laurens-Lumpkin-Macon-
Madison-Marion-Meriwether-Monroe-Montgomery-Morgan-Murray-
Muscogee-Newton-North Fulton-Oconee-Oglethorpe-Paulding-Peach-
Pickens-Pike-Polk-Pulaski-Putnam-Rockdale-Schley-South Fulton-
Spalding-Stewart-Sumter-Talbot-Taliaferro-Taylor-Telfair-Toombs-
Towns-Treutlen-Troup-Twiggs-Union-Upson-Walker-Walton-Warren-
Washington-Webster-Wheeler-White-Whitfield-Wilcox-Wilkes-
Wilkinson-
653 PM EST Sat Mar 9 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of North and Central Georgia.

.DAY ONE...Tonight...

Numerous rivers and creeks are in flood or forecast to reach flood
over the next several days due to recent rains. Otherwise, no
hazardous weather is expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday...

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.