Severe Thunderstorm Warning 80, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

247 
WWUS54 KEWX 300104
SVSEWX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
804 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

TXC013-300114-
/O.CAN.KEWX.SV.W.0080.000000T0000Z-240430T0130Z/
Atascosa TX-
804 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL ATASCOSA COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...

The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 2899 9830 2900 9830 2904 9806 2900 9803
      2894 9812 2893 9818 2893 9822 2892 9823
TIME...MOT...LOC 0104Z 329DEG 2KT 2898 9816 

$$

TXC493-300130-
/O.CON.KEWX.SV.W.0080.000000T0000Z-240430T0130Z/
Wilson TX-
804 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN WILSON COUNTY...

At 804 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 8 miles southwest of
Poth, and is nearly stationary.

HAZARD...Quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Damage to vehicles is expected.

This severe thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
southwestern Wilson County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 2899 9830 2900 9830 2904 9806 2900 9803
      2894 9812 2893 9818 2893 9822 2892 9823
TIME...MOT...LOC 0104Z 329DEG 2KT 2898 9816 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...<50 MPH

$$

BRADY

981 
WWUS54 KEWX 300109
SVSEWX

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
809 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

TXC493-300118-
/O.CAN.KEWX.SV.W.0080.000000T0000Z-240430T0130Z/
Wilson TX-
809 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN WILSON COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 2899 9830 2900 9830 2904 9806 2900 9803
      2894 9812 2893 9818 2893 9822 2892 9823
TIME...MOT...LOC 0106Z 090DEG 5KT 2898 9817 

$$

BRADY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
730 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

...New UPDATE, AVIATION...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 655 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

We have updated the forecast to add a mention of showers and
thunderstorms through mid-evening across the coastal plains region.
We could see a strong storm or two over the next hour or so, with
activity expected to weaken with the loss of daytime heating.
Otherwise, only minor changes were made to the forecast.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Tuesday night)
Issued at 151 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

Quiet weather is expected this afternoon and evening outside of the
potential for a stray thunderstorm across the far southeastern
portion of the Coastal Plains as an outflow boundary from convection
over the Gulf of Mexico continues to move inland. Any storm that
fires in this environment will have the potential to become severe
with current SBCAPE values around 4,000 J/kg and effective shear
around 35-50 kts based on the latest SPC Mesoanalysis data.
Otherwise, we can expect low status and areas of patchy fog to
redevelop overnight/early Tuesday morning. Closer to sunrise, we may
start to see some patchy drizzle/light rain showers begin to develop
across mainly southern portions of the area as well.

Tomorrow afternoon, there will once again be a low potential for an
isolated storm or two to develop along the seabreeze and/or any
lingering boundary from today's convection across southern portions
of the Coastal Plains. There is a better chance for storms to fire
along a dryline out in west Texas and along the SDB Mountains in
Mexico. This activity will try to push west into our area through
the evening hours, but more likely than not will struggle to do so
before dissipating. Low clouds and patchy fog looks likely again
Tuesday night into Wednesday morning.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 151 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

A series of mid-level shortwave troughs will move over TX in
westerly flow aloft during the first part of the long term period.
The first will combine with a dryline in the boundary layer and bring
chances for showers and thunderstorms Wednesday afternoon and night.
There may be sufficient bouyancy and vertical wind shear to produce
strong to severe storms during the afternoon and evening. Large hail
and isolated tornadoes are the main threat. Another upper disturbance
will bring chances for convection Thursday afternoon and evening.
Friday a cold front will move through Central Texas and then through
our CWA Friday night. This will bring another chance for showers and
thunderstorms, but it looks like it will be a weak boundary and
chances are low. The front will stall in the region and another upper
shortwave trough will move across Saturday making convection possible
again. Another dryline could generate storms Sunday afternoon and
evening. Weak ridging will bring dry weather Monday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 655 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

No significant changes were made to the ongoing aviation forecasts.
Some convection over the coastal plains will stay east of the I-35
terminals. We will see an outflow boundary move across SAT and SSF
and have introduced a TEMPO group through 02Z for gusty southeast
winds behind the boundary. MVFR cigs develop quickly by early Tuesday
morning across all TAF sites, with IFR expected along the I-35
corridor. We will also need to monitor for the possibility of some
IFR cigs out west at DRT. Clouds remain intact through the morning
hours, with VFR returning by early afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              67  89  71  85 /   0  10   0  40
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  64  88  70  85 /   0  10   0  40
New Braunfels Muni Airport     66  89  71  86 /   0  10   0  40
Burnet Muni Airport            65  87  70  83 /   0   0   0  30
Del Rio Intl Airport           73  96  75  90 /  10   0  10  20
Georgetown Muni Airport        64  87  70  83 /   0   0   0  30
Hondo Muni Airport             68  90  70  86 /   0   0   0  40
San Marcos Muni Airport        65  88  70  85 /   0  10   0  40
La Grange - Fayette Regional   67  87  71  84 /   0  10   0  40
San Antonio Intl Airport       69  88  71  85 /   0  10   0  40
Stinson Muni Airport           69  89  73  86 /  10  10   0  40

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

Short-Term...Platt
Long-Term...Brady
Aviation...Platt

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
332 AM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-300845-
Llano-Burnet-Williamson-Val Verde-Edwards-Real-Kerr-Bandera-
Gillespie-Kendall-Blanco-Hays-Travis-Bastrop-Lee-Kinney-Uvalde-
Medina-Bexar-Comal-Guadalupe-Caldwell-Fayette-Maverick-Zavala-
Frio-Atascosa-Wilson-Karnes-Gonzales-De Witt-Lavaca-Dimmit-
332 AM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for South-Central Texas..

.DAY ONE...Today And Tonight.

Areas of fog are expected this morning across portions of South-
Central Texas. Fog could become dense with visibility near or less
than a quarter mile, especially across portions of the Hill
Country and I-35 corridor.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Patchy to areas of fog will be expected late tonight into early
Tuesday morning across portions of South-Central Texas. Fog could
become dense with visibility near or less than a quarter mile,
especially across of the Coastal Plains.

An unsettled weather pattern continues through the week with
potential for thunderstorms each day. Strong to severe storms and
locally heavy rains are possible across portions of the area mid
to late week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
657 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

TXZ221-222-300030-
Karnes TX-Wilson TX-
657 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of central Karnes and
southeastern Wilson Counties through 730 PM CDT...

At 657 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Poth, moving west at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Floresville, Poth, Kosciusko, Falls City, Cestohowa, Hobson, and
Paweleville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 2895 9826 2917 9825 2911 9786 2897 9785
      2892 9823
TIME...MOT...LOC 2357Z 095DEG 7KT 2902 9806

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

BRADY

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
727 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

TXZ221-222-300115-
Karnes TX-Wilson TX-
727 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of west central Karnes
and south central Wilson Counties through 815 PM CDT...

At 727 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Poth, moving west at 5 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Poth, Falls City, Cestohowa, Hobson, and Paweleville.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 2893 9824 2895 9826 2912 9825 2909 9788
      2896 9794 2892 9822
TIME...MOT...LOC 0027Z 084DEG 6KT 2902 9813

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

BRADY