Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2024

River Flood Warning 39, NWS Kansas City, MO

May 1, 2024Linn County, Livingston County, Missouri

NWS Kansas City, MO issued this river flood warning at May 1, 2024, 8:08 PM CDT for Linn County, Livingston County, Missouri. It took effect at May 2, 2024, 11:03 PM CDT. It was in force for 51 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 1, 2024, 8:08 PM CDT (01:08 UTC)
In effect from
May 2, 2024, 11:03 PM CDT
Expired
May 5, 2024, 1:58 AM CDT
In force
51 hr
Issued by
NWS Kansas City, MO
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 123 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Grand River near Chillicothe (CHZM7). The gauge peaked at 32.60 ft at May 3, 2024, 6:00 PM CDT.

actionminormoderate203005/0205/0305/0405/0505/06
Action stage
19 ft
Minor stage
24 ft
Moderate stage
28 ft
Major stage
35 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 06899680, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

597 
WGUS43 KEAX 020108
FLWEAX

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
808 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024

...The National Weather Service in Pleasant Hill MO has issued a 
Flood Warning for the following rivers in Missouri...

  Grand River near Chillicothe affecting Livingston and Linn 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

This product along with additional weather and stream information is 
available at www.weather.gov/kc/.

&&

MOC115-117-030115-
/O.NEW.KEAX.FL.W.0039.240503T2237Z-240505T1903Z/
/CHZM7.1.ER.240503T2237Z.240504T0600Z.240504T1902Z.NO/
808 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024

...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON TO EARLY SUNDAY 
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Grand River near Chillicothe.

* WHEN...From Friday afternoon to early Sunday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Low-lying cropland floods.
  At 28.0 feet, Rural roads are under water.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:45 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 15.1 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    Friday afternoon to a crest of 26.4 feet early Saturday
    morning. It will then fall below flood stage early Saturday
    afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 3983 9363 3978 9343 3967 9343 3974 9367


$$

73
10 follow-up statements
234 
WGUS43 KEAX 021455
FLWEAX

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
955 AM CDT Thu May 2 2024

...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity and 
increased in duration for the following rivers in Missouri...

  Grand River near Chillicothe affecting Linn and Livingston 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

This product along with additional weather and stream information is 
available at www.weather.gov/kc/.

&&

MOC115-117-031500-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0039.240503T1554Z-240505T2043Z/
/CHZM7.2.ER.240503T1554Z.240504T0600Z.240504T2043Z.NO/
955 AM CDT Thu May 2 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING TO SUNDAY 
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Grand River near Chillicothe.

* WHEN...From Friday morning to Sunday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Low-lying cropland floods.
  At 28.0 feet, Rural roads are under water.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:45 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 12.6 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    late tomorrow morning to a crest of 29.5 feet early Saturday
    morning. It will then fall below flood stage Saturday
    afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                Fld   Obs             Forecasts                
Location        Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Thu   Fri   Sat          
                                      1pm   1pm   1pm          
Grand River
Chillicothe     24.0  12.6  Thu 8am   12.3  25.5  25.0         


&&

LAT...LON 3983 9363 3978 9343 3967 9343 3974 9367


$$

SAW
705 
WGUS83 KEAX 022041
FLSEAX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
341 PM CDT Thu May 2 2024

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Grand River near Brunswick affecting Carroll and Chariton 
  Counties.

  Grand River near Sumner affecting Linn, Carroll, Livingston and 
  Chariton Counties.

  Grand River near Chillicothe affecting Linn and Livingston 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

This product along with additional weather and stream information is 
available at www.weather.gov/kc/.

&&

MOC033-041-032045-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-240508T0834Z/
/BRNM7.1.ER.240504T1700Z.240505T1800Z.240507T0834Z.UU/
341 PM CDT Thu May 2 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Grand River near Brunswick.

* WHEN...Until early Wednesday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 19.0 feet, Flooding of low-lying areas occurs along 
  the west bank of the Grand River near the U.S. Highway 24 bridge 
  about 1 mile west of Brunswick.
  At 22.0 feet, Low-lying areas along the east bank of the Grand 
  River near the U.S. Highway 24 bridge begin to flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 3:35 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 18.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    early Saturday afternoon to a crest of 21.2 feet early Sunday
    afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage early Tuesday
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                Fld   Obs             Forecasts                
Location        Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Thu   Fri   Sat          
                                      7pm   7pm   7pm          
Grand River
Brunswick       19.0  18.9  Thu 3pm   17.9  17.6  19.8         


&&

LAT...LON 3951 9330 3953 9321 3938 9307 3938 9313
      3945 9327


$$

MOC033-041-115-117-032045-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-240507T2125Z/
/SNZM7.2.ER.240428T1348Z.240430T0330Z.240506T2125Z.NO/
341 PM CDT Thu May 2 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Grand River near Sumner.

* WHEN...Until Tuesday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 23.0 feet, Bottomland 1 to 2 miles south of the gage 
  begins to flood.
  At 26.0 feet, Rural land adjacent to the river is flooded.
  At 28.0 feet, Rural roads are under water.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 2:45 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 24.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    late this evening to a crest of 34.4 feet Saturday morning.
    It will then fall below flood stage Monday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                Fld   Obs             Forecasts                
Location        Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Thu   Fri   Sat          
                                      7pm   7pm   7pm          
Grand River
Sumner          26.0  24.3  Thu 2pm   25.1  33.8  34.2         


&&

LAT...LON 3967 9343 3978 9343 3970 9327 3953 9321
      3951 9330


$$

MOC115-117-032045-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0039.240503T0536Z-240506T0842Z/
/CHZM7.2.ER.240503T0536Z.240503T1800Z.240505T0842Z.NO/
341 PM CDT Thu May 2 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT TO EARLY MONDAY 
MORNING...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Grand River near Chillicothe.

* WHEN...From late tonight to early Monday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Low-lying cropland floods.
  At 28.0 feet, Rural roads are under water.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 2:45 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 12.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    just after midnight tonight to a crest of 31.0 feet early
    tomorrow afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage early
    Sunday morning.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                Fld   Obs             Forecasts                
Location        Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Thu   Fri   Sat          
                                      7pm   7pm   7pm          
Grand River
Chillicothe     24.0  12.4  Thu 2pm   15.3  30.1  25.8         


&&

LAT...LON 3983 9363 3978 9343 3967 9343 3974 9367


$$

SAW
325 
WGUS83 KEAX 030143
FLSEAX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
843 PM CDT Thu May 2 2024

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Grand River near Pattonsburg affecting Gentry and Daviess 
  Counties.

  Grand River near Sumner affecting Livingston, Linn, Carroll and 
  Chariton Counties.

  Grand River near Gallatin affecting Livingston and Daviess 
  Counties.

  Grand River near Chillicothe affecting Livingston and Linn 
  Counties.

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Grand River near Brunswick affecting Carroll and Chariton 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

This product along with additional weather and stream information is 
available at www.weather.gov/kc/.

&&

MOC061-075-040145-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0042.240503T0143Z-240504T1011Z/
/PATM7.1.ER.240502T2306Z.240503T0600Z.240503T1011Z.UU/
843 PM CDT Thu May 2 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING TO EARLY SATURDAY 
MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Grand River near Pattonsburg.

* WHEN...From this evening to early Saturday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 25.0 feet, Low-lying farmland begins to flood.
  At 30.0 feet, Nearly all agricultural land and secondary roads in 
  the Grand River floodplain flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:30 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 27.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 28.7
    feet just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below
    flood stage late tonight.
  - Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                Fld   Obs             Forecasts                
Location        Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Fri   Sat   Sun          
                                      1am   1am   1am          
Grand River
Pattonsburg     25.0  27.3  Thu 8pm   28.7  11.4  8.4          


&&

LAT...LON 4004 9400 3996 9410 4014 9445 4020 9433


$$

MOC033-041-040145-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-240508T0849Z/
/BRNM7.1.ER.240504T0824Z.240506T0000Z.240507T0849Z.UU/
843 PM CDT Thu May 2 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Grand River near Brunswick.

* WHEN...Until early Wednesday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 19.0 feet, Flooding of low-lying areas occurs along 
  the west bank of the Grand River near the U.S. Highway 24 bridge 
  about 1 mile west of Brunswick.
  At 22.0 feet, Low-lying areas along the east bank of the Grand 
  River near the U.S. Highway 24 bridge begin to flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 3:35 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 18.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    early Saturday morning to a crest of 22.3 feet Sunday
    evening. It will then fall below flood stage early Tuesday
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                Fld   Obs             Forecasts                
Location        Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Fri   Sat   Sun          
                                      1am   1am   1am          
Grand River
Brunswick       19.0  18.9  Thu 3pm   18.0  18.8  21.3         


&&

LAT...LON 3951 9330 3953 9321 3938 9307 3938 9313
      3945 9327


$$

MOC033-041-115-117-040145-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-240507T2048Z/
/SNZM7.2.ER.240428T1348Z.240430T0330Z.240506T2048Z.NO/
843 PM CDT Thu May 2 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Grand River near Sumner.

* WHEN...Until Tuesday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 23.0 feet, Bottomland 1 to 2 miles south of the gage 
  begins to flood.
  At 26.0 feet, Rural land adjacent to the river is flooded.
  At 28.0 feet, Rural roads are under water.
  At 37.0 feet, State Highway 139 floods a half mile east of Sumner.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:45 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 24.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    late this evening to a crest of 35.4 feet Saturday morning.
    It will then fall below flood stage Monday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                Fld   Obs             Forecasts                
Location        Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Fri   Sat   Sun          
                                      1am   1am   1am          
Grand River
Sumner          26.0  24.2  Thu 7pm   28.2  35.1  34.8         


&&

LAT...LON 3967 9343 3978 9343 3970 9327 3953 9321
      3951 9330


$$

MOC061-117-040145-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0043.240503T0259Z-240505T0403Z/
/GAZM7.1.ER.240503T0259Z.240503T1200Z.240504T0403Z.NO/
843 PM CDT Thu May 2 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE SATURDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Grand River near Gallatin.

* WHEN...Until late Saturday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 26.0 feet, Low-lying woodlands and farmland along the 
  river flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:45 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 23.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    late this evening to a crest of 30.6 feet tomorrow morning.
    It will then fall below flood stage late tomorrow evening.
  - Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                Fld   Obs             Forecasts                
Location        Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Fri   Sat   Sun          
                                      1am   1am   1am          
Grand River
Gallatin        26.0  23.3  Thu 7pm   29.6  24.9  11.2         


&&

LAT...LON 3996 9410 4004 9399 3983 9363 3974 9367


$$

MOC115-117-040145-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0039.240503T0403Z-240506T0155Z/
/CHZM7.2.ER.240503T0403Z.240504T0600Z.240505T0155Z.NO/
843 PM CDT Thu May 2 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Grand River near Chillicothe.

* WHEN...Until Sunday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Low-lying cropland floods.
  At 28.0 feet, Rural roads are under water.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:45 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 21.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage late this
    evening to 32.7 feet early Saturday morning. It will then
    fall below flood stage Saturday evening.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                Fld   Obs             Forecasts                
Location        Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Fri   Sat   Sun          
                                      1am   1am   1am          
Grand River
Chillicothe     24.0  21.4  Thu 7pm   25.5  32.7  22.1         


&&

LAT...LON 3983 9363 3978 9343 3967 9343 3974 9367


$$

SAW
187 
WGUS83 KEAX 031315
FLSEAX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
815 AM CDT Fri May 3 2024

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Grand River near Gallatin affecting Daviess and Livingston 
  Counties.

  Grand River near Pattonsburg affecting Gentry and Daviess 
  Counties.

  Grand River near Sumner affecting Chariton, Carroll, Linn and 
  Livingston Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Grand River near Chillicothe affecting Linn and Livingston 
  Counties.

  Grand River near Brunswick affecting Chariton and Carroll 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

This product along with additional weather and stream information is 
available at www.weather.gov/kc/.

&&

MOC061-117-041315-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-240505T0732Z/
/GAZM7.1.ER.240503T0339Z.240503T1800Z.240504T0732Z.NO/
815 AM CDT Fri May 3 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Grand River near Gallatin.

* WHEN...Until early Sunday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 26.0 feet, Low-lying woodlands and farmland along the 
  river flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:45 AM CDT Friday the stage was 28.6 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 28.6
    feet this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage just
    after midnight tonight.
  - Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                Fld   Obs             Forecasts                
Location        Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Fri   Sat   Sun          
                                      1pm   1pm   1pm          
Grand River
Gallatin        26.0  28.6  Fri 7am   28.6  17.5  10.9         


&&

LAT...LON 3996 9410 4004 9399 3983 9363 3974 9367


$$

MOC061-075-041315-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-240504T1712Z/
/PATM7.1.ER.240502T2306Z.240503T0900Z.240503T1712Z.UU/
815 AM CDT Fri May 3 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY TOMORROW AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring.

* WHERE...Grand River near Pattonsburg.

* WHEN...Until early tomorrow afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 25.0 feet, Low-lying farmland begins to flood.
  At 30.0 feet, Nearly all agricultural land and secondary roads in 
  the Grand River floodplain flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:30 AM CDT Friday the stage was 28.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    this afternoon and continue falling to 6.1 feet Wednesday
    morning.
  - Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                Fld   Obs             Forecasts                
Location        Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Fri   Sat   Sun          
                                      1pm   1pm   1pm          
Grand River
Pattonsburg     25.0  28.5  Fri 7am   24.4  10.3  8.2          


&&

LAT...LON 4004 9400 3996 9410 4014 9445 4020 9433


$$

MOC115-117-041315-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-240506T0115Z/
/CHZM7.2.ER.240503T0149Z.240503T1800Z.240505T0115Z.NO/
815 AM CDT Fri May 3 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...Grand River near Chillicothe.

* WHEN...Until Sunday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Low-lying cropland floods.
  At 28.0 feet, Rural roads are under water.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:45 AM CDT Friday the stage was 31.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 31.8
    feet this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage
    tomorrow evening.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                Fld   Obs             Forecasts                
Location        Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Fri   Sat   Sun          
                                      1pm   1pm   1pm          
Grand River
Chillicothe     24.0  31.7  Fri 7am   31.8  26.6  17.8         


&&

LAT...LON 3983 9363 3978 9343 3967 9343 3974 9367


$$

MOC033-041-041315-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-240508T0837Z/
/BRNM7.1.ER.240504T0112Z.240505T1800Z.240507T0837Z.UU/
815 AM CDT Fri May 3 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Grand River near Brunswick.

* WHEN...Until early Wednesday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 19.0 feet, Flooding of low-lying areas occurs along 
  the west bank of the Grand River near the U.S. Highway 24 bridge 
  about 1 mile west of Brunswick.
  At 22.0 feet, Low-lying areas along the east bank of the Grand 
  River near the U.S. Highway 24 bridge begin to flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:28 AM CDT Friday the stage was 18.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    this evening to a crest of 22.4 feet early Sunday afternoon.
    It will then fall below flood stage early Tuesday morning.
  - Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                Fld   Obs             Forecasts                
Location        Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Fri   Sat   Sun          
                                      1pm   1pm   1pm          
Grand River
Brunswick       19.0  18.7  Fri 7am   18.7  20.8  22.4         


&&

LAT...LON 3951 9330 3953 9321 3938 9307 3938 9313
      3945 9327


$$

MOC033-041-115-117-041315-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-240507T2056Z/
/SNZM7.2.ER.240428T1348Z.240430T0330Z.240506T2056Z.NO/
815 AM CDT Fri May 3 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...Grand River near Sumner.

* WHEN...Until Tuesday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 23.0 feet, Bottomland 1 to 2 miles south of the gage 
  begins to flood.
  At 26.0 feet, Rural land adjacent to the river is flooded.
  At 28.0 feet, Rural roads are under water.
  At 37.0 feet, State Highway 139 floods a half mile east of Sumner.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 7:45 AM CDT Friday the stage was 33.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 35.3
    feet just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below
    flood stage Monday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                Fld   Obs             Forecasts                
Location        Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Fri   Sat   Sun          
                                      1pm   1pm   1pm          
Grand River
Sumner          26.0  33.9  Fri 7am   34.5  35.2  33.8         


&&

LAT...LON 3967 9343 3978 9343 3970 9327 3953 9321
      3951 9330


$$

SAW
688 
WGUS83 KEAX 031932
FLSEAX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
232 PM CDT Fri May 3 2024

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Grand River near Chillicothe affecting Linn and Livingston 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

This product along with additional weather and stream information is 
available at www.weather.gov/kc/.

&&

MOC115-117-041945-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-240506T0300Z/
/CHZM7.2.ER.240503T0149Z.240504T0000Z.240505T0300Z.NO/
232 PM CDT Fri May 3 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE SUNDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...Grand River near Chillicothe.

* WHEN...Until late Sunday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Low-lying cropland floods.
  At 28.0 feet, Rural roads are under water.
  At 35.0 feet, U.S. Highway 65 south of Chillicothe is threatened 
  by flood water.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 1:45 PM CDT Friday the stage was 32.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 33.0
    feet this evening. It will then fall below flood stage late
    tomorrow evening.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                Fld   Obs             Forecasts                
Location        Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Fri   Sat   Sun          
                                      7pm   7pm   7pm          
Grand River
Chillicothe     24.0  32.7  Fri 1pm   33.0  25.6  17.1         


&&

LAT...LON 3983 9363 3978 9343 3967 9343 3974 9367


$$

SAW
300 
WGUS83 KEAX 040202
FLSEAX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
902 PM CDT Fri May 3 2024

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Grand River near Gallatin affecting Livingston and Daviess 
  Counties.

  Grand River near Chillicothe affecting Livingston and Linn 
  Counties.

  Grand River near Brunswick affecting Chariton and Carroll 
  Counties.

  Grand River near Sumner affecting Chariton, Livingston, Linn and 
  Carroll Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

This product along with additional weather and stream information is 
available at www.weather.gov/kc/.

&&

MOC061-117-050215-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0043.000000T0000Z-240505T0617Z/
/GAZM7.1.ER.240503T0339Z.240503T1645Z.240504T0617Z.NO/
902 PM CDT Fri May 3 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Grand River near Gallatin.

* WHEN...Until early Sunday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 26.0 feet, Low-lying woodlands and farmland along the 
  river flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:45 PM CDT Friday the stage was 27.6 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    just after midnight tonight and continue falling to 8.1 feet
    Wednesday evening.
  - Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                Fld   Obs             Forecasts                
Location        Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Sat   Sun   Mon          
                                      1am   1am   1am          
Grand River
Gallatin        26.0  27.6  Fri 8pm   26.2  13.9  10.4         


&&

LAT...LON 3996 9410 4004 9399 3983 9363 3974 9367


$$

MOC115-117-050215-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-240505T2212Z/
/CHZM7.2.ER.240503T0149Z.240503T2215Z.240504T2212Z.NO/
902 PM CDT Fri May 3 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...Grand River near Chillicothe.

* WHEN...Until Sunday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Low-lying cropland floods.
  At 28.0 feet, Rural roads are under water.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:45 PM CDT Friday the stage was 33.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    tomorrow afternoon and continue falling to 11.4 feet
    Wednesday evening.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                Fld   Obs             Forecasts                
Location        Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Sat   Sun   Mon          
                                      1am   1am   1am          
Grand River
Chillicothe     24.0  33.0  Fri 8pm   32.6  20.1  14.9         


&&

LAT...LON 3983 9363 3978 9343 3967 9343 3974 9367


$$

MOC033-041-050215-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-240508T0532Z/
/BRNM7.1.ER.240503T1454Z.240505T1200Z.240507T0532Z.UU/
902 PM CDT Fri May 3 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Grand River near Brunswick.

* WHEN...Until early Wednesday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 19.0 feet, Flooding of low-lying areas occurs along 
  the west bank of the Grand River near the U.S. Highway 24 bridge 
  about 1 mile west of Brunswick.
  At 22.0 feet, Low-lying areas along the east bank of the Grand 
  River near the U.S. Highway 24 bridge begin to flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 5:00 PM CDT Friday the stage was 19.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 22.3
    feet Sunday morning. It will then fall below flood stage
    early Tuesday morning.
  - Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                Fld   Obs             Forecasts                
Location        Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Sat   Sun   Mon          
                                      1am   1am   1am          
Grand River
Brunswick       19.0  19.9  Fri 5pm   20.6  22.1  22.1         


&&

LAT...LON 3951 9330 3953 9321 3938 9307 3938 9313
      3945 9327


$$

MOC033-041-115-117-050215-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-240507T1630Z/
/SNZM7.2.ER.240428T1348Z.240430T0330Z.240506T1630Z.NO/
902 PM CDT Fri May 3 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TUESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...Grand River near Sumner.

* WHEN...Until late Tuesday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 23.0 feet, Bottomland 1 to 2 miles south of the gage 
  begins to flood.
  At 26.0 feet, Rural land adjacent to the river is flooded.
  At 28.0 feet, Rural roads are under water.
  At 37.0 feet, State Highway 139 floods a half mile east of Sumner.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:45 PM CDT Friday the stage was 35.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 35.4
    feet tomorrow morning. It will then fall below flood stage
    late Monday morning.
  - Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                Fld   Obs             Forecasts                
Location        Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Sat   Sun   Mon          
                                      1am   1am   1am          
Grand River
Sumner          26.0  35.2  Fri 8pm   35.3  34.4  31.0         


&&

LAT...LON 3967 9343 3978 9343 3970 9327 3953 9321
      3951 9330


$$

Williams
888 
WGUS83 KEAX 041449
FLSEAX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
949 AM CDT Sat May 4 2024

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Grand River near Chillicothe affecting Linn and Livingston 
  Counties.

  Grand River near Brunswick affecting Chariton and Carroll 
  Counties.

  Grand River near Sumner affecting Chariton, Linn, Livingston and 
  Carroll Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

This product along with additional weather and stream information is 
available at www.weather.gov/kc/.

&&

MOC115-117-051500-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-240506T0600Z/
/CHZM7.2.ER.240503T0149Z.240503T2215Z.240505T0600Z.NO/
949 AM CDT Sat May 4 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY MONDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...Grand River near Chillicothe.

* WHEN...Until early Monday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Low-lying cropland floods.
  At 28.0 feet, Rural roads are under water.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:45 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 31.6 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    just after midnight tonight and continue falling to 10.7 feet
    Thursday morning.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                Fld   Obs             Forecasts                
Location        Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Sat   Sun   Mon          
                                      1pm   1pm   1pm          
Grand River
Chillicothe     24.0  31.6  Sat 8am   29.8  18.1  14.1         


&&

LAT...LON 3983 9363 3978 9343 3967 9343 3974 9367


$$

MOC033-041-051500-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-240508T1736Z/
/BRNM7.1.ER.240503T1454Z.240505T1800Z.240507T1736Z.UU/
949 AM CDT Sat May 4 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Grand River near Brunswick.

* WHEN...Until early Wednesday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 19.0 feet, Flooding of low-lying areas occurs along 
  the west bank of the Grand River near the U.S. Highway 24 bridge 
  about 1 mile west of Brunswick.
  At 22.0 feet, Low-lying areas along the east bank of the Grand 
  River near the U.S. Highway 24 bridge begin to flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - There is no current observed data.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 22.4
    feet early tomorrow afternoon. It will then fall below flood
    stage early Tuesday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                Fld   Obs             Forecasts                
Location        Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Sat   Sun   Mon          
                                      1pm   1pm   1pm          
Grand River
Brunswick       19.0  MSG   MSG       21.2  22.4  22.1         


&&

LAT...LON 3951 9330 3953 9321 3938 9307 3938 9313
      3945 9327


$$

MOC033-041-115-117-051500-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-240508T0407Z/
/SNZM7.2.ER.240428T1348Z.240430T0330Z.240507T0407Z.NO/
949 AM CDT Sat May 4 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TUESDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...Grand River near Sumner.

* WHEN...Until late Tuesday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 23.0 feet, Bottomland 1 to 2 miles south of the gage 
  begins to flood.
  At 26.0 feet, Rural land adjacent to the river is flooded.
  At 28.0 feet, Rural roads are under water.
  At 37.0 feet, State Highway 139 floods a half mile east of Sumner.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:45 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 35.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 35.9
    feet this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage late
    Monday evening.
  - Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                Fld   Obs             Forecasts                
Location        Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Sat   Sun   Mon          
                                      1pm   1pm   1pm          
Grand River
Sumner          26.0  35.8  Sat 8am   35.9  34.7  31.3         


&&

LAT...LON 3967 9343 3978 9343 3970 9327 3953 9321
      3951 9330


$$

Kurtz
089 
WGUS83 KEAX 042357
FLSEAX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
657 PM CDT Sat May 4 2024

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Grand River near Chillicothe affecting Livingston and Linn 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

This product along with additional weather and stream information is 
available at www.weather.gov/kc/.

&&

MOC115-117-060000-
/O.CON.KEAX.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-240506T0600Z/
/CHZM7.2.ER.240503T0149Z.240503T2215Z.240505T0600Z.NO/
657 PM CDT Sat May 4 2024

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY MONDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Grand River near Chillicothe.

* WHEN...Until early Monday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Low-lying cropland floods.
  At 28.0 feet, Rural roads are under water.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 6:45 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 27.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    just after midnight tonight and continue falling to 10.7 feet
    Thursday morning.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                Fld   Obs             Forecasts                
Location        Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Sat   Sun   Mon          
                                      7pm   7pm   7pm          
Grand River
Chillicothe     24.0  27.9  Sat 6pm   27.1  16.5  13.6         


&&

LAT...LON 3983 9363 3978 9343 3967 9343 3974 9367


$$

HB
439 
WGUS83 KEAX 050200
FLSEAX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
900 PM CDT Sat May 4 2024

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Grand River near Chillicothe affecting Linn and Livingston 
  Counties.

  Grand River near Brunswick affecting Carroll and Chariton 
  Counties.

  Grand River near Sumner affecting Carroll, Linn, Chariton and 
  Livingston Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

This product along with additional weather and stream information is 
available at www.weather.gov/kc/.

&&

MOC115-117-060200-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-240506T0800Z/
/CHZM7.2.ER.240503T0149Z.240503T2215Z.240505T0800Z.NO/
900 PM CDT Sat May 4 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY MONDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Grand River near Chillicothe.

* WHEN...Until early Monday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 24.0 feet, Low-lying cropland floods.
  At 28.0 feet, Rural roads are under water.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:45 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 26.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    late tonight and continue falling to 10.0 feet Thursday
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                Fld   Obs             Forecasts                
Location        Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Sun   Mon   Tue          
                                      1am   1am   1am          
Grand River
Chillicothe     24.0  26.8  Sat 8pm   25.2  15.2  12.9         


&&

LAT...LON 3983 9363 3978 9343 3967 9343 3974 9367


$$

MOC033-041-060200-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-240508T2100Z/
/BRNM7.1.ER.240503T1454Z.240505T1800Z.240507T2100Z.UU/
900 PM CDT Sat May 4 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Grand River near Brunswick.

* WHEN...Until Wednesday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 19.0 feet, Flooding of low-lying areas occurs along 
  the west bank of the Grand River near the U.S. Highway 24 bridge 
  about 1 mile west of Brunswick.
  At 22.0 feet, Low-lying areas along the east bank of the Grand 
  River near the U.S. Highway 24 bridge begin to flood.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 1:48 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 21.6 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 22.4
    feet early tomorrow afternoon. It will then fall below flood
    stage Tuesday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                Fld   Obs             Forecasts                
Location        Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Sun   Mon   Tue          
                                      1am   1am   1am          
Grand River
Brunswick       19.0  21.6  Sat 1pm   21.9  22.4  21.5         


&&

LAT...LON 3951 9330 3953 9321 3938 9307 3938 9313
      3945 9327


$$

MOC033-041-115-117-060200-
/O.EXT.KEAX.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-240508T0514Z/
/SNZM7.2.ER.240428T1348Z.240504T1600Z.240507T0514Z.NO/
900 PM CDT Sat May 4 2024

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is 
  forecast.

* WHERE...Grand River near Sumner.

* WHEN...Until early Wednesday morning.

* IMPACTS...At 23.0 feet, Bottomland 1 to 2 miles south of the gage 
  begins to flood.
  At 26.0 feet, Rural land adjacent to the river is flooded.
  At 28.0 feet, Rural roads are under water.
  At 37.0 feet, State Highway 139 floods a half mile east of Sumner.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:45 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 35.7 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    early Tuesday morning and continue falling to 13.6 feet
    Thursday evening.
  - Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                Fld   Obs             Forecasts                
Location        Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Sun   Mon   Tue          
                                      1am   1am   1am          
Grand River
Sumner          26.0  35.7  Sat 8pm   35.6  33.8  25.4         


&&

LAT...LON 3967 9343 3978 9343 3970 9327 3953 9321
      3951 9330


$$

Williams
738 
WGUS83 KEAX 050658
FLSEAX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
158 AM CDT Sun May 5 2024

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Grand River near Chillicothe affecting Linn and Livingston 
  Counties.

MOC115-117-050800-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-240505T0658Z/
/CHZM7.2.ER.240503T0149Z.240503T2215Z.240505T0632Z.NO/
158 AM CDT Sun May 5 2024

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Grand River near Chillicothe.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 1:45 AM CDT Sunday the stage was 23.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 10.0 feet
    Thursday evening.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                Fld   Obs             Forecasts                
Location        Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Sun   Mon   Tue          
                                      7am   7am   7am          
Grand River
Chillicothe     24.0  23.9  Sun 1am   21.6  14.4  12.8         


&&

LAT...LON 3983 9363 3978 9343 3967 9343 3974 9367


$$

BT

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at May 1, 6:37 PM CDT, 1 hour 31 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • Widely scattered showers and thunder through this evening. One or two strong storms may be possible this evening into tonight with hail the primary concerns.
  • Showers and thunderstorms will continue through Thursday. River flooding will remain a concern.
  • Additional rounds of showers and storms this weekend. &&
Area forecast discussion, May 1, 6:37 PM CDT, 1 hour 31 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
637 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024

...Updated 00z Aviation...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Widely scattered showers and thunder through this evening.
  One or two strong storms may be possible this evening into
  tonight with hail the primary concerns.

- Showers and thunderstorms will continue through Thursday.
  River flooding will remain a concern.

- Additional rounds of showers and storms this weekend. &&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 228 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024

Scattered showers and isolated thunder continue to persist this
afternoon across portions of eastern Kansas and western Missouri.
This activity has maintained within the re-established warm sector
ahead of a weak mid-level short wave lifting east-northeast off the
western high plains of CO/KS. 18Z surface analysis suggests a diffuse
warm front stretches from north central Kansas to north of the
Missouri River. Compared to the earlier convection in central
Kansas, as this activity has advanced east, it's run into a less
favorable environment, with only lower to mid-40s dew points to work
with.

This evening, scattered showers and thunder will continue across the
region, with some greater focus across far northeastern Kansas and
northwestern Missouri as the LLJ increases through 06Z.
Additionally, with the push of a cold front off the Panhandle of
Nebraska, guidance continues to develop a complex/line of storms
building southeastward overnight across the Sandhills through
midnight. Observing MCS maintenance, short-range solutions suggest
shear/cold pool balance will maintain to some degree as it moves
east, arriving into a favorable environment across eastern Kansas
through the early morning hours. Not a traditional MCS environment,
but close enough to suggest a line of thunderstorms will move into
the area through sunrise tomorrow morning and may be capable of
strong to severe winds. For the remainder of Thursday, it's looking
like a rather rainy day, with persisting showers and thunderstorms
as the cold front and associated upper short wave move through the
region through the day. Widespread rainfall amounts tonight through
Thursday will range from 1.00 to 1.50 inches. As always, locally
heavier amounts may exist within thunderstorms.

Rain is expected to clear out from west to east by Friday morning,
with high pressure allowing for a rather rain free day. Winds will
shift back to the southeast and south through the evening,
increasing return flow ahead of an advancing H500 open short wave.
With increased ascent ahead, shower and thunderstorm chances will
increase across Kansas into Missouri through Saturday morning. Mid-
range solutions shift precipitation eastward of the region late
Saturday afternoon and evening.

The forecast gets a bit more complicated into Sunday, with the
development of a large western trough over the Inter-Mountain West.
An open short wave ejects off the southern Plains Sunday, lifting
into the Ozarks by the evening. There's some variability of how far
north any precipitation will spread from this compact open trough.

The greater focus for the extended is the evolution of the
aforementioned western trough. It becomes negatively tilted rather
quickly through Monday, with the H500 center pivoting over WY into
eastern MT by Monday afternoon. The elongated surface front
stretches from the Dakotas through the southern Plains. An eye will
be kept on the evolution of this system over the next few days.
Given synoptic setup, there's increasing potential for thunderstorms
across the plains and into our area by the evening.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 635 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024

Cloud cover continues to increase as system approaches from
west. Additional showers may develop this evening. Stronger
thunderstorm activity is now more favored for the overnight
hours into early morning Thursday. Ceilings will bounce between
VFR and MVFR with passing showers and storms. Wind gusts around
20 kts expected, and may be a touch faster with shower/storm
activity.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...None.
KS...None.

&&

DISCUSSION...Kurtz
AVIATION...Krull
Hazardous weather outlook, May 1, 4:45 AM CDT, 15 hours 23 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
445 AM CDT Wed May 1 2024

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-020945-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
445 AM CDT Wed May 1 2024

This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

 Strong to marginally severe storms are possible this evening and
 overnight.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

 Widespread showers and thunderstorms are expected Thursday. A few
 may be strong to marginally severe.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 1, 3:08 PM CDT, 5 hours before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant HIll MO
308 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0840 PM     Tstm Wnd Dmg     7 SSE Ballard           38.27N 94.12W
04/27/2024                   Bates              MO   NWS Employee

            Delayed report. Large tree down near State
            Highway H. Time estimated from radar.

&&

CMS
Local storm report, May 1, 3:23 PM CDT, 4 hours 45 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant HIll MO
323 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 AM     Flood            5 NW Clifton City       38.81N 93.11W
04/28/2024                   Pettis             MO   Dept of Highways

            Delayed report. Flooding of Route O near
            Muddy Creek. Time estimated from dispatch
            report.

&&

CMS
Local storm report, May 1, 3:27 PM CDT, 4 hours 41 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant HIll MO
327 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 AM     Flood            3 S Huntsville          39.40N 92.55W
04/28/2024                   Randolph           MO   Dept of Highways

            Delayed report. Route D closed from flooding
            near Route BB. Time estimated from dispatch
            report.

&&

CMS
Local storm report, May 1, 3:30 PM CDT, 4 hours 38 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant HIll MO
330 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 AM     Flood            3 N Sweet Springs       39.00N 93.41W
04/28/2024                   Saline             MO   Dept of Highways

            Delayed report. State Highway 127 closed
            near Salt Pond Creek from flooding. Time
            based on dispatch report.

&&

CMS
Local storm report, May 1, 3:35 PM CDT, 4 hours 33 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant HIll MO
335 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 AM     Flood            1 S Sweet Springs       38.95N 93.42W
04/28/2024                   Saline             MO   Dept of Highways

            Delayed reports. Flooding in multiple areas
            near the Blackwater River, including Route
            VV. Time based on dispatch reports.

&&

CMS
Local storm report, May 1, 3:39 PM CDT, 4 hours 29 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant HIll MO
339 PM CDT Wed May 1 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1030 PM     Flash Flood      4 NNW Reger             40.20N 93.23W
04/27/2024                   Sullivan           MO   Dept of Highways

            Delayed report. Flooding on State Highway PP
            near Coach Drive. Time estimated from radar
            and dispatch report.

&&

CMS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Kansas City, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 2, 6:58 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEAXCaldwell, Clay, Clinton, Jackson32 min
May 2, 7:31 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEAXJackson29 min
May 2, 8:39 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEAXCass36 min
May 2, 8:43 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEAXCass, Henry, Johnson58 hr
May 2, 9:33 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEAXCass, Jackson3 hr
May 2, 9:53 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEAXChariton, Macon9 hr
May 2, 10:58 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEAXCarroll, Chariton3 hr
May 2, 1:43 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEAXHoward32 min
May 2, 1:56 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningEAXGrundy, Harrison, Mercer, Putnam, Sullivan21 hr
May 2, 2:16 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEAXJackson29 min
May 2, 2:42 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEAXCass, Jackson3 hr
May 2, 3:10 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXCass, Jackson, Lafayette, Ray3 hr
May 2, 3:37 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEAXBates, Cass3 hr
May 2, 3:38 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEAXDaviess, Gentry29 hr
May 2, 3:38 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEAXDaviess, Livingston34 hr
May 2, 4:01 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXBates, Cass3 hr
May 2, 5:02 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEAXBuchanan41 hr
May 2, 5:54 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningEAXCass, Jackson, Lafayette, Ray4 hr
May 2, 6:39 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningEAXCaldwell, Carroll, Chariton, Daviess, DeKalb, Gentry and 5 more16 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2024Every river flood warning in 2024

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.