Severe Thunderstorm Warning 93, NWS Dodge City, KS

385 
WWUS53 KDDC 290134
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
834 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024

KSC055-069-081-290200-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0093.000000T0000Z-240529T0200Z/
Finney KS-Gray KS-Haskell KS-
834 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN FINNEY...NORTHWESTERN GRAY AND NORTH CENTRAL HASKELL
COUNTIES...

At 834 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Plymell, moving
northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Damage to vehicles is expected.

This severe storm will be near...
  Plymell around 840 PM CDT.

Other locations in the path of this severe thunderstorm include
Garden City.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3779 10109 3783 10109 3783 10110 3784 10110
      3811 10090 3803 10067 3781 10054 3760 10093
TIME...MOT...LOC 0134Z 228DEG 21KT 3782 10094 

HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...<50 MPH

$$

JJOHNSON

862 
WWUS53 KDDC 290150
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
850 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024

KSC055-069-081-290200-
/O.EXP.KDDC.SV.W.0093.000000T0000Z-240529T0200Z/
Finney KS-Gray KS-Haskell KS-
850 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN FINNEY...
NORTHWESTERN GRAY AND NORTH CENTRAL HASKELL COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT
900 PM CDT...

The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer poses an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.  However, small
hail and gusty winds are still possible with this thunderstorm.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
southwestern Kansas.

&&

LAT...LON 3779 10109 3783 10109 3783 10110 3784 10110
      3811 10090 3803 10067 3781 10054 3760 10093
TIME...MOT...LOC 0150Z 228DEG 21KT 3788 10086 

$$

JJOHNSON

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
533 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- More showers and storms tonight

- More showers and storms tomorrow

- Relatively wet for rest of period

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 520 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024

Updated the short term grids to substantially raise the pops in
the west up as the HRRR has maintained the overall best
convective trends so far...and appears poised to continue the
trend with Colorado supercells congealing into more large
clusters and a line between about 00z (7 pm and late evening
from the KS/CO state line, and weakening in the less favorable
lapse rate environment east of the highway 83 corridor towards
midnight. The most favorable severe weather parameters are
focused in the far two western columns of counties, namely the
LHP (large hail parameter), boundary layer moisture and and
uncapped surface based cape area. Severe Thunderstorm Watch for
the western 6 counties remains in effect through 10 pm CDT/9 PM
MDT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 222 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024

A complex of showers and thunderstorms will develop across the greater
region this afternoon and evening. Activity will be scattered in
nature with a hit or miss variety of activity. Rain amounts will
be widely variable with amounts between none and one inch. There
is about 30-40 kt of bulk shear, which could lead to strong to low
end severe storm activity with hail and wind being the main threats.
The main focus on this activity will be relegated to the W and SW
zones where CAPE and bulk shear is maximized. Otherwise, seasonal
lows are expected tonight with values in the upper 50s to lower 60s.
For tomorrow, PWATS will continue to remain above normal with plenty
of moisture in the lower atmosphere. As such, expect another diurnal
round of showers and thunderstorms moving out of Colorado and across
western Kansas. Some marginally severe activity with this second
round cannot be ruled out. Highs tomorrow will actually be quite
pleasant with values within a few degrees of 80F.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Issued at 222 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024

The continue summer-like pattern continue through much of the business
week. This will favor seasonably warm temperatures and daily MCS
shower and thunderstorm activity. Will have to watch out for isolated
strong to severe activity each day as plenty of CAPE and marginal
bulk shear will be present for isolated bouts of strong to severe
activity. Hail and wind would be the main threats along with some
heavy rainfall. This activity will continue to remain of the hit
or miss variety, so nailing down specific rainfall amounts is an
exercise in futility. Will have to watch out though for those areas
that are lucky enough to see storms for heavy rainfall through the
next several days. Highs and lows will be relatively close to seasonal
normals with perhaps trending to slightly above normal as we finish
the business week.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 532 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024

Scattered supercells in southeast Colorado are posied to enter
sw Kansas after 00 UTC, perhaps bringing severe weather with up
to 2 inch hail and 60-70 mph wind gusts initially, before
weakening as the storms reach the GCK-LBL corridor in the mid
to late evening (03-06Z). A severe risk can’t be ruled out at
GCK or LBL, but heavy rain/reduced vsby/gusty outflow winds are
the heavier bet. The rain cooled boundary layer may then add to
stratus development overnight at least in the MVFR category,
developing after about 9z.

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

UPDATE...Russell
SHORT TERM...Sugden
LONG TERM...Sugden
AVIATION...Russell

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
301 AM CDT Tue May 28 2024

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-290815-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
301 AM CDT Tue May 28 2024 /201 AM MDT Tue May 28 2024/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Kansas,
south central Kansas, southwest Kansas, and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A slight risk of severe storms will be possible across far
southwestern Kansas with a marginal risk across most of the
remainder of the forecast area. The strongest storms will be
capable of producing large hail and damaging winds.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Scattered thunderstorms will be possible each day with the best
chance Thursday night into Friday then confined to central Kansas
thereafter. It is too early to tell if any of these storms will be
severe.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed across far southwestern Kansas.

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
742 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0615 PM     Hail             13 W Richfield          37.27N 102.03W
05/28/2024  E0.88 Inch       Morton             KS   Public

            Dimes to Nickel size hail was reported.

&&

MR

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
747 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0745 PM     Hail             3 ESE Ulysses           37.56N 101.30W
05/28/2024  E1.00 Inch       Grant              KS   Trained Spotter

            Dimes to nickels mostly, with a few Quarter
            size hailstones were reported.

&&

MR

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
756 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024

KSZ074>076-085-086-290130-
Seward KS-Stanton KS-Stevens KS-Grant KS-Haskell KS-
756 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SEWARD...SOUTHERN GRANT...
STEVENS...SOUTHEASTERN STANTON AND SOUTHWESTERN HASKELL COUNTIES
THROUGH 830 PM CDT...

At 755 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 9 miles northwest of Moscow to near Woods to
near Tyrone. Movement was east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Strong thunderstorms will be near...
  Moscow and Woods around 800 PM CDT.
  Liberal around 805 PM CDT.
  Cave around 810 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
southwestern Kansas.

&&

LAT...LON 3720 10144 3747 10160 3747 10080 3701 10076
      3700 10121 3700 10143
TIME...MOT...LOC 0055Z 259DEG 23KT 3739 10137 3722 10119 3701 10112

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

JJOHNSON

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
801 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024

KSZ062>064-077-078-290130-
Gray KS-Finney KS-Hodgeman KS-Kearny KS-Ford KS-
801 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN FORD...EAST CENTRAL
KEARNY...FINNEY...SOUTHWESTERN HODGEMAN AND NORTHERN GRAY COUNTIES
THROUGH 830 PM CDT...

At 800 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Holcomb to near Howell. Movement was
northeast at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Strong thunderstorms will be near...
  Garden City, Cimarron, Holcomb, Pierceville, Ingalls, Charleston,
  and Howell around 805 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
southwestern Kansas.

&&

LAT...LON 3825 10109 3782 9979 3763 10021 3795 10123
TIME...MOT...LOC 0100Z 241DEG 11KT 3799 10094 3777 10021

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

JJOHNSON

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
812 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 PM     Hail             10 NNE Hickok           37.70N 101.15W
05/28/2024  E1.25 Inch       Grant              KS   Public

            Quarters to Half Dollar size hail was
            reported.

&&

MR

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
814 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024

KSZ061>063-075-290200-
Finney KS-Kearny KS-Hamilton KS-Grant KS-
814 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT HAMILTON...KEARNY...WEST CENTRAL
FINNEY AND NORTH CENTRAL GRANT COUNTIES THROUGH 900 PM CDT/800 PM
MDT/...

At 814 PM CDT/714 PM MDT/, Doppler radar was tracking strong
thunderstorms along a line extending from near Syracuse to Kendall to
9 miles north of Ulysses. Movement was northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
         possible.

Strong thunderstorms will be near...
  Lakin around 830 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT/900
PM MDT/ for southwestern Kansas.

&&

LAT...LON 3826 10204 3826 10113 3787 10098 3766 10137
      3788 10156 3794 10204
TIME...MOT...LOC 0114Z 202DEG 30KT 3800 10185 3794 10153 3772 10136

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

JJOHNSON