Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2024

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 65, NWS Dodge City, KS

May 19, 2024Clark County, Meade County, Kansas

NWS Dodge City, KS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 19, 2024, 5:30 PM CDT for Clark County, Meade County, Kansas. It was in force for 30 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 19, 2024, 5:30 PM CDT (22:30 UTC)
Expired: May 19, 2024, 6:00 PM CDT
In force: 30 min
Issued by: NWS Dodge City, KS
Area: Storm-based polygon
Damage threat: Considerable
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 70.0 mph

Counties Clark County, KS, Meade County, KS

The radar

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 67 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
May 19, 2:32 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch PDS	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 10.5 hours before the alert went out and 68 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 226 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -383 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1296 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 48 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 336 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 414 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 2.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

762 
WUUS53 KDDC 192230
SVRDDC
KSC025-119-192300-
/O.NEW.KDDC.SV.W.0065.240519T2230Z-240519T2300Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
530 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

The National Weather Service in Dodge City has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Southeastern Meade County in southwestern Kansas...
  Southern Clark County in southwestern Kansas...

* Until 600 PM CDT.

* At 529 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Meade, moving
  east at 55 mph.

  HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect considerable 
           tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to mobile homes, 
           roofs, and outbuildings.

* Locations impacted include...
  Ashland.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3710 10023 3726 10025 3721 9955 3718 9955
      3709 9968
TIME...MOT...LOC 2229Z 276DEG 49KT 3726 10024 

THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...70 MPH

$$

SPRINGER

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 19, 1:40 PM CDT, 3 hours 50 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

Intense squall line with wind gusts of 60-100 mph potential is on track for this afternoon and evening.
Residual moisture along with another shortwave could lead to a few stronger storms along the I-70 corridor Monday evening.
Cooler temperatures mid week.

Area forecast discussion, May 19, 1:40 PM CDT, 3 hours 50 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
140 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Intense squall line with wind gusts of 60-100 mph potential is
  on track for this afternoon and evening.

- Residual moisture along with another shortwave could lead to
  a few stronger storms along the I-70 corridor Monday evening.

- Cooler temperatures mid week.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 103 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION...

An 80-90 kt subtropical jet was located over the southern
Rockies, with the exit region over the southern high plains.
Ahead of this feature lee troughing has allowed for a robust
moisture return into central and southwest Kansas. Strong
instability has develop with surface based CAPE from 3000 to
4000 j/kg. The dry line was sharp in the Texas Panhandle but
less defined farther north. The dryline is surging eastward
through the panhandle but bends back to the northwest into
Colorado. Given a weak capping inversion along with elevated
heating and jet dynamics, t-storms will develop west of the
Kansas state line by 2 to 3 pm and then move into Kansas. Bulk
shear values support supercells initially in far southwest
Kansas. However, 0-1 km SRH values were only about 50 m2/s2
given the absence of a warm front in southwest Kansas that would
result in backed winds and higher low level SRH. Very large
hail is likely with the initial supercells but it is uncertain
how long the cells with remain discrete. Given the strong
instability and deep veering wind profile, very large to giant
hail is possible through 5 pm. As the storms develop cold pools,
there should be a transition to outflow domination, with
damaging winds of 70-80+ mph and small hail over a large area.
These storms will be oriented north to south and sweeping
eastward across southwest and into central Kansas during the
evening.

Farther north, storm initiation may occur early this afternoon
along I-70. Low level shear is stronger in this area so the
tornado threat could be higher there.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
Issued at 1214 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

17Z obs and upper air analysis shows widespread low 60 dewpoints
along and ahead of the dryline which is located in the far
western Oklahoma panhandle. A cu field is starting to show up on
satellite near Clayton, NM which will be monitored over the next
couple of hours for storm initiation. CAMs have been consistent
with storms forming and intensifying just west of the CO-KS
border around 2 pm and quickly expanding and growing linear as
they move eastward. HRRR wind gusts have been showing 60-80 kt
wind potential at 10m starting near the K-25 corridor and
growing eastward through the late afternoon and evening for the
rest of southwest Kansas. Storm warnings will most likely
reflect this with WEA activation for 80+ mph destructive wind
threat. Another threat that will be monitored as the squall line
matures east of highway 83 is QLCS tornadoes. 0-3 km bulk shear
values are already SW at 35 kts east of highway 281 and are
expected to increase with the intensification of the low level
jet after 00Z. QLCS tornadoes will be very hard to have lead
time on warnings as they are usually quick spin ups and along
with the already destructive straight line wind threat
regardless if the winds are rotating or straight they will be
over 80 mph. The squall line should be out of DDC CWA by 03Z.

Lower confidence of a rogue supercell this evening is still in
play mainly in NW Oklahoma around Woodward however this could be
as far north as Coldwater-Medicine Lodge. If this happens with
the low level jet, the moisture, and instability...this
particular feature could have giant hail and supercell tornado
potential.

Monday most of the day will be the atmosphere recharging as we
should have a weak frontal boundary and southeast winds bringing
in the return of some moisture. By the late afternoon and
evening a shortwave trough is forecast to develop in northwest
to north central Kansas and we could see another round of some
strong to severe storms capable of hail and gusty winds.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 137 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

Short long term discussion due to upcoming severe weather event
today. Main feature in the medium term model ensembles is a
large longwave trough over the western CONUS which will bring a
stronger cold front across Kansas Tuesday afternoon into
Wednesday. Most of the moisture and instability ahead of the
front will be in central Kansas and thus the severe weather
potential in southwest Kansas looks low. The longwave trough
hangs on in the central and northern plains through the late
workweek and with the upper level lows more in the northern
plains the storm threat will be mostly due to frontal passages
in northwest and north central Kansas Friday into Saturday.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 1150 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024

Main weather event of interest will be an intense squall line
forecast to develop in eastern Colorado early this afternoon
and race across southwest Kansas. TEMPOs are included in the
TAF and we are expecting the line of storms to be around GCK and
LBL in the 22Z-00Z time frame, DDC and HYS in the 23-01Z time
frame. Downburst winds of 60+ kts are possible in this line of
storms (with some models showing as high as 75+kt gusts) as they
move over the airport and take off and landing is not advised
when the line is moving through. The line should be out of
southwest Kansas by 03Z. Low clouds are forecast to develop for
DDC and HYS between 10-14Z where we could see cloud ceilings
drop to IFR flight category.

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

UPDATE...Finch
SHORT TERM...Tatro
LONG TERM...Tatro
AVIATION...Tatro

Hazardous weather outlook, May 19, 2:16 AM CDT, 15 hours 14 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
216 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-200730-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
216 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024 /116 AM MDT Sun May 19 2024/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Kansas,
south central Kansas, southwest Kansas, and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Sunday.

Numerous thunderstorms are expected Sunday afternoon and
evening. Some storms are expected to be severe with large hail
and damaging winds.

The highest risk of straight line wind damage will be east of
Dodge City Sunday evening, where gusts of 60-90 mph are expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Friday.

Additional, more isolated severe thunderstorms are possible
Monday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will be required after 4 pm Sunday.

Turner

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 19, 4:42 PM CDT, 48 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
442 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0415 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     2 NNW Ulysses           37.60N 101.37W
05/19/2024  M70 MPH          Grant              KS   AWOS

            AWOS station KULS Ulysses.

&&

GT

Local storm report, May 19, 4:47 PM CDT, 43 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
447 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0439 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     2 WSW Liberal           37.03N 100.97W
05/19/2024  M56 MPH          Seward             KS   AWOS

            AWOS station KLBL Liberal.

&&

GT

Local storm report, May 19, 4:57 PM CDT, 33 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
457 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0450 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     1 SSW Garden City       37.96N 100.87W
05/19/2024  M60 MPH          Finney             KS   Mesonet

            Mesonet station GCCOP 1 SW Garden City.

&&

GT

Local storm report, May 19, 4:59 PM CDT, 31 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
459 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0454 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     3 NW Pierceville        37.92N 100.72W
05/19/2024  M74 MPH          Finney             KS   ASOS

            ASOS station KGCK Garden City.

&&

GT

Local storm report, May 19, 5:04 PM CDT, 26 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
504 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0448 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     1 WSW Hayne             37.10N 100.81W
05/19/2024  M66 MPH          Seward             KS   Mesonet

            Mesonet station UP407 0.6 SW Hayne (UPR).

&&

GT

Local storm report, May 19, 5:05 PM CDT, 25 minutes before

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
505 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0501 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     7 N Plains City         37.36N 100.60W
05/19/2024  M61 MPH          Meade              KS   Storm Chaser

&&

GT

The office that day

Everything else NWS Dodge City, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 18, 10:59 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Hamilton	31 min
May 18, 11:27 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Hamilton	33 min
May 19, 1:23 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Lane, Scott	67 min
May 19, 1:46 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Lane, Scott	59 min
May 19, 1:59 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Trego	61 min
May 19, 6:26 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Hodgeman	64 min
May 19, 1:29 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Trego	31 min
May 19, 1:48 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ellis, Trego	42 min
May 19, 2:19 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Ellis	26 min
May 19, 2:26 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Destructive damage threat	DDC	Ellis, Trego	19 min
May 19, 2:38 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Ellis	52 min
May 19, 2:52 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	DDC	Grant, Hamilton, Kearny, Morton, Stanton, Stevens	53 min
May 19, 3:07 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	DDC	Ellis	28 min
May 19, 3:40 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	DDC	Finney, Kearny, Scott	50 min
May 19, 3:43 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	DDC	Grant, Haskell, Morton, Seward, Stanton, Stevens	62 min
May 19, 3:44 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	DDC	Finney, Grant, Hamilton, Haskell, Kearny, Stanton	61 min
May 19, 4:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Destructive damage threat	DDC	Finney, Kearny, Scott	37 min
May 19, 4:44 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	DDC	Grant, Gray, Haskell, Meade, Seward, Stevens	61 min
May 19, 4:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	DDC	Finney, Gray, Kearny, Lane, Scott	59 min
May 19, 5:10 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	DDC	Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Ford, Kiowa, Meade	50 min
May 19, 5:17 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	DDC	Edwards, Finney, Ford, Gray, Hodgeman, Lane and 1 more	43 min
May 19, 5:49 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Destructive damage threat	DDC	Edwards, Ford, Hodgeman, Kiowa, Pawnee, Pratt and 1 more	56 min
May 19, 5:52 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	DDC	Edwards, Ellis, Hodgeman, Lane, Ness, Pawnee and 3 more	53 min
May 19, 5:54 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	DDC	Clark, Comanche, Ford, Kiowa, Meade	27 min
May 19, 6:20 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threat	DDC	Barber, Clark, Comanche, Ford, Kiowa, Meade	25 min
May 19, 6:44 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning Destructive damage threat	DDC	Barber, Comanche, Edwards, Kiowa, Pawnee, Pratt and 1 more	61 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2024 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2024

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.