Alert archive / Kansas / Flood Watches in 2024
Flood Watch 2, NWS Dodge City, KS
NWS Dodge City, KS issued this flood watch at Jun 30, 2024, 2:52 AM CDT for 16 counties in Kansas. It was in force for 10 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 30, 2024, 2:52 AM CDT (07:52 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 30, 2024, 1:03 PM CDT
- In force
- 10 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Dodge City, KS
- Flood severity
- None
Counties Barber County, KS, Clark County, KS, Comanche County, KS, Edwards County, KS, Ford County, KS, Grant County, KS, Gray County, KS, Haskell County, KS, Kiowa County, KS, Meade County, KS, Morton County, KS, Pratt County, KS, Seward County, KS, Stafford County, KS, Stanton County, KS, Stevens County, KS
The radar
The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 35 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 00:00Z, 7.9 hours before the alert went out and 39 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 25 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -506 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1982 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 37 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 27 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 302 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flood watch went out at Jun 30, 2:30 AM CDT, 22 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- Widespread showers and thunderstorms are expected tonight through Sunday morning, which will mainly be sub-severe.
- Summertime heat returns Monday with afternoon highs in the upper 90s/near 100.
- Precipitation chances exist each day through the period, with the best chance on Wednesday.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 30, 2:30 AM CDT, 22 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Dodge City KS 230 AM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024 .KEY MESSAGES... - Widespread showers and thunderstorms are expected tonight through Sunday morning, which will mainly be sub-severe. - Summertime heat returns Monday with afternoon highs in the upper 90s/near 100. - Precipitation chances exist each day through the period, with the best chance on Wednesday. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 230 AM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024 Infrared satellite and KDDC radar observations reveal scattered thunderstorms are increasing in coverage within an area of WAA across the central plains. Recent runs of the HREF suggest this activity will increase in coverage through the overnight period and into Sunday morning, bringing widespread rain to southwest KS as HREF probability of QPF > 0.5" is in the 60-80% range for much of the area. Some of these thunderstorms reaching severe criteria cannot be ruled out given around 30 kts of 0-6km shear, however, meager instability should make any severe convection very few and far between. By early afternoon Sunday, CAMs indicate convective activity will be winding down/moving northeast of our area, but widespread cloud cover will persist, limiting afternoon temperatures to well below normal with highs ranging from the mid 80s southwest to the mid 70s northeast. Another round of thunderstorms is possible late Sunday afternoon into the overnight hours as convection moves off the higher terrain in CO into western KS, but coverage will be much lower with only slight chance (15-24%) to low-end chance (25-54%) pops across the northern zones. Daytime Monday, the summertime heat returns with a vengeance as clear skies, a strong upper level ridge over the southern plains, and downsloping surface southwesterly flow across the central plains combine to send afternoon temperatures above normal with highs in the upper 90s/near 100. A few scattered showers/thunderstorms are possible once again Monday afternoon and evening as a cold front associated with a surface low located over south-central Canada drifts southward into our area, however coverage will be similarly low to Sunday night with only slight chance (15-24%) to low-end chance (25-54%) pops. Tuesday through the end of the work week will feature daily opportunities for precipitation, likely in the form of sub- severe thunderstorms, as the mid-level jet remains over roughly the northern half of the CONUS, which is just close enough to southwest KS to support convective activity. Currently, the best chance for precipitation appears to be Wednesday as the LREF probability of QPF > 0.1" is in the 40-80% range for our entire area. This will also be accompanied by below normal temperatures as NBM highs are only in the mid/upper 80s. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/... Issued at 1230 AM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024 Recent radar observation show scattered thunderstorms beginning to develop over portions of southwest KS, and the latest HREF indicates this activity will continue to increase in coverage through the overnight period. However, current convective activity is far more sparse than most HREF members suggest, casting doubt on the degree of thunderstorm coverage and limiting TAF mention to only VCTS. Otherwise, warm advection will lead to MVFR/IFR cigs through much of the period, beginning to recover back to low-end VFR by 20-23Z Sunday. Regarding winds, generally east winds aoa 12 kts will gradually veer to southeast by Sunday afternoon. && .DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && DISCUSSION...Springer AVIATION...Springer
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 29, 3:28 AM CDT, 23 hours 24 minutes before
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</html>The office that day
Everything else NWS Dodge City, KS issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 3:33 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | DDC | Pratt | 3 hr |
| Jun 30, 6:52 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | DDC | Morton, Stanton | 4 hr |
| Jun 30, 7:05 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | DDC | Barber, Clark, Comanche, Ford, Kiowa | 4 hr |
| Jun 30, 7:41 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | DDC | Ford, Gray | 3 hr |
| Jun 30, 8:18 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | DDC | Clark, Comanche, Ford | 4 hr |
| Jun 30, 10:47 AM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | DDC | Clark, Ford, Gray | 12 hr |
| Jun 30, 11:04 AM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | DDC | Barber, Comanche, Kiowa | 12 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.