Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Winter Storm Warnings in 2024
Winter Storm Warning 2, NWS State College, PA
NWS State College, PA issued this winter storm warning at Jan 9, 2024, 11:01 AM EST for Cambria County, Somerset County, Pennsylvania. It was in force for 3 hr. 4 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 9, 2024, 11:01 AM EST (16:01 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 9, 2024, 1:46 PM EST
- In force
- 3 hr
- Issued by
- NWS State College, PA
Counties Cambria County, PA, Somerset County, PA
The radar
The State College radar (KCCX), 106 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 11:30 AM EST | SNOW 12 | 1 S Ogletown, PA | Atop the Allegheny Front. |
| Jan 9, 12:00 PM EST | SNOW 6.5 | 1 N Scalp Level, PA | |
| Jan 9, 12:15 PM EST | SNOW 6.5 | Boswell, PA | |
| Jan 9, 1:15 PM EST | SNOW 9.5 | Spring Hill, PA | Portage area. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Pittsburgh, PA (KPIT), launched 12:00Z, 4.0 hours before the alert went out and 106 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 534 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 50 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 737 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 1248 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
386 WWUS41 KCTP 091601 WSWCTP URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service State College PA 1101 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024 PAZ024-033-092000- /O.UPG.KCTP.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-240109T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KCTP.WS.W.0002.240109T1601Z-240109T2000Z/ Cambria-Somerset- Including the cities of Johnstown and Somerset 1101 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Snow mixing with sleet and changing to rain. Additional snow accumulations of up to two inches...bringing storm total accumulations to 4 to 8 inches. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. * WHERE...Cambria and Somerset Counties. * WHEN...Until 3 PM EST this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow will continue heavy at times through midday before changing to sleet and rain in most locations by early afternoon. Expect the greatest snow accumulations in the higher elevations. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel as significant winter weather conditions will make travel very hazardous. Call 5 1 1 or visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadway and traffic conditions. To report snow or ice, post to the NWS State College Facebook page, use Twitter @NWSStateCollege, or visit weather.gov/ctp. && $$ PAZ025-034-091800- /O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-240109T1800Z/ Blair-Bedford- Including the cities of Altoona and Bedford 1101 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Wet snow changing to mixed precipitation. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 5 inches, with locally over 6 inches in higher elevations. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. * WHERE...Blair and Bedford Counties. * WHEN...Until 1 PM EST this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow will change to rain in most locations by early afternoon. Expect the greatest snow accumulations in the higher elevations. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission remind motorists to adjust speeds based on driving conditions as winter weather impacts will include snow covered roads and limited visibility. Call 5 1 1 or visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadway and traffic conditions. To report snow or ice, post to the NWS State College Facebook page, use Twitter @NWSStateCollege, or visit weather.gov/ctp. && $$ PAZ005-006-010>012-017>019-026-027-045-092000- /O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-240109T2000Z/ McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Clearfield- Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Huntingdon-Mifflin- Southern Clinton- Including the cities of Bradford, Coudersport, St. Marys, Ridgway, Emporium, Renovo, DuBois, Clearfield, Philipsburg, State College, Huntingdon, Mount Union, Lewistown, and Lock Haven 1101 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Wet snow changing to mixed precipitation then rain. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 5 inches. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. * WHERE...Portions of central Pennsylvania. * WHEN...Until 3 PM EST this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow will continue heavy at times through early afternoon before changing to sleet and rain at most locations by mid afternoon. Expect the greatest snow accumulations in the higher elevations. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission remind motorists to adjust speeds based on driving conditions as winter weather impacts will include snow covered roads and limited visibility. Call 5 1 1 or visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadway and traffic conditions. To report snow or ice, post to the NWS State College Facebook page, use Twitter @NWSStateCollege, or visit weather.gov/ctp. && $$
3 follow-up statements
939 WWUS41 KCTP 091657 WSWCTP URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service State College PA 1157 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024 PAZ024-033-092000- /O.CON.KCTP.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240109T2000Z/ Cambria-Somerset- Including the cities of Johnstown and Somerset 1157 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Snow mixing with sleet and changing to rain. Additional snow accumulations of up to two inches...bringing storm total accumulations to 4 to 8 inches in most areas. Elevations above 2000 feet may locally receive 8 to 12 inches. Winds may gust as high as 40 mph. * WHERE...Cambria and Somerset Counties. * WHEN...Until 3 PM EST this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow will continue heavy at times through midday before changing to sleet and rain in most locations by early afternoon. Expect the greatest snow accumulations in the higher elevations. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel as significant winter weather conditions will make travel very hazardous. Call 5 1 1 or visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadway and traffic conditions. To report snow or ice, post to the NWS State College Facebook page, use Twitter @NWSStateCollege, or visit weather.gov/ctp. && $$ PAZ025-034-091800- /O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-240109T1800Z/ Blair-Bedford- Including the cities of Altoona and Bedford 1157 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Wet snow changing to mixed precipitation. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 5 inches, with locally over 6 inches in higher elevations. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. * WHERE...Blair and Bedford Counties. * WHEN...Until 1 PM EST this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow will change to rain in most locations by early afternoon. Expect the greatest snow accumulations in the higher elevations. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission remind motorists to adjust speeds based on driving conditions as winter weather impacts will include snow covered roads and limited visibility. Call 5 1 1 or visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadway and traffic conditions. To report snow or ice, post to the NWS State College Facebook page, use Twitter @NWSStateCollege, or visit weather.gov/ctp. && $$ PAZ005-006-010>012-017>019-026-027-045-092000- /O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-240109T2000Z/ McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Clearfield- Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Huntingdon-Mifflin- Southern Clinton- Including the cities of Bradford, Coudersport, St. Marys, Ridgway, Emporium, Renovo, DuBois, Clearfield, Philipsburg, State College, Huntingdon, Mount Union, Lewistown, and Lock Haven 1157 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Wet snow changing to mixed precipitation then rain. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 5 inches. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. * WHERE...Portions of central Pennsylvania. * WHEN...Until 3 PM EST this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow will continue heavy at times through early afternoon before changing to sleet and rain at most locations by mid afternoon. Expect the greatest snow accumulations in the higher elevations. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission remind motorists to adjust speeds based on driving conditions as winter weather impacts will include snow covered roads and limited visibility. Call 5 1 1 or visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadway and traffic conditions. To report snow or ice, post to the NWS State College Facebook page, use Twitter @NWSStateCollege, or visit weather.gov/ctp. && $$
444 WWUS41 KCTP 091801 WSWCTP URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service State College PA 101 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024 PAZ025-034-091915- /O.EXP.KCTP.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-240109T1800Z/ Blair-Bedford- Including the cities of Altoona and Bedford 101 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... Snow and mixed precipitation has changed to all rain after this morning's snowfall. Be alert to slick spots and areas of ponding water as periods of moderate to heavy rain move in this afternoon. $$ PAZ024-033-092000- /O.CON.KCTP.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240109T2000Z/ Cambria-Somerset- Including the cities of Johnstown and Somerset 101 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Snow mixing with sleet and changing to rain. Additional snow accumulations of up to two inches...bringing storm total accumulations to 4 to 8 inches in most areas. Elevations above 2000 feet may locally receive 8 to 12 inches. Winds may gust as high as 40 mph. * WHERE...Cambria and Somerset Counties. * WHEN...Until 3 PM EST this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow will continue heavy at times through midday before changing to sleet and rain in most locations by early afternoon. Expect the greatest snow accumulations in the higher elevations. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel as significant winter weather conditions will make travel very hazardous. Call 5 1 1 or visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadway and traffic conditions. To report snow or ice, post to the NWS State College Facebook page, use Twitter @NWSStateCollege, or visit weather.gov/ctp. && $$ PAZ005-006-010>012-017>019-026-027-045-092000- /O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-240109T2000Z/ McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Clearfield- Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Huntingdon-Mifflin- Southern Clinton- Including the cities of Bradford, Coudersport, St. Marys, Ridgway, Emporium, Renovo, DuBois, Clearfield, Philipsburg, State College, Huntingdon, Mount Union, Lewistown, and Lock Haven 101 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Wet snow changing to mixed precipitation then rain. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 5 inches, with locally higher amounts on the ridges. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. * WHERE...Portions of central Pennsylvania. * WHEN...Until 3 PM EST this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow will continue heavy at times through early afternoon before changing to sleet and rain at most locations by mid afternoon. Expect the greatest snow accumulations in the higher elevations. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission remind motorists to adjust speeds based on driving conditions as winter weather impacts will include snow covered roads and limited visibility. Call 5 1 1 or visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadway and traffic conditions. To report snow or ice, post to the NWS State College Facebook page, use Twitter @NWSStateCollege, or visit weather.gov/ctp. && $$
222 WWUS41 KCTP 091846 WSWCTP URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service State College PA 146 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024 PAZ024-033-092000- /O.CAN.KCTP.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240109T2000Z/ Cambria-Somerset- Including the cities of Johnstown and Somerset 146 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... Snow and mixed precipitation has changed to all rain after this morning's heavy snowfall. Be alert to slick spots and areas of ponding water as periods of moderate to heavy rain move in this afternoon. In addition, strong southeast wind gusts over 40 mph combined with the earlier heavy wet snowfall may lead to local power outages. $$ PAZ012-017>019-026-027-045-092000- /O.CAN.KCTP.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-240109T2000Z/ Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre-Southern Centre- Huntingdon-Mifflin-Southern Clinton- Including the cities of Renovo, DuBois, Clearfield, Philipsburg, State College, Huntingdon, Mount Union, Lewistown, and Lock Haven 146 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... Snow and mixed precipitation has changed to all rain. Be alert to slick spots and areas of ponding water as periods of moderate to heavy rain move in this afternoon. $$ PAZ005-006-010-011-092000- /O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-240109T2000Z/ McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron- Including the cities of Bradford, Coudersport, St. Marys, Ridgway, and Emporium 146 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Wet snow changing to mixed precipitation then rain. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 5 inches, with locally higher amounts on the ridges. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. * WHERE...Portions of central Pennsylvania. * WHEN...Until 3 PM EST this afternoon. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow will continue heavy at times through early afternoon before changing to sleet and rain at most locations by mid afternoon. Expect the greatest snow accumulations in the higher elevations. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania Turnpike Commission remind motorists to adjust speeds based on driving conditions as winter weather impacts will include snow covered roads and limited visibility. Call 5 1 1 or visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadway and traffic conditions. To report snow or ice, post to the NWS State College Facebook page, use Twitter @NWSStateCollege, or visit weather.gov/ctp. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS State College, PA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Jan 9, 10:29 AM EST, 32 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 9, 10:29 AM EST, 32 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service State College PA 1029 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024 .SYNOPSIS... Winter storms will impact central PA today and Friday with rain, snow, wind, and flooding threats. Noticeably colder temperatures are forecast by the end of the weekend. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... Yesterday's signal for a front end snow thump has materialized with areas from the Laurels through the WC and C Mountains having seen a quick 2 to 5 inch accumulation this morning. Dramatic snowfall rates and reflectivities have accompanied the heavy snow, with some of the largest aggregates I've seen occasionally tripping DP hydrometeor hail classifiction. The warm air is on the move and messy mix to to sleet and rain is occurring from south to north, slowest over the Laurel Highlands and WC Mountains. Here at Innovation Park southeast of campus, we have repeatedly gone from heavy snow to mixed sleet and rain and back again several times. Strong forcing will keep this back and forth transition going through midday, with additional coatings of high SLR slush across the central and south. Best additional snow accumulations will be north of I-80 with again a general 2 to 5 inches expected before the warm air wins by late afternoon. 9:15 AM: 4.3 inches measured at Penn State Altoona and a 5.4" from our Glencoe observer from this morning's burst of heavy snowfall. Transition to sleet and rain occurring central and south with minimal additional snow accumulations south of I-80, but we'll see similar 2 to 4 inch amounts up to parts of McKean and Potter through the midday hours. No additional updates at this time. 805 AM: Doubled snow amounts into the central mountains as 1.5-2" per hour rates are lifting across the area. KCCX WSR-88D sampling of aggregates bumped hydrometeor classification into hail, a first that I've seen. In the bizarre category, a large flock of starlings simultaneously flew over our office at Innovation Park (between State College and UNV). Very possible that this large biological target was being sampled along with the heavy snow. A general 2 to 5" range is now being mentioned for the Winter Weather Advisory, which we've expanded to include Elk, Cameron, Potter, McKean and Clinton Counties 730AM: Quick WSW update to boost snow totals over the Laurel Highlands up to 4 inches. 7AM: Snow onset running an hour or so ahead of schedule which is not surprising given the strong WAA signal. Expect heaviest rates from now through mid morning with snow expanding into the northern tier. Heaviest snow on radar and confirmed via RWIS/MVIEW cams is lifting north from US22 along I99 and should reach a FIG to UNV line by ~730AM. Previous Discussion Issued 513 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024 A major winter storm will track to the west of central PA through tonight, progressing northeastward from the mid MS/ lower OH Valley into the eastern Great Lakes and southern Ontario by 12Z Wed. Impressive moist advection embedded within a very strong/highly anomalous 70-80kt south-southeast 850mb flow will drive PWs to +3-4SD and IVT from as high as +8 sigma over the Mid-Atlantic, indicative of how anomalous the moisture is lifting across the region. Strong synoptic scale lift combined with the magnitude of moisture available will result in a shield of heavy precipitation lifting across the area this morning into the evening. Model soundings/thermal profiles support an initial, relatively brief 2-4 hour period of snow/wintry mix at the onset before a transition to rain via strong WAA. Snow rates up to 1 in/hr are possible for a very short duration. A quick 1-3" snow accum is expected by noon from the Laurel Highlands north through the central mtns into the northern tier. While snow may transition to sleet/freezing rain before going to all rain, the heavy rates and marginal/warming sfc temps should limit ice accretion efficiency. An anomalous (+4SD) southerly low level jet and associated plume of GOMEX moisture, overrunning a retreating low level stable air mass should result in a period of moderate to heavy rain into Tuesday evening, with an accompanying flood risk lasting into Wednesday. Latest ensemble data supports a widespread 1.25 to 1.75 rainfall, with amounts in excess of 2 inches where the strengthening southeast flow is forced to ascend the ridgetops of Central and Eastern PA. The combination of rain and snowmelt is likely to produce minor flooding over a good portion of the forecast area. MMEFS (NAEFS and GEFS) shows numerous river points across the southeast half of the forecast area with 30-70% prob of reaching minor flood stages by Wed AM, with the possibility of moderate flooding in a few spots. Current MARFC forecasts indicates minor flooding along the Swatara and Conodoguinet creeks on Wednesday. Strong, gusty winds will be a concern for parts of Central PA Tuesday into Wednesday as the surface low bombs out across the Great Lakes. Gradient winds ahead of the approaching low will produce strong southeasterly winds across the higher elevations in the Laurels and northern mountains. Strong winds are also likely across the eastern part of the forecast area, where guidance indicates the potential of breaking into the warm sector ahead of an approaching occluded front Tuesday evening. Current EPS guidance indicates 40kt+ gusts are likely later today across the aforementioned zones (everywhere except the central ridge/valley region), with 50 kt gusts not out of the question. The heavy rain and strong winds will end as the cold/occluded front pushes through this evening. Arrival of the dry slot will bring a period of relatively tranquil conditions late Tuesday night. However, falling heights ahead of the approaching upper low should produce developing snow showers across the W Mtns toward dawn Wednesday. && .SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/... Deep 5H trough axis crosses central PA on Wednesday morning, with seasonably colder air pouring into the region throughout the day. Magnitude of the cold air in the boundary layer isn't as cold as we typically like to see for a higher end snow squall threat, but -4C to -6C at 850 mb is sufficient to arouse some concern given model CAPES in the 40 to 90 J/kg and Snow Squall parameter lights up especially from the WC Mountains through the northern tier from the morning to midday hours. Air and sfc temps aren't likely to fall below freezing until the evening time, but it's something to keep an eye on for future shifts. Otherwise, flurries and scattered snow showers will accompany the passive of the upper low Wed morning, mainly over the Allegheny Plateau. Subsidence behind this feature, combined with a tight pressure gradient south of the deep surface cyclone, should result in a period of strong winds Wednesday afternoon, with much better mixing heights and potential momentum transfer to the surface possible. Latest EPS plumes indicate gusts could again near advisory criteria. Diminishing winds and fair weather appear likely for most areas by late Wednesday night but a quick moving clipper system moving into the eastern GLAKS may spread some snow showers back over the NW Mountains Thursday. && .LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... Zonal flow is progged to flood the lower CONUS with relatively mild Pacific air late this week with temps several degrees above average. Latest GEFS and EPS both track another deepening low pressure system west of PA late this week. This scenario favors another mix to rain event Friday PM, with gusty winds in its wake Saturday. Deep cyclonic flow and ice-free Grt Lks favors chilly weather with lake enhanced snow showers next weekend. && .AVIATION /16Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... A deep storm tracking west of the area will bring gusty winds, LLWS, and IFR and MVFR conditions to the area on Tuesday. The precipitation will start across the far west just before sunrise, reaching the eastern and northern areas several hours later. Precipitation across the southwest is currently falling as snow and this will continue to spread northeastward through the morning. Temperatures will quickly rise this afternoon and allow for snow to transition to heavy rain. IFR/LIFR conditions are expected in snow and rain for most of the 12Z TAF period. During the day, winds will be strongest for northern and western sites where sustained winds of 25 to 30 knots and gusts of 40 to 50 knots are expected. By 00Z, wind gusts across the southeast will also begin to increase as the area potentially breaks into the warm sector of the low. Currently expecting winds at MDT and LNS to gust from 35 to 40 knots during this time, but they could potentially be higher. Low level wind shear is also expected as low level winds increase to 50 to 60 knots throughout the day. The threat will initially begin across the west around 10Z, but will progress eastward through the morning. The cold front moves east of the area Tuesday night, and the steady rain will taper off from west to east. Snow showers will likely persist into across the far west into Wed. While winds may weaken for a while late Tuesday, expect gusty winds to pick back up on Wednesday, as the low lifts northeast of our area. Outlook... Wed...Windy with westerly gusts up to 55 mph possible, especially over the higher terrain of western PA and east of gaps in the ridges as colder air surges into the region. Mainly MVFR to ocnly IFR CIGS and vsbys in snow showers at KBFD and KJST with gradually improving conditions to mainly VFR and ocnl MVFR CIGS/VSbys in snow showers across the Central and SE zones. Thu...Dry weather with mainly VFR conditions. Fri...VFR conditions early, then rain and snow developing. Sat...Windy with snow showers across the mountains. Improving conditions across the east. && .HYDROLOGY... 1.0 to 2.5 inches of rain (with spot amounts up to 3 inches possible on the ridges/SE-facing slopes) combined with cold season hydrologic conditions and melting snow (SWEs 0.5-1.0 inch) will lead to enhanced runoff and elevated risk of inundation and river (small stream) flooding through midweek. A flood watch remains in effect for the central and eastern portions of the forecast area. Storm drains clogged with snow/ice at first will likely result in street/roadway ponding and low-lying/poor drainage flooding. Small stream/creek flooding is most likely (probable) with significant rises/action stages currently forecast on larger mainstem rivers. The highest confidence in river flooding is on the Swatara and Conodoguinet Creek which are both forecast to exceed minor flood stage. WPC has maintained a moderate risk excessive rainfall outlook which is quite rare in Central PA during the month of January with only 2 occurring since 2010 (24 January 2010 and 30 January 2013). && .CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Wind Advisory until midnight EST tonight for PAZ004>006- 010>012-017-018. Winter Weather Advisory until 3 PM EST this afternoon for PAZ005-006-010>012-017>019-026-027-045. Flood Watch through Wednesday afternoon for PAZ012-018-019- 025>028-034>037-041-042-045-046-049>053-056>059-063>066. Wind Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for PAZ024-033. Winter Weather Advisory until 1 PM EST this afternoon for PAZ024-025-033-034. Wind Advisory until 2 AM EST Wednesday for PAZ037-041-042-046- 051>053-057>059-065-066. Wind Advisory until midnight EST tonight for PAZ064. && SYNOPSIS...DeVoir/Steinbugl NEAR TERM...DeVoir/Fitzgerald/Steinbugl SHORT TERM...Fitzgerald/Steinbugl LONG TERM...DeVoir/Fitzgerald AVIATION...Martin/Bauco HYDROLOGY...Steinbugl
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 9, 11:01 AM EST, 0 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service State College PA 1101 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024 PAZ064-101615- Adams- 1101 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more information about the following hazards. Wind Advisory. Flood Watch. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. Windy conditions on Wednesday will blow around unsecured items and result in difficult driving for high profile vehicles. Another winter storm will impact the area Friday into Saturday with rain and wind threats followed by a cold spell. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather. PAZ037-041-042-046-051>053-057>059-065-066-101615- Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-Southern Lycoming-Montour- Northumberland-Columbia-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-York-Lancaster- 1101 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EST WEDNESDAY... ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more information about the following hazards. Wind Advisory. Flood Watch. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. Windy conditions on Wednesday will blow around unsecured items and result in difficult driving for high profile vehicles. Another winter storm will impact the area Friday into Saturday with rain, snow, and wind threats followed by a noticeable cold spell. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather. PAZ028-035-036-049-050-056-063-101615- Juniata-Fulton-Franklin-Union-Snyder-Perry-Cumberland- 1101 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. Windy conditions on Wednesday will blow around unsecured items and result in difficult driving for high profile vehicles. Another winter storm will impact the area Friday into Saturday with rain, snow, and wind threats followed by a noticeable cold spell. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather. PAZ024-033-101615- Cambria-Somerset- 1101 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more information about the following hazards. Wind Advisory. Winter Storm Warning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Windy conditions on Wednesday will blow around unsecured items and result in difficult driving for high profile vehicles. Another winter storm will impact the area Friday into Saturday with rain, snow, and wind threats followed by a noticeable cold spell. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather. PAZ019-026-027-045-101615- Southern Centre-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Southern Clinton- 1101 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Weather Advisory. Flood Watch. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. PAZ004-101615- Warren- 1101 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more information about the following hazards. Wind Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. PAZ025-034-101615- Blair-Bedford- 1101 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Weather Advisory. Flood Watch. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. PAZ005-006-010-011-017-101615- McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-Clearfield- 1101 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Weather Advisory. Wind Advisory. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. PAZ012-018-101615- Northern Clinton-Northern Centre- 1101 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Weather Advisory. Wind Advisory. Flood Watch. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more information about the following hazards. Flood Watch. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
In the hours before
Local storm report, Jan 9, 10:13 AM EST, 48 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service State College PA
1013 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1000 AM Snow 1 WNW Bellefonte 40.92N 77.78W
01/09/2024 M2.0 inch Centre PA Trained Spotter
&&Local storm report, Jan 9, 10:23 AM EST, 38 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service State College PA
1023 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1015 AM Snow 4 WSW Saltillo 40.19N 78.07W
01/09/2024 M4.8 inch Huntingdon PA Public
&&Local storm report, Jan 9, 10:28 AM EST, 33 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service State College PA
1028 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0928 AM Snow 1 SSE Park Forest 40.79N 77.90W
01/09/2024 M3.0 inch Centre PA Trained Spotter
&&Local storm report, Jan 9, 10:36 AM EST, 25 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service State College PA
1036 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1020 AM Snow 2 N Altoona 40.54N 78.41W
01/09/2024 M6.0 inch Blair PA Trained Spotter
PSU Altoona.
&&Local storm report, Jan 9, 10:39 AM EST, 22 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service State College PA
1039 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1030 AM Snow Breezewood 40.00N 78.24W
01/09/2024 M5.0 inch Bedford PA Trained Spotter
&&Local storm report, Jan 9, 10:40 AM EST, 21 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service State College PA
1040 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1010 AM Snow Dubois 41.12N 78.76W
01/09/2024 E2.0 inch Clearfield PA Public
&&The office that day
Everything else NWS State College, PA issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 11:40 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | CTP | Juniata, Perry | 95 min |
| Jan 9, 6:00 PM EST | Areal Flood Advisory | CTP | Adams, Cumberland, Dauphin, Franklin, Lancaster, Lebanon and 3 more | 3 hr |
| Jan 9, 6:28 PM EST | Areal Flood Advisory | CTP | Centre, Huntingdon, Juniata, Mifflin | 7 hr |
Nearby
Winter Storm Warnings in Pennsylvania, 2024Every winter storm warning in 2024
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.