Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Winter Storm Warnings in 2024

Winter Storm Warning 2, NWS State College, PA

January 9, 2024Cambria County, Somerset County, Pennsylvania

NWS State College, PA issued this winter storm warning at Jan 9, 2024, 11:01 AM EST for Cambria County, Somerset County, Pennsylvania. It was in force for 3 hr. 4 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jan 9, 2024, 11:01 AM EST (16:01 UTC)
Expired
Jan 9, 2024, 1:46 PM EST
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS State College, PA

Counties Cambria County, PA, Somerset County, PA

The radar

The State College radar (KCCX), 106 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jan 9, 11:30 AM ESTSNOW 121 S Ogletown, PAAtop the Allegheny Front.
Jan 9, 12:00 PM ESTSNOW 6.51 N Scalp Level, PA
Jan 9, 12:15 PM ESTSNOW 6.5Boswell, PA
Jan 9, 1:15 PM ESTSNOW 9.5Spring Hill, PAPortage area.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Pittsburgh, PA (KPIT), launched 12:00Z, 4.0 hours before the alert went out and 106 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Pittsburgh, PA at 12:00Z on 2024-01-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Pittsburgh, PA at 12:00Z on 2024-01-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 737 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
534 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
50 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
737 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
1248 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

386 
WWUS41 KCTP 091601
WSWCTP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service State College PA
1101 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

PAZ024-033-092000-
/O.UPG.KCTP.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-240109T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KCTP.WS.W.0002.240109T1601Z-240109T2000Z/
Cambria-Somerset-
Including the cities of Johnstown and Somerset
1101 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Snow mixing with sleet and changing to rain. Additional 
  snow accumulations of up to two inches...bringing storm total 
  accumulations to 4 to 8 inches. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...Cambria and Somerset Counties.

* WHEN...Until 3 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Gusty winds could 
  bring down tree branches.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow will continue heavy at times through
  midday before changing to sleet and rain in most locations by
  early afternoon. Expect the greatest snow accumulations in the 
  higher elevations.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania
Turnpike Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all
travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel as significant
winter weather conditions will make travel very hazardous.

Call 5 1 1 or visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadway
and traffic conditions.

To report snow or ice, post to the NWS State College Facebook
page, use Twitter @NWSStateCollege, or visit weather.gov/ctp.

&&

$$

PAZ025-034-091800-
/O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-240109T1800Z/
Blair-Bedford-
Including the cities of Altoona and Bedford
1101 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Wet snow changing to mixed precipitation. Total snow
  accumulations of 2 to 5 inches, with locally over 6 inches in 
  higher elevations. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...Blair and Bedford Counties.

* WHEN...Until 1 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning commute.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow will change to rain in most locations
  by early afternoon. Expect the greatest snow accumulations in 
  the higher elevations.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania
Turnpike Commission remind motorists to adjust speeds based on
driving conditions as winter weather impacts will include snow
covered roads and limited visibility.

Call 5 1 1 or visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadway
and traffic conditions.

To report snow or ice, post to the NWS State College Facebook
page, use Twitter @NWSStateCollege, or visit weather.gov/ctp.

&&

$$

PAZ005-006-010>012-017>019-026-027-045-092000-
/O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-240109T2000Z/
McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Clearfield-
Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Huntingdon-Mifflin-
Southern Clinton-
Including the cities of Bradford, Coudersport, St. Marys, 
Ridgway, Emporium, Renovo, DuBois, Clearfield, Philipsburg, 
State College, Huntingdon, Mount Union, Lewistown, and Lock Haven
1101 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Wet snow changing to mixed precipitation then rain. 
  Total snow accumulations of 2 to 5 inches. Winds gusting as high
  as 40 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of central Pennsylvania.

* WHEN...Until 3 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning commute. Gusty winds could 
  bring down tree branches.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow will continue heavy at times through
  early afternoon before changing to sleet and rain at most
  locations by mid afternoon. Expect the greatest snow 
  accumulations in the higher elevations.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania
Turnpike Commission remind motorists to adjust speeds based on
driving conditions as winter weather impacts will include snow
covered roads and limited visibility.

Call 5 1 1 or visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadway
and traffic conditions.

To report snow or ice, post to the NWS State College Facebook
page, use Twitter @NWSStateCollege, or visit weather.gov/ctp.

&&

$$
3 follow-up statements
939 
WWUS41 KCTP 091657
WSWCTP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service State College PA
1157 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

PAZ024-033-092000-
/O.CON.KCTP.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240109T2000Z/
Cambria-Somerset-
Including the cities of Johnstown and Somerset
1157 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Snow mixing with sleet and changing to rain. Additional
  snow accumulations of up to two inches...bringing storm total
  accumulations to 4 to 8 inches in most areas. Elevations above
  2000 feet may locally receive 8 to 12 inches. Winds may gust as
  high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...Cambria and Somerset Counties.

* WHEN...Until 3 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Gusty winds could 
  bring down tree branches.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow will continue heavy at times through 
  midday before changing to sleet and rain in most locations by 
  early afternoon. Expect the greatest snow accumulations in the 
  higher elevations.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania
Turnpike Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all
travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel as significant
winter weather conditions will make travel very hazardous.

Call 5 1 1 or visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadway
and traffic conditions.

To report snow or ice, post to the NWS State College Facebook
page, use Twitter @NWSStateCollege, or visit weather.gov/ctp.

&&

$$

PAZ025-034-091800-
/O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-240109T1800Z/
Blair-Bedford-
Including the cities of Altoona and Bedford
1157 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Wet snow changing to mixed precipitation. Total snow 
  accumulations of 2 to 5 inches, with locally over 6 inches in 
  higher elevations. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...Blair and Bedford Counties.

* WHEN...Until 1 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning commute.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow will change to rain in most 
  locations by early afternoon. Expect the greatest snow 
  accumulations in the higher elevations.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania
Turnpike Commission remind motorists to adjust speeds based on
driving conditions as winter weather impacts will include snow
covered roads and limited visibility.

Call 5 1 1 or visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadway
and traffic conditions.

To report snow or ice, post to the NWS State College Facebook
page, use Twitter @NWSStateCollege, or visit weather.gov/ctp.

&&

$$

PAZ005-006-010>012-017>019-026-027-045-092000-
/O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-240109T2000Z/
McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Clearfield-
Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Huntingdon-Mifflin-
Southern Clinton-
Including the cities of Bradford, Coudersport, St. Marys, 
Ridgway, Emporium, Renovo, DuBois, Clearfield, Philipsburg, 
State College, Huntingdon, Mount Union, Lewistown, and Lock Haven
1157 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Wet snow changing to mixed precipitation then rain. 
  Total snow accumulations of 2 to 5 inches. Winds gusting as 
  high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of central Pennsylvania.

* WHEN...Until 3 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning commute. Gusty winds could 
  bring down tree branches.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow will continue heavy at times through 
  early afternoon before changing to sleet and rain at most 
  locations by mid afternoon. Expect the greatest snow 
  accumulations in the higher elevations.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania
Turnpike Commission remind motorists to adjust speeds based on
driving conditions as winter weather impacts will include snow
covered roads and limited visibility.

Call 5 1 1 or visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadway
and traffic conditions.

To report snow or ice, post to the NWS State College Facebook
page, use Twitter @NWSStateCollege, or visit weather.gov/ctp.

&&

$$
444 
WWUS41 KCTP 091801
WSWCTP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service State College PA
101 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

PAZ025-034-091915-
/O.EXP.KCTP.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-240109T1800Z/
Blair-Bedford-
Including the cities of Altoona and Bedford
101 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

Snow and mixed precipitation has changed to all rain after this 
morning's snowfall. Be alert to slick spots and areas of ponding
water as periods of moderate to heavy rain move in this afternoon.

$$

PAZ024-033-092000-
/O.CON.KCTP.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240109T2000Z/
Cambria-Somerset-
Including the cities of Johnstown and Somerset
101 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Snow mixing with sleet and changing to rain. Additional 
  snow accumulations of up to two inches...bringing storm total 
  accumulations to 4 to 8 inches in most areas. Elevations above 
  2000 feet may locally receive 8 to 12 inches. Winds may gust 
  as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...Cambria and Somerset Counties.

* WHEN...Until 3 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Gusty winds could 
  bring down tree branches.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow will continue heavy at times through 
  midday before changing to sleet and rain in most locations by 
  early afternoon. Expect the greatest snow accumulations in the 
  higher elevations.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania
Turnpike Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all
travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel as significant
winter weather conditions will make travel very hazardous.

Call 5 1 1 or visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadway
and traffic conditions.

To report snow or ice, post to the NWS State College Facebook
page, use Twitter @NWSStateCollege, or visit weather.gov/ctp.

&&

$$

PAZ005-006-010>012-017>019-026-027-045-092000-
/O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-240109T2000Z/
McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Clearfield-
Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Huntingdon-Mifflin-
Southern Clinton-
Including the cities of Bradford, Coudersport, St. Marys, 
Ridgway, Emporium, Renovo, DuBois, Clearfield, Philipsburg, 
State College, Huntingdon, Mount Union, Lewistown, and Lock Haven
101 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Wet snow changing to mixed precipitation then rain. Total
  snow accumulations of 2 to 5 inches, with locally higher amounts
  on the ridges. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of central Pennsylvania.

* WHEN...Until 3 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning commute. Gusty winds could 
  bring down tree branches.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow will continue heavy at times through 
  early afternoon before changing to sleet and rain at most 
  locations by mid afternoon. Expect the greatest snow 
  accumulations in the higher elevations.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania
Turnpike Commission remind motorists to adjust speeds based on
driving conditions as winter weather impacts will include snow
covered roads and limited visibility.

Call 5 1 1 or visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadway
and traffic conditions.

To report snow or ice, post to the NWS State College Facebook
page, use Twitter @NWSStateCollege, or visit weather.gov/ctp.

&&

$$
222 
WWUS41 KCTP 091846
WSWCTP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service State College PA
146 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

PAZ024-033-092000-
/O.CAN.KCTP.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-240109T2000Z/
Cambria-Somerset-
Including the cities of Johnstown and Somerset
146 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

Snow and mixed precipitation has changed to all rain after this 
morning's heavy snowfall. Be alert to slick spots and areas of 
ponding water as periods of moderate to heavy rain move in this 
afternoon. In addition, strong southeast wind gusts over 40 mph 
combined with the earlier heavy wet snowfall may lead to local 
power outages. 

$$

PAZ012-017>019-026-027-045-092000-
/O.CAN.KCTP.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-240109T2000Z/
Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre-Southern Centre-
Huntingdon-Mifflin-Southern Clinton-
Including the cities of Renovo, DuBois, Clearfield, Philipsburg, 
State College, Huntingdon, Mount Union, Lewistown, and Lock Haven
146 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Snow and mixed precipitation has changed to all rain. Be alert to
slick spots and areas of ponding water as periods of moderate to 
heavy rain move in this afternoon.

$$

PAZ005-006-010-011-092000-
/O.CON.KCTP.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-240109T2000Z/
McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-
Including the cities of Bradford, Coudersport, St. Marys, 
Ridgway, and Emporium
146 PM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Wet snow changing to mixed precipitation then rain. 
  Total snow accumulations of 2 to 5 inches, with locally higher 
  amounts on the ridges. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...Portions of central Pennsylvania.

* WHEN...Until 3 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous 
  conditions could impact the morning commute. Gusty winds could 
  bring down tree branches.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow will continue heavy at times through 
  early afternoon before changing to sleet and rain at most 
  locations by mid afternoon. Expect the greatest snow 
  accumulations in the higher elevations.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania
Turnpike Commission remind motorists to adjust speeds based on
driving conditions as winter weather impacts will include snow
covered roads and limited visibility.

Call 5 1 1 or visit www.511pa.com for the latest travel, roadway
and traffic conditions.

To report snow or ice, post to the NWS State College Facebook
page, use Twitter @NWSStateCollege, or visit weather.gov/ctp.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS State College, PA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Jan 9, 10:29 AM EST, 32 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 9, 10:29 AM EST, 32 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service State College PA
1029 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
Winter storms will impact central PA today and Friday with
rain, snow, wind, and flooding threats. Noticeably colder
temperatures are forecast by the end of the weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Yesterday's signal for a front end snow thump has materialized
with areas from the Laurels through the WC and C Mountains
having seen a quick 2 to 5 inch accumulation this morning.
Dramatic snowfall rates and reflectivities have accompanied
the heavy snow, with some of the largest aggregates I've seen
occasionally tripping DP hydrometeor hail classifiction.

The warm air is on the move and messy mix to to sleet and rain
is occurring from south to north, slowest over the Laurel
Highlands and WC Mountains. Here at Innovation Park southeast of
campus, we have repeatedly gone from heavy snow to mixed sleet
and rain and back again several times. Strong forcing will keep
this back and forth transition going through midday, with
additional coatings of high SLR slush across the central and
south. Best additional snow accumulations will be north of I-80
with again a general 2 to 5 inches expected before the warm air
wins by late afternoon.

9:15 AM: 4.3 inches measured at Penn State Altoona and a 5.4"
from our Glencoe observer from this morning's burst of heavy
snowfall. Transition to sleet and rain occurring central and
south with minimal additional snow accumulations south of I-80,
but we'll see similar 2 to 4 inch amounts up to parts of McKean
and Potter through the midday hours. No additional updates at
this time.

805 AM: Doubled snow amounts into the central mountains
as 1.5-2" per hour rates are lifting across the area. KCCX
WSR-88D sampling of aggregates bumped hydrometeor classification
into hail, a first that I've seen. In the bizarre category, a
large flock of starlings simultaneously flew over our office at
Innovation Park (between State College and UNV). Very possible
that this large biological target was being sampled along with
the heavy snow. A general 2 to 5" range is now being mentioned
for the Winter Weather Advisory, which we've expanded to include
Elk, Cameron, Potter, McKean and Clinton Counties

730AM: Quick WSW update to boost snow totals over the
Laurel Highlands up to 4 inches.

7AM: Snow onset running an hour or so ahead of schedule which is
not surprising given the strong WAA signal. Expect heaviest
rates from now through mid morning with snow expanding into the
northern tier. Heaviest snow on radar and confirmed via
RWIS/MVIEW cams is lifting north from US22 along I99 and should
reach a FIG to UNV line by ~730AM.

Previous Discussion Issued 513 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

A major winter storm will track to the west of central PA
through tonight, progressing northeastward from the mid MS/
lower OH Valley into the eastern Great Lakes and southern
Ontario by 12Z Wed. Impressive moist advection embedded within
a very strong/highly anomalous 70-80kt south-southeast 850mb
flow will drive PWs to +3-4SD and IVT from as high as +8 sigma
over the Mid-Atlantic, indicative of how anomalous the moisture
is lifting across the region. Strong synoptic scale lift
combined with the magnitude of moisture available will result in
a shield of heavy precipitation lifting across the area this
morning into the evening.

Model soundings/thermal profiles support an initial, relatively
brief 2-4 hour period of snow/wintry mix at the onset before a
transition to rain via strong WAA. Snow rates up to 1 in/hr are
possible for a very short duration. A quick 1-3" snow accum is
expected by noon from the Laurel Highlands north through the
central mtns into the northern tier. While snow may transition
to sleet/freezing rain before going to all rain, the heavy rates
and marginal/warming sfc temps should limit ice accretion
efficiency.

An anomalous (+4SD) southerly low level jet and associated plume
of GOMEX moisture, overrunning a retreating low level stable
air mass should result in a period of moderate to heavy rain
into Tuesday evening, with an accompanying flood risk lasting
into Wednesday. Latest ensemble data supports a widespread 1.25
to 1.75 rainfall, with amounts in excess of 2 inches where the
strengthening southeast flow is forced to ascend the ridgetops
of Central and Eastern PA. The combination of rain and snowmelt
is likely to produce minor flooding over a good portion of the
forecast area. MMEFS (NAEFS and GEFS) shows numerous river
points across the southeast half of the forecast area with
30-70% prob of reaching minor flood stages by Wed AM, with the
possibility of moderate flooding in a few spots. Current MARFC
forecasts indicates minor flooding along the Swatara and
Conodoguinet creeks on Wednesday.

Strong, gusty winds will be a concern for parts of Central PA
Tuesday into Wednesday as the surface low bombs out across the
Great Lakes. Gradient winds ahead of the approaching low will
produce strong southeasterly winds across the higher elevations
in the Laurels and northern mountains. Strong winds are also
likely across the eastern part of the forecast area, where
guidance indicates the potential of breaking into the warm
sector ahead of an approaching occluded front Tuesday evening.
Current EPS guidance indicates 40kt+ gusts are likely later
today across the aforementioned zones (everywhere except the
central ridge/valley region), with 50 kt gusts not out of the
question.

The heavy rain and strong winds will end as the cold/occluded
front pushes through this evening. Arrival of the dry slot will
bring a period of relatively tranquil conditions late Tuesday
night. However, falling heights ahead of the approaching upper
low should produce developing snow showers across the W Mtns
toward dawn Wednesday.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
Deep 5H trough axis crosses central PA on Wednesday morning,
with seasonably colder air pouring into the region throughout
the day. Magnitude of the cold air in the boundary layer isn't
as cold as we typically like to see for a higher end snow squall
threat, but -4C to -6C at 850 mb is sufficient to arouse some
concern given model CAPES in the 40 to 90 J/kg and Snow Squall
parameter lights up especially from the WC Mountains through the
northern tier from the morning to midday hours. Air and sfc
temps aren't likely to fall below freezing until the evening
time, but it's something to keep an eye on for future shifts.

Otherwise, flurries and scattered snow showers will accompany
the passive of the upper low Wed morning, mainly over the
Allegheny Plateau. Subsidence behind this feature, combined with
a tight pressure gradient south of the deep surface cyclone,
should result in a period of strong winds Wednesday afternoon,
with much better mixing heights and potential momentum transfer
to the surface possible. Latest EPS plumes indicate gusts could
again near advisory criteria.

Diminishing winds and fair weather appear likely for most areas
by late Wednesday night but a quick moving clipper system
moving into the eastern GLAKS may spread some snow showers back
over the NW Mountains Thursday.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Zonal flow is progged to flood the lower CONUS with relatively
mild Pacific air late this week with temps several degrees above
average. Latest GEFS and EPS both track another deepening low
pressure system west of PA late this week. This scenario favors
another mix to rain event Friday PM, with gusty winds in its
wake Saturday. Deep cyclonic flow and ice-free Grt Lks favors
chilly weather with lake enhanced snow showers next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /16Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
A deep storm tracking west of the area will bring gusty winds,
LLWS, and IFR and MVFR conditions to the area on Tuesday. The
precipitation will start across the far west just before
sunrise, reaching the eastern and northern areas several hours
later.

Precipitation across the southwest is currently falling as snow
and this will continue to spread northeastward through the
morning. Temperatures will quickly rise this afternoon and allow
for snow to transition to heavy rain. IFR/LIFR conditions are
expected in snow and rain for most of the 12Z TAF period.

During the day, winds will be strongest for northern and western
sites where sustained winds of 25 to 30 knots and gusts of 40
to 50 knots are expected. By 00Z, wind gusts across the
southeast will also begin to increase as the area potentially
breaks into the warm sector of the low. Currently expecting
winds at MDT and LNS to gust from 35 to 40 knots during this
time, but they could potentially be higher.

Low level wind shear is also expected as low level winds
increase to 50 to 60 knots throughout the day. The threat will
initially begin across the west around 10Z, but will progress
eastward through the morning.

The cold front moves east of the area Tuesday night, and
the steady rain will taper off from west to east. Snow showers
will likely persist into across the far west into Wed. While
winds may weaken for a while late Tuesday, expect gusty winds to
pick back up on Wednesday, as the low lifts northeast of our
area.

Outlook...

Wed...Windy with westerly gusts up to 55 mph possible,
especially over the higher terrain of western PA and east of
gaps in the ridges as colder air surges into the region.

Mainly MVFR to ocnly IFR CIGS and vsbys in snow showers at KBFD
and KJST with gradually improving conditions to mainly VFR and
ocnl MVFR CIGS/VSbys in snow showers across the Central and SE
zones.

Thu...Dry weather with mainly VFR conditions.

Fri...VFR conditions early, then rain and snow developing.

Sat...Windy with snow showers across the mountains. Improving
conditions across the east.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
1.0 to 2.5 inches of rain (with spot amounts up to 3 inches
possible on the ridges/SE-facing slopes) combined with cold
season hydrologic conditions and melting snow (SWEs 0.5-1.0
inch) will lead to enhanced runoff and elevated risk of
inundation and river (small stream) flooding through midweek. A
flood watch remains in effect for the central and eastern
portions of the forecast area.

Storm drains clogged with snow/ice at first will likely result
in street/roadway ponding and low-lying/poor drainage flooding.
Small stream/creek flooding is most likely (probable) with
significant rises/action stages currently forecast on larger
mainstem rivers. The highest confidence in river flooding is on
the Swatara and Conodoguinet Creek which are both forecast to
exceed minor flood stage.

WPC has maintained a moderate risk excessive rainfall outlook
which is quite rare in Central PA during the month of January
with only 2 occurring since 2010 (24 January 2010 and 30
January 2013).

&&

.CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory until midnight EST tonight for PAZ004>006-
010>012-017-018.
Winter Weather Advisory until 3 PM EST this afternoon for
PAZ005-006-010>012-017>019-026-027-045.
Flood Watch through Wednesday afternoon for PAZ012-018-019-
025>028-034>037-041-042-045-046-049>053-056>059-063>066.
Wind Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for PAZ024-033.
Winter Weather Advisory until 1 PM EST this afternoon for
PAZ024-025-033-034.
Wind Advisory until 2 AM EST Wednesday for PAZ037-041-042-046-
051>053-057>059-065-066.
Wind Advisory until midnight EST tonight for PAZ064.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DeVoir/Steinbugl
NEAR TERM...DeVoir/Fitzgerald/Steinbugl
SHORT TERM...Fitzgerald/Steinbugl
LONG TERM...DeVoir/Fitzgerald
AVIATION...Martin/Bauco
HYDROLOGY...Steinbugl
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 9, 11:01 AM EST, 0 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service State College PA
1101 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

PAZ064-101615-
Adams-
1101 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.
   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

Windy conditions on Wednesday will blow around unsecured items and
result in difficult driving for high profile vehicles.

Another winter storm will impact the area Friday into Saturday with
rain and wind threats followed by a cold spell.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.

PAZ037-041-042-046-051>053-057>059-065-066-101615-
Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-Southern Lycoming-Montour-
Northumberland-Columbia-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-York-Lancaster-
1101 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EST WEDNESDAY...
...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.
   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

Windy conditions on Wednesday will blow around unsecured items and
result in difficult driving for high profile vehicles.

Another winter storm will impact the area Friday into Saturday with
rain, snow, and wind threats followed by a noticeable cold spell.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.

PAZ028-035-036-049-050-056-063-101615-
Juniata-Fulton-Franklin-Union-Snyder-Perry-Cumberland-
1101 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

Windy conditions on Wednesday will blow around unsecured items and
result in difficult driving for high profile vehicles.

Another winter storm will impact the area Friday into Saturday with
rain, snow, and wind threats followed by a noticeable cold spell.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.

PAZ024-033-101615-
Cambria-Somerset-
1101 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.
   Winter Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Windy conditions on Wednesday will blow around unsecured items and
result in difficult driving for high profile vehicles.

Another winter storm will impact the area Friday into Saturday with
rain, snow, and wind threats followed by a noticeable cold spell.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.

PAZ019-026-027-045-101615-
Southern Centre-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Southern Clinton-
1101 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.
   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PAZ004-101615-
Warren-
1101 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PAZ025-034-101615-
Blair-Bedford-
1101 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.
   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PAZ005-006-010-011-017-101615-
McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-Clearfield-
1101 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.
   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PAZ012-018-101615-
Northern Clinton-Northern Centre-
1101 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.
   Wind Advisory.
   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jan 9, 10:13 AM EST, 48 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service State College PA
1013 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1000 AM     Snow             1 WNW Bellefonte        40.92N 77.78W
01/09/2024  M2.0 inch        Centre             PA   Trained Spotter

&&
Local storm report, Jan 9, 10:23 AM EST, 38 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service State College PA
1023 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1015 AM     Snow             4 WSW Saltillo          40.19N 78.07W
01/09/2024  M4.8 inch        Huntingdon         PA   Public

&&
Local storm report, Jan 9, 10:28 AM EST, 33 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service State College PA
1028 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0928 AM     Snow             1 SSE Park Forest       40.79N 77.90W
01/09/2024  M3.0 inch        Centre             PA   Trained Spotter

&&
Local storm report, Jan 9, 10:36 AM EST, 25 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service State College PA
1036 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1020 AM     Snow             2 N Altoona             40.54N 78.41W
01/09/2024  M6.0 inch        Blair              PA   Trained Spotter

            PSU Altoona.

&&
Local storm report, Jan 9, 10:39 AM EST, 22 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service State College PA
1039 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1030 AM     Snow             Breezewood              40.00N 78.24W
01/09/2024  M5.0 inch        Bedford            PA   Trained Spotter

&&
Local storm report, Jan 9, 10:40 AM EST, 21 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service State College PA
1040 AM EST Tue Jan 9 2024

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1010 AM     Snow             Dubois                  41.12N 78.76W
01/09/2024  E2.0 inch        Clearfield         PA   Public

&&

The office that day

Everything else NWS State College, PA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 9, 11:40 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementCTPJuniata, Perry95 min
Jan 9, 6:00 PM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryCTPAdams, Cumberland, Dauphin, Franklin, Lancaster, Lebanon and 3 more3 hr
Jan 9, 6:28 PM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryCTPCentre, Huntingdon, Juniata, Mifflin7 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in Pennsylvania, 2024Every winter storm warning in 2024

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.