Gale Warning 11, NWS Cleveland, OH

629 
WHUS71 KCLE 010112
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
912 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2024

LEZ146>148-010915-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0074.000000T0000Z-241101T0200Z/
/O.CON.KCLE.GL.W.0011.241101T0200Z-241101T1100Z/
Avon Point to Willowick OH-Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-
Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
912 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT FRIDAY...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, southwest winds 15 to 20 
  knots and waves 2 to 4 feet. For the Gale Warning, west winds 
  20 to 30 knots with gusts up to 40 knots and waves 7 to 10 
  feet expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Avon Point to 
  Conneaut OH.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 10 PM EDT this 
  evening. For the Gale Warning, until 7 AM EDT Friday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds and waves will remain elevated 
  through the day Friday. A Small Craft Advisory will be issued 
  for the nearshore waters following the expiration of the Gale 
  Warning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ149-010915-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0074.000000T0000Z-241101T0400Z/
/O.CON.KCLE.GL.W.0011.241101T0400Z-241101T1400Z/
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
912 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT FRIDAY...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, southwest winds 15 to 20 
  knots and waves 2 to 4 feet. For the Gale Warning, west winds 
  20 to 30 knots with gusts up to 40 knots and waves 6 to 11 
  feet expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Conneaut OH to 
  Ripley NY.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until midnight EDT 
  tonight. For the Gale Warning, until 10 AM EDT Friday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds and waves will remain elevated 
  through the day Friday. A Small Craft Advisory will be issued 
  for the nearshore waters following the expiration of the Gale 
  Warning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ166>168-010915-
/O.CON.KCLE.GL.W.0011.241101T0200Z-241101T1100Z/
Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-Geneva-on-
the-Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
912 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2024

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT FRIDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 20 to 35 knots with gusts up to 40 knots and 
  waves 6 to 11 feet expected.

* WHERE...The open waters of Lake Erie from Avon Point to 
  Conneaut OH.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EDT Friday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ061-169-010915-
/O.CON.KCLE.GL.W.0011.241101T0400Z-241101T1400Z/
Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
912 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2024

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT FRIDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 25 to 35 knots with gusts up to 45 knots and 
  waves 7 to 12 feet expected.

* WHERE...The open waters of Lake Erie from Conneaut OH to 
  Buffalo NY.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM EDT Friday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ142>144-010915-
/O.CON.KCLE.LO.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-241101T1200Z/
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0074.000000T0000Z-241101T1400Z/
Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
The Islands to Vermilion OH-
912 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2024

...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT
FRIDAY...

* WHAT...For the Low Water Advisory, abnormally low water 
  levels. For the Small Craft Advisory, west winds 15 to 25 
  knots with gusts up to 35 knots and waves 1 to 4 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Maumee Bay to 
  Vermilion OH.

* WHEN...For the Low Water Advisory, until 8 AM EDT Friday. For 
  the Small Craft Advisory, until 10 AM EDT Friday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. Below 
  normal water levels will result in hazardous navigating 
  conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...As of 9 PM Thursday, the water level at
  Toledo was 18 inches above low water datum. The critical mark 
  for safe navigation is 7 inches above low water datum. Strong 
  southwest winds will become west tonight at 20 to 30 knots. 
  Water levels tonight are forecast to fall to near 0 inches above
  low water datum and below the critical mark for safe 
  navigation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

Mariners should navigate shallow waters with extreme caution due
to below normal water levels.

&&

$$

LEZ162>164-010915-
/O.CON.KCLE.LO.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-241101T1200Z/
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
912 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2024

...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Abnormally low water levels.

* WHERE...The open waters of Lake Erie from Maumee Bay to 
  Vermilion OH.

* WHEN...Until 8 AM EDT Friday.

* IMPACTS...Below normal water levels will result in hazardous 
  navigating conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...As of 3 AM Thursday, the water level at 
  Toledo was 22 inches above low water datum. The critical mark 
  for safe navigation is 7 inches above low water datum. Strong 
  southwest winds will become west tonight at 20 to 30 knots. 
  Water levels tonight are forecast to fall to near 0 inches 
  above low water datum and below the critical mark for safe 
  navigation.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should navigate shallow waters with extreme caution due
to below normal water levels.

&&

$$

LEZ145-010915-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0074.000000T0000Z-241101T1400Z/
Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
912 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT
FRIDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 knots with gusts up to 35 knots and 
  waves 4 to 7 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Vermilion to 
  Avon Point OH.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM EDT Friday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://www.weather.gov/cle

088 
WHUS71 KCLE 010807
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
407 AM EDT Fri Nov 1 2024

LEZ146>148-166>168-011100-
/O.CON.KCLE.GL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-241101T1100Z/
Avon Point to Willowick OH-Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-
Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-Geneva-on-
the-Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
407 AM EDT Fri Nov 1 2024

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

* WHAT...West winds 25 to 35 knots with gusts up to 40 knots and 
  waves 8 to 11 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Avon Point to 
  Conneaut OH, and the open waters of Lake Erie from Avon Point 
  to Conneaut OH.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EDT this morning.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ061-149-169-011400-
/O.CON.KCLE.GL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-241101T1400Z/
Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
407 AM EDT Fri Nov 1 2024

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

* WHAT...West winds 25 to 35 knots with gusts up to 40 knots and 
  waves 8 to 13 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Conneaut OH to 
  Ripley NY, and the open waters of Lake Erie from Conneaut OH 
  to Buffalo NY.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM EDT this morning.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ142>144-011400-
/O.EXT.KCLE.LO.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-241101T1400Z/
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0074.000000T0000Z-241101T1400Z/
Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
The Islands to Vermilion OH-
407 AM EDT Fri Nov 1 2024

...LOW WATER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...For the Low Water Advisory, abnormally low water 
  levels. For the Small Craft Advisory, west winds 15 to 25 
  knots and waves 1 to 4 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Maumee Bay to 
  Vermilion OH.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM EDT this morning.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. Below 
  normal water levels will result in hazardous navigating 
  conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...As of 4 AM Friday, the water level at
  Toledo was 5 inches above low water datum. The critical mark for
  safe navigation is 7 inches above low water datum. Water levels
  are currently below the mark for safe navigation and will remain
  there for several hours. West winds will continue to decrease 
  through the morning hours to 15 to 20 knots in the early 
  afternoon. Water levels will recover with the decreasing winds. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

Mariners should navigate shallow waters with extreme caution due
to below normal water levels.

&&

$$

LEZ162>164-011400-
/O.EXT.KCLE.LO.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-241101T1400Z/
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
407 AM EDT Fri Nov 1 2024

...LOW WATER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...Abnormally low water levels.

* WHERE...The open waters of Lake Erie from Maumee Bay to 
  Vermilion OH.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM EDT this morning.

* IMPACTS...Below normal water levels will result in hazardous 
  navigating conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...As of 4 AM Friday, the water level at
  Toledo was 5 inches above low water datum. The critical mark for
  safe navigation is 7 inches above low water datum. Water levels
  are currently below the mark for safe navigation and will remain
  there for several hours. West winds will continue to decrease 
  through the morning hours to 15 to 20 knots in the early 
  afternoon. Water levels will recover with the decreasing winds.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should navigate shallow waters with extreme caution due
to below normal water levels.

&&

$$

LEZ145-011400-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0074.000000T0000Z-241101T1400Z/
Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
407 AM EDT Fri Nov 1 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...West winds 20 to 25 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Vermilion to 
  Avon Point OH.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM EDT this morning.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://www.weather.gov/cle

228 
WHUS71 KCLE 011102
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
702 AM EDT Fri Nov 1 2024

LEZ146>148-011915-
/O.EXP.KCLE.GL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-241101T1100Z/
/O.NEW.KCLE.SC.Y.0075.241101T1102Z-241102T0000Z/
Avon Point to Willowick OH-Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-
Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
702 AM EDT Fri Nov 1 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

* WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 knots and waves 6 to 9 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Avon Point to 
  Conneaut OH.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ166>168-011215-
/O.EXP.KCLE.GL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-241101T1100Z/
Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-Geneva-on-
the-Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
702 AM EDT Fri Nov 1 2024

...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

Winds will be 20 to 30 knots this morning through this afternoon.

$$

LEZ061-149-169-011400-
/O.CON.KCLE.GL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-241101T1400Z/
Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
702 AM EDT Fri Nov 1 2024

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

* WHAT...West winds 25 to 35 knots with gusts up to 40 knots and 
  waves 9 to 13 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Conneaut OH to 
  Ripley NY, and the open waters of Lake Erie from Conneaut OH 
  to Buffalo NY.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM EDT this morning.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous waves which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ145-011915-
/O.EXT.KCLE.SC.Y.0074.000000T0000Z-241101T2000Z/
Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
702 AM EDT Fri Nov 1 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Vermilion to 
  Avon Point OH.

* WHEN...Until 4 PM EDT this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ142>144-011400-
/O.CON.KCLE.LO.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-241101T1400Z/
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0074.000000T0000Z-241101T1400Z/
Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
The Islands to Vermilion OH-
702 AM EDT Fri Nov 1 2024

...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...For the Low Water Advisory, abnormally low water 
  levels. For the Small Craft Advisory, west winds 15 to 25 
  knots and waves 1 to 4 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Maumee Bay to 
  Vermilion OH.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM EDT this morning.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. Below 
  normal water levels will result in hazardous navigating 
  conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...As of 7 AM Friday, the water level at
  Toledo was 2 inches above low water datum. The critical mark 
  for safe navigation is 7 inches above low water datum. Water 
  levels are currently below the mark for safe navigation and will
  remain there for several hours. West winds will continue to 
  decrease through the morning hours to 15 to 20 knots in the 
  early afternoon. Water levels will recover with the decreasing 
  winds. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

Mariners should navigate shallow waters with extreme caution due
to below normal water levels.

&&

$$

LEZ162>164-011400-
/O.CON.KCLE.LO.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-241101T1400Z/
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
702 AM EDT Fri Nov 1 2024

...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...Abnormally low water levels.

* WHERE...The open waters of Lake Erie from Maumee Bay to 
  Vermilion OH.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM EDT this morning.

* IMPACTS...Below normal water levels will result in hazardous 
  navigating conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...As of 7 AM Friday, the water level at
  Toledo was 2 inches above low water datum. The critical mark 
  for safe navigation is 7 inches above low water datum. Water 
  levels are currently below the mark for safe navigation and will
  remain there for several hours. West winds will continue to 
  decrease through the morning hours to 15 to 20 knots in the 
  early afternoon. Water levels will recover with the decreasing 
  winds. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should navigate shallow waters with extreme caution due
to below normal water levels.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://www.weather.gov/cle

186 
WHUS71 KCLE 011354
MWWCLE

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
954 AM EDT Fri Nov 1 2024

LEZ061-149-169-011500-
/O.EXP.KCLE.GL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-241101T1400Z/
Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
954 AM EDT Fri Nov 1 2024

...GALE WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

Winds will be decreasing to below gale criteria, but remaining
gusty through the day today|.

$$

LEZ142>144-011500-
/O.EXP.KCLE.LO.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-241101T1400Z/
/O.EXP.KCLE.SC.Y.0074.000000T0000Z-241101T1400Z/
Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
The Islands to Vermilion OH-
954 AM EDT Fri Nov 1 2024

...LOW WATER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

Winds are easing across the western basin of Lake Erie. Water
levels are recovering.

$$

LEZ162>164-011500-
/O.EXP.KCLE.LO.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-241101T1400Z/
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
954 AM EDT Fri Nov 1 2024

...LOW WATER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

Water levels are recovering as winds ease.

$$

LEZ145-012000-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0074.000000T0000Z-241101T2000Z/
Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
954 AM EDT Fri Nov 1 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Vermilion to 
  Avon Point OH.

* WHEN...Until 4 PM EDT this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ146>148-012200-
/O.CON.KCLE.SC.Y.0075.000000T0000Z-241102T0000Z/
Avon Point to Willowick OH-Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-
Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
954 AM EDT Fri Nov 1 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 knots and waves 6 to 9 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Avon Point to 
  Conneaut OH.

* WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://www.weather.gov/cle

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
230 PM EDT Thu Oct 31 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
Deepening low pressure will lift through the northern Great
Lakes later today, dragging a strong cold front through the
region tonight. High pressure will build across the Great Lakes
Friday and Saturday before moving to the New England coast
Sunday to allow a warm front to lift across the region Monday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
10:20 AM Update...
For the wind advisory west of I-71, we expanded it to include
Lucas County and extended the time until 8 PM. We also issued a
wind advisory for Lake, northern Ashtabula, and northern Erie,
PA Counties from 2 PM this afternoon until 12 AM Friday. The PoP
forecast was also updated to reflect the latest observations and
model data.

Original Discussion...
One more day of very warm temperatures and windy conditions is
on tap for today before a strong cold front brings an airmass
change.

Early this morning, the mid/upper trough swinging into the Plains
can be seen on Infrared satellite and water vapor loops while a
mid/upper ridge lingers along the East Coast. Deep southwesterly
flow in between and forcing from a 110-120 knot H3 jet is driving a
long line of showers and thunderstorms along the associated cold
front from the Upper Mississippi Valley into the Ark-La-Tx region.
Temperatures have remained very mild overnight due to the increasing
high and mid level clouds and continued southerly flow, with
generally low/mid 60s early this morning. This will allow for quick
warming again this morning. NAM and RAP forecast soundings suggest a
window of mixing to at least 900 mb before the showers move in from
west to east this afternoon, and with the strong SW flow and 850 mb
temps still running 13-14 C, we should easily see highs in the
mid/upper 70s again, with near 80 in NE Ohio and NW PA. This will
tie or break some records for the third consecutive day, so see
climate section for details.

Regarding winds today, a 50-55 knot low-level jet in the 850-925 mb
layer is expected to punch into the region as the mid/upper trough
axis to the west lifts into the northern and central Great Lakes
this afternoon and evening. The trough will start to dig somewhat
again in response to partial phasing with a northern stream
mid/upper trough in Quebec, and this leads to a 115-120 knot H3 jet
streak over Lower Michigan which drives the strengthening low-level
jet. The aforementioned mixing as the boundary layer warms this
morning will tap into this low-level jet energy leading to gusty S
to SW winds at the surface. However, the challenge is how long will
the potential for strong winds last? Forecast soundings show a
roughly 2 to 3 hour window from about 15-18Z when the profile can
mix to at least 900 mb before the showers move in from the west and
reduce the mixing. This leads to lower than normal confidence for
winds to reach 50 mph given a set up like this. Looking at DESI,
HREF probabilities for wind gusts of 50 mph or greater have trended
upward, with probabilities now 30 to 60% in parts of NW and north
central Ohio. This makes us believe that even though the window is
small, there should be some gusts to 50 mph out that way, so issued
a Wind Advisory from 13-18Z for much of NW and north central Ohio.
Farther east, winds will also be gusty in NE Ohio and NW PA,
especially along the lakeshore, but the more SSW component vs SW
should keep peak gusts more in the 40-45 mph range.

In terms of rainfall, the cold front looks to cross the region in
the roughly 00-06Z timeframe this evening into tonight as the
associated surface low lifts across Upper Michigan. The
aforementioned jet streak across Lower Michigan this afternoon and
evening will place northern Ohio and NW PA under the right entrance
region, strengthening frontogenesis forcing for decent coverage of
showers ahead of the front. The latest HREF guidance has trended
lower on QPF and total coverage due to a short window of deeper
moisture return, but it still looks to rain at least a little in all
areas this afternoon and evening. Have categorical PoPs starting in
NW Ohio around 18Z, reaching the I-71 corridor by 20Z and the OH/PA
border by about 00Z. Each area will have a 3 to 5 hour window of the
most frequent showers, although they may not be too steady. Included
a little thunder in NW Ohio where HREF probabilities viewed in DESI
show near 100% probs for surface based CAPE over 100 joules, but
probabilities drop very quickly farther east where little to no CAPE
is expected, so do not expect any thunder anywhere else. Even in NW
Ohio, 100 joules is on the high end, so we are talking very low CAPE
values which will make any thunder isolated. What is more likely is
that some of the showers will be convective which will drag some of
the stronger winds aloft to the surface, so could see some brief
convective gusts over 50 mph in addition to the gusty synoptic winds.

The region will rapidly dry out from west to east tonight as drier
air works into the region. WNW flow across the lake and 850 mb temps
around 0 to -2 C as the mid/upper trough axis swings through the
Great Lakes could bring some light lake-effect showers to NW PA
Friday morning, but nothing organized is expected given the dry
airmass, boundary layer shear, and anticyclonic flow as surface
ridging quickly builds in. Any showers will dissipate Friday
afternoon as the surface ridge builds into the central Great Lakes.

Highs Friday will be much more seasonable for the first of November,
with generally mid/upper 50s. Far NE Ohio and NW PA will stay in the
low 50s. Lows tonight will cool into the low/mid 40s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
High pressure continues to be situated over the eastern potion of
the Great Lakes throughout Friday night and Saturday. There will be
some lingering lake effect clouds over NEOH and NWPA, though will
clear out by mid-day Saturday. On Sunday, the high pressure will
build eastward towards New England ahead of the next upper level
trough. A warm front will make its way north across the region
throughout the day on Sunday and bringing with it increased rain
chances. Stuck with likely PoPs for the majority of the CWA though,
along the lake shore the rain chances will be higher towards Sunday
night. Temperatures on Saturday will start out chilly being
underneath the high pressure. Areas away from the lake will see lows
into the low 30s and 40s for those near the lakeshore. Highs
Saturday will be into the mid 50s to low 60s. Sunday with the warm
front passing through, temperatures will rise into the 60s for
highs.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Rain chances on Monday and Tuesday will fall as the warm front has
pushed further north, though there will still be the chances for
showers across the region. Temperatures will be much warmer, being
in the warm sector, with highs into the low to mid 70s for Monday
and Tuesday. Late Tuesday night into Wednesday, a cold front will
traverse through the Great Lakes region with rain showers likely and
maybe a rumble of thunder or two. Temperatures will fall behind the
cold front and cool to be more seasonal for the middle of the week
as high pressure builds in.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z Thursday THROUGH Tuesday/...
Southwest flow continues this afternoon with gusts most commonly
in the 25-35 knot gust range, though there are have been several
peak gusts up to 40-45 knots, mainly west of I-71. Rain showers
ahead of an approaching cold front beging building in from the
west this afternoon, crossing moving across the area through
this evening and into tonight. Brief visibility reductions may
be possible with a few of the showers, with a few hours of MVFR
ceilings likely. Wind speeds decrease this evening, becoming
westerly this evening into tonight with the frontal passage. A
brief clearing is expected for a few hours before an MVFR cloud
deck builds in Friday morning into Friday afternoon with a
secondary trough. Some lake effect clouds/showers will continue
into the afternoon/evening hours downwind of Lake Erie in parts
of Northeast Ohio and Northwest Pennsylvania.

Outlook...Non-VFR possible with scattered rain showers Sunday
through Tuesday.

&&

.MARINE...
The Small Craft Advisory remains in effect through Friday due to the
strong, gusty winds over the lake. Winds will continue to be out of
the southwest at 10-25 kts until late Thursday night when they shift
to be more westerly with the cold front passage. The winds will
increase during that time to 20-30 kts with gusts up to 35 kts.
There will be a small chance of near gale winds Thursday night into
early Friday morning with the frontal passage. Due to the stronger
southwesterly winds over the western basin, water levels may fall
near or below the critical mark for safe marine navigation for
Thursday afternoon into the night.

Behind the cold front on Friday, winds will shift out of the
northwest and subside to 10-15 kts with the stronger winds in the
eastern basin. High pressure will build in Friday night and winds
will become variable and less than 10 kts. On Sunday, a warm front
will move northward across the lake and winds will shift to be
southeasterly at 5-10 kts, then strengthen to 10-15 kts out of the
south throughout the day on Monday.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Daily Record Warm High Temperatures:

Date    Toledo         Mansfield      Cleveland      Akron          Youngstown     Erie
10-31   80(1950)       78(1950)       82(1950)       79(1950)       78(1933)       76(1927)

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...Wind Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for OHZ003-006>010-
     017>019-027>030-036-037.
     Wind Advisory until 8 AM EDT Friday for OHZ012-089.
PA...Wind Advisory until 8 AM EDT Friday for PAZ001.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EDT Friday for LEZ142>145.
     Low Water Advisory from 8 PM this evening to 8 AM EDT Friday
     for LEZ142>144-162>164.
     Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EDT Friday for LEZ146>149.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Garuckas
NEAR TERM...Garuckas/Saunders
SHORT TERM...Kennedy
LONG TERM...Kennedy
AVIATION...Saunders
MARINE...Kennedy
CLIMATE...

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
1018 AM EDT Thu Oct 31 2024

OHZ003-006>010-017>019-027>030-036-037-011430-
Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Hancock-Seneca-Huron-Wyandot-
Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Marion-Morrow-
1018 AM EDT Thu Oct 31 2024

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Ohio and
northwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

OHZ011-013-014-020>023-031>033-038-047-PAZ002-003-011430-
Cuyahoga-Geauga-Ashtabula Inland-Medina-Summit-Portage-Trumbull-
Wayne-Stark-Mahoning-Holmes-Knox-Southern Erie-Crawford-
1018 AM EDT Thu Oct 31 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Ohio, northeast
Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Gusty southwest winds of up to 40 to 45 mph are expected today.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

OHZ012-089-PAZ001-011430-
Lake-Ashtabula Lakeshore-Northern Erie-
1018 AM EDT Thu Oct 31 2024

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 AM
EDT FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Ohio and northwest
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

Gusty southwest winds of up to 40 to 45 mph are expected today.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

LEZ142>144-162>164-011430-
Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-Reno Beach to The Islands OH-
The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
1018 AM EDT Thu Oct 31 2024

...LOW WATER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 AM EDT
FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Low Water Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Low Water Advisory.

Low Water Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

LEZ061-145>149-165>169-011430-
Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Vermilion to Avon Point OH-
Avon Point to Willowick OH-Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-Geneva-
on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-Geneva-on-the-
Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
1018 AM EDT Thu Oct 31 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Near gale force winds are possible across the central and eastern
basins of Lake Erie late tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
1007 AM EDT Thu Oct 31 2024

OHZ011-013-014-020>023-031>033-038-047-PAZ002-003-010000-
Cuyahoga-Geauga-Ashtabula Inland-Medina-Summit-Portage-Trumbull-
Wayne-Stark-Mahoning-Holmes-Knox-Southern Erie-Crawford-
Including the cities of Cleveland, Chardon, South Russell,
Bainbridge, Chesterland, Middlefield, Burton, Jefferson, Orwell,
Andover, Roaming Shores, Brunswick, Medina, Wadsworth, Akron,
Kent, Aurora, Streetsboro, Ravenna, Warren, Niles, Wooster,
Orrville, Rittman, Canton, Massillon, Alliance, Youngstown,
Boardman, Austintown, Millersburg, Killbuck, Mount Vernon,
Edinboro, Corry, Union City, Meadville, and Titusville
1007 AM EDT Thu Oct 31 2024

...GUSTY WINDS TODAY...

Winds will increase this morning with wind gusts of 35 to 45 mph
through this morning and much of the afternoon.

A few tree limbs may be jarred loose and light weight objects may
blow around. Be sure to secure light weight objects if setting
them out. Use caution if driving a high profile vehicle.