Small Craft Advisory 32, NWS Buffalo, NY

125 
WHUS71 KBUF 290259
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1059 PM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024

LOZ043-044-291100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.240329T1200Z-240330T1200Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
1059 PM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM FRIDAY TO
8 AM EDT SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 5 to 8 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to Mexico Bay.

* WHEN...From 8 AM Friday to 8 AM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ045-291100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.240329T1400Z-240330T1200Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
1059 PM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM FRIDAY TO
8 AM EDT SATURDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 5 to 8 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Mexico Bay 
  to the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...From 10 AM Friday to 8 AM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ042-291100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.240329T1400Z-240330T0800Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
1059 PM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM FRIDAY TO
4 AM EDT SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...From 10 AM Friday to 4 AM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

130 
WHUS71 KBUF 290757
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
357 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024

LEZ040-041-291600-
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.240329T1700Z-240330T0300Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
357 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...From 1 PM this afternoon to 11 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ020-291600-
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.240329T1700Z-240330T0300Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
357 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots expected.

* WHERE...The Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor.

* WHEN...From 1 PM this afternoon to 11 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-291600-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.240329T1500Z-240330T1500Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
357 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
11 AM EDT SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 6 to 9 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to Mexico Bay.

* WHEN...From 11 AM this morning to 11 AM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ045-291600-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.240329T1800Z-240330T1500Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
357 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
11 AM EDT SATURDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 5 to 8 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Mexico Bay 
  to the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...From 2 PM this afternoon to 11 AM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ042-291600-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.240329T1700Z-240330T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
357 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
5 AM EDT SATURDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...From 1 PM this afternoon to 5 AM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

Hitchcock

945 
WHUS71 KBUF 291433
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1033 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024

LOZ043-044-292245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.240329T1500Z-240330T1500Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
1033 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 6 to 9 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to Mexico Bay.

* WHEN...Until 11 AM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ045-292245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.240329T1800Z-240330T1500Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
1033 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 11 AM EDT SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 5 to 8 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Mexico Bay 
  to the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...From 2 PM this afternoon to 11 AM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ042-292245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.240329T1700Z-240330T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
1033 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 10 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...Until 5 AM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-292245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.240329T1700Z-240330T0300Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
1033 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...West winds 10 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ020-292245-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.240329T1700Z-240330T0300Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
1033 AM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 knots expected.

* WHERE...The Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

806 
WHUS71 KBUF 292009
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
409 PM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024

LOZ043-044-300415-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-240330T1500Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
409 PM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 6 to 9 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to Mexico Bay.

* WHEN...Until 11 AM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ045-300415-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-240330T1500Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
409 PM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 5 to 8 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Mexico Bay 
  to the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...Until 11 AM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ042-300415-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-240330T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
409 PM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...Until 5 AM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-300300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-240330T0300Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
409 PM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ020-300300-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-240330T0300Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
409 PM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 20 knots.

* WHERE...The Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor.

* WHEN...Until 11 PM EDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

597 
WHUS71 KBUF 300238
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1038 PM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024

LEZ020-040-041-300345-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-240330T0300Z/
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
1038 PM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Winds and waves have diminished.

$$

LOZ043-044-301045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-240330T1500Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
1038 PM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 5 to 8 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to Mexico Bay.

* WHEN...Until 11 AM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ045-301045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-240330T1500Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
1038 PM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 5 to 8 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Mexico Bay 
  to the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...Until 11 AM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ042-300900-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-240330T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
1038 PM EDT Fri Mar 29 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EDT
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...Until 5 AM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

815 
WHUS71 KBUF 300801
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
401 AM EDT Sat Mar 30 2024

LOZ042-300915-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-240330T0900Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
401 AM EDT Sat Mar 30 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...



$$

LOZ043-044-301500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-240330T1500Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
401 AM EDT Sat Mar 30 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to Mexico Bay.

* WHEN...Until 11 AM EDT this morning.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ045-301500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-240330T1500Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
401 AM EDT Sat Mar 30 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 6 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Mexico Bay 
  to the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...Until 11 AM EDT this morning.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

805 
WHUS71 KBUF 301438
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1038 AM EDT Sat Mar 30 2024

LOZ043>045-301545-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0032.000000T0000Z-240330T1500Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
1038 AM EDT Sat Mar 30 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Winds and waves have diminished.

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
225 PM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
Ridge of high pressure will continue to build east into the eastern
Great Lakes region this afternoon and linger across the area through
Saturday morning, supporting a couple of days of cool, dry weather.
Low pressure will then move across the southern Great Lakes late
Saturday through early Sunday, supporting a chance of some rain and
wet snow.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
Visible satellite imagery this afternoon depict clouds skies
prevailing across the eastern portions of the area due to low
pressure impacting New England. Meanwhile to the west, diurnal
cumulus have been sprouting early this afternoon across the areas
inland from the lake shadows of Western New York and the northern
Genesee Valley. Outside of the cloud cover, high pressure centered
over northern portions of the Ontario Canandian province is spanning
across the central and eastern Great Lakes, supporting quiet weather
to prevail. Temperatures today will remain near average today with
highs in the mid to upper 40s across the lower elevations and low
40s across the higher terrain.

Tonight, cloud cover will persist across the eastern Lake Ontario
region due to the aforementioned low impacting New England. Western
New York however will see some of the cloud cover diminish
overnight. Lows tonight will fall into the upper 20s to the lower
30s across the vast majority of the area, the one exception will be
a few mid 20s for the typical cooler spots in the Southern Tier.

Dry weather will prevail Friday and Friday night due to the entrance
of a mid-level ridge pushing east acros the eastern Great Lakes.
Temperatures will be quite similar to today with highs in the upper
30s to low 40s across the higher terrain and low to mid 40s
elsewhere, along with lows ranging in the upper 20s to low 30s.
Additionally, should note that Friday will feature a breezy west to
northwest wind.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
Showery conditions for the middle portion of the weekend/short term
forecast period. A weakening shortwave trough and sfc low will track
across the region Saturday afternoon causing showers to move into
the area, mainly south of Lake Ontario. As the batch of showers
tracks into the area, weakening of the sfc low and trough with
eastward progression will start to result in decreasing density of
the shower coverage over the region. Whats left with this batch of
showers will track southeast away from the forecast area later
Saturday evening. A second shortwave trough will track west to east
just north of Lake Ontario Saturday night. Showers will increase
some from the northwest to the southeast, especially for the north
country where the trough will be closest to. Showers over the
eastern portions of the forecast area should be minimal. This will
be in part due to moisture with this next shortwave will be on the
lower side with PWats generally around a third of an inch and the
trough will be in more of a weakening stage during this time.
Rainfall amounts should range from a few hundredths of an inch near
the south shore of Lake Ontario to around a tenth of an inch near
the NY/PA border. Temperatures should be just cool enough for rain
showers to mix with or change to snow for Saturday night, mainly
across the higher terrain.

Temperatures for the period should be near to a few degrees above
normal.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
On Monday an elongated and increasingly positively-tilted upper
level trough will extend from the Rockies across the northern Great
Plains...with lee-side surface cyclogenesis supporting the continued
development of a broad surface low over the central and southern
Plains states. Northeast of this low...a tight low-level baroclinic
zone will extend eastward across the Ohio Valley...with one or more
weak disturbances rippling east along this feature and possibly
bringing the chance of a few light showers to western New York. With
continued poor model agreement in the positioning of the frontal
zone and consequently the track of any disturbances riding eastward
along it...have elected to keep PoPs for Monday confined to the low
chance range for now. Otherwise Monday looks to offer a milder than
normal start to the month of April...with highs mostly ranging
through the 50s.

After that the above mentioned upper trough will get sheared
apart...with the bulk of its energy ejecting northeastward across
the Plains states into the Great Lakes and Northeast...where this
looks to engage in a complex interaction with northern stream energy
dropping southeastward from Canada during the middle and latter
portions of the week. The corresponding surface low will continue to
develop and track northeastward toward our area Monday night and
Tuesday...then will pass somewhere across our region between Tuesday
night and Wednesday...before redeveloping off the New England
coastline Thursday. This would result in a likelihood of fairly
widespread precipitation developing across our area between later
Monday night and Tuesday...then lingering through Wednesday before
gradually tapering off thereafter.

As has been the case so far with this system...the various guidance
packages continue to exhibit differences in how the two supporting
streams of energy may interact...which then leads to differences in
the overall strength and track of the low and consequently what
precipitation types we might ultimately expect and when. A current
model consensus suggests that temps should remain warm enough to
support primarily rain through at least the first part of Tuesday
night...with a little snow then possibly mixing in across the higher
terrain later on in the night. More rain and possible higher
elevation wet snow then looks to follow for Wednesday...before
colder air wrapping in behind the system potentially brings about a
more general accumulating wet snowfall Wednesday night into Thursday
morning. Meanwhile temperatures should gradually cool through the
period...with slightly above average highs on Tuesday giving way to
somewhat below average readings for both Wednesday and Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Despite overcast skies across the eastern Lake Ontario region this
afternoon, and a few diurnal cumulus across western New York, all
TAF sites have improved to VFR. Heading into this evening, high
pressure will build into the region supporting a gradual clearing
across Western New York. However, VFR clouds will persist east of
Lake Ontario due to low pressure impacting New England.

High pressure will then persist Friday and Friday night supporting
VFR conditions to prevail.

Outlook...

Saturday...VFR, but with showers possible far west late.
Saturday night...MVFR/IFR with rain and wet snow.
Sunday...MVFR/IFR early with a chance of rain and snow showers,
improving to VFR.
Monday...VFR to MVFR with a chance of rain.
Tuesday...MVFR with the likelihood of rain.

&&

.MARINE...
West winds have backed to the southwest this afternoon. Winds will
become northwest tonight through Friday. Winds will be strong enough
to produce some chop on Lake Erie and Lake Ontario, but winds and
waves will generally remain below Small Craft Advisory criteria
through tonight.

A period of stronger WNW winds will develop on Lake Ontario Friday
through Friday night, with solid Small Craft Advisory conditions on
the central and eastern portion of Lake Ontario.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...EAJ
NEAR TERM...EAJ
SHORT TERM...SW
LONG TERM...JJR
AVIATION...EAJ
MARINE...EAJ/Hitchcock

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
401 AM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024

NYZ001>008-010>014-019>021-085-290930-
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-
Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Livingston-Ontario-Chautauqua-
Cattaraugus-Allegany-Southern Erie-
401 AM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western and north central New
York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-290930-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
Lower Niagara River-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River-
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
401 AM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the New York waters of Lake
Erie, Lake Ontario, and the Saint Lawrence River.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

Hitchcock