Small Craft Advisory 20, NWS Buffalo, NY

089 
WHUS71 KBUF 231427
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
927 AM EST Fri Feb 23 2024

LEZ040-041-232230-
/O.EXT.KBUF.MF.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-240223T2100Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.240224T0000Z-240224T1200Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
927 AM EST Fri Feb 23 2024

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 7 AM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...For the Dense Fog Advisory, dense fog will reduce 
  visibility to one quarter nautical mile or less. For the Small 
  Craft Advisory, north winds 15 to 20 knots expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...For the Dense Fog Advisory, until 4 PM EST this 
  afternoon. For the Small Craft Advisory, from 7 PM this 
  evening to 7 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft. Low visibility will 
  make navigation difficult.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

If you must navigate, proceed with caution. Use proper fog
signals. Make sure all running lights are on. Remember to use
your radar and compass.

&&

$$

LOZ042-232230-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.240223T2100Z-240224T1500Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
927 AM EST Fri Feb 23 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 10 AM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...North winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...From 4 PM this afternoon to 10 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-232230-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.240223T2100Z-240224T1800Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
927 AM EST Fri Feb 23 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 1 PM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...North winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to Mexico Bay.

* WHEN...From 4 PM this afternoon to 1 PM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ045-232230-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.240224T0000Z-240224T1800Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
927 AM EST Fri Feb 23 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 1 PM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...North winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Mexico Bay 
  to the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

378 
WHUS71 KBUF 231946
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
246 PM EST Fri Feb 23 2024

LEZ040-041-240400-
/O.CAN.KBUF.MF.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-240223T2100Z/
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.240224T0000Z-240224T1200Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
246 PM EST Fri Feb 23 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 7 AM EST SATURDAY...
...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...North winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ042-240400-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.240223T2100Z-240224T1500Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
246 PM EST Fri Feb 23 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...North winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-240400-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.240223T2100Z-240224T1800Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
246 PM EST Fri Feb 23 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...North winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to Mexico Bay.

* WHEN...Until 1 PM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ045-240400-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.240224T0000Z-240224T1800Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
246 PM EST Fri Feb 23 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 1 PM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...North winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Mexico Bay 
  to the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

453 
WHUS71 KBUF 231951
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
251 PM EST Fri Feb 23 2024

LOZ030-240400-
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.240223T2100Z-240224T0900Z/
Lower Niagara River-
251 PM EST Fri Feb 23 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...North winds 15 to 20 knots expected.

* WHERE...The Lower Niagara River.

* WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LEZ040-041-240400-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.240224T0000Z-240224T1200Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
251 PM EST Fri Feb 23 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 7 AM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...North winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ042-240400-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.240223T2100Z-240224T1500Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
251 PM EST Fri Feb 23 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...North winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-240400-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.240223T2100Z-240224T1800Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
251 PM EST Fri Feb 23 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...North winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to Mexico Bay.

* WHEN...Until 1 PM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ045-240400-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.240224T0000Z-240224T1800Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
251 PM EST Fri Feb 23 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 1 PM EST SATURDAY...

* WHAT...North winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet 
  expected.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Mexico Bay 
  to the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

767 
WHUS71 KBUF 240250
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
950 PM EST Fri Feb 23 2024

LEZ040-041-241100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-240224T1200Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
950 PM EST Fri Feb 23 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...North winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet.  

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ042-241100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-240224T1500Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
950 PM EST Fri Feb 23 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...North winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet. 
 
* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-241100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-240224T1800Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
950 PM EST Fri Feb 23 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...North winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet. 
 
* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to Mexico Bay.

* WHEN...Until 1 PM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ045-241100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-240224T1800Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
950 PM EST Fri Feb 23 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...North winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet. 
 
* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Mexico Bay 
  to the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...Until 1 PM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ030-240900-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-240224T0900Z/
Lower Niagara River-
950 PM EST Fri Feb 23 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* WHAT...North winds 15 to 20 knots.

* WHERE...The Lower Niagara River.

* WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

328 
WHUS71 KBUF 240817
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
317 AM EST Sat Feb 24 2024

LOZ030-240930-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-240224T0900Z/
Lower Niagara River-
317 AM EST Sat Feb 24 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Winds have subsided below Small Craft Advisory criteria.

$$

LEZ040-041-241600-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-240224T1600Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
317 AM EST Sat Feb 24 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...Until 11 AM EST this morning.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ042-241500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-240224T1500Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
317 AM EST Sat Feb 24 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...North winds 15 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from the Niagara 
  River to Hamlin Beach.

* WHEN...Until 10 AM EST this morning.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-241630-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-240224T1800Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
317 AM EST Sat Feb 24 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...North winds 15 to 25 knots and waves 4 to 7 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to Mexico Bay.

* WHEN...Until 1 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ045-241630-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-240224T1800Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
317 AM EST Sat Feb 24 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...North winds 15 to 20 knots.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Mexico Bay 
  to the Saint Lawrence River.

* WHEN...Until 1 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

755 
WHUS71 KBUF 241423
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
923 AM EST Sat Feb 24 2024

LOZ042-241530-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-240224T1500Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin
Beach-
923 AM EST Sat Feb 24 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Wind and waves have diminished below small craft criteria.

$$

LOZ045-241530-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-240224T1800Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint
Lawrence River-
923 AM EST Sat Feb 24 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Wind and waves have diminished below small craft criteria.

$$

LEZ040-041-241600-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-240224T1600Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
923 AM EST Sat Feb 24 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...Northeast winds 10 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Erie from Ripley to 
  Buffalo.

* WHEN...Until 11 AM EST this morning.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LOZ043-044-241800-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-240224T1800Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
923 AM EST Sat Feb 24 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...North winds 10 to 20 knots and waves 3 to 5 feet.

* WHERE...The nearshore waters of Lake Ontario from Hamlin Beach 
  to Mexico Bay.

* WHEN...Until 1 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Winds and/or waves will cause hazardous conditions 
  that could capsize or damage small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

148 
WHUS71 KBUF 241554
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1054 AM EST Sat Feb 24 2024

LEZ040-041-241700-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-240224T1600Z/
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
1054 AM EST Sat Feb 24 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Winds and waves have diminished below small craft criteria.

$$

LOZ043-044-241700-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-240224T1800Z/
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
1054 AM EST Sat Feb 24 2024

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Winds and waves have diminished below small craft criteria.

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
114 AM EST Fri Feb 23 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
Areas of fog and low stratus will linger across Lake Erie and
portions of Western NY through daybreak behind a departing frontal
system. A stronger, more pronounced cold front on Friday will then
lead the charge of a notably colder airmass that will guarantee very
cold weather for the first half of the weekend. The mid-winter
weather will be relatively short lived though as day to day warming
next week will lead to temperatures that will be more typical of
early May.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Weak sfc high pressure continues to build in from the west behind a
departing mid-level shortwave trough. A loose pressure gradient over
our region will promote a very weak flow, and with temperatures
lowering to near the dewpoint and a saturated lower atmosphere,
areas of fog are developing overnight. Regional webcams and
observations indicate the densest fog is primarily over and just
east/northeast of Lake Erie, with patchier fog coverage further
inland from the Lake. This fog will linger overnight and possibly
through the morning rush hour.

Otherwise, we can anticipate an overcast night with temperatures
settling into the 30s.

A second, more pronounced cold front will then take aim on our
region on Friday. While the bulk of the day will be precip free,
convergence ahead and along the distinct frontal boundary may
support a few mixed rain or wet snow showers during the mid-late
afternoon during its passage.

In the wake of the strong cold front Friday night will turn MUCH
colder with the mercury tumbling to between 10 and 15 over the
western counties and into the single digits east of Lake Ontario.
The return to mid winter weather could be accompanied by scattered
inconsequential snow showers, mainly focused over the Finger Lakes
region where a northerly upslope lake enhanced flow will be in place.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
Flurries and residual snows showers southeast of the lakes will come
to an end by early Saturday afternoon. After that...dry sunny
conditions will develop as surface ridging slides directly overhead
of the region. Its going to be a chilly day despite some
modification of the air mass with highs ranging from the teens east
of Lake Ontario to low and mid 20s.

Surface high pressure overhead Saturday evening slides southeast of
the Lower Lakes by Sunday morning. A continual modification of the
air mass and southwest flow developing will allow for a quick warm-
up by Sunday afternoon after a chilly start. Highs on Sunday will
warm into the upper 30s to low/mid 40s.

A weakening cold front will bring a chance of rain-snow shower by
Sunday evening and night. Not expecting a lot of precipitation but
enough to bring a few hundredths of an inch or a couple tenths of
snow in some locales overnight.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
In the wake of Sunday night's weak system...ridging will quickly
build across our region at all levels on Monday. Aside from a
possible leftover snow shower or two across the North Country
early...this will result in a dry day along with some partial
sunshine. With neutral to weak cool air advection quickly giving way
to renewed warm air advection in the afternoon...temps should climb
some 3-5 degrees from Sunday's readings...with highs largely
reaching the lower 40s east of Lake Ontario and the mid to upper 40s
elsewhere. Departing low-level ridging will then maintain fair dry
weather as it slides east across New England Sunday night...with
lows ranging from the upper 20s/lower 30s east of Lake Ontario to
the mid and upper 30s across far western New York.

Tuesday and Wednesday the low-level ridge will slide out into the
western Atlantic...while the next mid-level trough digs from the
Rockies to the western Great Lakes. The latter will encourage the
development of a rather broad and elongated low pressure system
stretching from near James Bay to the Mississippi Valley Tuesday...
with this then pushing across the Great Lakes Tuesday night and
Wednesday. The warm advection regime and approach of a lead
shortwave out ahead of this system will eventually bring a chance of
showers to the area during Tuesday...though with the timing of the
latter slowing in the guidance it now appears as if drier weather
will largely prevail through at least the first part of the
afternoon...if not longer. The much bigger story though will be our
warming trend kicking into high gear...as the strengthening/
deepening southerly flow of progressively warmer air out ahead of
this system will result in springlike air flooding across our
region...with consensus 925 mb temperatures climbing into the +7C to
+11C range. Coupled with the aforementioned trend toward drier
conditions...this will result in an unseasonably warm day with highs
ranging from the mid to upper 50s across the North Country to the
lower to mid 60s across far western New York...with the warmest
temps found within the usual areas of favored downslope flow along
the Lake Erie shoreline and across the Niagara Frontier.

The unseasonably warm conditions should then last through Tuesday
night and into at least the first part of Wednesday as the frontal
system makes its way further eastward...with shower chances
correspondingly on a general increase through this time. This being
said..since yesterday the model guidance has diverged markedly with
respect to the timing of the trailing cold frontal passage across
our region...with the guidance envelope now suggesting a potential
for this to occur anywhere from Wednesday morning to Thursday
morning. Given this large difference and the rather distant time
frame...will lean close to continuity and a blended approach for
this package...which will allow for one more unseasonably warm and
showery day on Wednesday followed by the cold frontal passage and a
return to much colder weather along with diminishing precipitation
chances Wednesday night and Thursday. Given the strong southerly
flow and what still looks to be 925 mb temps of +10C to +13C out
ahead of the cold front...highs on Wednesday should still manage to
reach the upper 50s and lower 60s even in spite of the expected
shower coverage...with readings then quickly dropping off into the
30s Wednesday night and Thursday in the wake of the frontal passage.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Poor flight conditions with IFR or lower vsbys and cigs will persist
across the region through the pre-dawn hours as a light winds, a
wealth of low level moisture, and falling temperatures promote the
development of low stratus and areas of fog. As of 06z lowest
vsbys/cigs are generally found near Lake Erie and across portions of
far western NY in closer proximity to a persistent layer of marine
fog, and across the higher terrain of the Southern Tier, with MVFR
cigs found elsewhere. A very weak SW flow is currently keeping the
denser fog just north of KBUF, instead impacting KIAG with vsbys
1/2SM or lower. Confidence is low in the arrival time this denser
fog at the KBUF airfield. Low stratus intersecting the higher
terrain of the Southern Tier is also causing sharp reductions to
vsbys at KJHW.

Both cigs and vsbys are expected to begin improving after daybreak
to VFR/MVFR. The primary exception will be across KBUF when a subtle
veering of the winds may direct lingering marine fog back across the
airfield until about 15z.

A strong cold front is then expected to move through the region from
northwest to southeast between about 21z-00z. Little in the way of
precipitation is expected with this front though a few light snow
showers are possible. Winds will veer to the northwest following its
passage with gusts to near 20kts possible. Cigs are expected to dip
to low VFR/MVFR along and behind the front.

Outlook...

Friday night...MVFR cigs in scattered light snow showers.
Saturday....VFR to MVFR conditions with scattered light snow showers.
Sunday...Mainly VFR weather.
Monday...VFR conditions.
Tuesday...Mainly VFR conditions with afternoon showers possible.

&&

.MARINE...
Gentle southerlies found across much of the region will slowly veer
to the west overnight. Areas of fog are expected over the lakes,
especially Lake Erie. A marine Dense Fog Advisory remains in
effect through 8 am for Lake Erie.

Moderate to fresh westerlies can then be expected ahead of a cold
front on Friday. While this could lead to some choppy conditions on
Lake Erie...it will be more likely that it will generate wave based
small craft advisory conditions on much of Lake Ontario (esp in the
afternoon).

Fresh northwesterlies in the wake of the front will then all but
guarantee small craft advisory conditions on Lake Ontario for Friday
night.

&&

.CLIMATE...
This winter, defined as the months of December-January-February has
been very mild. A strong El Nino typically impacts our region with a
wealth of Pacific air, keeping the arctic air from pushing
southward into our region. Periodic breakdowns of the strong
Pacific flow allowed for a few periods of true winter chill
coupled with lake effect snow, but the overall theme this
winter has been above normal temperatures. In fact this likely
will be the mildest winter on record for Rochester and
Watertown, and possibly Buffalo. Below are listed the mildest
winters, with an up to date 2023-24 winter average temperature
listed at the end of each segment. Records for temperature data date
back to 1871 for Buffalo and Rochester, and 1950 for Watertown.

.Buffalo...

.1.....1931-32.....34.6 (F)
.2.....2015-16.....32.9
.3.....2001-02.....32.9
.4.....2011-12.....32.5
.5.....2022-23.....32.3

Winter to date (through February 22 2024) 34.2 (F)

.Rochester...

.1.....1931-32.....34.5 (F)
.2.....1889-90.....33.7
.3.....2001-02.....33.4
.4.....2015-16.....33.0
.5.....1932-33.....32.9

Winter to date (through February 22 2024) 34.5 (F)

.Watertown...

.1.....2001-02.....29.4 (F)
.2.....2011-12.....28.9
.3.....2015-16.....28.6
.4.....2016-17.....28.6
.5.....2022-23.....28.5

Winter to date (through February 22 2024) 30.5 (F)

Additionally, February 2024 is one of the mildest February's on
record for our three climate sites. Several unseasonably warm days
to end February may just push a climate site to mildest on
record. Below are top mildest February's on record.

.Buffalo...

.1.....2017....34.8
.2.....1998....34.1
.3.....1984....33.8
.4.....1954....33.0
.5.....1981....32.9

Month to date (through February 22 2024) 33.7 (F)

.Rochester...

.1.....2017.....35.5 (F)
.2.....2018.....33.6
.3.....1976.....33.3
.4.....1984.....33.2
.5.....1998.....32.6

Month to date (through February 22 2024) 33.4 (F)

.Watertown...

.1.....1981.....31.2 (F)
.2.....1976.....30.5
.3.....2017.....29.8
.4.....2018.....29.2
.5.....2012.....28.9

Month to date (through February 22 2024) 29.2 (F)

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...None.
MARINE...Dense Fog Advisory until 8 AM EST this morning for LEZ040-041.

&&

SYNOPSIS...PP/RSH/Thomas
NEAR TERM...PP/RSH/Thomas
SHORT TERM...AR
LONG TERM...JJR
AVIATION...PP
MARINE...PP/RSH/Thomas
CLIMATE...Thomas

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
937 PM EST Thu Feb 22 2024

NYZ003>008-013-014-021-240245-
Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-Jefferson-Lewis-Livingston-
Ontario-Allegany-
937 PM EST Thu Feb 22 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central New York.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ020-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-240245-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River-
937 PM EST Thu Feb 22 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie and Lake
Ontario.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ040-041-240245-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
937 PM EST Thu Feb 22 2024

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Dense Fog Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Dense Fog Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

SLZ022-024-240245-
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
937 PM EST Thu Feb 22 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the New York waters of the
Saint Lawrence River.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ001-002-010>012-019-020-085-240245-
Niagara-Orleans-Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-
Southern Erie-
937 PM EST Thu Feb 22 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Areas of dense fog may form overnight with visibility reduced to a
half mile or less.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf