Alert archive / New York / Flash Flood Warnings in 2024

Flash Flood Warning 7, NWS Buffalo, NY

July 15, 2024Erie County, Genesee County, Wyoming County, New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this flash flood warning at Jul 15, 2024, 4:07 PM EDT for Erie County, Genesee County, Wyoming County, New York. It was in force for 4 hr. 3 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jul 15, 2024, 4:07 PM EDT (20:07 UTC)
Expired
Jul 15, 2024, 8:15 PM EDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

Counties Erie County, NY, Genesee County, NY, Wyoming County, NY

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 32 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jul 15, 4:30 PM EDTFLASH FLOODAttica, NYMain St between Water St and Washington St flooded. Water flowing into businesses on Main St.
Jul 15, 4:45 PM EDTFLASH FLOOD1 Se Batavia, NYRoute 63 (Ellicott St) flooded in both directions.
Jul 15, 4:45 PM EDTFLASH FLOOD1 W Le Roy, NYNY-5 and railroad underpass flooded. Around 5 feet of water.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 28 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2024-07-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 823 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2024-07-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 19 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
823 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-7 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
513 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
19 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
39 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

619 
WGUS51 KBUF 152007
FFWBUF
NYC029-037-121-160015-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FF.W.0007.240715T2007Z-240716T0015Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
407 PM EDT Mon Jul 15 2024

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  East Central Erie County in western New York...
  Southern Genesee County in western New York...
  Northwestern Wyoming County in western New York...

* Until 815 PM EDT.

* At 407 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing 
  heavy rain across the warned area. Between 1.5 and 2 inches of 
  rain have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts up to 0.5 inches are 
  possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected 
  to begin shortly.

  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

  SOURCE...Radar.

  IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
           areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
           other poor drainage and low-lying areas.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Batavia, East Aurora, Darien Lakes State Park, Marilla, Le Roy, 
  Bennington, Attica, Varysburg, Wales Center, Billington Heights, 
  Elma Center, Stafford, Sheldon, Alexander, Dale, Bethany Center, 
  Cowlesville, East Bethany and South Wales.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

In hilly terrain there are hundreds of low water crossings which are 
potentially dangerous in heavy rain. Do not attempt to cross flooded 
roads. Find an alternate route.

&&

LAT...LON 4280 7868 4289 7846 4308 7799 4296 7792
      4278 7818 4269 7865

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

Apffel
2 follow-up statements
688 
WGUS71 KBUF 152145
FFSBUF

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
545 PM EDT Mon Jul 15 2024

NYC029-037-121-160015-
/O.CON.KBUF.FF.W.0007.000000T0000Z-240716T0015Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Erie NY-Genesee NY-Wyoming NY-
545 PM EDT Mon Jul 15 2024

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM EDT THIS 
EVENING FOR EAST CENTRAL ERIE, SOUTHERN GENESEE AND NORTHWESTERN 
WYOMING COUNTIES...

At 545 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy 
rain across the warned area. Between 1.5 and 2 inches of rain have 
fallen. Although little additional rainfall is expected, slower 
responding creeks may continue to rise due to previous rainfall.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Batavia, East Aurora, Darien Lakes State Park, Marilla, Le Roy, 
  Bennington, Attica, Varysburg, Wales Center, Billington Heights, 
  Elma Center, Stafford, Sheldon, Alexander, Dale, Bethany Center, 
  Cowlesville, East Bethany and South Wales.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

In hilly terrain there are hundreds of low water crossings which are 
potentially dangerous in heavy rain. Do not attempt to cross flooded 
roads. Find an alternate route.

&&

LAT...LON 4280 7868 4289 7846 4308 7799 4296 7792
      4278 7818 4269 7865

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

Apffel
507 
WGUS71 KBUF 160010
FFSBUF

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
810 PM EDT Mon Jul 15 2024

NYC029-037-121-160020-
/O.EXP.KBUF.FF.W.0007.000000T0000Z-240716T0015Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Erie NY-Genesee NY-Wyoming NY-
810 PM EDT Mon Jul 15 2024

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 815 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR 
EAST CENTRAL ERIE, SOUTHERN GENESEE AND NORTHWESTERN WYOMING 
COUNTIES...

Flood waters have receded. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a 
threat. Please continue to heed remaining road closures.

&&

LAT...LON 4280 7868 4289 7846 4308 7799 4296 7792
      4278 7818 4269 7865

$$

TMA

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 15, 8:57 AM EDTSmall Craft AdvisoryBUF35 hr
Jul 15, 11:50 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF55 min
Jul 15, 1:08 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF21 min
Jul 15, 1:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFErie, Niagara48 min
Jul 15, 1:50 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBUFGenesee40 min
Jul 15, 1:54 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF66 min
Jul 15, 1:56 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF49 min
Jul 15, 2:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFChautauqua, Erie53 min
Jul 15, 2:09 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF36 min
Jul 15, 2:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFErie, Genesee, Niagara, Orleans53 min
Jul 15, 2:49 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF41 min
Jul 15, 2:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFErie, Genesee, Wyoming67 min
Jul 15, 3:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFAllegany, Cattaraugus, Erie, Wyoming54 min
Jul 15, 3:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFErie, Genesee, Monroe, Niagara, Orleans27 min
Jul 15, 3:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatBUFGenesee, Livingston, Monroe, Wyoming60 min
Jul 15, 3:31 PM EDTBeach Hazards StatementBUFChautauqua, Erie28 hr
Jul 15, 3:49 PM EDTTornado WarningBUFGenesee, Livingston, Wyoming26 min
Jul 15, 4:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatBUFLivingston, Monroe, Ontario, Wayne58 min
Jul 15, 4:40 PM EDTTornado WarningBUFOntario, Wayne35 min
Jul 15, 4:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatBUFCayuga, Ontario, Oswego, Wayne54 min
Jul 15, 4:55 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningBUFGenesee, Livingston, Monroe, Ontario, Wyoming4 hr
Jul 15, 5:26 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningBUF64 min
Jul 15, 5:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFCayuga, Oswego, Wayne63 min
Jul 15, 6:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatBUFLewis, Oswego66 min
Jul 15, 7:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatBUFLewis, Oswego55 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in New York, 2024Every flash flood warning in 2024

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.